Yesterday I lead with a piece on the #ObamaChinaDeal & the #ObamaEPARegulations and strongly suggested that the GOP get right up in front of this, first by attaching Obama’s name to it, second by pinning it and by extension Obama to them.
The idea being if you want to establish a meme or a message to the voting public it needs to be started early then you can refer to it over and over during the course of months and years and create a fixed point of conventional wisdom, in this case: “Democrats running in 2016 will be continuing Obama’s job killing policies.”
This is conservatism 101, if you want to accomplish things you have to plan and prepare well ahead.
And that brings us to Claire McCaskill “big” news:
McCaskill was the first Democratic senator to publicly announce her opposition to Reid.
McCaskill wouldn’t say if she was considering a run for governor, which many speculated was her motivation. She said her “only” concern is Ferguson, where racial tensions erupted this summer.
The second-term Missouri Democrat said before leadership elections Thursday that Reid, who has led his caucus since 2005, would not get her support.
From Doug Mataconis at outside the beltway,Noah Rothman at Hotair, Peter Sullivan at The Hill and others considered this worth pixels writing stories about trouble in the Democrat caucus in the Senate even though Reid was again voted head of their caucus.
However Claire McCaskill move isn’t about Harry Reid and Election 2014, it’s about election 2018.
You read that right, not election 2016, election 2018
According to the US census Missouri has a black population of 11.7%. It has a hispanic population of 3.4% Additionally while Democrats have been winning the Governor’s mansion since Missouri have held the governor’s mansion since 2009 both the House and Senate in the state have gone Republican since 2003.
In other words Missouri has been trending red and while the media has been giving a lot of latitude to protesters in Ferguson, riots by left leaning mobs and attacks on police are not likely to cause the state to turn any bluer anytime soon.
So seeing the lay of the land and understanding that the next senate election she is facing is in a midterms she had to quickly establish her independence from the two most unpopular Democrats in the nation, Harry Reid and Barack Obama.
While she has to thread carefully on Ferguson as she can’t afford to lose any of the black vote that the Democrat party is built on The Keystone Pipeline vote will give her an excellent change to contrast herself with the president, you can expect a lot more of that soon.
However being the very first major Democrat to publicly declare herself opposed to Harry Reid is the best of both worlds. It made absolutely no different in his election while garnering headlines across cable news and the internet so that in four years (or two if she decides to go for the Governor’s seat when someone googles Harry Reid and Claire McCaskill those headlines will make the case for her “independence” from the Washington liberal Democrats that Missouri voters are rejecting en masse.
That is exactly how to do it.
I may not think of Senator McCaskill but If pushing quietly backing Todd Akin didn’t convince you that she is among the most [politically savvy members of the Democrat Senate her performance yesterday should do it.
I wish the GOP had more senators as canny.
Update: Maybe Hillary with Politico’s help is planning the same thing on offense vs Sen Warren. More on that this weekend.
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