In my earlier post I spoke about the advantage of being not invited to CPAC. In terms of being re-elected in 2014 it’s the best thing to do.
This however doesn’t change the sheer idiocy of the argument of Christie’s strength in a national election and the argument of him as a national model as opposed to say Scott Walker.
A lot of people in the media have pointed out Governor Christie’s popularity in NJ as an example of the way the GOP should go and as a reason to nominate him in 2016
A Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday also indicates that nearly three-quarters of New Jersey registered voters, a record, approve of the job Christie’s doing as the Garden State’s governor, and more than seven in ten say he deserved to be re-elected to a second term this November.
Those are pretty good numbers, it suggests that Chris Christie is certainly on the right track to re-election. It means he has done what he needs to do.
Given that surely that means he would walk away with New Jersey in 2016 right?
Looking ahead to 2016, 49% of Garden State voters questioned in the poll said they would back Clinton in a possible presidential showdown, with 45% supporting Christie.
Say WHAT? You mean to tell me Christie has a 70+ approval rate in his state, has done great things and has been a spectacular ambassador for the GOP in New Jersey and he is not only losing to Clinton but can’t break 45%.
And that’s with the National Media treating him like Royalty, What do you thing is going to happen once they decide to turn on him if he chooses to run?
I’m sorry if he’s running more than 25% behind his popularity level in NJ a state where actual results can counter the Democrat attacks he has absolutely no shot in states where all they will know about him is what the MSM chooses to tell them?
It’s three years down the road and anything could happen but given the current facts, anyone how says Christie is the way to go simply isn’t paying attention.
The monthly Thermometer is just $59 away from the February goal with 12 hours to go. Three people with $20 each will meet that goal.
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It’s axiomatic that no matter how strong or solid your ideas are the first thing you have to do is get elected. Without the power of getting elected or getting somebody elected your good ideas mean absolutely nothing.
Once you’ve been elected your choices are to run on your record or run away from it. Conversely if you are running against somebody already in office seeking re-election, you can run on your opponent’s record (particularly if it stinks), or run on your ideas, the best choice being both.
Last time around Barack Obama, not being able to run on the worst record of a president in my lifetime instead attacking Mitt Romney. Conversely Romney apparently assumed that record would be enough to carry him over the finish line without fighting and managed to lose what should have been the most winnable election the GOP had before it since 1984.
And that Brings us to New Jersey and Chris Christie.
Back during the 2012 campaign before Hurricane Sandy hit Chris Christie was giving first-rate speeches like this:
The key quote:
35 years ago we didn’t have an income tax in NH no income tax like right here in NH, we had no income tax and Governor Brendon Byrne, a democrat said: If you just give me a small income tax, a little one, I will lower your property taxes, we had the highest property taxes in America back in 1977 so 35 years later, what have we got? We’ve STILL got the highest property taxes in America and the income tax that started at 2% under governor Byrne is now 9%”
And that brings us to CPAC 2013
The media has made a huge fuss about Chris Christie not being invited to CPAC. CPAC’s chairman put it this way:
“CPAC is like the all-star game for professional athletes; you get invited when you have had an outstanding year,” Cardenas said. “Hopefully he will have another all-star year in the future, at which time we will be happy to extend an invitation. This is a conservative conference, not a Republican Party event.”
Cardenas cited Christie’s decision to expand Medicaid under President Obama’s health care law and his support of a $60 billion aid package for Hurricane Sandy victims, which he argued was filled with wasteful spending.
You can argue if Christie had a good or bad year but it’s not going to matter what kind of year he ad unless he actually manages to win re-election.
Christie’s decision to take the medicare money was a huge surprise given his statements of just a few months ago listed above. By buying into this system he is putting a yoke on New Jersey that will be there long after he is gone, but in terms of re-election, the president is popular in NJ and the president won the state by almost 18 points.
MSNBC not withstanding Christie is smart enough to know that the left is not going to lay off of him or paint him as anything other than a right-wing extremist. I suspect he figures with the president winning the state by that wide a spread and Obamacare being the signature achievement of this president (and I use the word achievement VERY loosely)this move takes at least one target off of his chest.
And when it comes down to it, there is nothing CPAC could do better for his re-election efforts than keeping him away.
By staying away nothing he says there can be use to call him a “right-winger” in a +18 Obama state. It also precludes a nasty confrontation with conservatives that could hurt him among a base where he can’t spare a single vote.
Will it be enough? That depends on where NJ is come election day, but as Joe Scarborough correctly states he is going to certainly be better for New Jersey than anyone nominated by the Democrat party and he can’t do any of that good if he loses.
With election day coming Christie needed to highlight his credentials CPAC 2013’s move fit the bill so well and generated so much positive press from the media that will be turning on him soon enough you would almost think he asked them to do it.
And That’s how politics works
Update: I have absolutely no idea how my daily Day by Day Script replaced The Christie Speech above. None of my previews showed it.
While we managed thousands of visitors the quest for the weekly and monthly paycheck only managed to move $2. As it is $2 more than I had yesterday and twice the value of Newsweek I can’t complain but as it’s the end of he month we have two goals going on at once. First the Monthly goal
The monthly goal is based on my mortgage, My payment is $1200 monthly which I’ll be paying this afternoon at the bank. I’m a mere $59 away from this goal. That’s 3 people kicking in $20
The weekly goal continues today, tomorrow and Saturday. As you can see the weekly paycheck goal is doing rather poorly only $27 toward that weekly paycheck of $300 I’ll need 14 people to step up at $20 to reach that one by close of Business on Saturday.
You might ask Hey why monthly and weekly goals? Well the monthly goal assures me the mortgage gets paid. The weekly goal generates an extra month which I’m using to finance the CPAC event. It’s the one trip That I can afford under this system.