Lyndon Johnson, Sarah Palin, Curtis Bostic & SC-1

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Lyndon Johnson, Sarah Palin, Curtis Bostic & SC-1

Or what king march­ing into bat­tle would not first sit down and decide whether with ten thou­sand troops he can suc­cess­fully oppose another king advanc­ing upon him with twenty thou­sand troops? But if not, while he is still far away, he will send a del­e­ga­tion to ask for peace terms.

Luke 14:3132

One of the most impor­tant things a gen­eral has to decide dur­ing a bat­tle that’s an uphill fight is whether to com­mit his reserves or retreat and regroup.

At Water­loo Napoleon com­mit­ted his guard and lost the bat­tle and his last chance of empire. At the Wilder­ness Lee’s Tex­ans made the dif­fer­ence against Grant as the tide was turn­ing. Michael de Ruyter the great­est war­rior in the his­tory of the Dutch was the absolute mas­ter of know­ing when mak­ing that extra fight was right.

That deci­sion know­ing if it’s time to fight and when it’s not is the dif­fer­ence between a great gen­eral and a good general.

The same is true in pol­i­tics Lyn­don John­son one of the great­est polit­i­cal oper­a­tors in his­tory was the man in charge of money in the 1940 con­gres­sional elec­tions for Democ­rats. While he had the money to finance and in some cases over-​finance can­di­dates as Robert Caro points out on page 651 of his vol­ume. Lyn­don John­son the Path to Power some were refused:

Fran­cis T. Mur­phy said he had a “5050″ chance. He could win, he said, “by get­ting vote to polls in key wards.” but money was needed to accom­plish that. “None,” John­son wrote next to Murphy’s name. C.H. Arm­bruster of Ohio asked for $1000, but said he would take less: “urgent.” he said, “None,” John­son wrote. “$1,000 would be a life­saver.” George W. Wolf wrote. “Two coun­ties hold fate…Hard bat­tle.” None.

Johnson’s deci­sion to cut off some can­di­dates was not due to the lack of funds.

And that brings us to the spe­cial elec­tion in SC-​1

I’ve already given my opin­ion on the dis­as­ter that Mark San­ford would be for the GOP if he wins the pri­mary and espe­cially if he wins the gen­eral. I’ve urged peo­ple to kick in for Bostic and as we’ve reached this elec­tion day an impor­tant event has taken place, or rather it hasn’t

There is hope in the Bostic camp that the can­di­date might get an endorse­ment from Sarah Palin, who in the past has been able to trans­form under­dogs into win­ners, as when her 2010 sup­port helped Nikki Haley become South Carolina’s gov­er­nor. It was Haley’s choice of Tim Scott as this state’s first black Repub­li­can sen­a­tor since Recon­struc­tion that opened the con­gres­sional seat that San­ford and Bostic are now fight­ing for, and so it would in some sense be less than coin­ci­den­tal if the Palin light­ning struck again here.

That hope has been in vain.

A Sarah Palin endorse­ment would have meant money, it would have meant vol­un­teers and it would have given Bostic instant grav­i­tas against Mark San­ford as no other endorse­ment could.

It hasn’t come.

I’ve already talked about Sarah Palin as a polit­i­cal ven­ture capitalist

Sarah Palin is the per­fect polit­i­cal cap­i­tal­ist, she has taken her polit­i­cal cap­i­tal, invested it in the can­di­dates of her choice and come out with even more. No amount of polit­i­cal snark or clever Conan skits will change that. The MSM can pre­tend her cap­i­tal doesn’t exist, but you’d bet­ter believe Ted Cruz, Kelly Ayotte and dozens of mem­bers of the con­gress who received that cap­i­tal when they needed it know it is there and when and if she needs to draw on that cap­i­tal, I sus­pect they will remem­ber it.

The essence of a smart polit­i­cal oper­a­tor is to know when to spend said cap­i­tal and when not to, when the expen­di­ture will lead to suc­cess and when it is in vain. When such a move can lead to vic­tory or when a defeat will be costly for the entire cause.

That she didn’t endorse in a state where she has endorsed before speaks vol­umes about this pri­mary and none of it is good.

