This week’s subscription commentary covers Sequestration

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This is the last day of the month and I’m still $39 from my monthly goal and a full $253 shy of my weekly paycheck. Can we get it done?

In my earlier post I spoke about the advantage of being not invited to CPAC. In terms of being re-elected in 2014 it’s the best thing to do.

This however doesn’t change the sheer idiocy of the argument of Christie’s strength in a national election and the argument of him as a national model as opposed to say Scott Walker.

A lot of people in the media have pointed out Governor Christie’s popularity in NJ as an example of the way the GOP should go and as a reason to nominate him in 2016

A Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday also indicates that nearly three-quarters of New Jersey registered voters, a record, approve of the job Christie’s doing as the Garden State’s governor, and more than seven in ten say he deserved to be re-elected to a second term this November.

Those are pretty good numbers, it suggests that Chris Christie is certainly on the right track to re-election. It means he has done what he needs to do.

Given that surely that means he would walk away with New Jersey in 2016 right?

Looking ahead to 2016, 49% of Garden State voters questioned in the poll said they would back Clinton in a possible presidential showdown, with 45% supporting Christie.

Say WHAT? You mean to tell me Christie has a 70+ approval rate in his state, has done great things and has been a spectacular ambassador for the GOP in New Jersey and he is not only losing to Clinton but can’t break 45%.

And that’s with the National Media treating him like Royalty, What do you thing is going to happen once they decide to turn on him if he chooses to run?

I’m sorry if he’s running more than 25% behind his popularity level in NJ a state where actual results can counter the Democrat attacks he has absolutely no shot in states where all they will know about him is what the MSM chooses to tell them?

It’s three years down the road and anything could happen but given the current facts, anyone how says Christie is the way to go simply isn’t paying attention.

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Olimometer 2.52

The monthly Thermometer is just $59 away from the February goal with 12 hours to go. Three people with $20 each will meet that goal.

If you think this blog is worthy of your support. It’s just a push of a button away.





A congressmen first duty is to get re-elected

Sam Rayburn

It’s axiomatic that no matter how strong or solid your ideas are the first thing you have to do is get elected. Without the power of getting elected or getting somebody elected your good ideas mean absolutely nothing.

Once you’ve been elected your choices are to run on your record or run away from it. Conversely if you are running against somebody already in office seeking re-election, you can run on your opponent’s record (particularly if it stinks), or run on your ideas, the best choice being both.

Last time around Barack Obama, not being able to run on the worst record of a president in my lifetime instead attacking Mitt Romney. Conversely Romney apparently assumed that record would be enough to carry him over the finish line without fighting and managed to lose what should have been the most winnable election the GOP had before it since 1984.

And that Brings us to New Jersey and Chris Christie.

Back during the 2012 campaign before Hurricane Sandy hit Chris Christie was giving first-rate speeches like this:

The key quote:

35 years ago we didn’t have an income tax in NH no income tax like right here in NH, we had no income tax and Governor Brendon Byrne, a democrat said: If you just give me a small income tax, a little one, I will lower your property taxes, we had the highest property taxes in America back in 1977 so 35 years later, what have we got? We’ve STILL got the highest property taxes in America and the income tax that started at 2% under governor Byrne is now 9%”

And that brings us to CPAC 2013

The media has made a huge fuss about Chris Christie not being invited to CPAC. CPAC’s chairman put it this way:

“CPAC is like the all-star game for professional athletes; you get invited when you have had an outstanding year,” Cardenas said. “Hopefully he will have another all-star year in the future, at which time we will be happy to extend an invitation. This is a conservative conference, not a Republican Party event.”

Cardenas cited Christie’s decision to expand Medicaid under President Obama’s health care law and his support of a $60 billion aid package for Hurricane Sandy victims, which he argued was filled with wasteful spending.

You can argue if Christie had a good or bad year but it’s not going to matter what kind of year he ad unless he actually manages to win re-election.

Christie’s decision to take the medicare money was a huge surprise given his statements of just a few months ago listed above. By buying into this system he is putting a yoke on New Jersey that will be there long after he is gone, but in terms of re-election, the president is popular in NJ and the president won the state by almost 18 points.

