House Races speaking Loud and Clear UPDATE Et Tu Henry Waxman?

by Datechguy | July 19th, 2012

Readability

House Races speaking Loud and Clear UPDATE Et Tu Henry Waxman?

A congressman’s first duty is to get re-​elected

Sam Ray­burn

I’ve Always known how to count

Tip O’Neill

Yes­ter­day in the National Jour­nal review Josh Kraushaar looked at five con­gres­sional races in bat­tle ground states that the GOP is defend­ing. What he saw speaks loudly:

In Colorado’s 6th:

Coff­man found his solidly Repub­li­can dis­trict redrawn into a sub­ur­ban Den­ver bat­tle­ground — and then pro­ceeded to act as if his polit­i­cal for­tunes hadn’t changed one bit.

In Florida 18th:

Thanks to redis­trict­ing, West moved to a new dis­trict that’s slightly more Repub­li­can but filled with the type of environmentally-​minded mod­er­ates that bris­tle at his con­fronta­tional approach. Nonethe­less, West has proven to be a national tea party star,

Iowa 3 fea­tures a race between two sit­ting mem­bers of congress:

In a sign of how the polit­i­cal winds have shifted, Boswell has dis­tanced him­self from the pres­i­dent, most recently sid­ing with Repub­li­cans (and 17 Democ­rats) to hold Attor­ney Gen­eral Eric Holder in con­tempt of Congress.

As does Ohio 16

Sutton’s play­book is sim­i­lar to the Obama campaign’s against Rom­ney — por­tray the Repub­li­can as a cor­po­rate type out-​of-​touch with the mid­dle class, while using his sup­port of the Ryan bud­get as a cud­gel. But Renacci is bet­ting that Sutton’s sup­port for the administration’s poli­cies on energy and health care are big­ger vulnerabilities.

Take a look at the exam­ples above, in every case the Repub­li­can when faced with a more left lean­ing dis­trict has not com­pro­mised or backed away. Mean­while in Iowa the incum­bent Demo­c­rat is mov­ing away from the president.

Let’s be blunt: The peo­ple with some­thing to lose see a down­side to stand­ing with the pres­i­dent and see no down­side in oppos­ing him. Why do you think Nancy Pelosi is telling her mem­bers to stay the hell away from the Demo­c­rat Con­ven­tion?

So stop lis­ten­ing to a MSM that has no skin in the game and take up the cry

“Ride right through them, they’re demor­al­ized as hell”!

When I start see­ing Democ­rats in these swing dis­tricts piv­ot­ing to Obama, then I’ll believe otherwise.

Update: If you won’t believe me will you believe Politico?

Since he won his seat in 1974, Wax­man has never received less than 61 per­cent of the vote — in fact, his friends say, the last time he was seri­ously con­tested was in 1968, when he was elected to the Cal­i­for­nia Assem­bly. Through the years, Wax­man has used his deep well of cam­paign cash almost exclu­sively to aid fel­low Democrats.

But in an inter­view, Wax­man said he would be direct­ing nearly all his money toward his own reelec­tion this time around.

Wax­man is wor­ried? Think about the net effect. How many races in the last five decades got a boost from Waxman’s funds that won’t this time around?

Update 3: Dan Riehl says go get him!

Update 4: Should have said National Jour­nal instead of Review, corrected

Update 5: Insta­lanche, thanks Glenn, speak­ing of House races these stats from Ma-​3 might sur­prise you and check in this evening for a sequel post that I’m just fin­ish­ing up now on NV-​3.

— — — — —

The DaT­e­chGuy Fundraiser is in progress, our goal is $3000 and any help would be appre­ci­ated before I run out of snappy come­backs to con­vince read­ers to kick in.

For details click here for the progress check the ther­mome­ter to the right and to kick in hit DaTipJar”.

A congressman’s first duty is to get re-elected

Sam Rayburn

I’ve Always known how to count

Tip O’Neill

Yesterday in the National Journal review Josh Kraushaar looked at five congressional races in battle ground states that the GOP is defending. What he saw speaks loudly:

In Colorado’s 6th:

Coffman found his solidly Republican district redrawn into a suburban Denver battleground—and then proceeded to act as if his political fortunes hadn’t changed one bit.

