Ted Cruz & My Pal Dave bets and Promises

Readability

Ted Cruz & My Pal Dave bets and Promises

Look I am not say­ing any­thing at all neg­a­tive about Ted Williams. The fur­ther we go into the analy­sis of the bat­ting sta­tis­tics, the closer we come to being forced to accept the con­clu­sion that Williams, not Babe Ruth, was the great­est hit­ter who ever lived. I think he was the sec­ond great­est left fielder who ever lived. That’s not criticism.

Bill James: The Bill James His­tor­i­cal Base­ball Abstract 1985

Twenty Nine years ago I started dat­ing my wife.

I had known her back in high school and col­lege but never made a move. She con­sid­ered me a geek & a dork (in fair­ness that was an accu­rate assess­ment) but a series of cir­cum­stances con­nected to the ill­ness that would even­tu­ally kill my father led us together.

By the time Christ­mas rolled around it was obvi­ous to both me and my friends that I intended to pro­pose and one day a pair of my friends got into a con­ver­sa­tion with me about the sub­ject. I said it was too early in the rela­tion­ship to go there fig­ur­ing I’d wait till my Birth­day in May.

Oddly enough rather than argue with me, they, Jamie & Dave ended up argu­ing on the sub­ject with each other and the argu­ment turned into a bet over if I would pro­pose by my birth­day. Jamie say­ing no I’d hold off and Dave say­ing there wasn’t a prayer I would.

At the time Jamie was 16 but I had known my friend Dave since we were 10 years old. There was always one thing about Dave that always drove me nuts. He always just a lit­tle bit bet­ter at me in every­thing from his grades to sports to gam­ing etc. Fur­ther­more he had a rep­u­ta­tion for read­ing peo­ple and being right in a way that was slightly irritating.

I knew that Dave was right, I wanted to pro­pose, I wanted to do so bad, but when I heard him I also said to myself: “Cripes Dave’s always right about every­thing I’m damned if I was going to let him be right about this.

So I held off deter­mined to hold off propos­ing till after my birth­day until a slip of the tongue three-​months early at a busi­ness with her: “Is this your wife?” “Not yet” caused me to explain the bet to the lady and “hypo­thet­i­cally” ask what her reac­tion would be to a pro­posal thus keep­ing my resolution.

In a way my think­ing on Elec­tion 2016 has been similar.

At one point there were 17 GOP can­di­dates run­ning for pres­i­dent and of those 17 can­di­dates there were four can­di­dates whose nom­i­na­tion would have really excited me. If any one of the four came out of the pri­maries, I’d be on cloud nine.

Of those four there is a par­tic­u­lar can­di­date that in my opin­ion would be the best choice for the GOP. I have been absolutely delighted with from day one. This can­di­date that I’ve been so happy with that I’ve had the urge to just spon­ta­neously endorse sev­eral times over the last sev­eral months

But I decided I just couldn’t do it yet. I wanted to wait until at least the first debate, I wanted to give the other three can­di­dates that I really like a chance to impress me as much as this per­son has.

Fur­ther­more sev­eral other can­di­dates were run­ning while not one of those four, are impres­sive or have impressed me either by their records, by advanc­ing par­tic­u­lar issues that I think are vital, or by their per­sonal char­ac­ter. I felt I should wait and see, will any of these can­di­dates impress me enough to change my mind?

So I waited. I watched the debate (Which I think Don­ald Trump won with Fio­r­ina win­ning the Under­card) and I watched the 2nd debate (Which I think Rand Paul won, with Gra­ham tak­ing the under­card) I watched the var­i­ous cam­paigns, I saw how they dealt with media, with each other and with adver­sity. I saw Rick Perry, a very com­pe­tent GOP gov­er­nor leave the race and I saw Scott Walker, another com­pe­tent gov­er­nor and one of the four can­di­dates I was excited about fol­low him out, nar­row­ing my favorite list to three.

Then I was think­ing I’d bet­ter hold off, there are sev­eral key repub­li­cans com­ing to New Hamp­shire and if I endorse one can­di­date it might com­pli­cate things when I inter­view oth­ers. I told myself, as I did all those years ago I was going to hold off.

Well, the sit­u­a­tion has changed.

It’s a few weeks to the next GOP debate and CNBC, the host is appar­ently mak­ing two key deci­sions: #1 There will be no under­card debate and #2 There will not be 10 can­di­dates in the debate mean­ing that they will exclude can­di­dates based on a cri­te­ria that is cur­rently unknown.

Now I dis­agree with this, after all the only rea­son why Carly Fio­r­ina is a top tier can­di­date is because #1 There was an under­card debate & #2 she was pro­moted to the stage & given a chance to speak, but this is CNBC’s debate so they get to set the rules.

