Obamacare: A Time to Raise & A Time to Call

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Obamacare: A Time to Raise & A Time to Call

If you’re gonna play the game, boy, ya gotta learn to play it right.

You got to know when to hold ‘em, know when to fold ‘em,
Know when to walk away and know when to run.
You never count your money when you’re sit­tin’ at the table.
There’ll be time enough for countin’ when the dealin’s done.

Kenny Rogers The Gam­bler Don Schlitz /​Kenny Rogers. 1978

I was, and I still am, of the opin­ion that the shut­down at the begin­ning of Octo­ber (Va gov race not with­stand­ing) was not only a worth­while thing to do, but has paid longterm div­i­dends by both re-​establishing pub­lic GOP oppo­si­tion to oba­macare and paint­ing every sin­gle demo­c­rat as a defender of Obamacare.

The strat­egy was solid, the piece­meal bills to reopen the national parks, the VA & the other things got the same bi-​partisan votes that the Upton bill did. The dif­fer­ence is they didn’t get the same atten­tion Upton did from the MSM and it was that lack of press atten­tion and result­ing lack of pres­sure on Harry Reid (who I would not want to play poker or chicken with) that allowed him to pro­vide the stones for Pres­i­dent Obama that made the dif­fer­ence and gave him a short lived polit­i­cal victory.

Now the bud­get issue is com­ing up again and this time the GOP doesn’t have the stom­ach for it:

House Bud­get Com­mit­tee Chair­man Paul Ryan (R-​Wis.) said Tues­day that the coun­try doesn’t need to worry about another gov­ern­ment shut­down in Jan­u­ary when the cur­rent stop­gap spend­ing bill runs out.

The gov­ern­ment shut­down lasted for 16 days in Octo­ber, after Repub­li­cans demanded that Pres­i­dent Obama defund his sig­na­ture health­care law.

To avoid another shut­down, Ryan said either he and Sen­ate Bud­get Com­mit­tee Chair­woman Patty Mur­ray (D-​Wash.) would strike a bud­get deal or Con­gress would pass a stop­gap keep­ing exist­ing spend­ing levels.

Either of those two sce­nar­ios will pre­vail, and we will not have a gov­ern­ment shut­down,” he said at the Wall Street Jour­nal annual CEO Coun­cil. “We will keep the gov­ern­ment fund­ing at the cur­rent level if need be.”

This has already angered some com­men­ta­tors but I do under­stand. With the democ­rats com­pletely on defen­sive, Time mag­a­zine even talk­ing bro­ken promises and the left des­per­ate to change the sub­ject to some­thing ANY­THING (Iran) the last thing we on the right need to do is to give them that out.

While It would be fun to see another gov­ern­ment fund­ing plan that includes a 1 year Oba­macare delay and watch Demo­c­rat sen­a­tors squirm Ryan is cor­rect, strate­gi­cally, avoid­ing a 2nd shut­down is the right move to keep the media on Obamacare’s crash & burn as long as possible.

There is one thing the GOP COULD do to try & achieve both ends.

Rather than wait till next month some spend­ing bills should be sent NOW. Send one that fully funds the VA, send one that fully funds the national parks, send one that fully funds the cen­ters for dis­ease con­trol etc etc etc. Or even bet­ter send the other 8 appro­pri­a­tion bills that haven’t yet passed through the house.

Since Harry Reid has now decided that the fil­i­buster is an anti­quated device make sure these fund­ing bills are bills that sen­ate democ­rats who are run­ning for re-​election want and need and let Harry Reid make the case that 51 votes aren’t good enough for them.

But do it now, while there is plenty of time before the dead­line and there is no ques­tion about a gun in front of anyone’s head.

But let’s leave Oba­macare out of it. Don’t give the democ­rats an out. They had their chance to get off the Titanic, let it sail right on through till November.

Update: Cleaned up a sen­tence in para 2

Update 2: One other thing to con­sider:

the Demo­c­ra­tic lead has dis­ap­peared. A new CNN/​ORC poll indi­cates the GOP now holds a 49%-47% edge.

The new sur­vey was con­ducted last week and released Tuesday.

The 10-​point swing fol­lows a polit­i­cal uproar over Oba­macare, which included the botched roll­out of Health​Care​.gov and con­tro­versy over insur­ance pol­icy can­ce­la­tions due pri­mar­ily to the new health law.

The turn­around in the CNN/​ORC poll fol­lows sim­i­lar shifts in recent national sur­veys from Quin­nip­iac Uni­ver­sity and Fox News.

The longer Oba­macare is on the table the more we will see these num­bers move.

