The real question: South Africa under the ANC

by Datechguy | December 11th, 2013

Readability

The real question: South Africa under the ANC

Peo­ple who say, “I vote for the man, not the party” are there­fore fools, blown around by the wind and prone to believe what­ever they see on TV, because when you vote for the man, you get the party

RS McCain: Pulling at the other end of the Rope

Now that the Man­dela memo­r­ial ser­vice is over and his funeral ser­vice a day away it’s time to look at the state of South Africa since his ini­tial election.

Elec­torally it’s no sur­prise to any­one that since 1994 Nel­son Mandela’s African National Con­gress has dom­i­nated the elec­toral land­scape. Man­dela own elec­tion was prac­ti­cally a fore­gone con­clu­sion. He won the elec­tion in 1994 with over 62% of the vote and his African national con­gress won 252 seats in the 400 seat parliament.

It’s fair to say that prob­lems of tran­si­tion­ing out of white minor­ity rule was the pri­mary duty of Man­dela and by any stan­dard that was admirably done. His deci­sion to not seek re-​election and give up power that he could have kept was key to ensure demo­c­ra­tic rule.

But the nation didn’t just get Man­dela in power, it got the ANC in power and while Man­dela didn’t run in 1999 the ANC did

In 1999 ANC did even bet­ter than in 1994 elect­ing Thabo Mbeki with 66.35% and win­ning 266 seats in par­la­ment. In 2005 the trend con­tin­ued as Mbeki was reelected with 69.69% of the vote and the ANC par­lia­men­tary majorly went to 279 seats.

Mbeki resigned in Sept 2008 over a cor­rup­tion case involv­ing Jacob Zuma who would win the pres­i­dency in 2009 for the ANC with 65.9% of the vote and 264 seats fig­ures bet­ter than Mandela’s ini­tial elec­tion but the low­est level of sup­port for the ANC since then.

So the ANC, the party of Man­dela has ruled the Coun­try for 20 years. with solid over­whelm­ing majori­ties. In fact the irony is ANC’s worst elec­toral show­ing was the year Man­dela ran. The ques­tion is: What kind of job have they done for South Africa?

Well one sim­ple mea­sure of how a coun­try is doing is the unem­ploy­ment rate. Let’s look at the IMF figures:

In 1990 the year that Nel­son Man­dela was released South Africa’s unem­ploy­ment rate was at 18.78% dou­bling the 1980 rate of 9.24%. By the first year of free elec­tions (1994) it was up to 22.89%. There was a sud­den drop in the rate in 1995 to 16.71% but by 1997 the rate was back over 20% (20.95%) and since h left office in 1999 through 2010 the rate has aver­aged 25.76% from a high of 30.41% in (2002) and a low of 22.23% (2007).

The cur­rent rate in the 3rd quar­ter of 2013 accord­ing to gov­ern­ment stats is 24.7%

**************************************************

Another excel­lent mea­sure of a county is life expectancy at the time of Mandela’s elec­tion let’s take a look at the trend since 1985

[cap­tion id=“attachment_51122” align=“aligncenter” width=“440”]South Africa life expectancy 1985-2010 South Africa life expectancy 19852010[/caption]

You would think that the end of incred­i­ble repres­sion would increase, not decrease life expectancy. A lot of this has to do with the AIDS rate:

More than five mil­lion peo­ple in South Africa are HIV-​positive — about 10% of the total population.

Last year more than 260,000 peo­ple with Aids died — almost half the fig­ure of all those who died in the country.

and the future is not bright:

At least 28% of South African school­girls are HIV pos­i­tive com­pared with 4% of boys because “sugar dad­dies” are exploit­ing them, Health Min­is­ter Aaron Mot­soaledi has said.

He said 94,000 school­girls also fell preg­nant in 2011, and 77,000 had abor­tions at state facil­i­ties, The Sowe­tan news­pa­per reports.

So under ANC rule South Africa has a quar­ter of its work force idle. More than a quar­ter of school­girls HIV pos­i­tive and Life expectancy down a full 16.

And we haven’t even talked the mur­der rate at 31.3 per 100,000 (by com­par­i­son even with the Car­tel vio­lence Mexico’s mur­der rate is 22 per 100,000)

As the LA times reports

South Africa has some of the world’s high­est rates of vio­lent crime, with casu­alty fig­ures mount­ing like those in a small war. The coun­try had slowly whit­tled down its mur­der rate since 1995, but this year’s mar­ginal increase raised fears that the bat­tle against crime may have stalled.

