November 24th, 2015 | No Comments
Remember in 2008 & 2012 when the conservative vote was split between so many candidates that a John McCain & Mitt Romney could win the election?
Well turnabout is fair play:
If you want to stop Trump in New Hampshire, you need center-right voters there to coalesce behind the strongest candidate from that lane. Right now that appears to be Rubio. The problem is, Rubio’s only a few points better than everyone else: He’s at 11 percent here versus nine for Kasich, eight for Jeb Bush, and four each for Christie and Carly Fiorina. What incentive do any of those people have to quit the race and unite behind a single Trump-killing competitor before New Hampshire votes?
The three candidates who have dropped out so far are conservatives, between this and the Trump surge the tables have been completely reversed.
The longer these guys are in the more likely we’ll end up with a conservative