Mitt Romney Electable my ….

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Mitt Romney Electable my ....

My Couch Stacy McCain’s future bed in Fitch­burg 12:12 AM

I’m look­ing at the screen and see­ing a dif­fer­ence of under 50 votes between Rick ($500,000 spent in Iowa) San­to­rum and Mitt (10 Mil­lion spent in Iowa) Rom­ney. (Those fig­ures per MSNBC) Rick San­to­rum gives begins his speech as we wait to find out who will actu­ally win in Iowa.

For the last sev­eral days we have been told that no mat­ter what hap­pens in Iowa Mitt Rom­ney wins if he fin­ishes 1st to 3rd. (and as I’m typ­ing he has taken a 41 vote lead with 2% left to report.) To call it a Pyrrhic vic­tory if he man­ages to win it will be an understatement.

Mitt Rom­ney has every pos­si­ble advan­tage, 4 years of cam­paign­ing, a huge war chest, the back­ing of the GOP estab­lish­ment and the aura of inevitabil­ity and yet, in the state of Iowa after 4 years of cam­paign­ing he can’t break 25% of the vote.

One of the argu­ments that the Rom­ney peo­ple are con­stantly mak­ing is he is the most elec­table, let me tell you what Iowa tells me, Elec­table my ***!

A lot of this is his own fault, he base strat­egy of “ignor­ing” Iowa was a sound one. As long as the per­cep­tion was he was only tan­gen­tially play­ing in Iowa (no mat­ter how false it was) a fin­ish in the top 3 would have been spun as a vic­tory doing bet­ter than expected, how­ever once Gin­grich began his freefall Rom­ney fig­ured he would go in for the kill. This was the only strate­gic mis­take he has made since the start of the campaign.

Instead he went in strong and as I type trails by 5 votes. This is what 10 mil­lion dol­lars buys you? A dead heat with a man who had no money to speak of?

Even worse news for the Rom­ney cam­paign than the San­to­rum surge were the speeches by Gin­grich and Perry.

Gin­grich indi­cated from his speech that he will be on the offen­sive, and Perry sug­gested that he might cut his losses. That com­bi­na­tion along with Michelle Bachmann’s hor­ri­ble fin­ish means dis­as­ter for Romney.

One of the rea­sons why Rom­ney has not spent time court­ing con­ser­v­a­tives is they he under­stands that they aren’t inter­ested in him, as long as Perry, Bach­mann and San­to­rum were divid­ing the con­ser­v­a­tive vote, Rom­ney could cruise to vic­tory after vic­tory with 2530% rack­ing up wins to cre­ate the aura of invincibility.

With Bach­mann and per­haps Perry out that is a pool of con­ser­v­a­tives who are tailor-​made for Rick San­to­rum over Mitt Romney.

Add to that a Newt Gin­grich who blames Rom­ney for his col­lapse. If Newt decides to go after Rom­ney in retal­i­a­tion, and I sus­pect he will this adds up to the per­fect storm.

Mitt is going to win NH Big but San­to­rum is going to end up at least 4th (Paul and Hunts­man boosted by the inde­pen­dents and lib­er­als) and if Perry and Bach­mann are gone before we get to the south San­to­rum has every pos­si­bil­ity of beat­ing Rom­ney like a drum, par­tic­u­larly since his vic­to­ries will bring the funds needed to com­pete which will pro­duce more vic­to­ries and gen­er­ate more funds.

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, if Rom­ney is the nom­i­nee I will have no prob­lem vot­ing for him over Obama, but lets ask the ques­tion: If you are a GOP can­di­date run­ning for con­gress against Oba­macare do you really want the author of Rom­n­ey­care at the top of your ticket? Do you want to be asked why you sup­port the author of Rom­n­ey­care while run­ning against Oba­macare? I don’t think so.

Rom­ney has one easy win ahead of him in NH, but after that he’s going to have a fight on his hands and Rick San­to­rum is going to be the man to give it to him. Or as Stacy McCain would put it, Van­u­atu here I come!