Stacy McCain is on the ground in South Car­olina and his lat­est report says the fol­low­ing:

Speak­ing of Gen­tle­man Jour­nal­ists, National Review‘s Jim Ger­aghty recently paid a visit to Hilton Head:

As one Beau­fort County res­i­dent put it to me, “I’m hear­ing folks say, ‘My pas­tor says I should vote for [Bostic]‘”

If the coun­sel of clergy is heeded, the head­line on a Bostic vic­tory will be Mir­a­cle Upset, but polls indi­cate that Chris­tian­ity itself is now viewed as a lia­bil­ity by South Car­olina Repub­li­cans, unless it is the cheap-​grace gospel wherein Mark Sanford’s 2009 embar­rass­ment is shrugged off as some­thing incon­se­quen­tial that only the Lib­eral Media Elite care about. There may still be Repub­li­cans who take “fam­ily val­ues” seri­ously, but they are nei­ther fash­ion­able nor influ­en­tial, and none of the Wiz­ards and Gurus think that the anti-​adultery vote will amount to a major­ity in today’s GOP runoff.

that’s depress­ing enough but his piece seems less about Bostic and more about a dif­fer­ent subject:

Some of my blog­ger friends seem to have for­got­ten that it was Ali who, as a con­sul­tant to the cam­paign that elected Scott Brown to the Sen­ate seat for­merly held by Ted Kennedy, ensured that blog­gers like myself, Da Tech Guy, Ace of Spades and Pamela Geller had prime seat­ing at the vic­tory party that Jan­u­ary 2010 night in Boston. Pud­ding, anyone?

Is there a strain of Charles Johnson-​ism in all this? Are there peo­ple try­ing to set them­selves up as Supreme Arbiters of who is and is not accept­able inside the Big Tent? And, if so, why are they simul­ta­ne­ously indig­nant about hav­ing Ali Akbar work as a dig­i­tal strate­gist, but blithely indif­fer­ent to hav­ing Mark San­ford become the “face” of the Repub­li­can Party?

Some would rather reign in Hell than serve in Heaven.

Stacy’s cov­er­age has been first rate as usual, you should read it all but the tone of this post is a bad sign.

I hope I’m wrong, I hope that Cur­tis Bostic can make it over the fin­ish line with­out Palin. I hope that South Car­olina Repub­li­cans under­stand what is at stake here with­out the Gov­er­nor hav­ing to per­suade them. I’m happy to lend my voice as insignif­i­cant as it is in the cause for his elec­tion and ask every sin­gle voter in South Carolina’s 1st dis­trict to choose wisely.

I hope, but I also know in 1940 Fran­cis T. Mur­phy lost by 44.7%, C. H. Arm­bruster lost by 21.4% and George W. Wolfe lost by 9.4% and remem­ber the note next to each of those names placed there by an ear­lier polit­i­cal mas­ter in answer to their request for help.

None.

Update: Bostic lost by 13.16% Palin choose wisely.

Or what king marching into battle would not first sit down and decide whether with ten thousand troops he can successfully oppose another king advancing upon him with twenty thousand troops? But if not, while he is still far away, he will send a delegation to ask for peace terms.

Luke 14:31-32

One of the most important things a general has to decide during a battle that’s an uphill fight is whether to commit his reserves or retreat and regroup.

At Waterloo Napoleon committed his guard and lost the battle and his last chance of empire. At the Wilderness Lee’s Texans made the difference against Grant as the tide was turning. Michael de Ruyter the greatest warrior in the history of the Dutch was the absolute master of knowing when making that extra fight was right.

That decision knowing if it’s time to fight and when it’s not is the difference between a great general and a good general.

The same is true in politics Lyndon Johnson one of the greatest political operators in history was the man in charge of money in the 1940 congressional elections for Democrats. While he had the money to finance and in some cases over-finance candidates as Robert Caro points out on page 651 of his volume. Lyndon Johnson the Path to Power some were refused:

Francis T. Murphy said he had a “50-50” chance. He could win, he said, “by getting vote to polls in key wards.” but money was needed to accomplish that. “None,” Johnson wrote next to Murphy’s name. C.H. Armbruster of Ohio asked for $1000, but said he would take less: “urgent.” he said, “None,” Johnson wrote. “$1,000 would be a lifesaver.” George W. Wolf wrote. “Two counties hold fate…Hard battle.” None.

