Operation Pillar of Defense Assad’s big chance

by Datechguy | November 20th, 2012

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Operation Pillar of Defense Assad's big chance

Anna: Bet­ter to kill one man in front of mil­lions than thou­sands in a war far away

Jon Sable Free­lance # 18 1984

There is one aspect of Israel’s oper­a­tion to sup­press Hamas’ rock­ets into the coun­try that is being totally ignored by everyone.

No I’m not talk­ing about the few pro-​Israel protests around the west­ern world or some of the out­ra­geous things pro-​Hamas pro­test­ers are say­ing.

I’m talk­ing about Assad’s Syria.

Assad has been killing more Arabs on pur­pose on a daily basis that Israel has killed acci­den­tally over the course of Pil­lar of Defense but in the same way the US media tends to ignore black on black vio­lence the media and the Arab world doesn’t like to talk about that.

And while Syr­ian Rebels squab­ble:

The main Islamist rebel groups in Aleppo, a key front line in Syria’s civil war, on Mon­day rejected the newly formed oppo­si­tion bloc, say­ing they want an Islamic state, as clashes raged countrywide.

We, the fight­ing squads of Aleppo city and province, unan­i­mously reject the con­spir­a­to­r­ial project called the National Coali­tion and announce our con­sen­sus to estab­lish an Islamic state” in Syria, a spokesman announced in an Inter­net video.

We reject any exter­nal coali­tions or coun­cils imposed on us at home from any party what­so­ever,” he said.

…and Iran con­tin­ues to build pipelines to Syria Assad gets the chance of his lifetime.

The best hope he has for crush­ing the rebel­lion is while the rest of the world is look­ing else­where and as long as Israel is prepar­ing to go into Gaza, the world;s press will keep look­ing south.

It’s an odd thing to put your­self in the mind of a mur­der­ous dic­ta­tor but If I’m Assad, I put every­thing in readi­ness and I wait and watch.

Within 4 hours of Israel going into Gaza I do two things at once.

1. Issue a strong state­ment con­demn­ing it and vow that Syria will not stand for it.

2. Unleash my chem­i­cal arse­nal on the rebels

and four hours after I do #2

3. Release the claim through Syr­ian & Iran­ian oper­a­tives through­out the Arab world that Israel hit Syria with Chem­i­cal Weapons to pre­vent inter­ven­tion that they knew was coming.

This simul­ta­ne­ously puts both Israel and the Arab world on the spot. Israel will no doubt deny it and given any level of time can dis­prove it, but it doesn’t mat­ter. There will be a large media pool that will auto­mat­i­cally dis­be­lieve them.

Even if they report the truth how likely is a pub­lic that they have fed myths of Israeli atroc­i­ties to for years going to sud­denly think it didn’t happen?

Once the meme is released the left in gen­eral and the Arab world (other than those being slaugh­tered) will at best believe it, or at worst pub­licly act as if they do.

Don’t believe me? Check out what Arabs believe from this pas­sage from the Seat­tle Times:

We are all against Israel,” said Adel Mohammed, 35, a music teacher who was chap­er­on­ing a squeal­ing school group dur­ing a visit to the Octo­ber War Panorama, a large memo­r­ial to what is mythol­o­gized in Egypt as a deci­sive vic­tory over Israel in a 1973 con­flict also known as the Yom Kip­pur War.

Deci­sive vic­tory? Yes you read that right. It continues.

Inside the Octo­ber War Panorama, whose grounds dis­play Egypt­ian fighter jets and cap­tured Israeli tanks, a nar­ra­tor reads a tri­umphal account of the attack against Israel that started the 1973 war. That con­flict ended with a cease-​fire, Israel retain­ing con­trol of most of the Sinai Penin­sula, and both Egypt and Israel cap­tur­ing each other’s territory.

The high­light of the exhi­bi­tion is a dio­rama and 360-​degree mural of a bat­tle in which Egypt­ian forces over­took Israeli troops near the Suez Canal.

