Demoralized as Hell: Victor Davis Hanson edition

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Demoralized as Hell: Victor Davis Hanson edition

At PJ media (via Glenn) Vic­tor Davis Han­son talks about a string of con­ser­v­a­tive defeats and sounds a warn­ing:

None of us know what Novem­ber brings. We all imag­ine the race will be far closer than 2008. We worry that eight years of this admin­is­tra­tion will insti­tu­tion­al­ize what we saw dur­ing the first four years. That said, every per­son wor­ried about the direc­tion of the coun­try will have to vote, donate time or money, or offer pub­lic or pri­vate com­men­tary. We are going to see things in Sep­tem­ber and Octo­ber that we have not quite seen before in an elec­tion, as our mod­ern Bor­gia pulls out all the stops to do what­ever is nec­es­sary to win.

Mr. Han­son is a wise man, his books are spec­tac­u­lar and he’s likely a lot smarter than I am, but take a look at his list of items in his well writ­ten post:

1. The so-​called Obama crash.

2. The Supreme Court.

3. Oba­macare.

4. The Ari­zona decision.

5. Fast and Furious.

6. The Obama crises.

I look at this list and what I notice is none of these con­ser­v­a­tive dis­as­ters are elec­toral. It sounds like the Gay Mar­riage crowd who keep telling us the peo­ple are for it while they lose elec­tion after election.

In fact if you read his whole piece only his first entry “The Obama Crash” is even remotely a polit­i­cal argu­ment and it’s all about polling.…

Review Obama’s bad news of the last 90 days: the Scott Walker vic­tory, the Obama gaffes (the pri­vate sec­tor is doing “fine”), the Demo­c­ra­tic defec­tions (whether sen­a­tors and rep­re­sen­ta­tives bail­ing from the con­ven­tion or smack­downs on Bain Cap­i­tal from Cory Booker, Bill Clin­ton, etc.), the Holder mess, the cir­cum­ven­tion of Con­gress by de facto amnesty, the non-​ending scan­dals (Solyn­dra, Fast and Furi­ous, GSA, Secret Ser­vice, etc.), the Putin/​Merkel put-​down, our new Mus­lim Broth­er­hood friend and ally run­ning Egypt, the sup­posed short­fall in cam­paign dona­tions, etc. Yet this week­end Obama remains up in the polls and ahead in key swing states. If these “bad” weeks have led to his rise in the polls, what might good weeks do?

There is one real prob­lem with this argu­ment, Polls are not elec­tions, 10 days before Scott Brown’s elec­tion we heard this:

let’s not pre­tend that Repub­li­can state sen­a­tor Scott Brown has any chance of pulling off the mon­u­men­tal upset

All the way till Novem­ber in 2010 the left was still talk­ing about how this rally or that rally was going to rally the left in a nar­ra­tive that lasted right up until the Sun­day of the election.

And in spe­cial elec­tions the left has man­aged only man­aged wins in safe areas (Ca-​36) and in a three-​way race with a faux tea party can­di­date in the mix (ny-​26), while the GOP has not only won when they were sup­posed to (nv-​2) but in dis­tricts they had no busi­ness win­ning in. (ny-​9).

And let me remind Mr. Han­son that the exit polls showed a dead even race in Wis­con­sin for Scott Walker just a few hours before he cruised to victory.

Yes we have to work hard, yes we can’t slack and yes I do expect these folks to be fight so dirty as to make a mud hole look like a bidet, but per­cep­tion doesn’t trump real­ity. Cripes the pres­i­dent just won the biggest vic­tory of his pres­i­dency in the supreme court and vul­ner­a­ble democ­rats are still run­ning away. It seems to me the words I used last Sep­tem­ber still ring true:

While the media will do their best to spin it oth­er­wise Democ­rats in con­gress and democ­rats in states who will have to run on a ticket with this pres­i­dent will see this result and ask: “Am I will­ing to put my polit­i­cal future in Barack Obama’s hands?”

As does my conclusion

“Ride right through them, they’re demor­al­ized as hell”!

As Hugh Hewitt puts it, If it’s not close they can’t cheat.

It’s not going to be close.