MSNBC not withstanding Christie is smart enough to know that the left is not going to lay off of him or paint him as anything other than a right-wing extremist. I suspect he figures with the president winning the state by that wide a spread and Obamacare being the signature achievement of this president (and I use the word achievement VERY loosely)this move takes at least one target off of his chest.

And when it comes down to it, there is nothing CPAC could do better for his re-election efforts than keeping him away.

By staying away nothing he says there can be use to call him a “right-winger” in a +18 Obama state. It also precludes a nasty confrontation with conservatives that could hurt him among a base where he can’t spare a single vote.

Will it be enough? That depends on where NJ is come election day, but as Joe Scarborough correctly states he is going to certainly be better for New Jersey than anyone nominated by the Democrat party and he can’t do any of that good if he loses.

With election day coming Christie needed to highlight his credentials CPAC 2013’s move fit the bill so well and generated so much positive press from the media that will be turning on him soon enough you would almost think he asked them to do it.

And That’s how politics works

Update: I have absolutely no idea how my daily Day by Day Script replaced The Christie Speech above. None of my previews showed it.

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While we managed thousands of visitors the quest for the weekly and monthly paycheck only managed to move $2. As it is $2 more than I had yesterday and twice the value of Newsweek I can’t complain but as it’s the end of he month we have two goals going on at once. First the Monthly goal

Olimometer 2.52

The monthly goal is based on my mortgage, My payment is $1200 monthly which I’ll be paying this afternoon at the bank. I’m a mere $59 away from this goal. That’s 3 people kicking in $20

Olimometer 2.52

The weekly goal continues today, tomorrow and Saturday. As you can see the weekly paycheck goal is doing rather poorly only $27 toward that weekly paycheck of $300 I’ll need 14 people to step up at $20 to reach that one by close of Business on Saturday.

You might ask Hey why monthly and weekly goals? Well the monthly goal assures me the mortgage gets paid. The weekly goal generates an extra month which I’m using to finance the CPAC event. It’s the one trip That I can afford under this system.

But it’s all academic without you.





Last night I discovered the Movie Occupy Unmasked was available via streaming on Netflix.

While the film was no revelation for people who have paid attention, to the average person whose only source of news comes from Bill Maher or Comedy Central or the MSM it would be the equivalent of putting on the glasses in the cult movie They Live.

Although the “star” of the movie is undoubtedly Andrew Breitbart the most prominent person in the movie outside of Andrew is without question Lee Stranahan.

There are other prominent faces Brandon Darby, Many Nagy, David Horowitz but after Andrew, Lee is the face of the movie.

Why is this important? This isn’t the last picture that Citizen’s United will make, but it is the last one featuring Andrew Breitbart as the star. In order to get the attention of the larger public it is necessary for someone to elevate himself. The most obvious candidates are naturally the people in this film, folks like Nagy, Darby, Moncrief and of course Stranahan (I don’t count Horowitz due to age but 30 years ago it might have been him)

Lee would be a good choice for several reasons, the experience in this film, his familiarity with the left and it’s tactics, he has screen presence and the right look for the role, any attempt to paint him as part of the 1% elites is comical on its face.

If you are the left you remember the taxpayer money taken directly from the mouth of Acorn by Andrew Breitbart.

If you are the left and remember the fall of Anthony Weiner a story ignored by places like Morning Joe but featured by Breitbart until Weiner fell.

If you are the left you remember every time Andrew gave you fits.

Andrew Breitbart directly threatened the money and power of the left. The rise of a new Breitbart must be stopped, by any means necessary.

Some people might wonder why a Brett Kimberlin or a Bill Schmalfeldt or a Neal Rauhauser might go after a guy like Lee Stranahan.

I don’t

Just got the following e-mail from CPAC

The American Conservative Union (ACU) today announced that Dr. Ben Carson will be a featured speaker at CPAC 2013 — the 40th annual Conservative Political Action Conference. America’s largest gathering of conservative leaders and activists will be held Thursday, March 14 – Saturday, March 16, 2013.

For the few of you who Don’t know who Ben Carson is:

“Dr. Ben Carson represents the optimism and hope of the future of the conservative movement, while at the same time he articulates the deep fiscal and social challenges that our Nation faces,” said ACU Chairman Al Cardenas. “We look forward to welcoming Dr. Carson to the CPAC stage in March.”