The Insti­tute for Secu­rity Stud­ies, a South African think tank, said the fig­ures were pre­sented in a “vague” man­ner, mak­ing analy­sis dif­fi­cult. Only the per­cent­age change was pro­vided, with­out the raw figures.

In fair­ness the mur­der rate the year Man­dela was elected it was 64.9 higher than Detroit. Now they are doing bet­ter than Detroit. Let’s look at where South Africa’s killings are tak­ing place

Res­i­dents in low-​income areas, the analy­sis shows, are far more likely to be mur­dered than their mid­dle and high-​income coun­ter­parts. Half of South Africa’s mur­ders occur in only 13% or 143 out of 1 127 of police precincts.

A vast major­ity of the aver­age of 43 mur­ders that take place daily do not make the news. They hap­pen in areas where crime and vio­lence are part of the daily despair of res­i­dents who already feel mar­gin­alised and for­got­ten by media and politicians.

Remem­ber the per­son writ­ing this arti­cle is a per­son try­ing to down­play the vio­lence in South Africa.

As for Rape:

Inter­pol says South Africa is the world’s rape cap­i­tal and less than 1% of rape cases are reported to police. Accord­ing to a reli­able web­site that com­piles rape sta­tis­tics this has had a detri­men­tal effect on suc­cess­fully pur­su­ing rape cases in the country.

How bad is it? This bad::

South Africa’s par­lia­ment issued a rep­ri­mand to police Mon­day after media out­lets reported that police sta­tions across the coun­try were run­ning out of rape kits

Mind you all of this is after two decades of rule by the African National Con­gress duly elected and reg­u­larly re-​elected by the free peo­ple of South Africa.

With­out ques­tion the removal of the evil Apartheid laws was a pos­i­tive good and fran­chise being extended to all cit­i­zens is sim­ple jus­tice. A Peo­ple must have the right to gov­ern them­selves and a gov­ern­ment that doesn’t reflect the con­sent of the gov­erned is unjust.

What is not axiomatic is that a pop­u­larly elected gov­ern­ment will gov­ern well.

The peo­ple have freely cho­sen to elect The African National Con­gress for 20 years by land­slide majori­ties. That party has failed to stem unem­ploy­ment, has seen life expectancy drop by nearly a decade dur­ing their rule and been a haven for mur­der and rape.

Yes­ter­day spec­ta­cle to the world show­ing how South Africans has pro­gressed under the man­age­ment of the left­ist African National con­gress. It’s been a great time for the coun­try “except maybe for the peo­ple who got killed or raped.”

I’m sure some will think this a rather hard cri­tique, some might even throw an epi­thet at me for it (remem­ber there are five a’s in raaaaacist). To those crit­ics of all races, creeds and polit­i­cal beliefs I ask this question:

Would any one of you choose to move to such a coun­try, raise your chil­dren in such a coun­try or encour­age your sons and daugh­ters to do so?

Update: While the media is busy dis­cussing Angelo-​American-​Danish rela­tions almost nobody in media seemed to notice or bother cov­er­ing the boo­ing of the Pres­i­dent of South Africa

But appar­ently the South African pres­i­dent did

Per­haps the boo­ing might have some­thing to do with this:

The ques­tion is: Will they make the ANC pay at the bal­lot box?

 People who say, “I vote for the man, not the party” are therefore fools, blown around by the wind and prone to believe whatever they see on TV, because when you vote for the man, you get the party

RS McCain: Pulling at the other end of the Rope

Now that the Mandela memorial service is over and his funeral service a day away it’s time to look at the state of South Africa since his initial election.

Electorally it’s no surprise to anyone that since 1994 Nelson Mandela’s African National Congress has dominated the electoral landscape.  Mandela own election was practically a foregone conclusion.  He won the election in 1994 with over 62% of the vote and his African national congress won 252 seats in the 400 seat parliament.

It’s fair to say that problems of transitioning out of white minority rule was the primary duty of Mandela and by any standard that was admirably done.  His decision to not seek re-election and give up power that he could have kept was key to ensure democratic rule.

But the nation didn’t just get Mandela in power, it got the ANC in power and while Mandela didn’t run in 1999 the ANC did

In 1999 ANC did even better than in 1994 electing Thabo Mbeki with 66.35% and winning 266 seats in parlament.  In 2005 the trend continued as Mbeki was reelected with 69.69% of the vote and the ANC parliamentary majorly went to 279 seats.

Mbeki resigned in Sept 2008 over a corruption case involving Jacob Zuma who would win the presidency in 2009 for the ANC with 65.9% of the vote and 264 seats figures better than Mandela’s initial election but the lowest level of support for the ANC since then.

