by Datechguy | July 19th, 2012
A congressman’s first duty is to get re-elected
I’ve Always known how to count
Yesterday in the National Journal
review Josh Kraushaar looked at five congressional races in battle ground states that the GOP is defending. What he saw speaks loudly:
In Colorado’s 6th:
Coffman found his solidly Republican district redrawn into a suburban Denver battleground—and then proceeded to act as if his political fortunes hadn’t changed one bit.
In Florida 18th:
Thanks to redistricting, West moved to a new district that’s slightly more Republican but filled with the type of environmentally-minded moderates that bristle at his confrontational approach. Nonetheless, West has proven to be a national tea party star,
Iowa 3 features a race between two sitting members of congress:
In a sign of how the political winds have shifted, Boswell has distanced himself from the president, most recently siding with Republicans (and 17 Democrats) to hold Attorney General Eric Holder in contempt of Congress.
As does Ohio 16
Sutton’s playbook is similar to the Obama campaign’s against Romney—portray the Republican as a corporate type out-of-touch with the middle class, while using his support of the Ryan budget as a cudgel. But Renacci is betting that Sutton’s support for the administration’s policies on energy and health care are bigger vulnerabilities.
Take a look at the examples above, in every case the Republican when faced with a more left leaning district has not compromised or backed away. Meanwhile in Iowa the incumbent Democrat is moving away from the president.
Let’s be blunt: The people with something to lose see a downside to standing with the president and see no downside in opposing him. Why do you think Nancy Pelosi is telling her members to stay the hell away from the Democrat Convention?
So stop listening to a MSM that has no skin in the game and take up the cry
When I start seeing Democrats in these swing districts pivoting to Obama, then I’ll believe otherwise.
Update: If you won’t believe me will you believe Politico?
Since he won his seat in 1974, Waxman has never received less than 61 percent of the vote — in fact, his friends say, the last time he was seriously contested was in 1968, when he was elected to the California Assembly. Through the years, Waxman has used his deep well of campaign cash almost exclusively to aid fellow Democrats.
But in an interview, Waxman said he would be directing nearly all his money toward his own reelection this time around.
Waxman is worried? Think about the net effect. How many races in the last five decades got a boost from Waxman’s funds that won’t this time around?
Update 3: Dan Riehl says go get him!
Update 4: Should have said National Journal instead of Review, corrected
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