Mind you even using the most char­i­ta­ble sources, the Arabs lost

  • Triple the dead
  • Dou­ble the wounded
  • Triple the planes
  • 5 to 6 times the tanks
  • 19 ships sunk vs 0 for Israel
  • and nearly 30 times as many cap­tured prisoners.

In fact if it wasn’t for the cease fire com­ing when it did the entire Egypt­ian 3rd army might have been destroyed utterly, yet 40 years after that slaugh­ter the Arab peo­ple still believe in the myth of Egypt’s vic­tory just as 10 years after 911 many still believe Israel did it.

Trust me peo­ple who will buy this stuff will jump on the “Israel Chem­i­cal Weapons” story and repeat it to their children.

There are risks, the troops might refuse or the stuff could be cap­tured and there is also the chance Israel might actu­ally jump in to make sure none of the stuff is cap­tured by the rebels but vs the likely fall from power I bet Assad will jump at the chance.

And you won’t hear a thing about it. Remem­ber 10,000 Dead Arabs killed by Syria are not as news­wor­thy as 1 Arab killed by Israel.

Update: Assad might not get his chance

Speak­ing to reporters Tues­day in the Nile Delta city of Zagazig, Morsi did not pro­vide any evi­dence to sup­port his pre­dic­tion that an end to Israel’s week­long offen­sive against Gaza is immi­nent. He only said nego­ti­a­tions between Israel and Gaza’s Hamas rulers will yield “pos­i­tive results” dur­ing the com­ing hours with­out elaborating.

Every day that this goes on and Egypt does noth­ing to aid Hamas, they lose face in the Arab world no mat­ter what the feel­ings of their own peo­ple against war at this time but as Jef­fery Gold­berg points out (via hotair) for Hamas there is no per­cent­age in peace for them.

Hamas’s strat­egy in this lat­est con­flict makes per­fect sense. Hamas, which is the Pales­tine branch of the Mus­lim Broth­er­hood, is the­o­log­i­cally com­mit­ted to the oblit­er­a­tion of Israel and believes, as a mat­ter of faith, that Jews are Allah’s ene­mies. Its lead­ers have believed, since the group’s incep­tion, that Jews are soft (“We love death and they love life,” a Hamas leader once told me, and it is a com­monly expressed thought). Hamas also believes that even­tu­ally mis­ery and fear will drive most Jews to leave Israel, which it views as a Mus­lim waqf, or endow­ment, not merely the right­ful home of the Pales­tin­ian people.

That is really the key to it all.

Anna: Better to kill one man in front of millions than thousands in a war far away

Jon Sable Freelance # 18 1984

There is one aspect of Israel’s operation to suppress Hamas’ rockets into the country that is being totally ignored by everyone.

No I’m not talking about the few pro-Israel protests around the western world or some of the outrageous things pro-Hamas protesters are saying.

I’m talking about Assad’s Syria.

Assad has been killing more Arabs on purpose on a daily basis that Israel has killed accidentally over the course of Pillar of Defense but in the same way the US media tends to ignore black on black violence the media and the Arab world doesn’t like to talk about that.

And while Syrian Rebels squabble:

The main Islamist rebel groups in Aleppo, a key front line in Syria’s civil war, on Monday rejected the newly formed opposition bloc, saying they want an Islamic state, as clashes raged countrywide.

“We, the fighting squads of Aleppo city and province, unanimously reject the conspiratorial project called the National Coalition and announce our consensus to establish an Islamic state” in Syria, a spokesman announced in an Internet video.

“We reject any external coalitions or councils imposed on us at home from any party whatsoever,” he said.

…and Iran continues to build pipelines to Syria Assad gets the chance of his lifetime.

The best hope he has for crushing the rebellion is while the rest of the world is looking elsewhere and as long as Israel is preparing to go into Gaza, the world;s press will keep looking south.

