Let’s say it again, if it was good it would pass

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Let's say it again, if it was good it would pass

Some things are worth repeat­ing. Par­tic­u­larly when you see sto­ries like this:

The White House is eval­u­at­ing whether to take a breather on health care or try to push for pass­ing leg­is­la­tion, but is not con­vinced Mass­a­chu­setts vot­ers were try­ing to block health insur­ance reform by vot­ing last week to send Repub­li­can Scott Brown to the U.S. Sen­ate, Press Sec­re­tary Robert Gibbs said Sun­day. empha­sis mine.

Oh really? Lets take the way­back machine to Aug 17th of last year:

Unless he knows about a spe­cial elec­tion that the rest of us don’t there are still only 40 Repub­li­can votes in the sen­ate and the house has a very large demo­c­ra­tic major­ity. Repub­li­cans can’t kill any bill the democ­rats are will­ing to pass.

What Mr. Carville wants is cover for his mem­bers and the abil­ity to share the blame. If his peo­ple really believed this was the right thing to do they would do it. They want cover for this lemon, the Repub­li­cans won’t give it so he is try­ing to make lemonade.

Iron­i­cally 9 days later Ted Kennedy was dead and I wrote:

I think that Joe Kennedy or another one of the clan will be put in at that time, I can’t see them risk­ing an elec­tion as the envi­ron­ment has never been bet­ter for a Republican.

I was wrong about Joe but righter about the envi­ron­ment than I knew.

At the end of August it was noted:

Any­one who thinks that blue dog house mem­bers are going to pro­tect their seats by vot­ing in mem­ory of Ted Kennedy is insane…so nat­u­rally the New York Times and Wash­ing­ton Post will likely think so.

But the actual con­gress­men are not that stu­pid, they know their dis­tricts and can count. In 1415 months Kennedy will still be dead, but the vot­ers who oppose Oba­macare will still be alive and voting.

And what is the story today?

Arkansas Rep. Mar­ion Berry is expected to announce his retire­ment tomor­row morn­ing, accord­ing to three sources briefed on the decision.

Berry will become the sixth Demo­c­rat in a com­pet­i­tive seat to leave in the last two months but the first to announce his retire­ment since the party’s spe­cial elec­tion loss in Mass­a­chu­setts last Tuesday.

These blue dog dems see the writ­ing on the wall and are head­ing for the hills. The only rea­son they were able to get the votes in Novem­ber was the com­bi­na­tion of Stu­pak (for pro-​life cover) and the argu­ment that the bill could be amended in con­fer­ence. When the ini­tial bill passed the House the last line of my oft updated post was:

Con­grat­u­la­tions to the Repub­li­can Party for their almost cer­tain elec­tion vic­tory com­ing in 2010.

In the Sen­ate it took break­ing rules to get the bill passed (by exactly 60 votes) before Christmas.

And yet last night on his radio show I heard Jimmy Myers say this:

Scott Brown’s elec­tion will not stop a Health­care bill. Health­care is not dead. Repub­li­cans passed all kinds of bills with 55 votes in the Bush years (this is a para­phrase I was dri­ving and couldn’t write it down exactly)

Let me say it one more time:

The democ­rats KNOW both health care bills are Lemons that serve their own spe­cial inter­ests groups over the peo­ple they claim to be help­ing. If they thought for one moment that these bills were good or the coun­try and/​or a polit­i­cal win­ner, they would have passed them and eagerly took the full credit.

If it wasn’t for their ini­tial desire to give the pres­i­dent a vic­tory it never would have man­aged an ini­tial vote. Now that the president’s num­bers are nose­div­ing polit­i­cal sur­vival has over­rid­den Pres­i­dent Obama’s needs. Any­one who thinks Nancy Pelosi is going to give up her decreas­ing chance to retain the speak­er­ship for this pres­i­dent is delusional.

As long as Repub­li­cans stay united and real­ize that the worm has turned and the White­House doesn’t dis­cover my unsaid strat­egy this is not only going nowhere, but every day they keep this in the news they under­cut them­selves polit­i­cally and empha­size their own impotency.

