WBUR Poll strikes fear into the Heart of Elizabeth Warren

Twenty days ago I took a look at a poll from WBUR on the Brown War­ren race​.It showed War­ren up 5 pts but was the first poll I’d seen any­where that matched reg­is­tra­tion exactly

Ran the num­bers of the poll WBUR Brown War­ren Poll vs actual demo­graph­ics looks accu­rate 2 me #mapoli maybe they should give .@msnbc lessons

— Peter Ingemi (@DaTechGuyblog) Sep­tem­ber 19, 2012

A Boston Her­ald poll show­ing Brown up +6 came out at the same time. I did a post com­par­ing inter­nals of the polls and found the WBUR poll cred­i­ble and the Her­ald poll not.

I’d like to Believe the Her­ald poll, I really would and I’m aware of a shift of peo­ple away from the Demo­c­rat party to the ranks of the Unen­rolled but with­out solid data to back it up I have to believe the WBUR poll over the Her­ald one

When the next WBUR poll Oct 1^st matched demo­graph­ics again I com­ple­mented them on twitter.

New #wbur Brown/​Warren poll party split sam­ple exactly matches lat­est state reg­is­tra­tion fig­ures #msm this is how it’s done! #mapoli #masen

— Peter Ingemi (@DaTechGuyblog) Octo­ber 1, 2012

it got some push back for a friend of mine.

@mgraham969 fair point but with SO many polls SO skewed vs actual reg­is­tra­tion nation­wide it’s really some­thing to see one that is not

— Peter Ingemi (@DaTechGuyblog) Octo­ber 1, 2012

My thought has always been I want accu­rate polls because oth­er­wise you can’t fix what is wrong with your campaign.

Well the lat­est WBUR poll is out and for the third time in a row their demo­graph­ics match reg­is­tra­tion EXACTLY, it’s quite an achieve­ment these days

This time how­ever the results are totally different:

It appears that Scott Brown last debate com­bined with dif­fer­ent Tac­tics have shifted this race dra­mat­i­cally, much bet­ter than ignor­ing the results or dis­miss­ing them.

And to those who would pooh pooh my push­ing of this poll, I didn’t hear you com­plain­ing when it showed War­ren up.

Be afraid left­ists, be very afraid.