The latest Rasmussen Reports poll on political affiliation and there is good news and bad news for our friends on the left:
The good news is that after a very bad August Democrat party affiliation has not only improved but is at its highest rating of the year at 34.2% of the voting pubic. That is the best figure for Democrats since November of 2011 which was the last time they lead in the party affiliation numbers
The bad news for our friends on the left is that even through the GOP has dropped from its all time high of 37.6% last month, the 36.8% figure is still higher than any other figure since December of 2010. Additionally the September figure is a full 3.7% over September of 2010 and the same figure in 2010 month in 3.4% over September of 2008
Meanwhile even the modest increase democrats puts them a full 7.2 points behind election day 2008 but a half a point behind election day 2010 the worst drubbing the party has taken since Reagan’s re-election in 1984 or the Gingrich revolution of 1994
Put simply for all the grand pronouncements of the MSM over the last few weeks, for all the crowing of polls and the declarations that Mitt Romney is in bad shape with two months to go till election day party affiliation in the united states continues to be majority GOP and by a 2.6% margin.
What does that mean to national polling? That means if this poll is anywhere near accurate (and as I’ve already shown in trends it has matched the election right along since 2004, Democrats in General and Barack Obama in particular are in not only in serious trouble, but if the gap between the GOP and Democrat match they best gains of the year for the next two months till election day they will STILL be behind the GOP
BTW if you won’t believe Rasmussen will you believe the liberal Guardian Newspaper
A Guardian survey of six of the most crucial swing states upon which the outcome of the presidential ballot is likely to depend has found that new voter registrations recorded between January and August this year are markedly down compared with the same period in 2008. The drop is particularly pronounced in several states for the Democrats – a likely indication that Barack Obama’s re-election team has been unable to match the exceptional levels of voter excitement generated by his candidacy four years ago.
The six states included in the Guardian survey – Colorado, Iowa, Florida, Nevada, Ohio and Virginia – are all being bitterly fought over by Obama and his challenger Mitt Romney. Backed by their respective Democratic and Republican parties, both candidates have sought to maximise turnout by running registration drives in an attempt to attract new voters to their cause.