Polls aren’t elections: Ann Marie Buerkle vs McClatchy Newspapers

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Polls aren't elections: Ann Marie Buerkle vs McClatchy Newspapers

My first meet­ing with Ann Marie Burekle was the day that Syra­cuse Post-​Standard declared that she was down dou­ble dig­its. The poll itself was sus­pect but as my friend Robert Stacy McCain often says Polls aren’t elec­tions. (this is what I con­stantly remind those who say Palin can’t win due to a poll that the elec­tion isn’t held today) That day Ann Marie said this:

(UPDATE video added)

Now for­get­ting that the poll was…shall we say inter­est­ing all that poll proved in the end was one (or both) of two things.

The Syra­cuse Post-​Standard had an agenda

Ann Marie Buerkle worked incred­i­bly hard and man­aged to turn it around in two weeks

I thought of that last night when I saw this story that left­ist blogs have been jump­ing on:

New poll under­cuts GOP claims of a midterm mandate

By Steven Thomma | McClatchy Newspapers

A major­ity of Amer­i­cans want the Con­gress to keep the new health care law or actu­ally expand it, despite Repub­li­can claims that they have a man­date from the peo­ple to kill it, accord­ing to a new McClatchy-​Marist poll.

I don’t know Steven Thomma, he may be a good writer and a nice guy and kind to ani­mals but I know this much. He is try­ing to BS me and the left blogs are doing the same.

We just had an elec­tion where Repub­li­cans run­ning against Oba­macare won more seats than any­one has seen in over 50 years and you are try­ing to tell me there is no man­date because of your poll? As I left in comments:

Yeah all those 63 or 64 con­gres­sional seats mean noth­ing next to a POLL

how stu­pid do you think we are?

Appar­ently they think we are pretty stu­pid. Lucky for peo­ple who are not suck­ers we have Robert Stacy McCain at the Amer­i­can Spec­ta­tor who isn’t buy­ing it. His piece is called The Repub­li­can Man­date:

Those peo­ple did make a dif­fer­ence, and in the process made laugh­ing­stocks of pun­dits who said they couldn’t do it, chief among them E.J. Dionne of the Wash­ing­ton Post.

It will be very hard for Repub­li­cans to take the House if they don’t break the Democ­rats’ power in the North­east — and they still have to prove they can do that,” Dionne wrote five weeks before Elec­tion Day, in a col­umn that fea­tured this quote from Dan Maf­fei: “When we do retain the major­ity… peo­ple are going to look at the map and see that the North­east held.” Dionne pre­dicted: “Absent a Repub­li­can wave of his­toric pro­por­tions, [Maffei’s] seat now seems out of the GOP’s reach.”

Unfor­tu­nately for Maf­fei and Dionne, that “Repub­li­can wave of his­toric pro­por­tions” came crash­ing ashore Nov. 2 with enough power to flip six seats in New York into the GOP col­umn. In addi­tion to Buerkle’s hard-​fought win in the 25th Dis­trict, Repub­li­cans also cap­tured pre­vi­ously Democrat-​held seats in the 13th, 19th, 20th, 24th and 29th dis­tricts. New York’s six GOP pick­ups was the most of any state. Repub­li­cans gained five seats in Ohio and Penn­syl­va­nia, while adding four seats in both Florida and Illi­nois. If such wide­spread vic­to­ries are not a man­date for House Repub­li­cans to oppose the Democ­rats’ lib­eral agenda, what­ever could be?

How did two guys in fedo­ras know to visit Ny-​25 in Octo­ber when EJ Dionne who unlike me doesn’t have to go door to door to busi­ness to pay for his radio show? We went there any saw for ourselves!

If you choose to believe Steven Thomma and McClatchy that is your pre­rog­a­tive. Just don’t expect us to believe or trust your opinion

And yes this will be a topic on Saturday.

Update: Put the actual video in

My first meeting with Ann Marie Burekle was the day that Syracuse Post-Standard declared that she was down double digits. The poll itself was suspect but as my friend Robert Stacy McCain often says Polls aren’t elections. (this is what I constantly remind those who say Palin can’t win due to a poll that the election isn’t held today) That day Ann Marie said this:

(UPDATE video added)

Now forgetting that the poll was…shall we say interesting all that poll proved in the end was one (or both) of two things.

The Syracuse Post-Standard had an agenda

Ann Marie Buerkle worked incredibly hard and managed to turn it around in two weeks

I thought of that last night when I saw this story that leftist blogs have been jumping on:

New poll undercuts GOP claims of a midterm mandate

By Steven Thomma | McClatchy Newspapers

A majority of Americans want the Congress to keep the new health care law or actually expand it, despite Republican claims that they have a mandate from the people to kill it, according to a new McClatchy-Marist poll.

I don’t know Steven Thomma, he may be a good writer and a nice guy and kind to animals but I know this much. He is trying to BS me and the left blogs are doing the same.

We just had an election where Republicans running against Obamacare won more seats than anyone has seen in over 50 years and you are trying to tell me there is no mandate because of your poll? As I left in comments:

Yeah all those 63 or 64 congressional seats mean nothing next to a POLL

how stupid do you think we are?

Apparently they think we are pretty stupid. Lucky for people who are not suckers we have Robert Stacy McCain at the American Spectator who isn’t buying it. His piece is called The Republican Mandate:

Those people did make a difference, and in the process made laughingstocks of pundits who said they couldn’t do it, chief among them E.J. Dionne of the Washington Post.

“It will be very hard for Republicans to take the House if they don’t break the Democrats’ power in the Northeast — and they still have to prove they can do that,” Dionne wrote five weeks before Election Day, in a column that featured this quote from Dan Maffei: “When we do retain the majority… people are going to look at the map and see that the Northeast held.” Dionne predicted: “Absent a Republican wave of historic proportions, [Maffei’s] seat now seems out of the GOP’s reach.”

Unfortunately for Maffei and Dionne, that “Republican wave of historic proportions” came crashing ashore Nov. 2 with enough power to flip six seats in New York into the GOP column. In addition to Buerkle’s hard-fought win in the 25th District, Republicans also captured previously Democrat-held seats in the 13th, 19th, 20th, 24th and 29th districts. New York’s six GOP pickups was the most of any state. Republicans gained five seats in Ohio and Pennsylvania, while adding four seats in both Florida and Illinois. If such widespread victories are not a mandate for House Republicans to oppose the Democrats’ liberal agenda, whatever could be?

How did two guys in fedoras know to visit Ny-25 in October when EJ Dionne who unlike me doesn’t have to go door to door to business to pay for his radio show? We went there any saw for ourselves!

If you choose to believe Steven Thomma and McClatchy that is your prerogative. Just don’t expect us to believe or trust your opinion

And yes this will be a topic on Saturday.

Update: Put the actual video in