What Massachusetts can tell us about the National Race

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What Massachusetts can tell us about the National Race

This week a KPC poll came out from Mass­a­chu­setts show­ing a dead heat between Scott Brown and Eliz­a­beth War­ren and a 16pt lead for Barack Obama.

There are sev­eral parts of this poll that are inter­est­ing and infor­ma­tive but the sin­gle most impor­tant fig­ure you need to see is this:

Take a look at that split in Mass­a­chu­setts Dems out num­ber R’s by 23 points This should tell you how hard it is to elect a Repub­li­can nation­ally. If Inde­pen­dents split 5050 you would have a 61.5% vs 39.5 win for the Democ­rats, a 22 point split, but instead it’s 5640 for Obama.

What does that tell us nation­ally: Regard­less of what the media is telling you Obama is in trouble

Mass­a­chu­setts is one of the most lib­eral states in the nation (D+23). In this state a three-​point Rom­ney lead among inde­pen­dents is not going to make a huge dif­fer­ence, but in states that are say D+5 with inde­pen­dents that are less left lean­ing that could make a huge difference.

That is inter­est­ing but not as inter­est­ing as this:

Take a look at the reverse splits on Rom­ney & War­ren Vot­ers vs Obama & Brown vot­ers. If you are a Rom­ney voter you are almost cer­tainly vot­ing for Brown only 3% going War­ren & 2% unde­cided, yet if you are an Obama voter you are four times more likely to Voter for Brown than a Rom­ney voter is to vote for Liz War­ren (12%) with an almost equal num­ber still up for grabs (11%).

Mean­while the exact oppo­site is at the bot­tom, Liz War­ren vot­ers go for Obama in the same pro­por­tion as Rom­ney vot­ers for her, yet Brown vot­ers are five times more likely (15%) to vote Obama with only a 4% up for grabs.

What does this tell us nation­ally? It tells us the MSM & National Base of the MSM has gone über left.

There were sev­eral inter­est­ing local can­di­dates who were will­ing to chal­lenge Scott Brown, but the National Media and the National Democ­rats were totally enam­ored with Eliz­a­beth War­ren, push­ing for her can­di­dacy and fill­ing her cof­fers until the local folks were squeezed out. The national media con­tin­ues to push for Liz War­ren big­time yet look at these results.

How far left is a can­di­date who is too far left for Obama vot­ers in Massachusetts?

That this is the can­di­date the national media sim­ply adores and con­tin­ues to push should inform you not just about Liz War­ren, but should inform you about the national media that is still in denial over the results of the 2010 election.

And believe me, if you think they were in shock in 2010, 2012 will put them in a coma.
#2 The

This week a KPC poll came out from Massachusetts showing a dead heat between Scott Brown and Elizabeth Warren and a 16pt lead for Barack Obama.

There are several parts of this poll that are interesting and informative but the single most important figure you need to see is this:

Take a look at that split in Massachusetts Dems out number R’s by 23 points This should tell you how hard it is to elect a Republican nationally. If Independents split 50-50 you would have a 61.5% vs 39.5 win for the Democrats, a 22 point split, but instead it’s 56-40 for Obama.

What does that tell us nationally: Regardless of what the media is telling you Obama is in trouble

Massachusetts is one of the most liberal states in the nation (D+23). In this state a three-point Romney lead among independents is not going to make a huge difference, but in states that are say D+5 with independents that are less left leaning that could make a huge difference.

That is interesting but not as interesting as this:

Take a look at the reverse splits on Romney & Warren Voters vs Obama & Brown voters. If you are a Romney voter you are almost certainly voting for Brown only 3% going Warren & 2% undecided, yet if you are an Obama voter you are four times more likely to Voter for Brown than a Romney voter is to vote for Liz Warren (12%) with an almost equal number still up for grabs (11%).

Meanwhile the exact opposite is at the bottom, Liz Warren voters go for Obama in the same proportion as Romney voters for her, yet Brown voters are five times more likely (15%) to vote Obama with only a 4% up for grabs.

What does this tell us nationally? It tells us the MSM & National Base of the MSM has gone uber left.

There were several interesting local candidates who were willing to challenge Scott Brown, but the National Media and the National Democrats were totally enamored with Elizabeth Warren, pushing for her candidacy and filling her coffers until the local folks were squeezed out. The national media continues to push for Liz Warren bigtime yet look at these results.

How far left is a candidate who is too far left for Obama voters in Massachusetts?

That this is the candidate the national media simply adores and continues to push should inform you not just about Liz Warren, but should inform you about the national media that is still in denial over the results of the 2010 election.

And believe me, if you think they were in shock in 2010, 2012 will put them in a coma.
#2 The