It’s true that past per­for­mance is no guar­an­tee of future results, NBC being NBC I pre­sume that the cut off cri­te­ria will be based upon what helps the GOP estab­lish­ment and by exten­sion the demo­c­rat party the most

Given this fact, it is no longer fea­si­ble to wait before pick­ing a can­di­date out of the field. It is time to choose.

My choice is Ted Cruz.

Sen­a­tor Cruz has been fight­ing the good fight from the very day that he got into the sen­ate. He has held up a light to an insti­tu­tion that thrives on show votes and phony con­sid­er­a­tions. He has done all he can Even as the He has, in my opin­ion made the right strate­gic deci­sions doing his best either win key bat­tles or force democ­rats to go on the record to sup­port theirs. He has com­pletely jus­ti­fied the ini­tial endorse­ment years ago from Sarah Palin that put him on the map and enabled his vic­tory over the estab­lish­ment GOP choice in Texas.

He has fought against Obamacare

He has fought against the Iran Deal

He has fought against the Planned Parenthood

He has fought against Gay Marriage

He has fought against Amnesty

and he has done so even in the teeth of oppo­si­tion of his own party and has even called them out when doing so.

He has done so despite being exco­ri­ated by the media. It’s no coin­ci­dence that the media rarely, if ever, notes the his­toric nature or the pos­si­bil­ity of him being the first his­panic president.

Now in one respect this endorse­ment is very hard, I REALLY like Rick San­to­rum. Over the years he fought for many of these prin­ci­ples and has stood up valiantly to defend these prin­ci­ples, I would be ecsta­tic if he was the nom­i­nee. I also like Bobby Jin­dal, he has been loud and strong for reli­gious lib­erty, if he were to get the nom­i­na­tion I would be ener­gized and ready for the battle.

Fur­ther­more there are Can­di­dates like Ben Car­son who while not part of my “I’m so excited” tier I would have absolutely no prob­lem going all in for.

Like Bill James pick­ing Stan Musial over Ted Williams as the great­est left fielder of all time, my choice is not a cri­tique of either Gov Jin­dal or Sen­a­tor San­to­rum. If for any rea­son Sen­a­tor Cruz leaves the race before either of them I will be hon­ored to give pub­lic sup­port to either one of them (and will con­tinue to say good things about them on this site and on twit­ter). But the time has come to make a choice

28 years ago with (unknown to me) only a few weeks to live my father hear­ing of my rea­son for hold­ing off, told me in no uncer­tain terms how fool­ish it was to put off a crit­i­cal deci­sion for a triv­i­al­ity. I took his advice and because I did he lived to see me offi­cially engaged when oth­er­wise he would not have.

It’s unlikely that my endorse­ment will be as crit­i­cal to Sen­a­tor Cruz’s cam­paign as that excel­lent deci­sion I made three decades ear­lier was to me, but like that deci­sion it’s a com­mit­ment that shouldn’t be delayed any further.

The GOP has 15 remain­ing can­di­dates, all are bet­ter than Hillary Clin­ton, Joe Biden or Bernie Sanders et/​al, among the are some good choices and even some great choices.

In my opin­ion, the best choice, MY choice for Pres­i­dent is Sen­a­tor Ted Cruz from the state of Texas, and I’d urge you to give him your vote in the GOP pri­mary in your state.

Clos­ing thought: I’d like to include this speech from Ted Cruz from the floor of the Sen­ate yes­ter­day that was linked by Hotair​.com. this speech is 59 min­utes long and yet in 24 hours it has been viewed just under 63,000 times.

Yes­ter­day I wrote about how many peo­ple pay no atten­tion to the news, It says some­thing when a Sen­ate Floor Speech of 55:10, a speech that is not being pro­moted by the media or by the party, draws that many views in 24 hours.

But even more impor­tantly lis­ten to it, because while the num­ber of views tells some­thing about the speech, the con­tent tells every­thing about the man giv­ing it.

****************************************************************************

The only pay I get for this work comes from you. My goal for 2015 is $22,000.

Given that fact and the dis­cov­ery that the repairs needed for my car that failed inspec­tion will run between $500-$1000 I would I ask you to please con­sider hit­ting DaTipJar.




[olimome­ter id=14]

That gets all the bills paid. Con­sider Sub­scrib­ing 100 Sub­scribers at $20 a month will get the job done and then some.


Choose a Sub­scrip­tion level



Addi­tion­ally our sub­scribers get our pod­cast emailed directly to them before it show up any­where else.

I know you can get the MSM for noth­ing, but that’s pretty much what most of them are worth.

