Although Stacy McCain hasn’t been on the Neal Rauhauser / Brett Kimberlin kick exclusively anymore his large body of work has had an effect.

We have a letter signed by over 80 members of congress, other candidates on both sides of the aisle questioned on the issue, federal suits in the works etc etc etc.

This is bad news for the Kimberlin/Rauhauser crowd, tactics that might work when done under the radar are not as effective when done in the light of day. It leads to mistakes and as Robert Stacy McCain reports Neal Rauhauser has made a doozy:

In a thousand-word document sent to government officials, Kimberlin associate Neal Rauhauser accuses Darby of conspiring with a number of others — including employees of Republican consulting firm Hynes Communications — in an elaborate criminal scheme involving illegal so-called “SWATting” incidents aimed at four conservative bloggers: Mike Stack, Patrick “Patterico” Frey, Erick Erickson of Red State and Aaron Walker. The document (see full text below) describes Rauhauser’s accusations that the SWATting calls are “tied to an extortion attempt by Mike Grimm, Congressman from NY-13, an obstruction of justice attempt intended to deflect attention from James O’Keefe, and the whole thing is being wrapped up by Hynes Communications in an attempt to create another ‘Bill Ayers’ for the 2012 election.”

Furthermore, Rauhauser forwarded to an associate of Darby copies of e-mails he sent to a Republican member of Congress. In the e-mails he sent to the office of Rep. Sandy Adams (R-Fla.) in June and July, Rauhauser charges that Darby and others were engaged in a “conspiracy to obstruct justice.”

Rauhauser by making these statement to government officials now makes a possible suit more likely and as Glenn Reynolds put it:

the discovery process should be productive. . . .

This might be under the radar as the election gets closer but post election, I suspect there will be some nasty consequences.

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DaTechGuy fundraiser is still in progress, but for a change instead of pushing my own tip jar let me highlight three other people who could use a hand right now.

Joe Fein runs Valley of the shadow, he is down a few hundred. You can give a hand here.

Things are a bit tight for my pal Cynthia Yockey at a Conservative Lesbian. She spends a lot of time taking care of her sick father, she could use a hand too.

And Chris Muir is holding his annual Day by Day Fundraiser. Help pay for the best conservative stip out there and get some fun extras.

And as always Remember RS McCain who not only brings you the Rauhauser coverage but the classic line “Hit the freaking tip jar.”

I don’t usually do this but I predict Gov Mitt Romney will select Gov Tim Pawlenty as his VP on the GOP ticket.

Here is why it will not be Paul Ryan

The only chance Obama has is a base election. He needs to depress an energized GOP base and energize the Democrat base, Paul Ryan would do so, thus he is off the table.

This is also why you won’t see an Allen West, or a Bachmann, or a Palin or etc etc etc. Any strong conservative that the base likes and the left hates will not be the pick.

(BTW: In the long-term Ryan is more valuable in the congress selling a Romney budget/tax plan)

Here is why it will not be Chris Christie:

Christie has served only two yeas as governor. This brings the same experience issue as Obama. While he has performed well, it takes away an easy attack on Obama. Plus while Christie’s plain talk is appealing it would also energize the left, although not as much as the other choices above, and his clashes with the NRA and the right could be problematic.

Here is why it will not be Rob Portman:

Portman’s connection with the Bush administration gives the president the ability to link Romney to president Bush additionally his political operation will be more effective to turn out the vote if he is still in the Gov Mansion
where he will have the levers of power to use as a tool of persuasion.

Also Ohio is not going to be as close as some think.

Here is why it will NOT be Bobby Jindel

On first glance Jindel might seem the obvious choice, an excellent combination of a guy the right likes who doesn’t energize the left. He is also incredibly competent.

But what he brings to the table doesn’t change that Jindal didn’t endorse Romney till April after Santorum pulled out of the race. If he had endorsed him before the March Primary it might have been different but that is the type of thing that the Romney Campaign, which values loyalty, won’t forget.

