Forget the Democrats will the GOP learn the lessons of FL-13

by Datechguy | March 12th, 2014

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Forget the Democrats will the GOP learn the lessons of FL-13

I was incred­i­bly anx­ious to watch Morn­ing Joe today.

After yesterday’s sig­nals con­cern­ing Fl-​13 and the unex­pected GOP win this had the poten­tial to be the most enter­tain­ing MSNBC broad­cast I’ve seen since com­ing home at 3:45 AM with Stacy McCain and Dan Collins in time to see Keith Olber­man melt down over Scott Brown’s Mass­a­chu­setts win.

To their credit the Morn­ing Joe table, par­tic­u­larly Mika Brzezin­ski did not sug­ar­coat or spin this race (with the excep­tion of Axel­rod) as any­thing other than a dis­as­ter for the democ­rats. In the 7 AM Hour Chuck Todd went deeply into the polls they had done sug­gest­ing that Alex Sink was the bet­ter can­di­date with the right mes­sage and was doing well with independents.

The moment he said this bells started to ring in my head as a piece I linked ear­lier from the Miami Her­ald blog came to mind:

Who­ever gets his base out wins. That’s pretty cliché. But it’s true.

Ask Alex Sink. Her cam­paign did a great job of mes­sag­ing to inde­pen­dents and crossover voters.

That sounds an awful lot like a spe­cial elec­tion cam­paign we had in Mass­a­chu­setts last year when the party backed Gabriel Gomez because of his sup­posed appeal to inde­pen­dents and Democrats.

Mean­while Mr. Jolly took a dif­fer­ent approach:

It’s a swing dis­trict. But the Jolly cam­paign focused more heav­ily on Repub­li­cans and a Repub­li­can message.

Sink sur­ro­gates talked about cli­mate change and oil drilling and abor­tion. Jolly was more red meat. There was lots of Oba­macare talk and messaging.

Hold on, are you telling me that Dave Jolly’s plan to win in FL-​13 was to appeal to and turn out the GOP base? No won­der the estab­lish­ment GOP hated his campaign:

Their frus­tra­tion had been mount­ing for weeks. But by late Jan­u­ary national Repub­li­cans had had it with David Jolly, their can­di­date in Tuesday’s nation­ally watched Florida con­gres­sional spe­cial election.

The can­di­date had just told the state’s top polit­i­cal reporter that he dis­agreed with an ad the party was air­ing against his Demo­c­ra­tic oppo­nent — a spot paid for with the nearly $500,000 the GOP had already spent on Jolly’s behalf.

I mean it’s one thing to run against Oba­macare but to run against ille­gal immi­gra­tion:

While Demo­c­rat Alex Sink can­didly ran on the open bor­ders agenda by dis­clos­ing that the moti­va­tion behind amnesty is so that we can all keep our house­keep­ers, Jolly cat­e­gor­i­cally rejected amnesty. He ran an ad pro­claim­ing that he is “in favor stronger bor­ders. Not amnesty.” In a tight race, you don’t waste time or money on ads that don’t have a cen­tral issue at stake.

Stand­ing on con­ser­v­a­tive prin­ci­ples, ral­ly­ing the base, attack­ing amnesty, Pres­i­dents McCain and Rom­ney and Sen­a­tor Gomez and every mem­ber of the rotat­ing GOP estab­lish­ment that appears on cable will tell you that’s not how it’s done.

Lucky for David Jolly he didn’t lis­ten, instead he took the advice of Ted Cruz, Sarah Palin & Rand Paul from CPAC 2014 who all said that stand­ing on good con­ser­v­a­tive prin­ci­ples inspires the base and wins elections,.

Yes­ter­day David Jolly won doing just that I hope that the GOP will look at can­di­dates like Karen Tester­man in NH and be wise enough to fig­ure it out.