Update: Allah­pun­dit is wrong, Gin­grich should know bet­ter than this.

Update: And another one bites the dust:

Delaware Attor­ney Gen­eral Beau Biden, son of Vice Pres­i­dent Joe Biden, e-​mailed sup­port­ers on Mon­day morn­ing to say that he will not seek his father’s Sen­ate seat.

Barack Obama is the gift that keeps on giving…to republicans.

But don’t worry democ­rats; Mr. Sul­li­van insists you pay no atten­tion to the fail­ures of the man behind the teleprompter.

Some things are worth repeating. Particularly when you see stories like this:

The White House is evaluating whether to take a breather on health care or try to push for passing legislation, but is not convinced Massachusetts voters were trying to block health insurance reform by voting last week to send Republican Scott Brown to the U.S. Senate, Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said Sunday. emphasis mine.

Oh really? Lets take the wayback machine to Aug 17th of last year:

Unless he knows about a special election that the rest of us don’t there are still only 40 Republican votes in the senate and the house has a very large democratic majority. Republicans can’t kill any bill the democrats are willing to pass.

What Mr. Carville wants is cover for his members and the ability to share the blame. If his people really believed this was the right thing to do they would do it. They want cover for this lemon, the Republicans won’t give it so he is trying to make lemonade.

Ironically 9 days later Ted Kennedy was dead and I wrote:

I think that Joe Kennedy or another one of the clan will be put in at that time, I can’t see them risking an election as the environment has never been better for a Republican.

I was wrong about Joe but righter about the environment than I knew.

At the end of August it was noted:

Anyone who thinks that blue dog house members are going to protect their seats by voting in memory of Ted Kennedy is insane…so naturally the New York Times and Washington Post will likely think so.

But the actual congressmen are not that stupid, they know their districts and can count. In 14-15 months Kennedy will still be dead, but the voters who oppose Obamacare will still be alive and voting.

And what is the story today?

Arkansas Rep. Marion Berry is expected to announce his retirement tomorrow morning, according to three sources briefed on the decision.

Berry will become the sixth Democrat in a competitive seat to leave in the last two months but the first to announce his retirement since the party’s special election loss in Massachusetts last Tuesday.

These blue dog dems see the writing on the wall and are heading for the hills. The only reason they were able to get the votes in November was the combination of Stupak (for pro-life cover) and the argument that the bill could be amended in conference. When the initial bill passed the House the last line of my oft updated post was:

Congratulations to the Republican Party for their almost certain election victory coming in 2010.

In the Senate it took breaking rules to get the bill passed (by exactly 60 votes) before Christmas.

And yet last night on his radio show I heard Jimmy Myers say this:

Scott Brown’s election will not stop a Healthcare bill. Healthcare is not dead. Republicans passed all kinds of bills with 55 votes in the Bush years (this is a paraphrase I was driving and couldn’t write it down exactly)

Let me say it one more time:

The democrats KNOW both health care bills are Lemons that serve their own special interests groups over the people they claim to be helping. If they thought for one moment that these bills were good or the country and/or a political winner, they would have passed them and eagerly took the full credit.

If it wasn’t for their initial desire to give the president a victory it never would have managed an initial vote. Now that the president’s numbers are nosediving political survival has overridden President Obama’s needs. Anyone who thinks Nancy Pelosi is going to give up her decreasing chance to retain the speakership for this president is delusional.

As long as Republicans stay united and realize that the worm has turned and the WhiteHouse doesn’t discover my unsaid strategy this is not only going nowhere, but every day they keep this in the news they undercut themselves politically and emphasize their own impotency.

Update: Allahpundit is wrong, Gingrich should know better than this.

Update: And another one bites the dust:

Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden, son of Vice President Joe Biden, e-mailed supporters on Monday morning to say that he will not seek his father’s Senate seat.

Barack Obama is the gift that keeps on giving…to republicans.

But don’t worry democrats; Mr. Sullivan insists you pay no attention to the failures of the man behind the teleprompter.