So the ANC, the party of Mandela has ruled the Country for 20 years. with solid overwhelming majorities.  In fact the irony is ANC’s  worst electoral showing was the year Mandela ran.   The question is:  What kind of job have they done for South Africa?

Well one simple measure of how a country is doing is the unemployment rate.  Let’s look at the IMF figures:

In 1990 the year that Nelson Mandela was released South Africa’s unemployment rate was at 18.78% doubling the 1980 rate of 9.24%.  By the first year of free elections (1994) it was up to 22.89%.  There was a sudden drop in the rate in 1995 to 16.71% but by 1997 the rate was back over 20% (20.95%) and since h left office in 1999 through 2010 the rate has averaged 25.76%  from a high of 30.41% in (2002) and a low of 22.23% (2007).

The current rate in the 3rd quarter of 2013 according to government stats is 24.7%

**************************************************

Another excellent measure of a county is life expectancy at the time of Mandela’s election let’s take a look at the trend since 1985

South Africa life expectancy 1985-2010

South Africa life expectancy 1985-2010

You would think that the end of incredible repression would increase, not decrease life expectancy.  A lot of this has to do with the AIDS rate:

More than five million people in South Africa are HIV-positive – about 10% of the total population.

Last year more than 260,000 people with Aids died – almost half the figure of all those who died in the country.

and the future is not bright:

At least 28% of South African schoolgirls are HIV positive compared with 4% of boys because “sugar daddies” are exploiting them, Health Minister Aaron Motsoaledi has said.

He said 94,000 schoolgirls also fell pregnant in 2011, and 77,000 had abortions at state facilities, The Sowetan newspaper reports.

So under ANC rule South Africa has a quarter of its work force idle.  More than a quarter of schoolgirls HIV positive and  Life expectancy down a full 1/6.

And we haven’t even talked the murder rate at 31.3 per 100,000 (by comparison even with the Cartel violence Mexico’s murder rate is 22 per 100,000)

As the LA times reports

South Africa has some of the world’s highest rates of violent crime, with casualty figures mounting like those in a small war. The country had slowly whittled down its murder rate since 1995, but this year’s marginal increase raised fears that the battle against crime may have stalled.

The Institute for Security Studies, a South African think tank, said the figures were presented in a “vague” manner, making analysis difficult. Only the percentage change was provided, without the raw figures.

In fairness the murder rate the year Mandela was elected it was 64.9 higher than Detroit.  Now they are doing better than Detroit.  Let’s look at where South Africa’s killings are taking place

Residents in low-income areas, the analysis shows, are far more likely to be murdered than their middle and high-income counterparts. Half of South Africa’s murders occur in only 13% or 143 out of 1 127 of police precincts.

A vast majority of the average of 43 murders that take place daily do not make the news. They happen in areas where crime and violence are part of the daily despair of residents who already feel marginalised and forgotten by media and politicians.

Remember the person writing this article is a person trying to downplay the violence in South Africa.

As for Rape:

Interpol says South Africa is the world’s rape capital and less than 1% of rape cases are reported to police. According to a reliable website that compiles rape statistics this has had a detrimental effect on successfully pursuing rape cases in the country.

How bad is it? This bad::

South Africa’s parliament issued a reprimand to police Monday after media outlets reported that police stations across the country were running out of rape kits

Mind you all of this is after two decades of rule by the African National Congress duly elected and regularly re-elected by the free people of South Africa.

Without question the removal of the evil Apartheid laws was a positive good and franchise being extended to all citizens is simple justice.  A People must have the right to govern themselves and a government that doesn’t reflect the consent of the governed is unjust.

What is not axiomatic is that a popularly elected government will govern well.

The people have freely chosen to elect The African National Congress for 20 years by landslide majorities.  That party has failed to stem unemployment,   has seen life expectancy drop by nearly a decade during their rule and been a haven for murder and rape.

Yesterday spectacle to the world showing how South Africans  has progressed under the management of the leftist African National congress.  It’s been a great time for the country “except maybe for the people who got killed or raped.”

I’m sure some will think this a rather hard critique, some might even throw an epithet at me for it (remember there are five a’s in raaaaacist).  To those critics of all races, creeds and political beliefs I ask this question:

Would any one of you choose to move to such a country, raise your children in such a country or encourage your sons and daughters to do so?

Update: While the media is busy discussing Angelo-American-Danish relations almost nobody in media seemed to notice or bother covering the booing of the President of South Africa

But apparently the South African president did

Perhaps the booing might have something to do with this:

The question is: Will they make the ANC pay at the ballot box?

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