Update: Can’t spell at 1 a.m. fixed title

Update 2: how con­trived is Rom­ney? After diss­ing Santorum’s vic­tory Erick Erick­son revealed that after Santorum’s speech Romney’s guys took down the teleprompter and he gave a speech he gave ear­lier today, for God’s sake it sounds like Obama lite with­out the Greek columns.

Update 3: Ali’s tweet says it all:

Mitt Rom­ney spent 4 years and mil­lions of dol­lars to lose six votes. And this guy is sup­posed to be electable?

Update 4: Insta­lanche Thanks glenn and an impor­tant update that peo­ple should note:

South Florida Con­gress­woman Deb­bie Wasser­man Schultz on Tues­day accused Repub­li­can Mitt Rom­ney of shift­ing to the extreme Right to try to win the Iowa caucuses.

Sound­ing a Demo­c­ra­tic theme for this elec­tion year, Wasser­man Schultz said Romney’s attempts to pan­der to con­ser­v­a­tives will come back to haunt.

Over the last year, Rom­ney has scram­bled to get to the right of Rick Perry, Newt Gin­grich and Rick San­to­rum – and in a state with some of the most stal­wart con­ser­v­a­tives in the Repub­li­can nom­i­nat­ing process,” Wasser­man Schultz said at a press con­fer­ence. “Romney’s show­ing can be attrib­uted to his right-​wing vision for America.”

and here is the “mod­er­ate voice”:

The unre­lent­ing extrem­ism of the Iowa field, from the can­di­dates’ absurd stands on issues that mat­ter to mid­dle class vot­ers to an oblique racism when it comes to Obama him­self has forced Rom­ney to tack ever harder to the right. It will take the biggest flip-​flop of them all for Rom­ney to repo­si­tion him­self as a mod­er­ate and not the sell-​out that he has become if he gets the nom­i­na­tion because oth­er­wise he doesn’t stand a chance.

and That is the key com­ment, no mat­ter who the GOP nom­i­nates the democ­rats will paint him as a “right wing extremest racist” So why nom­i­nate a per­son that is going to run off the con­ser­v­a­tive vote the GOP needs to win?

And PLEASE don’t give me the “anti-​Gay” stuff with San­to­rum, not only is it false, but the extreme left will play Romney’s Mor­monism as anti-​gay against him huge.

I still think Rom­ney would beat Obama, but I’d feel a lot more com­fort­able about 2012 with San­to­rum at the top than him.

Update 5: Bach­mann has decided to go but Perry has sent out a tweet indi­cat­ing he has decided to stay . This is a big boost for Rom­ney for sev­eral reasons:

1. It keeps the divi­sion of the Tea party vote, par­tic­u­larly in the south so Rom­ney can win south­ern states with 30% of the vote.

2. Perry will be going after San­to­rum with reck­less aban­don allow­ing Romney’s hands to remain clean as San­to­rum is savaged

3. It keeps San­to­rum from becom­ing the offi­cial “anti-​Romney

With Bach­mann out Perry rises to my 2nd choice with Gin­grich 3rd but

My Couch Stacy McCain’s future bed in Fitchburg 12:12 AM

I’m looking at the screen and seeing a difference of under 50 votes between Rick ($500,000 spent in Iowa) Santorum and Mitt (10 Million spent in Iowa) Romney. (Those figures per MSNBC) Rick Santorum gives begins his speech as we wait to find out who will actually win in Iowa.

For the last several days we have been told that no matter what happens in Iowa Mitt Romney wins if he finishes 1st to 3rd. (and as I’m typing he has taken a 41 vote lead with 2% left to report.) To call it a Pyrrhic victory if he manages to win it will be an understatement.

Mitt Romney has every possible advantage, 4 years of campaigning, a huge war chest, the backing of the GOP establishment and the aura of inevitability and yet, in the state of Iowa after 4 years of campaigning he can’t break 25% of the vote.

One of the arguments that the Romney people are constantly making is he is the most electable, let me tell you what Iowa tells me, Electable my ***!

A lot of this is his own fault, he base strategy of “ignoring” Iowa was a sound one. As long as the perception was he was only tangentially playing in Iowa (no matter how false it was) a finish in the top 3 would have been spun as a victory doing better than expected, however once Gingrich began his freefall Romney figured he would go in for the kill. This was the only strategic mistake he has made since the start of the campaign.