Dr. Benjamin Carson is the Director of Pediatric Neurosurgery at Johns Hopkins School of Medicine. An internationally renowned physician, Dr. Carson has authored over 100 neurosurgical publications, along with five best-selling books, including the New York Times bestseller, America the Beautiful, and has been awarded 60 honorary doctorate degrees and dozens of national merit citations. He is a recipient of the Presidential Medal of Freedom and delivered the keynote address at the 2013 National Prayer Breakfast earlier this month.

Yeah this sounds just like a tactic. Just like a bunch of people who are trying to distract from the fact they as Joe Scarborough says: “care about hate, resentment

Because nothing says “hate and resentment” like a having a Presidential Medial of Freedom winner of color speak to CPAC.

Anyone want to make book on how long it takes for Dr. Carson to be vilified as an “Uncle Tom” online? I doubt it will take more than an hour or two.

Update: I’ll trade Ben Carson for S.E. Cupp any day

Update 2: I gave a call to CPAC after receiving the email. The person I spoke to could not nail down the speaking day and time of Dr. Carson nor nail down when the invite was sent. I’ll follow up on this during the day.

Update 3: Heard back from Laura Rigas from CPAC (the woman whose name was on the press release) She emailed that while she could not get into details on when the invitation was sent or received she did say it was “in the works for some time”. He will be speaking Saturday in the AM (meaning I might be able to catch him before going on the air). As for the reaction she wrote: “we expect it to be positive” but of course the announcement just hit an hour or so before my call & e-mail. However the Twitter reactions have been positive.

Interestingly enough while MSNBC has time to hit CPAC about Chris Christie live during their 11 AM hour they didn’t have time to mention Dr. Carson’s inclusion. I wonder why?

Update 4:
Welcome visitors from Helen’s page,

I’ve always had a great love of History and when I entered High School my goal was to become a History Teacher. However in high school two things happened that put me in a totally different direction.

The very first computers came to my High School (apple 2c’s) Yes believe it or not I did my first programming and wrote my first games on Apples.

The second thing was the passage of Proposition 2 1/2. It limited the amount that a city or town could raise property taxes without a vote to “override”

When proposition 2 1/2 came up we were told most emphatically that this was going to be disaster. the state legislature, still overwhelmingly democrat (although Governor King was that rare creature a fiscally conservative Democrat was in the Corner Office, the prelude to the future GOP strength in the 90’s) however Citizens for limited Taxation managed to unite taxpaying citizens against the bill and it won via a referendum.

After the measure was passed practically EVERY teacher at the High School was given a pink slip directly after the election. (One teacher generated a lot of laughs by asking the students “do you want to see my pink slip?” and when they said “yes” raising her skirt just enough to see her slip which was in fact pink). Today that would get you fired but in my day we had a sense of humor.

But then after all the worry the teachers were put through a strange thing happened:

Nothing!

The next year the teachers were still there, the school was still there and everything pretty much remained as it had been before. It put the lie to the hype.

Fast forward 30 years later and after four years of incredible spending the prospect of rolling back 2% of that spending increase is being laid on so thick you would think it was the greatest disaster to hit the United States since September 11th 2001.

I suspect this administration will do all it can to create visuals of trouble and pain from the sequester starting with stuff like this:

Immigration and Customs Enforcement officials have released “several hundred” immigrants from deportation centers across the country, saying the move is an effort to cut costs ahead of budget cuts due to hit later this week.

Expect more of this, because even if the sky doesn’t fall I suspect the media will do their best to pretend it is, at least for as long as they think they can get away for it.

Update: Sentence chopped off somehow, restored.

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Olimometer 2.52

The thermometer hasn’t moved but you might notice its design has changed.

If you’ve had trouble getting to this site, that’s because the plugin that generated the old thermometer was messing up the code of the blog something fierce. That likely caused both the trouble of getting to the site and the lack of movement in the totals for the week.

Losing 24 hours certainly hasn’t helped but you can by being one of the 14 remaining people I need to kick in $20 by Saturday (and at least 3 by Thursday to make the monthly goal) so this weeks paycheck can take place.

It’s all up to you




Last week I was on a conference call with Americans for Prosperity. they put out their scorecard rating each member of congress. It’s an elegant card of excellent use if you want to see exactly how your congressman or Senator did last session.
You can pull your information based on the categories that mean the most to you:

search issue

You can also search by state, name or even by your individual zip code to see how your members of congress have done.

