Why Obama is in trouble & Ashley Judd is Dangerous

by Datechguy | March 13th, 2013

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Why Obama is in trouble & Ashley Judd is Dangerous

Two pieces of news came out yes­ter­day that at first glance might seem totally unre­lated, first a poll con­cern­ing Pres­i­dent Obama

His approval rat­ing has dropped to the low­est level in more than a year, with more vot­ers now turn­ing thumbs down on his per­for­mance than thumbs up, accord­ing to a new McClatchy-​Marist poll. The mea­sure of how much peo­ple like him also has dropped.

He’s still vastly more pop­u­lar than Con­gress, par­tic­u­larly con­gres­sional Repub­li­cans. But in the biggest polit­i­cal clash of the year – over the fed­eral bud­get and how to curb deficits – vot­ers split 44 per­cent to 42 per­cent between pre­fer­ring Con­gress or Obama.

Ok so polling shows Barack Obama is hav­ing some trou­ble in the num­bers, big deal, polls go up and down all the time. It’s the nature of things, and any­way why on earth would this have any­thing to do with this:

Don­ald Trump thinks actress Ash­ley Judd would make a “great” Sen­ate can­di­date, the real estate mogul tweeted on Tuesday.

All reports indi­cate Ash­ley Judd will be run­ning for Sen. McConnell’s seat,” Trump wrote. “She’s going to be a great can­di­date. …Re: Ash­ley Judd: Keep @KarlRove away. He already made her a viable candidate.”

Asked to clar­ify the remarks, Trump told POLITICO in a state­ment: “Ash­ley Judd’s can­di­dacy was cre­ated by Karl Rove’s ter­ri­ble ads; even before she thought seri­ously about run­ning. The ads made her look great and now she prob­a­bly will run.”

Trump has pre­vi­ously said that an ad from Rove’s super PAC was “the best thing that ever hap­pened to Ash­ley Judd — sim­ply increases her profile.”

DaT­e­chGuy you’ve totally lost me, why on EARTH are you quot­ing Don­ald Trump opin­ion in Ash­ley Judd when every­one from Glenn Reynolds to Stacy McCain says she’s a joke, and what on earth does this have to do with the president’s poll numbers?

It’s actu­ally pretty sim­ple, celebrity cul­ture and low infor­ma­tion voters.

One of the rea­sons why Barack Obama beat all the odds and won re-​election with a bad record and an even worse econ­omy com­bi­na­tion was the inabil­ity of Mitt Romney’s mes­sage to break through to low infor­ma­tion votes. The president’s ad blitz made sure the back­ground noise had noth­ing to do with the reality.

This time it has had the exact oppo­site effect, par­tic­u­larly on the sequester. The pres­i­dent pushed the evil of sequester and pointed to it as a direct cause of the White House can­celling kids tours and the media lapped it up.

Those EVIL repub­li­cans, on every net­work and on CNN in every air­port peo­ple who do not pay atten­tion to the news say school kids not about to tour the white house. The real­i­ties that other cuts could be made didn’t mat­ter, the peo­ple who only see news in pass­ing while check­ing on Lady Gaga or their favorite movie star knew the money wasn’t there for par­ties because of Repub­li­cans then they picked up their mag­a­zines to find out about Adele and Bey­once and read this:

The same week that Pres­i­dent Obama’s admin­is­tra­tion announced that due to seques­tra­tion, White House tours would be can­celled, sources at the White House announced that it would be host­ing megas­tars Adele and Bey­once at Michelle’s 50th birth­day party next year. “America’s First Lady will be hold­ing a huge celebrity-​packed party for her birth­day at the White House next year and, as she adores Adele and Bey­once, she has asked them both to sing,” the source told the UK Daily Mail. The source did say that “The Oba­mas will pay Adele’s expenses as it’s a pri­vate party, not a State one.”

OK they likely didn’t read that because low infor­ma­tion vot­ers don’t read Bre­it­bart, they check out enter­tain­ment sites like this one:

Today it was revealed that direc­tor Quen­tion Taran­tino is des­per­ate to have her com­pose a song for his new film after he fell in love with her Oscar-​winning song for Skyfall.

And just a few hours later, it has been reported that the Lon­don lass has now been asked to per­form at Michelle Obama’s 50th birth­day along­side Beyoncé.

and the drop, and BET, and hello, and in enter­tain­ment sec­tions else­where.

