A Political Math lesson for the Tories, the UKIP &…the GOP?

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A Political Math lesson for the Tories, the UKIP &...the GOP?

4th Doc­tor: “Only in math­e­mat­ics will we find truth.” Borusa used to say that dur­ing my time at the Acad­emy — and now he’s set­ting out to prove it.

Doc­tor Who: The Deadly Assas­sin 1977

Last week’s elec­tion In Eng­land the Tories have been intro­duced to the new math polit­i­cal math:

This:

We are say­ing ‘have you really con­sulted these people?’”

He added that dis­quiet among eth­nic minor­ity com­mu­ni­ties could prove dev­as­tat­ing for the Con­ser­v­a­tives in the main cities – on top of dis­sat­is­fac­tion among Tory activists in rural areas.

When you are mid­dle class and Oxford edu­cated you don’t nec­es­sar­ily under­stand what the grass­roots are all about: you rely on what your pun­dits are telling you,” he said.

plus this

The BBC pro­jected that Ukip was on course to come third in vot­ing share, with 23% of the vote. Labour is pro­jected to have come first with 29%, with the Tories sec­ond on 25%. The Lib Dems are pro­jected to have won 14%, with other par­ties on 9%.

equals this: :

Peter Bone, the Welling­bor­ough MP, said Mr Cameron should halt the gay mar­riage Bill, cur­rently going through Par­lia­ment, and cut over­seas aid. “Those are things that Con­ser­v­a­tives want and that’s what Ukip vot­ers want.”

The Tories should be allowed to stand as “Con­ser­v­a­tive and Ukip” can­di­dates if they could win the endorse­ment of Mr Farage’s party, he added.

It all adds up, you ignore your base, they even­tu­ally rebel and sud­denly you have to win them back if you want your party to sur­vive. otherwise

Tory sources sug­gested that the changed polit­i­cal land­scape would result in Ukip win­ning a by-​election in any­thing but a safe Labour seat and that Mr Farage’s party would top the polls in next year’s Euro­pean elections.

In Eng­land the “con­ser­v­a­tive” Tory party has learned this les­son the hard way. Will the GOP fig­ure this out before they reach this point or will it take hard math­e­mat­ics to teach them the same lesson?

Update: Some­how I mixed up the 2nd appear­ance of Borusa (The inva­sion of Time) with the first (The Deadly Assas­sin) corrected

[olimome­ter id=2]

While on a per­sonal level yes­ter­day was less than pleas­ant thanks to the read­ers we come into Wednes­day with this week’s pay­check already made and we are nearly half way to the monthly goal.

Because of those read­ers who kicked in this will be the last you see of DaTip­Jar pitch for the week until Sun­day when we start all over again.

4th Doctor: “Only in mathematics will we find truth.” Borusa used to say that during my time at the Academy – and now he’s setting out to prove it.

Doctor Who: The Deadly Assassin 1977

Last week’s election In England the Tories have been introduced to the new math political math:

This:

“We are saying ‘have you really consulted these people?’”

He added that disquiet among ethnic minority communities could prove devastating for the Conservatives in the main cities – on top of dissatisfaction among Tory activists in rural areas.

“When you are middle class and Oxford educated you don’t necessarily understand what the grassroots are all about: you rely on what your pundits are telling you,” he said.

plus this

The BBC projected that Ukip was on course to come third in voting share, with 23% of the vote. Labour is projected to have come first with 29%, with the Tories second on 25%. The Lib Dems are projected to have won 14%, with other parties on 9%.

equals this: :

Peter Bone, the Wellingborough MP, said Mr Cameron should halt the gay marriage Bill, currently going through Parliament, and cut overseas aid. “Those are things that Conservatives want and that’s what Ukip voters want.”

The Tories should be allowed to stand as “Conservative and Ukip” candidates if they could win the endorsement of Mr Farage’s party, he added.

It all adds up, you ignore your base, they eventually rebel and suddenly you have to win them back if you want your party to survive. otherwise

Tory sources suggested that the changed political landscape would result in Ukip winning a by-election in anything but a safe Labour seat and that Mr Farage’s party would top the polls in next year’s European elections.

In England the “conservative” Tory party has learned this lesson the hard way. Will the GOP figure this out before they reach this point or will it take hard mathematics to teach them the same lesson?

Update: Somehow I mixed up the 2nd appearance of Borusa (The invasion of Time) with the first (The Deadly Assassin) corrected

Olimometer 2.52

While on a personal level yesterday was less than pleasant thanks to the readers we come into Wednesday with this week’s paycheck already made and we are nearly half way to the monthly goal.

Because of those readers who kicked in this will be the last you see of DaTipJar pitch for the week until Sunday when we start all over again.