As nice as the page looks, what matters is the score. As you might guess AFP being a fiscally conservative group a person like Rand Paul does pretty well in their rankings:

Rand Paul

91% Pretty good numbers. It will come in handy when Rand Paul runs in 2016 but what about his most visible potential rival in the Senate Marco Rubio?

rubio

100%. A perfect score. That’s pretty impressive but scoring 10% higher than Rand Paul on Economic Freedom?. One would not think that’s possible.

If you are going to run for president as a fiscal conservative and you are scoring nearly 10 points higher than Rand Paul on the AFP scorecard that’s a walking talking Billboard for campaign contributions.

It will be interesting to see if Rubio can keep that score above the Senator from Kentucky. It’s the type of talking point that will play very well in Iowa and New Hampshire.

and That’s how Politics works.

Some things are just so mind blowingly ridiculous that it amazes me that they would be said.

 

Here is the WSJ article.

By a more than 2-to-1 margin, Americans say Mr. Obama is doing a better job overall than Republicans at attempting to unify the country in a bipartisan way, a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds.

The poll found that 48% of respondents see Mr. Obama as trying to unify the country, compared to 22% who said that of Republicans and 37% who said that of Democrats

Dictionary.com defines “unify” thus:

u·ni·fy
[yoo-nuh-fahy] verb (used with object), verb (used without object), u·ni·fied, u·ni·fy·ing.
to make or become a single unit; unite: to unify conflicting theories; to unify a country.

Now I admit I’m just a blogger and radio talk show host but be definition and not a paid member of NBC or the WSJ but if 48% of the people said Barack Obama is uniting the country, then by definition 52% of the people did not?

No wonder the same media is trying to sell us Sequestration as a cut. They must think we are a nation of idiots.

Then again given the results of he last election…

Update: Glenn links while Sequestration brings back memories of my youth.

My oldest friend’s father has always been a big gambler and poker player. On occasion he would ask his son to take him to Foxwoods casino in CT.

As my friend was not interested in gambling while he dad played poker he needed a way to kill time. His dad would give him a few hundred dollars and tell him to go to the craps table and bet $5 at a time with the house until he was done playing saying he could keep whatever he won and if he lost, it wouldn’t be his money

So my pal would sit there for hours making his $5 bets his dad played in the next room, he would see all kinds of people come to the table, some would win big on points, some would hit naturals and the entire table would cheer while he would sit there with his $5 bets.

By the time his father was done for the day my friend would almost invariably come out go home with several hundred dollars plus enough points for meals and even a hotel stay for a show for the future while his father might be up some days and others days the only money the father would come home with was the $200 seed money my pal would return.

One day he asked his father why he didn’t just go down and play craps all day when he knew the odds were with him. His dad replied that there was no action, betting with the house all day was like work

And that really sums up the two positions on Gun control debate between the left and the right. The left argues the right is peddling fear, to some degree that is true, the fear is of criminals and intruders, but the truth is the left gun control argument is based on a less rational type as is the media coverage.

The conservative position is like that $5 bet with the house. Conservatives understand that criminals and predators are NOT going to be obeying gun laws but furthermore they are out there every single day. If you doubt this for a moment take a look at Chicago and the murder rate. They know there is always the chance of the occasional guy going crazy, but they get that the odds and the math favor self-protection every single day.

The liberal/media/elite position is exactly the opposite. The daily dangers of crime are not much of a worry when you live far beyond the dangers of the city, or in a gated community or if you and or your employer can afford an armed guards in their workplace. to the daily murders in the cities aren’t worthy of the national media.

But there is always the random nut, the random stalker,  that one person over the edge no matter how rare, That’s the type of guy who might not care if a bodyguard takes him out as long has he gets his shot at the target and the chance for fame.

The left and the elites say it’s all about fear when it comes to the apparently correct concerning of the right, but the dirty little secret has always been it’s all about fear for them, both of the occasional crazy and of an armed populace who might someday come bearing Madame Guillotine to take away all they have.

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Olimometer 2.52

Well it’s Tuesday and he thermometer has started it’s movement upward.

It’s still going to take another 14 people with $20 to turn this week and this first month of this attempt to support myself via the site into a success.  Will we make it, well that’s up to you.