Additionally the south and Louisiana is not in question for Romney, I don’t think Jindal brings a lot of extra votes (unless there is a large block of Indian-Americans in key swing states that I’m not aware of would would be excited by the first Indian American in the white house.)

Here is why it will NOT be Kelly Ayotte

Kelly Ayotte at first glance would be a perfect pick for many reasons: An early endorser of Mitt Romney, from a small swing state, Endorsed by Sarah Palin so liked by the right, and as anyone who has talked to her can tell you, a smart dynamic woman who has a huge future ahead of her in the party. So why would she not be picked? A few reasons.

1. Her experience is not executive experience.

2. She has served in the Senate around the same amount of time that Barack Obama did before he ran.

3. She comes from the same region as Romney (NH vs Mass)

4. The MSM will “Palinize” her in an attempt to destroy her.

This last point is rather sad and will not affect her in NH in terms of re-election but she has a very strong future before her. Once that first term is done it will be much harder to hit her in this fashion. I think if she has ambitions for higher office I think finishing that first term would be the best long-term move for her.

BTW for all the reasons above except for #3 It will not be Rubio

BTW Keep an eye on Kelly Ayotte, if she is not on the ticket this time (and there is an outside chance she will be) you can bet your bottom dollar she will be in my lifetime. This woman has a spectacular future ahead of her.

And here is why it WILL be Tim Pawlenty

Tim Pawlenty has been a governor he has the executive experience that supplements Romney

He comes from Minnesota and can draw votes from the region.

When he pulled out he endorsed Romney early and has been a loyal, effective surrogate for him.

He does not energize the left to any degree.

and here is the clincher.

Mitt Romney has plenty of opposition research on Tim Pawlenty from his own campaign. Romney knows Pawlenty and knows what the left has on him because he had it first.

For all of these reasons: I predict Mitt Romney will be selecting Tim Pawlenty as his VP pick.

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The DaTechGuy fundraiser continues. Mitt Romney had a record fundraising month I’m just $100 million or so behind him but if I can manage to get to that $7500 level I can pick up that used 15-year-old Mercury and have wheels again.

For details click here for the progress check the thermometer to the right and to kick in hit DaTipJar”.




And this is the clin

Today I woke up to the news that some LGBT activists have decided to launch a Starbucks Appreciation Day since their attempts at Chick-Fil-A protests were as the LA Times put it: more subdued as opposed to those who live in reality land that called it: a dismal failure

Still a positive move is smarter than a negative one, I figured I’d check when the date would be to see if Chick-Fil-A fans would counter there or perhaps stay away from Starbucks for the day…

…then I found out it was TODAY.

The story came out THE DAY BEFORE THE “appreciation day”.

This is very significant because it shows not strength but weakness. Here is why.

1. Normally you might expect this to go out a few days before such an event, that allows people to build up folks and media. Instead the media announcement comes the night before and doesn’t hit nationally until the day of the event. This tells me the groups pushing this are not confident in drawing beyond their core protest groups. The additional days would not add to their numbers.

2. The groups pushing this were afraid of any kind of counter. A 2nd Chick-Fil-A day where they would be outnumbered would be very bad for them, but people choosing to skip Starbucks for the day would be worse. By not announcing this event the majority of Starbucks customers today, unlike the people at Chick-Fil-A last Wednesday will have no idea their custom will be considered a symbolic act.

These tactics tell me they know they are in trouble, the whole Chick-Fil-A thing allowed the reality of both their weakness and their opponents strength, this “instant” event allows them to create a false media meme that will be picked up by national media.

Unfortunately for them the mask is already off.

Update: Tammy Bruce comments

The Anti-Chick-Fil-A Kiss-In not worky so well? LOL! As I noted on Fox & Friends this weekend, the approach of punishing people and companies with whom you disagree is fascist, petty and rejected by the American people. I’m all for positive, encouraging activism meant to promote the things we agree with. Apparently that’s a lesson the left can only learn from failure and embarrassment.

