New Week, New Poll: Which Candidates Will Drop This Week?

By:  Pat Austin

SHREVEPORT – Another week, another poll.

In the latest NBC News/WSJ poll, the leaders are Donald Trump followed closely by Ben Carson.  Carly Fiorina has risen significantly since her steely debate performance, and Marco Rubio is holding steady.

At the bottom of the list are Lindsey Graham, George Pataki, and Jim Gilmore, with Bobby Jindal barely showing a pulse.  As of this writing, none of them have dropped out yet but it’s probably coming.

Rumor has it that Jindal is close to dropping out which would surprise almost nobody.  Rand Paul is likely to join him.

Ted Cruz won the Value Voter Summit this weekend, but as NPR, who has written him off, notes – that endorsement has never landed a GOP candidate a nomination the next year.

Even with Trump still ahead in every poll that I’ve seen, I stand by my assessment last week that he’s faltering.  I simply do not see him staying the course until the end.  Feel free to lob this back at me later if he does.  I simply can’t conceive of a President Trump. Now, that doesn’t mean much; I said the same thing about Obama’s first election, so my record at prediction isn’t all that good.

I am a little surprised at how poorly Ted Cruz is showing; he is truly the most conservative candidate in the race and one who can truly stand on his record.  He has no Gang of Eight baggage to atone for.  In fact, he may even get a boost this week given Boehner’s potshots at him.  Boehner’s RINO record speaks for itself and for him to refer to Ted Cruz as a “jackass” and implying that he is a “false prophet” can only help Cruz.  Boehner is following in the Republican establishment model of eating their young.  It’s no wonder the party is in such a mess.

The next debate is not until October 28 and while the candidates are all in a frenzy over how many will be allowed on stage, it may be a moot point at the rate they are dropping out, or at least predicted to drop.

Pat Austin blogs at And So it Goes in Shreveport.