Update:
Woke up to an Insta­lanche and 17 com­ments in the pot I’ll get to you all. In addi­tion to sug­gest­ing hit­ting DaTip­Jar so I can stop using my wife’s car I strongly sug­gest click­ing on the “Ride Right Through Them” link as you’ll see exam­ple after exam­ple of what I’ve been talk­ing about for a year.

— — — -
The DaT­e­chGuy Fundraiser is in progress, our goal is $3000 and right now we’re not close either. Any help is appreciated.

For details click here for the progress check the ther­mome­ter to the right and to kick in hit DaTipJar”.





At PJ media (via Glenn) Victor Davis Hanson talks about a string of conservative defeats and sounds a warning:

None of us know what November brings. We all imagine the race will be far closer than 2008. We worry that eight years of this administration will institutionalize what we saw during the first four years. That said, every person worried about the direction of the country will have to vote, donate time or money, or offer public or private commentary. We are going to see things in September and October that we have not quite seen before in an election, as our modern Borgia pulls out all the stops to do whatever is necessary to win.

Mr. Hanson is a wise man, his books are spectacular and he’s likely a lot smarter than I am, but take a look at his list of items in his well written post:

1. The so-called Obama crash.

2. The Supreme Court.

3. Obamacare.

4. The Arizona decision.

5. Fast and Furious.

6. The Obama crises.

I look at this list and what I notice is none of these conservative disasters are electoral. It sounds like the Gay Marriage crowd who keep telling us the people are for it while they lose election after election.

In fact if you read his whole piece only his first entry “The Obama Crash” is even remotely a political argument and it’s all about polling….

Review Obama’s bad news of the last 90 days: the Scott Walker victory, the Obama gaffes (the private sector is doing “fine”), the Democratic defections (whether senators and representatives bailing from the convention or smackdowns on Bain Capital from Cory Booker, Bill Clinton, etc.), the Holder mess, the circumvention of Congress by de facto amnesty, the non-ending scandals (Solyndra, Fast and Furious, GSA, Secret Service, etc.), the Putin/Merkel put-down, our new Muslim Brotherhood friend and ally running Egypt, the supposed shortfall in campaign donations, etc. Yet this weekend Obama remains up in the polls and ahead in key swing states. If these “bad” weeks have led to his rise in the polls, what might good weeks do?

There is one real problem with this argument, Polls are not elections, 10 days before Scott Brown’s election we heard this:

let’s not pretend that Republican state senator Scott Brown has any chance of pulling off the monumental upset

All the way till November in 2010 the left was still talking about how this rally or that rally was going to rally the left in a narrative that lasted right up until the Sunday of the election.

And in special elections the left has managed only managed wins in safe areas (Ca-36) and in a three-way race with a faux tea party candidate in the mix (ny-26), while the GOP has not only won when they were supposed to (nv-2) but in districts they had no business winning in. (ny-9).

And let me remind Mr. Hanson that the exit polls showed a dead even race in Wisconsin for Scott Walker just a few hours before he cruised to victory.

Yes we have to work hard, yes we can’t slack and yes I do expect these folks to be fight so dirty as to make a mud hole look like a bidet, but perception doesn’t trump reality. Cripes the president just won the biggest victory of his presidency in the supreme court and vulnerable democrats are still running away. It seems to me the words I used last September still ring true:

While the media will do their best to spin it otherwise Democrats in congress and democrats in states who will have to run on a ticket with this president will see this result and ask: “Am I willing to put my political future in Barack Obama’s hands?”

As does my conclusion

“Ride right through them, they’re demoralized as hell”!

As Hugh Hewitt puts it, If it’s not close they can’t cheat.

It’s not going to be close.

Update:
Woke up to an Instalanche and 17 comments in the pot I’ll get to you all. In addition to suggesting hitting DaTipJar so I can stop using my wife’s car I strongly suggest clicking on the “Ride Right Through Them” link as you’ll see example after example of what I’ve been talking about for a year.

———-
The DaTechGuy Fundraiser is in progress, our goal is $3000 and right now we’re not close either. Any help is appreciated.

For details click here for the progress check the thermometer to the right and to kick in hit DaTipJar”.