Update 2: No More Mr. Nice Blog has the hive mind business backwards (note a person of the right/tea party will talk about why they believe what they do while the left demonstrates er fedoraphobia) but he is exactly right in terms of tactics

Face the fact that Chick-fil-A Appreciation Day was a great one-day success for the right, and it’s going to be difficult to mount an imitation protest that equals or exceeds it; if you fail, you look less powerful, and even if you succeed, what you did looks like me-too-ism.

Better to give the right its one-day news-cycle victory and then stop drawing attention to that victory.

Due to the relative birthrates of left and right I think he’s wrong about the long game, but it’s still the right move for the left and the best advice I’ve seen anyone there give.

I bet I’d have enjoy playing AH games with him back in the pre-pc days.

Update: Allen West Bazinga!

A Democratic lawmaker says Rep. Allen West (R-Fla.) offended the entire Congressional Black Caucus by delivering Chick-fil-A chicken and biscuits to their weekly meeting

I’m sure every member of the black caucus can’t wait to explain to the ministers in their district how they were so offended by Chick-Fil-A chicken. Should be interesting.

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Hey let’s make today DaTechGuy Appreciation day kick into the Tip jar to help pay for that cheap 15 yr old car so I can continue to cover events without using dawife’s car

For details click here for the progress check the thermometer to the right and to kick in hit DaTipJar”.




He took long chances but he took them because he had to. If Grant had not had superior numbers, he might have taken chances as long as Lee took.

Shelby Foote Ken Burns The Civil War 1990

Two pieces of news came out today that are related

First comparative dollar amounts, let’s start with Mitt Romney

The presidential campaigns have released their July fundraising totals, and once again Mitt Romney came out on top, pulling in $101.3 million

and Stacy McCain put it:

OK, the important thing here is $185.9 million cash on hand for the Republican team, because we know that (a) DNC fundraising is in the toilet, and (b) the Obama campaign’s “burn rate” in June was already unsustainable.

vs Barack Obama

@BarackObama Reporting back on last month’s fundraising numbers: In July, 761,000 people donated to raise over $75 million for this campaign. Thank you.

Cash on hand? No figures, Ed Morrissey notes this:

I’m going to guess that their cash-on-hand position is significantly worse than it was last month — which is why they’re not talking about it. Team O has blown its cash advantage over the last four months, the New York Times reports, in an unprecedented attempt to score an early KO. Unfortunately for Obama, that effort seems to be backfiring badly

So not only is Mitt Romney, one of the dullest presidential candidates in the history of presidential candidates out raising President Barack Obama, THE ONE™ but he did it after a month of nonstop big money attacks by the Obama campaign and after the media spent a week describing his overseas trip as a nonstop gaffe machine.

Fundraising is not just a question of which candidate a person wants. Eventually you start to see money gravitating to the person that the people with skin in the game believe is going to win.

That suggests trouble, and what do you do when you are in trouble, you take long chances, like this:

Elizabeth Warren’s prime-time speaking slot at the Democratic National Convention is a high-reward move for the Massachusetts Senate candidate.

But Republicans, and some Democrats, think it also is a high-risk gamble for President Barack Obama, whose opponents have spent a year defining him as anti-business — culminating in a now infamous line from a speech he gave that was similar to Warren’s messaging on the economy, the “you didn’t built that” riff.

In my opinion this is a high risk move, but the right move, when you are losing an election you have to take long chances in the hope of turning things around. Obama’s best chance is a base election and a large amount of the money base likes Elizabeth Warren.

The problem is if you believe the MSM instead of me, this is a dead even race at worst or a race where Obama is leading in swing states. If those polls are correct, if the MSM is telling the truth the president’ campaign shouldn’t HAVE to take a high risk move at his convention to aid his re-election.

I don’t know how the MSM explains it, but I explain it with a simple phrase to those on the right…

“Ride right through them, they’re demoralized as hell”!

…remember it’s what people do, not what the MSM says that actually matters.

The DaTechGuy summer fundraiser trying to raise the money for a used car to keep me chasing stories. Even ones the MSM aren’t interested in.

For details click here for the progress check the thermometer to the right and to kick in hit DaTipJar”.