Experience keeps a dear school, but Fools will learn in no other.
Ben Franklin 1743
I am the state, your majesty. Let us say it privately so that we never need to discuss it in public. I am France, Louis. I am the state.
Cardinal Richelieu The Three Musketeers 1948
A lot of people are rightly wringing their hands over the results in Egypt as the Muslim Brotherhood has won the presidential election.
An Islamist backed by the Muslim Brotherhood declared victory as Egypt’s first democratically elected president even as the country’s military rulers issued a decree that stripped the position of much of its power.
This entire situation brings conflicting thoughts. First of all you have the Muslim Brotherhood and Islamists taking power. Pam Geller reminds us that this was the logical conclusion of all of this from the start and anyone not in denial could have seen this coming a year ago
January 2011 flashback to a Sandmonkey tweet that was retweeted by Mona Eltahawy, another Egyptian protest lover who was subsequently sexually attacked at one of these “freedom” protests. Of course, I disagreed with Sandmonkey and had my public falling out with him over my insistence that the Muslim Brotherhood was very much a major player in the overthrow of Mubarak and whatever freedom Egyptians had enjoyed under his government.
And Cogressman Allen West said the same last year:
and has called for our cutting of aid to Egypt today
Let’s get to Brass Tacks:
It is a basic truism that all people deserve self-determination, the problem with the middle east in general and Egypt in particular is the majority of the people wanted is the Muslim Brotherhood, what the people want is Sharia. And what the Muslim brotherhood wants is war with Israel and its destruction.
Now the Egyptian Military has stepped in, playing the role of Richelieu retaining many power but most significantly stripping the president of his war making power.
Egypt’s new president will have the power to declare war, but only “after the approval of the SCAF.
Why have they done this? Because the reality of Egypt is the military NOT Mubarak has been the true power for decades and remains the power today. The situation hasn’t changed and as I’ve said before:
The Military has become rich and fat with peace and US aid and has done it without getting slaughtered in wars with Israel. The Muslim Brotherhood and the Salafist’s in theory would love actual war with Israel and believe in it. They have been fed the propaganda for thirty years of victories that never happened, the military however knows differently but the reality is the military knows it is a war they will lose, badly.
And that doesn’t even consider how vulnerable a defeated Egypt will be to a Sudan or Libya that decides to make territorial claims.
That is the great contradiction. If Egypt is given proper democracy with the military subordinate to the will of the public you have a war that is going to destroy Egypt, yet the only way to stop such a war is for the Military to hold true power.
Yet the reality is that as long as the people are shielded from the consequences from their decisions they will continue to make bad ones.
The bottom line is THERE IS NO GOOD SOLUTION TO WHAT IS HAPPENING IN EGYPT, like Syira we only have a series of bad choices to choose from. The best we can do is to make sure that if the Egyptian people choose Sharia and War and oppression of minorities, we express our displeasure using the primary tool at our disposal, our aid and our expressions of displeasure.
We have to play it cool and smart, I wish we had an administration up to the task.
Update: The DaTechGuy Fundraiser is in progress, our goal is $3000 and we are $2950 away (that first $50 is always the hardest (Thanks Steve), for details click here for the progress check the thermometer to the right and to kick in hit DaTipJar” below.