Bot­tom line the “White house can’t afford tours” story and the “White House has Bey­once & Adele to sing” story hit the exact same places that the low infor­ma­tion vot­ers go at the exact same time and the same vot­ers who wouldn’t be caught dead on Fox (or any news site) sud­denly had the mes­sage that Bri­et­bart was try­ing to make

It’s been sug­gested the GOP get involved in the cul­ture pages this is why.

And that’s why Ash­ley Judd is dangerous.

At first glance Judd is a joke with an entire per­sona that is totally oppo­site to what wins in Ken­tucky, but remem­ber those same low infor­ma­tion vot­ers are not going to be read­ing any of the sto­ries we are writ­ing about her. They will see her celebrity, they will see var­i­ous stars turn out for her, maybe a singer or two

We can have story after story about Judd and her pro­nounce­ments but if they don’t break though to the voter who sim­ply sees a pretty Ken­tucky girl who man­aged to make it big, who does work for “char­ity” its not going to make a difference.

Granted Ken­tucky went heav­ily for Mitt in 2012 but it becomes a ques­tion of which mes­sage gets through to the peo­ple. A celebrity like Judd can break through to peo­ple in ways a reg­u­lar pol sim­ply can’t and there is absolutely no way for Mitch McConnell to por­tray him­self as any­thing else like a Wash­ing­ton insider.

And when Mitch McConnell an estab­lished long time pol starts run­ning ads against this pretty Ken­tucky girl who man­aged to make good watch how peo­ple react.

Does this mean she can romp, par­tic­u­larly if there is not a Tea Party Can­di­date divid­ing the GOP? No, but it means that if the GOP takes Judd, a woman who can raise money and get cov­er­age at will, they might be vul­ner­a­ble to the same mis­takes Mass­a­chu­setts Democ­rats made in Jan­u­ary 2010 in a race they couldn’t lose.

We are in a brave new world, after two gen­er­a­tions of the sec­u­lar cul­ture reach­ing that low infor­ma­tion voter whose prepa­ra­tion for exer­cis­ing the fran­chise our fore­fa­thers fought for is People’s mag­a­zine and the Super­mar­ket tabloids are a fac­tor. Some­times it gives, some­times it takes away and we ignore it at our and the country’s peril.

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[olimome­ter id=3]

I’ll be in tran­sit to DC today and I have a cou­ple of posts sched­uled before I land. While I’m going to travel far today the quest for that elu­sive $300 pay­check hasn’t moved an inch since yesterday.

We had a fair amount of traf­fic the last few days with our cov­er­age of the SF ads and CPAC is going to hope­fully drive more, but with­out those 14 peo­ple will­ing to kick in that $20 this week, all the traf­fic in the world won’t matter.

So if you can give a hand to keep inde­pen­dent con­ser­v­a­tive blog­ging going con­sider hit­ting DaTip­Jar and get­ting that ther­mome­ter moving




Two pieces of news came out yesterday that at first glance might seem totally unrelated, first a poll concerning President Obama

His approval rating has dropped to the lowest level in more than a year, with more voters now turning thumbs down on his performance than thumbs up, according to a new McClatchy-Marist poll. The measure of how much people like him also has dropped.

He’s still vastly more popular than Congress, particularly congressional Republicans. But in the biggest political clash of the year – over the federal budget and how to curb deficits – voters split 44 percent to 42 percent between preferring Congress or Obama.

Ok so polling shows Barack Obama is having some trouble in the numbers, big deal, polls go up and down all the time. It’s the nature of things, and anyway why on earth would this have anything to do with this:

Donald Trump thinks actress Ashley Judd would make a “great” Senate candidate, the real estate mogul tweeted on Tuesday.

“All reports indicate Ashley Judd will be running for Sen. McConnell’s seat,” Trump wrote. “She’s going to be a great candidate. …Re: Ashley Judd: Keep @KarlRove away. He already made her a viable candidate.”

Asked to clarify the remarks, Trump told POLITICO in a statement: “Ashley Judd’s candidacy was created by Karl Rove’s terrible ads; even before she thought seriously about running. The ads made her look great and now she probably will run.”

Trump has previously said that an ad from Rove’s super PAC was “the best thing that ever happened to Ashley Judd—simply increases her profile.”