Instead he went in strong and as I type trails by 5 votes. This is what 10 million dollars buys you? A dead heat with a man who had no money to speak of?

Even worse news for the Romney campaign than the Santorum surge were the speeches by Gingrich and Perry.

Gingrich indicated from his speech that he will be on the offensive, and Perry suggested that he might cut his losses. That combination along with Michelle Bachmann’s horrible finish means disaster for Romney.

One of the reasons why Romney has not spent time courting conservatives is they he understands that they aren’t interested in him, as long as Perry, Bachmann and Santorum were dividing the conservative vote, Romney could cruise to victory after victory with 25-30% racking up wins to create the aura of invincibility.

With Bachmann and perhaps Perry out that is a pool of conservatives who are tailor-made for Rick Santorum over Mitt Romney.

Add to that a Newt Gingrich who blames Romney for his collapse. If Newt decides to go after Romney in retaliation, and I suspect he will this adds up to the perfect storm.

Mitt is going to win NH Big but Santorum is going to end up at least 4th (Paul and Huntsman boosted by the independents and liberals) and if Perry and Bachmann are gone before we get to the south Santorum has every possibility of beating Romney like a drum, particularly since his victories will bring the funds needed to compete which will produce more victories and generate more funds.

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, if Romney is the nominee I will have no problem voting for him over Obama, but lets ask the question: If you are a GOP candidate running for congress against Obamacare do you really want the author of Romneycare at the top of your ticket? Do you want to be asked why you support the author of Romneycare while running against Obamacare? I don’t think so.

Romney has one easy win ahead of him in NH, but after that he’s going to have a fight on his hands and Rick Santorum is going to be the man to give it to him. Or as Stacy McCain would put it, Vanuatu here I come!

Update: Can’t spell at 1 a.m. fixed title

Update 2: how contrived is Romney? After dissing Santorum’s victory Erick Erickson revealed that after Santorum’s speech Romney’s guys took down the teleprompter and he gave a speech he gave earlier today, for God’s sake it sounds like Obama lite without the Greek columns.

Update 3: Ali’s tweet says it all:

Mitt Romney spent 4 years and millions of dollars to lose six votes. And this guy is supposed to be electable?

Update 4: Instalanche Thanks glenn and an important update that people should note:

South Florida Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz on Tuesday accused Republican Mitt Romney of shifting to the extreme Right to try to win the Iowa caucuses.

Sounding a Democratic theme for this election year, Wasserman Schultz said Romney’s attempts to pander to conservatives will come back to haunt.

“Over the last year, Romney has scrambled to get to the right of Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum – and in a state with some of the most stalwart conservatives in the Republican nominating process,” Wasserman Schultz said at a press conference. “Romney’s showing can be attributed to his right-wing vision for America.”

and here is the “moderate voice“:

The unrelenting extremism of the Iowa field, from the candidates’ absurd stands on issues that matter to middle class voters to an oblique racism when it comes to Obama himself has forced Romney to tack ever harder to the right. It will take the biggest flip-flop of them all for Romney to reposition himself as a moderate and not the sell-out that he has become if he gets the nomination because otherwise he doesn’t stand a chance.

and That is the key comment, no matter who the GOP nominates the democrats will paint him as a “right wing extremest racist” So why nominate a person that is going to run off the conservative vote the GOP needs to win?

And PLEASE don’t give me the “anti-Gay” stuff with Santorum, not only is it false, but the extreme left will play Romney’s Mormonism as anti-gay against him huge.

I still think Romney would beat Obama, but I’d feel a lot more comfortable about 2012 with Santorum at the top than him.

Update 5: Bachmann has decided to go but Perry has sent out a tweet indicating he has decided to stay . This is a big boost for Romney for several reasons:

1. It keeps the division of the Tea party vote, particularly in the south so Romney can win southern states with 30% of the vote.

2. Perry will be going after Santorum with reckless abandon allowing Romney’s hands to remain clean as Santorum is savaged

3. It keeps Santorum from becoming the official “anti-Romney

With Bachmann out Perry rises to my 2nd choice with Gingrich 3rd but