Looking at the latest NBC/WSJ poll and there are some interesting small trends within that are worth examining. Let’s start with Presidential approval:
Ok there is only a 1 pt shift, nothing seemingly to write home about. How about commitment to the respective candidates:
Over the last month Romney voters are three to seven points more committed to their candidate, while Obama voters are one to three-points less committed. It’s noteworthy that the drop in commitment is much greater for the president among those actually registered to vote, still the primary season for the GOP just ended so perhaps Romney’s better numbers are not as big a deal. How about the view of congress. That shouldn’t be affected by who is the presidential candidate:
So a GOP controlled congress is one point less popular while a Democrat controlled congress is three points less popular. Interesting. Time to look at the race itself:
Romney remains unchanged at 43 while Obama drops two points from 49-47 leaving a 4 point spread in favor of the president.
So the numbers indicate a slight move away from the democrats and the president vs last month, not really dramatic news…until you look at the May polling sample:
The May sample polls 3% less Republicans and 1% more democrats than April. A full 4% difference in the left’s favor and yet with an extra point of Democrats in the sample:
- Obama’s approval is down a point
- Preference for Democrat control of congress is down 2 points
- Voters Definitely voting Obama is down 1-3 points
- and Obama polls two points lower.
Meanwhile on the other side with a 3 point decline in the GOP sample
- Preference for Republican control of congress is down 1 point
- Voters Definitely voting Romney is Up 3-6 points
- and Romney polls the same as before.
And you are telling me that the GOP is only now figuring out Romney Can win?
Top Republicans, long privately skeptical about their presidential prospects, are coming around to a surprising new view — that Mitt Romney may well win the White House this November.
Margin-of-error polling, fundraising parity last month, conservative consolidation around Romney and a still-sluggish economy has senior GOP officials increasingly bullish about a nominee many winced over during a difficult primary process.
Guys, I’ve been telling you for MONTHS that these people are scared. All their actions have suggested disaster for a long time. Cripes the whole Stacy McCain Brett Kimberlin business, Holder and Harvard and even the Dylan Ratigan and Tamron Hall shutting off the mike add up to just one thing.
I know you’re late to the party but I’m happy to have you aboard.