Johnson’s decision to cut off some candidates was not due to the lack of funds.

And that brings us to the special election in SC-1

I’ve already given my opinion on the disaster that Mark Sanford would be for the GOP if he wins the primary and especially if he wins the general. I’ve urged people to kick in for Bostic and as we’ve reached this election day an important event has taken place, or rather it hasn’t

There is hope in the Bostic camp that the candidate might get an endorsement from Sarah Palin, who in the past has been able to transform underdogs into winners, as when her 2010 support helped Nikki Haley become South Carolina’s governor. It was Haley’s choice of Tim Scott as this state’s first black Republican senator since Reconstruction that opened the congressional seat that Sanford and Bostic are now fighting for, and so it would in some sense be less than coincidental if the Palin lightning struck again here.

That hope has been in vain.

A Sarah Palin endorsement would have meant money, it would have meant volunteers and it would have given Bostic instant gravitas against Mark Sanford as no other endorsement could.

It hasn’t come.

I’ve already talked about Sarah Palin as a political venture capitalist

Sarah Palin is the perfect political capitalist, she has taken her political capital, invested it in the candidates of her choice and come out with even more. No amount of political snark or clever Conan skits will change that. The MSM can pretend her capital doesn’t exist, but you’d better believe Ted Cruz, Kelly Ayotte and dozens of members of the congress who received that capital when they needed it know it is there and when and if she needs to draw on that capital, I suspect they will remember it.

The essence of a smart political operator is to know when to spend said capital and when not to, when the expenditure will lead to success and when it is in vain. When such a move can lead to victory or when a defeat will be costly for the entire cause.

That she didn’t endorse in a state where she has endorsed before speaks volumes about this primary and none of it is good.

Stacy McCain is on the ground in South Carolina and his latest report says the following:

Speaking of Gentleman Journalists, National Review‘s Jim Geraghty recently paid a visit to Hilton Head:

As one Beaufort County resident put it to me, “I’m hearing folks say, ‘My pastor says I should vote for [Bostic]‘”

If the counsel of clergy is heeded, the headline on a Bostic victory will be Miracle Upset, but polls indicate that Christianity itself is now viewed as a liability by South Carolina Republicans, unless it is the cheap-grace gospel wherein Mark Sanford’s 2009 embarrassment is shrugged off as something inconsequential that only the Liberal Media Elite care about. There may still be Republicans who take “family values” seriously, but they are neither fashionable nor influential, and none of the Wizards and Gurus think that the anti-adultery vote will amount to a majority in today’s GOP runoff.

that’s depressing enough but his piece seems less about Bostic and more about a different subject:

Some of my blogger friends seem to have forgotten that it was Ali who, as a consultant to the campaign that elected Scott Brown to the Senate seat formerly held by Ted Kennedy, ensured that bloggers like myself, Da Tech Guy, Ace of Spades and Pamela Geller had prime seating at the victory party that January 2010 night in Boston. Pudding, anyone?

Is there a strain of Charles Johnson-ism in all this? Are there people trying to set themselves up as Supreme Arbiters of who is and is not acceptable inside the Big Tent? And, if so, why are they simultaneously indignant about having Ali Akbar work as a digital strategist, but blithely indifferent to having Mark Sanford become the “face” of the Republican Party?

Some would rather reign in Hell than serve in Heaven.

Stacy’s coverage has been first rate as usual, you should read it all but the tone of this post is a bad sign.

I hope I’m wrong, I hope that Curtis Bostic can make it over the finish line without Palin. I hope that South Carolina Republicans understand what is at stake here without the Governor having to persuade them. I’m happy to lend my voice as insignificant as it is in the cause for his election and ask every single voter in South Carolina’s 1st district to choose wisely.

I hope, but I also know in 1940 Francis T. Murphy lost by 44.7%, C. H. Armbruster lost by 21.4% and George W. Wolfe lost by 9.4% and remember the note next to each of those names placed there by an earlier political master in answer to their request for help.

None.

Update: Bostic lost by 13.16% Palin choose wisely.