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[olimome­ter id=2]

It’s Tues­day and the goal of both the Mag­nif­i­cent Seven and the Mort­gage Paid in full is still $307 away. (don’t worry my Seven. You’ll get paid first).

16 $20 Tip jar hit­ters at $20 or 12 at $25 will get it done.

Sup­port con­ser­v­a­tive writ­ing & blog­ging and be one of those 12 or 16 and hit DaTip­Jar below.

We are offer­ing spon­sor­ships of both the Mag­nif­i­cent Seven & the Mag­nif­i­cent Panel now is an excel­lent time to jump on board, con­tact me here for more details

If you’re gonna play the game, boy, ya gotta learn to play it right.

You got to know when to hold ’em, know when to fold ’em,
Know when to walk away and know when to run.
You never count your money when you’re sittin’ at the table.
There’ll be time enough for countin’ when the dealin’s done.

Kenny Rogers The Gambler Don Schlitz / Kenny Rogers. 1978

I was, and I still am, of the opinion that the shutdown at the beginning of October (Va gov race not withstanding) was not only a worthwhile thing to do, but has paid longterm dividends by both re-establishing public GOP opposition to obamacare and painting every single democrat as a defender of Obamacare.

The strategy was solid, the piecemeal bills to reopen the national parks, the VA & the other things got the same bi-partisan votes that the Upton bill did.  The difference is they didn’t get the same attention Upton did from the MSM  and it was that lack of press attention and resulting lack of pressure on Harry Reid (who I would not want to play poker or chicken with) that allowed him to provide the stones for President Obama that made the difference and gave him a short lived political victory.

Now the budget issue is coming up again and this time the GOP doesn’t have the stomach for it:

House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) said Tuesday that the country doesn’t need to worry about another government shutdown in January when the current stopgap spending bill runs out.

The government shutdown lasted for 16 days in October, after Republicans demanded that President Obama defund his signature healthcare law.

To avoid another shutdown, Ryan said either he and Senate Budget Committee Chairwoman Patty Murray (D-Wash.) would strike a budget deal or Congress would pass a stopgap keeping existing spending levels.

“Either of those two scenarios will prevail, and we will not have a government shutdown,” he said at the Wall Street Journal annual CEO Council. “We will keep the government funding at the current level if need be.”

This has already angered some commentators but I do understand. With the democrats completely on defensive, Time magazine even talking broken promises and the left desperate to change the subject to something ANYTHING (Iran) the last thing we on the right need to do is to give them that out.

While It would be fun to see another government funding plan that includes a 1 year Obamacare delay and watch Democrat senators squirm Ryan is correct, strategically, avoiding a 2nd shutdown is the right move to keep the media on Obamacare’s crash & burn as long as possible.

There is one thing the GOP COULD do to try & achieve both ends.

Rather than wait till next month some spending bills should be sent NOW.  Send one that fully funds the VA, send one that fully funds the national parks, send one that fully funds the centers for disease control etc etc etc.  Or even better send the other 8 appropriation bills that haven’t yet passed through the house.

Since Harry Reid has now decided that the filibuster is an antiquated device make sure these funding bills are bills that senate democrats who are running for re-election want and need and let Harry Reid make the case that 51 votes aren’t good enough for them.

But do it now, while there is plenty of time before the deadline and there is no question about a gun in front of anyone’s head.

But let’s leave Obamacare out of it.  Don’t give the democrats an out.  They had their chance to get off the Titanic, let it sail right on through till November.

Update:  Cleaned up a sentence in para 2

Update 2: One other thing to consider:

the Democratic lead has disappeared. A new CNN/ORC poll indicates the GOP now holds a 49%-47% edge.

The new survey was conducted last week and released Tuesday.

The 10-point swing follows a political uproar over Obamacare, which included the botched rollout of HealthCare.gov and controversy over insurance policy cancelations due primarily to the new health law.

The turnaround in the CNN/ORC poll follows similar shifts in recent national surveys from Quinnipiac University and Fox News.

The longer Obamacare is on the table the more we will see these numbers move.

**************************************************************

Olimometer 2.52

It’s Tuesday and the goal of both the Magnificent Seven and the Mortgage Paid in full is still $307 away. (don’t worry my Seven. You’ll get paid first).

16 $20 Tip jar hitters at $20 or 12 at $25 will get it done.

Support conservative writing & blogging and be one of those 12 or 16 and hit DaTipJar below.

We are offering sponsorships of both the Magnificent Seven & the Magnificent Panel now is an excellent time to jump on board, contact me here for more details