It’s an odd thing to put yourself in the mind of a murderous dictator but If I’m Assad, I put everything in readiness and I wait and watch.

Within 4 hours of Israel going into Gaza I do two things at once.

1.  Issue a strong statement condemning it and vow that Syria will not stand for it.

2.  Unleash my chemical arsenal on the rebels

and four hours after I do #2

3. Release the claim through Syrian & Iranian operatives throughout the Arab world that Israel hit Syria with Chemical Weapons to prevent intervention that they knew was coming.

This simultaneously puts both Israel and the Arab world on the spot.  Israel will no doubt deny it and given any level of time can disprove it, but it doesn’t matter. There will be a large media pool that will automatically disbelieve them.

Even if they report the truth how likely is a public that they have fed myths of Israeli atrocities to for years going to suddenly think it didn’t happen?

Once the meme is released the left in general and the Arab world (other than those being slaughtered) will at best believe it, or at worst publicly act as if they do.

Don’t believe me?  Check out what Arabs believe from this passage from the  Seattle Times:

“We are all against Israel,” said Adel Mohammed, 35, a music teacher who was chaperoning a squealing school group during a visit to the October War Panorama, a large memorial to what is mythologized in Egypt as a decisive victory over Israel in a 1973 conflict also known as the Yom Kippur War.

Decisive victory? Yes you read that right.  It continues.

Inside the October War Panorama, whose grounds display Egyptian fighter jets and captured Israeli tanks, a narrator reads a triumphal account of the attack against Israel that started the 1973 war. That conflict ended with a cease-fire, Israel retaining control of most of the Sinai Peninsula, and both Egypt and Israel capturing each other’s territory.

The highlight of the exhibition is a diorama and 360-degree mural of a battle in which Egyptian forces overtook Israeli troops near the Suez Canal.

Mind you even using the most charitable sources, the Arabs lost

  • Triple the dead
  • Double the wounded
  • Triple the planes
  • 5 to 6 times the tanks
  • 19 ships sunk vs 0 for Israel
  • and nearly 30 times as many captured prisoners.

In fact if it wasn’t for the cease fire coming when it did the entire Egyptian 3rd army might have been destroyed utterly, yet 40 years after that slaughter the Arab people still believe in the myth of Egypt’s victory just as 10 years after 9/11 many still believe Israel did it.

Trust me people who will buy this stuff will jump on the “Israel Chemical Weapons” story and repeat it to their children.

There are risks, the troops might refuse or the stuff could be captured and there is also the chance Israel might actually jump in to make sure none of the stuff is captured by the rebels but vs the likely fall from power I bet Assad will jump at the chance.

And you won’t hear a thing about it. Remember 10,000 Dead Arabs killed by Syria are not as newsworthy as 1 Arab killed by Israel.

Update: Assad might not get his chance

Speaking to reporters Tuesday in the Nile Delta city of Zagazig, Morsi did not provide any evidence to support his prediction that an end to Israel’s weeklong offensive against Gaza is imminent. He only said negotiations between Israel and Gaza’s Hamas rulers will yield “positive results” during the coming hours without elaborating.

Every day that this goes on and Egypt does nothing to aid Hamas, they lose face in the Arab world no matter what the feelings of their own people against war at this time but as Jeffery Goldberg points out (via hotair) for Hamas there is no percentage in peace for them.

Hamas’s strategy in this latest conflict makes perfect sense. Hamas, which is the Palestine branch of the Muslim Brotherhood, is theologically committed to the obliteration of Israel and believes, as a matter of faith, that Jews are Allah’s enemies. Its leaders have believed, since the group’s inception, that Jews are soft (“We love death and they love life,” a Hamas leader once told me, and it is a commonly expressed thought). Hamas also believes that eventually misery and fear will drive most Jews to leave Israel, which it views as a Muslim waqf, or endowment, not merely the rightful home of the Palestinian people.

That is really the key to it all.

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