Anyone who reads this blog knows I don’t have a lot of faith in polling unless I see the internals. So when I saw this story at life news:

Poll Claims Todd Akin Has Re-Taken Lead on Claire McCaskill

The lead shown was 3 points for Akin. While it was not an outrageous number it was 12 pts different that the last announced poll. So immediately was suspicious:

Fritz Wenzel analyzed the results of the survey and concluded that “Despite the firestorm of news in the Senate race over the past few weeks, most voters have already made up their mind in the race, the survey shows. The fact that 80% said they were firm in their choice certainly indicates that this is a race that will be decided more by ideology and turnout efforts by the campaigns and less by breaking news that flashes across the news pages and cable news channels.”

So I looked at the memo page but there were no internals listed.

At that point I was ready to put up a post calling BS but I noticed the memo contained a contact number so I did what a reporter who wants a question answered is supposed to do I called.

Not only did I get the company but I got Mr. Weaver himself, he agreed to talk to me.

I asked him about the poll and the internals. He told me the split was as follows:

Republicans 34%
Democrats 33%
Independents 33%

Talk about a balanced poll. I’ve never seen a poll so exactly split. and this split is consistent with the actual partisan split in Missouri. I asked why the internals were not included he said the internals were given both to the client and to Politico (which had this story but didn’t put them out in their piece.)

Mr. Weaver answered all my questions and agreed to be on this week’s DaTechGuy on DaRadio on Saturday.

If this poll is accurate it confirms what I said on the 24th.

For all of the grief you have gotten none of the underlying issues that were a problem for McCaskill are still there. The economy, Obamacare, unemployment the lot.

There are a lot of people on the right who might be embarrassed by an Akin victory. Apparently to the voters of Missouri they would be much more embarrassed by a McCaskill win.

Exit question. If this is correct and Akin wins without the GOP what will the MSM say, what will McCaskill say and most importantly what will the media say?

Update:
Claire McCasKill runs away…from Obama

So now we have the Republican candidate who has been told in no uncertain terms that he won’t be getting one penny from the RNC and the Democrat sprinting away from the titular head of her party like Usain Bolt toward a Nike endorsement. Who is going to wind up financing this shindig seeing the way things are going?

Claire Claire Claire, you can run all the comercials you want but you can’t take back that Obamacare vote

This morning I wrote about Roland Martin’s apoplexy over Artur Davis and his desperate need to discredit him.

One might ask why? After all Charlie Crist is going to give a speech at the DNC, why not just point to Davis as just the other end of the coin.

The answer is in not just the speech itself (which Rob Eno correctly identifies as the one that SHOULD have been the keynote) and these words in particular:

“There are Americans watching right now who voted for the President but they’re searching right now, because they know their votes didn’t build the country they wanted. To those democrats and Independents whose minds are open to argument, listen closely to the Democratic party that will gather in Charlotte, ask yourself if you hear your voice in the clamor, ask if these Democrats still speak for you?

There are an awful lot of people who voted for Obama in 2008 who were carried away with hope and change who are very disappointed with what they have, but they don’t want to be called, stupid or suckers for doing so. Davis is saying: Look it’s OK, but more importantly he challenges people to actually listen to what they are saying and decide if they agree. In other words, he is saying on a national stage what people like Cheryl have told me elsewhere.

That’s the danger, but Davis has been a danger to the Dems ever since he decided not to follow the line on vote fraud in a story the MSM did their best to ignore a year ago:

“What I have seen in my state, in my region, is the most aggressive practitioners of voter-fraud are local machines who are tied lock, stock and barrel to the special interests in their communities — the landfills, the casino operators — and they’re cooking the [ballot] boxes on election day, they’re manufacturing absentee ballots, they’re voting [in the names of] people named Donald Duck, because they want to control politics and thwart progress,” he told TheDC.

“People who are progressives have no business defending those individuals.”

Read that interview and listen to last night’s speech.

He is saying what people are already thinking but is saying it ALOUD,

Meanwhile Charlie Crist will be channeling Kevin Bacon

If you didn’t understand why the left fears Artur Davis, if you didn’t understand why MSNBC ignored him and why Roland Martin attacked him so, you do now.

BTW proving great minds think alike or at least former Catholic call center people who now have radio shows but are best known for blogging do here is Ed Morrissey thinking the same thing:

Davis speaks for the people who voted for Obama and have seen their lives worsen ever since, a widely-experienced phenomenon as incomes have dropped faster during the Obama “recovery” than they did during the recession. More people are unemployed, more people are despairing, and now more people want real change. That is Davis’ audience.

In contrast, what will Crist’s audience be? People who voted for McCain, but now want to vote for Obama because they’re lives are so improved? That’s a pretty narrow slice of the population. Where Davis speaks for millions

Ed nails it although I’m slightly annoyed not because his post made it up before mine, I’m annoyed that he had the part I wanted to quote already transcribed while I was listening to it over and over to make sure it was exact when I could have cut and pasted from him.

Ah well that’s the way the pixels bounce.

There was a lot of talk yesterday of MSNBC’s decision to cut away from every Minority & women speaker (except for Ann Romney who is NOT a poll).

When popular Tea Party candidate Ted Cruz, the GOP nominee for Senate, took the stage, MSNBC cut away from the Republican National Convention and the Hispanic Republican from Texas’ speech.

MSNBC stayed on commercial through former Democratic Rep. Artur Davis’ speech, as well. Davis, who recently became a Republican, is black.

Then, when Puerto Rican Governor Luis Fortuno’s wife Luce’ Vela Fortuño took the stage minutes later, MSNBC hosts Rachel Maddow and Chris Matthews opted to talk over the First Lady’s speech.

And Nevada Gov. Brian Sandoval? Noticeably missing from MSNBC, too.

Mia Love, a black candidate for Congress in Utah, was also ignored by MSNBC

This is getting some outrage online but there are two other media notes that should be discussed

1. The Rules fight:

There was a real divide between grass-roots activists and the Romney campaign, on twitter and in many posts people where rather outraged but strangely this kind of divide which would normally big news got very little play.

2. CNN & Artur davis:

While MSNBC pretended Artur Davis didn’t exist CNN’s Roland Martin not only called Davis a “Political Fraud“.

but while he was on the air with the panel Martin continued to pound him visibly angry while Davis remained composed. (this was just before this Gloria Borger clip that Newsbusters highlighted.

Both of these moment were PERFECT for TV yet got very little press. You don’t see it pushed.

Why?

Because the networks understand that this is a base election and as the NPR story I highlighted last week shows, there are very few actual independents to persuade.

The Davis exchange with Martin highlights an actual debate going on in the Black Community “0%” polling not withstanding, and the Floor fight story demonstrates the divide between Romney and the Tea Party base that was evident all during the primaries (Remember “Anybody but Mitt?)

Both of these things are threats to a Base that is not delighted with Barack Obama and must at all costs not be shown anything that gives one an excuse to stay home or vote Romney.

It’s more subtle than blacking out Women & Minority candidates but it adds up to the same thing.

“Ride right through them, they’re demoralized as hell”!

The media is on defense because they understand their candidates are too.