Clos­ing thought: All over the media the ques­tion is being asked if Democ­rats will learn the lessons of this race. It would seem at least one has:

Head­ing into the governor’s race, Crist has an Obama team guid­ing him, and he has been mov­ing far­ther and far­ther left now that he’s a Demo­c­rat. He seems to under­stand base elections.

I esteem cow dung more than I do Char­lie Crist but nobody knows how to sur­vive more than vermin.

***************************************

[olimome­ter id=4]

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I was incredibly anxious to watch Morning Joe today.

After yesterday’s signals concerning Fl-13 and the unexpected GOP win this had the potential to be the most entertaining MSNBC broadcast I’ve seen since coming home at 3:45 AM with Stacy McCain and Dan Collins in time to see Keith Olberman melt down over Scott Brown’s Massachusetts win.

To their credit the Morning Joe table, particularly Mika Brzezinski did not sugarcoat or spin this race (with the exception of Axelrod) as anything other than a disaster for the democrats. In the 7 AM Hour Chuck Todd went deeply into the polls they had done suggesting that Alex Sink was the better candidate with the right message and was doing well with independents.

The moment he said this bells started to ring in my head as a  piece I linked earlier from the Miami Herald blog came to mind:

Whoever gets his base out wins. That’s pretty cliché. But it’s true.

Ask Alex Sink. Her campaign did a great job of messaging to independents and crossover voters.

That sounds an awful lot like a special election campaign we had in Massachusetts last year when the party backed Gabriel Gomez because of his supposed appeal to independents and Democrats.

Meanwhile Mr. Jolly took a different approach:

It’s a swing district. But the Jolly campaign focused more heavily on Republicans and a Republican message.

Sink surrogates talked about climate change and oil drilling and abortion. Jolly was more red meat. There was lots of Obamacare talk and messaging.

Hold on, are you telling me that Dave Jolly’s plan to win in FL-13 was to appeal to and turn out the GOP base?  No wonder the establishment GOP hated his campaign:

Their frustration had been mounting for weeks. But by late January national Republicans had had it with David Jolly, their candidate in Tuesday’s nationally watched Florida congressional special election.

The candidate had just told the state’s top political reporter that he disagreed with an ad the party was airing against his Democratic opponent — a spot paid for with the nearly $500,000 the GOP had already spent on Jolly’s behalf.

I mean it’s one thing to run against Obamacare but to run against illegal immigration:

While Democrat Alex Sink candidly ran on the open borders agenda by disclosing that the motivation behind amnesty is so that we can all keep our housekeepers, Jolly categorically rejected amnesty. He ran an ad proclaiming that he is “in favor stronger borders. Not amnesty.” In a tight race, you don’t waste time or money on ads that don’t have a central issue at stake.

Standing on conservative principles, rallying the base, attacking amnesty,  Presidents McCain and Romney and Senator Gomez and every member of the rotating GOP establishment that appears on cable will tell you that’s not how it’s done.

Lucky for David Jolly he didn’t listen, instead he took the advice of Ted Cruz, Sarah Palin & Rand Paul from  CPAC 2014 who all said that standing on good conservative principles inspires the base and wins elections,.

Yesterday David Jolly won doing just that I hope that the GOP will look at candidates like Karen Testerman in NH and be wise enough to figure it out.

Closing thought:  All over the media the question is being asked if Democrats will learn the lessons of this race.  It would seem at least one has:

Heading into the governor’s race, Crist has an Obama team guiding him, and he has been moving farther and farther left now that he’s a Democrat. He seems to understand base elections.

I esteem cow dung more than I do Charlie Crist but nobody knows how to survive more than vermin.

***************************************

Olimometer 2.52

It’s Wednesday and we remain at $66 dollars toward this week’s goal of $365 to keep the bills paid. That’s $299 short

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I would ask that you do subscribe by hitting the button below.  If your finances allow it, consider choosing Hat level or better.  A subscription comes not only with exclusive commentary, but on a weekly basis you will have the opportunity to get direct access to me by phone to provide feedback or suggestions to make sure this site is worthy of your financial support and patronage.


 

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