DaTechGuy you’ve totally lost me, why on EARTH are you quoting Donald Trump opinion in Ashley Judd when everyone from Glenn Reynolds to Stacy McCain says she’s a joke, and what on earth does this have to do with the president’s poll numbers?

It’s actually pretty simple, celebrity culture and low information voters.

One of the reasons why Barack Obama beat all the odds and won re-election with a bad record and an even worse economy combination was the inability of Mitt Romney’s message to break through to low information votes. The president’s ad blitz made sure the background noise had nothing to do with the reality.

This time it has had the exact opposite effect, particularly on the sequester. The president pushed the evil of sequester and pointed to it as a direct cause of the White House cancelling kids tours and the media lapped it up.

Those EVIL republicans, on every network and on CNN in every airport people who do not pay attention to the news say school kids not about to tour the white house. The realities that other cuts could be made didn’t matter, the people who only see news in passing while checking on Lady Gaga or their favorite movie star knew the money wasn’t there for parties because of Republicans then they picked up their magazines to find out about Adele and Beyonce and read this:

The same week that President Obama’s administration announced that due to sequestration, White House tours would be cancelled, sources at the White House announced that it would be hosting megastars Adele and Beyonce at Michelle’s 50th birthday party next year. “America’s First Lady will be holding a huge celebrity-packed party for her birthday at the White House next year and, as she adores Adele and Beyonce, she has asked them both to sing,” the source told the UK Daily Mail. The source did say that “The Obamas will pay Adele’s expenses as it’s a private party, not a State one.”

OK they likely didn’t read that because low information voters don’t read Breitbart, they check out entertainment sites like this one:

Today it was revealed that director Quention Tarantino is desperate to have her compose a song for his new film after he fell in love with her Oscar-winning song for Skyfall.

And just a few hours later, it has been reported that the London lass has now been asked to perform at Michelle Obama’s 50th birthday alongside Beyoncé.

and the drop, and BET, and hello, and in entertainment sections elsewhere.

Bottom line the “White house can’t afford tours” story and the “White House has Beyonce & Adele to sing” story hit the exact same places that the low information voters go at the exact same time and the same voters who wouldn’t be caught dead on Fox (or any news site) suddenly had the message that Brietbart was trying to make

It’s been suggested the GOP get involved in the culture pages this is why.

And that’s why Ashley Judd is dangerous.

At first glance Judd is a joke with an entire persona that is totally opposite to what wins in Kentucky, but remember those same low information voters are not going to be reading any of the stories we are writing about her. They will see her celebrity, they will see various stars turn out for her, maybe a singer or two

We can have story after story about Judd and her pronouncements but if they don’t break though to the voter who simply sees a pretty Kentucky girl who managed to make it big, who does work for “charity” its not going to make a difference.

Granted Kentucky went heavily for Mitt in 2012 but it becomes a question of which message gets through to the people. A celebrity like Judd can break through to people in ways a regular pol simply can’t and there is absolutely no way for Mitch McConnell to portray himself as anything else like a Washington insider.

And when Mitch McConnell an established long time pol starts running ads against this pretty Kentucky girl who managed to make good watch how people react.

Does this mean she can romp, particularly if there is not a Tea Party Candidate dividing the GOP? No, but it means that if the GOP takes Judd, a woman who can raise money and get coverage at will, they might be vulnerable to the same mistakes Massachusetts Democrats made in January 2010 in a race they couldn’t lose.

We are in a brave new world, after two generations of the secular culture reaching that low information voter whose preparation for exercising the franchise our forefathers fought for is People’s magazine and the Supermarket tabloids are a factor. Sometimes it gives, sometimes it takes away and we ignore it at our and the country’s peril.

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Olimometer 2.52

I’ll be in transit to DC today and I have a couple of posts scheduled before I land. While I’m going to travel far today the quest for that elusive $300 paycheck hasn’t moved an inch since yesterday.

We had a fair amount of traffic the last few days with our coverage of the SF ads and CPAC is going to hopefully drive more, but without those 14 people willing to kick in that $20 this week, all the traffic in the world won’t matter.

So if you can give a hand to keep independent conservative blogging going consider hitting DaTipJar and getting that thermometer moving




DaTechGuy on DaRadio Saturday Noon EST. WBNW AM 1120 Concord WPLM 1390 Plymouth WESO 970 Southbridge, FTR Radio, the 405 Media

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