For those of you who are unsure of where this election is exit polls or no, this is going to be the give on election day.
If you read Bill Sharman’s Book on the 2000 election one of the things he talked about was the calling of states. If a state was going for George Bush, it too an interminable amount of time for the state to be called. On the other with Ad Gore the network took just a minute or two to call it, and remember when they called Florida before voting in the panhandle was complete.
Presuming they don’t pull a Florida 08 I predict you will see the networks holding back on states like VA like NH like FL any state that Romney wins in the swing crew will be held back as long as Ohio is up in the air.
They will call PA quick, I think the lack of the voter ID law give the left one last chance for good stealing in the cities so Hughey Woodring not withstanding I suspect they will pull it off and because of that PA will be called quick.
In the end Fox will be the one to call it for Mitt first simply because the other networks will not be willing to bear to do otherwise particularity as their skewed polls have been showing Obama leads.
In terms of final results expect to see 1980 but in terms of MSM reaction expect to see 1984. You will see them buoyed by exit polls that give more traffic from the left giving them a glimmer of hope but as the night goes on that hope is going to be slowly crushed. Chris Matthews & Ed Schultz will get angry, Lawrence O’Donnell will begin attacking at once, Soledad O’Brien will go batty and for guys like Van Jones, Paul Begala and Rachel Maddow the honnymoon for the new president will end between 5 & 10 minutes after the election is called.
It certainly won’t be a boring night and it definitely won’t be a boring 4 years