In Florida 18th:

Thanks to redistricting, West moved to a new district that’s slightly more Republican but filled with the type of environmentally-minded moderates that bristle at his confrontational approach. Nonetheless, West has proven to be a national tea party star,

Iowa 3 features a race between two sitting members of congress:

In a sign of how the political winds have shifted, Boswell has distanced himself from the president, most recently siding with Republicans (and 17 Democrats) to hold Attorney General Eric Holder in contempt of Congress.

As does Ohio 16

Sutton’s playbook is similar to the Obama campaign’s against Romney—portray the Republican as a corporate type out-of-touch with the middle class, while using his support of the Ryan budget as a cudgel. But Renacci is betting that Sutton’s support for the administration’s policies on energy and health care are bigger vulnerabilities.

Take a look at the examples above, in every case the Republican when faced with a more left leaning district has not compromised or backed away. Meanwhile in Iowa the incumbent Democrat is moving away from the president.

Let’s be blunt: The people with something to lose see a downside to standing with the president and see no downside in opposing him. Why do you think Nancy Pelosi is telling her members to stay the hell away from the Democrat Convention?

So stop listening to a MSM that has no skin in the game and take up the cry

“Ride right through them, they’re demoralized as hell”!

When I start seeing Democrats in these swing districts pivoting to Obama, then I’ll believe otherwise.

Update: If you won’t believe me will you believe Politico?

Since he won his seat in 1974, Waxman has never received less than 61 percent of the vote — in fact, his friends say, the last time he was seriously contested was in 1968, when he was elected to the California Assembly. Through the years, Waxman has used his deep well of campaign cash almost exclusively to aid fellow Democrats.

But in an interview, Waxman said he would be directing nearly all his money toward his own reelection this time around.

Waxman is worried? Think about the net effect. How many races in the last five decades got a boost from Waxman’s funds that won’t this time around?

Update 3: Dan Riehl says go get him!

Update 4: Should have said National Journal instead of Review, corrected

Update 5: Instalanche, thanks Glenn, speaking of House races these stats from Ma-3 might surprise you and check in this evening for a sequel post that I’m just finishing up now on NV-3.

—————

The DaTechGuy Fundraiser is in progress, our goal is $3000 and any help would be appreciated before I run out of snappy comebacks to convince readers to kick in.

For details click here for the progress check the thermometer to the right and to kick in hit DaTipJar”.

DaTechGuy on DaRadio Saturday Noon EST. WBNW AM 1120 Concord WPLM 1390 Plymouth WESO 970 Southbridge, FTR Radio, the 405 Media

money matters 003

Last week:
Show 84: Mark Fisher

Next week Live from the Natural Discount Shop Rte 12 Leominster MA

(Note Sept 6th & 13th LIVE from the Natural Discount Shop

Get Cash for Your Pallets! 1-(800) 248-7543

aaron test

jeffrey’s

jeffrey’s

Buy Raspberry Ketone Here

American 023

Belanger Hardware 284 Water St · Fitchburg · (978) 342-2912

belanger 2

Try the Double Burger!

nashoba

Annie’s Book Stop of Worcester

Annies Book Stop of Worcester 001

Find Discounts at the Stores you Love

TOP STORES

pottery paintin place

pottery paintin place

The Navy Seals in their First Mission

The Navy Seals in their First Mission

Get yours for Kindle Here

Get yours for Kindle Here

Listen to your Granny

RWG

DH Gate Dot Com, Online Shopping

ecigarette

Bernard PC 774-322-6045

Bernard PC 774-322-6045

Support our favorite Charties

Read me at Examiner.com

Examiner badge2

Only 114 Million Hits to retirement!

Most Innovative Blogger 2013

Most Innovative Blogger 2013

Tags

Day by Day

Help a Brother Knight of Mine who needs a hand