Although reality seems to be bleeding into the views of Islam today, not a whole lot of reality is bleeding through in this Washington Post poll:
With the general-election campaign beginning to take shape, President Obama holds clear advantages over Mitt Romney on personal attributes and a number of key issues, but remains vulnerable to discontent with the pace of the economic recovery, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.
Obama has double-digit leads over the likely Republican presidential nominee on who would do a better job of protecting the middle class, addressing women’s issues, handling international affairs and dealing with health care.
That would sound rather ominous if it wasn’t for two things. The first of course being that this is a poll of registered voters rather than likely voters, but the second makes a bigger difference:
By contrast, the previous WaPo/ABC poll in March had a D/R/I of 31/27/36, which undersampled both parties relative to independents but left Democrats with a 4-point advantage — perhaps an arguable model for 2012 turnout. Today’s has a D/R/I of 34/23/34, adding seven points to that Democratic advantage and presenting a completely unrepresentative, absurd model for the 2012 turnout.
And Ed Morrissey points out:
What happens when you switch from a D+4 to a D+11 in measuring Obama’s standing? Suddenly, his job approval goes from 46% to 50%
But it gets even better when you think about it. The Washington Post had a sample of only 23% republicans and yet:
In a poll that is only 23% republican
- Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney draw 42% and 44% respectively nearly double the GOP sample
- The president draws no better than 52%.
In a poll only 23% republican and with a 11 point Democratic advantage:
- the president can only manage a 3 pt advantage on jobs.
In a poll with only 23% republicans Obama can only manage
- A 55% rating on Woman’s issues
- A 53% rating on international affairs
- and a 55% rating on being “inspiring
In a poll with only 23% republicans the president can’t crack 50% on:
- Protecting the middle class
- Understanding people’s problems,
- Dealing with Healthcare
- Supporting small business
- Handling terrorism
In a poll only 23% republican Romney holds an advantage over Obama on the issues of:
- Energy Policy
- Handling the Economy
and holds a double digit lead on dealing with the deficit.
Even more incredible, all over the internet and all over TV this poll is touted as a sign of Obama’s strength, even though the facts I just presented facts are readily available to anyone who bothers to look.
This tells us several very important things:
1. This poll’s purpose is to deceive:
a…This poll is meant to create the image of success to those who pay no attention to the news who will hear this report only in passing.
b…This poll is meant to create an narrative of success to the far left who will ignore any news source not approved by the left.
c…This poll is meant to convince democratic donors that their contributions are going to a winner.
2. The attempt by the MSM & White House to sell “an economy in recovery” has failed:
a…Even a skewed poll can’t get the president over 50% any issue concerning the economy.
b…No amount of MSM messaging can overcome the reality of the Obama years
c…With the economy a loser the MSM will continue to push every other possible issue on the map.
3. All this talk about the GOP in trouble is false
a…You don’t create a false narrative if you have a true narrative showing you are in good shape.
b…The “War on Women” and Rough GOP primary memes have failed to move voters
c…The actual news is so bad for the president that the media dare not report it.
d…The Media and the Democrats know and understand what the actual situation is and are actively attempting to hide it.
All of this points to a single reality: 2012 is poised to be a disaster for Democrats. and that means only one thing for Republicans:
The biggest danger we face is allowing the media to divert us from this reality.
Update: Reality reinforced again:
U.S. Sen. Mark Pryor, D-Ark., said he will not actively campaign in Arkansas for President Barack Obama during the 2012 general election cycle.
Pryor noted his unwillingness to support the Obama, the titular head of the Democratic Party, during the second edition of the The City Wire show, presented by 5News.
Because nothing supports the finding of a skewed optimistic poll more than a sitting senator of your party running away from you.