In the wake of the US raid in Abbottabad that killed Osama bin Laden, China has “warned in unequivocal terms that any attack on Pakistan would be construed as an attack on China”, a media report claimed today. The warning was formally conveyed by the Chinese foreign minister at last week’s China-US strategic dialogue and economic talks in Washington
Pundit Press asks the question
Are we now one predator drone strike in the badlands of Pakistan from war with China or is this bluff and bravado from an increasingly powerful nation seeking to expand it’s local influence?
and at Hotair:
For instance, what about the Predator attacks on terrorists in the border regions? Pakistan has officially protested these attacks while unofficially tolerating them. If China is serious about its message, will they insist on an end to all operations within Pakistan from now on? And how will China respond to an attack on Pakistan under a doctrine that’s not dissimilar from NATO’s charter? Will they attack the US and start a war, or will they react only diplomatically?
You can take it to the bank the China will at best react diplomatically, China has been flexing its diplomatic and economic muscles worldwide but their ability to project military power worldwide hasn’t kept up.
China’s worldwide interests are very vulnerable to US international power that can be projected around the globe in a way that China can not. Economically China is also highly dependent on the purchase of cheap goods by the US. In case of war with America, how quickly would China’s merchant marine, oil tankers and global trade quickly find itself transformed into new artificial coral reefs all over the ocean floor thanks to our submarine fleet?
And with a populace already now expecting more from their communist government as their standard of living improves, how will a government that depends on a strong standing army and secret police to control unrest going to be able to fight what would frankly become a global war while preventing revolution at home?
If I”m right then why is China doing this now? Because for all the “I’ve got Bin Laden” bravado in the White House the Chinese understand that with this crew in the White House NOW is the time for their Rhineland gambit. They aren’t just assuming the US will not answer, they are counting on it!
I guarantee you that if the Rhineland gambit is not challenged we will see it followed by a Sudetenland gambit.