Look I am not saying anything at all negative about Ted Williams.  The further we go into the analysis of the batting statistics, the closer we come to being forced to accept the conclusion that Williams, not Babe Ruth, was the greatest hitter who ever lived.  I think he was the second greatest left fielder who ever lived.  That’s not criticism.

Bill James:  The Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract 1985

Twenty Nine years ago I started dating my wife.

I had known her back in high school and college but never made a move.  She considered me a geek & a dork (in fairness that was an accurate assessment) but a series of circumstances connected to the illness that would eventually kill my father led us together.

By the time Christmas rolled around it was obvious to both me and my friends that I intended to propose and one day a pair of my friends got into a conversation with me about the subject.  I said it was too early in the relationship to go there figuring I’d wait till my Birthday in May.

Oddly enough rather than argue with me, they, Jamie & Dave ended up arguing on the subject with each other and the argument turned into a bet over if I would propose by my birthday.  Jamie saying no I’d hold off and Dave saying there wasn’t a prayer I would.

At the time Jamie was 16 but I had known my friend Dave since we were 10 years old. There was always one thing about Dave that always drove me nuts.  He always just a little bit better at me in everything from his grades to sports to gaming etc.  Furthermore he had a reputation for reading people and being right in a way that was slightly irritating.

I knew that Dave was right, I wanted to propose, I wanted to do so bad, but when I heard him I also said to myself: “Cripes Dave’s always right about everything I’m damned if I was going to let him be right about this.

So I held off determined to hold off proposing till after my birthday until a slip of the tongue three-months early at a business with her: “Is this your wife?”  “Not yet” caused me to explain the bet to the lady and “hypothetically” ask what her reaction would be to a proposal thus keeping my resolution.

In a way my thinking on Election 2016 has been similar.

At one point there were 17 GOP candidates running for president and of those 17 candidates there were four candidates  whose nomination would have really excited me.  If any one of the four came out of the primaries, I’d be on cloud nine.

Of those four there is a particular candidate that in my opinion would be the best choice for the GOP.  I have been absolutely delighted with from day one.  This candidate that I’ve been so happy with that I’ve had the urge to just spontaneously endorse several times over the last several months

But I decided I just couldn’t do it yet. I wanted to wait until at least the first debate, I wanted to give the other three candidates that I really like a chance to impress me as much as this person has.

Furthermore several other candidates were running while not one of those four, are impressive or have impressed me either by their records, by advancing particular issues that I think are vital, or by their personal character.  I felt I should wait and see, will any of these candidates impress me enough to change my mind?

So I waited.  I watched the  debate (Which I think Donald Trump won with Fiorina winning the Undercard) and I watched the 2nd debate (Which I think Rand Paul won, with Graham taking the undercard) I watched the various campaigns, I saw how they dealt with media, with each other and with adversity.   I saw Rick Perry, a very competent GOP governor leave the race and I saw Scott Walker, another competent governor and one of the four candidates I was excited about follow him out, narrowing my favorite list to three.

Then I was thinking I’d better hold off, there are several key republicans coming to New Hampshire and if I endorse one candidate it might complicate things when I interview others.  I told myself, as I did all those years ago I was going to hold off.

Well, the situation has changed.

It’s a few weeks to the next GOP debate and CNBC, the host is apparently making two key decisions: #1  There will be no undercard debate and #2  There will not be 10 candidates in the debate meaning that they will exclude candidates based on a criteria that is currently unknown.

Now I disagree with this, after all the only reason why Carly Fiorina is a top tier candidate is because #1  There was an undercard debate & #2  she was promoted to the stage & given a chance to speak, but this is CNBC’s debate so they get to set the rules.

It’s true that past performance is no guarantee of future results, NBC being NBC I presume that the cut off criteria will be based upon what helps the GOP establishment and by extension the democrat party the most

Given this fact,  it is no longer feasible to wait before picking a candidate out of the field.  It is time to choose.

My choice is Ted Cruz.

Senator Cruz has been fighting the good fight from the very day that he got into the senate.  He has held up a light to an institution that thrives on show votes and phony considerations.  He has done all he can Even as the He has, in my opinion made the right strategic decisions doing his best either win key battles or force democrats to go on the record to support theirs.  He has completely justified the initial endorsement years ago from Sarah Palin that put him on the map and enabled his victory over the establishment GOP choice in Texas.

He has fought against Obamacare

He has fought against the Iran Deal

He has fought against the Planned Parenthood

He has fought against Gay Marriage

He has fought against Amnesty

and he has done so even in the teeth of opposition of his own party and has even called them out when doing so.

He has done so despite being excoriated by the media.  It’s no coincidence that the media rarely, if ever, notes the historic nature or the possibility of him being the first hispanic president.

Now in one respect this endorsement is very hard, I REALLY like Rick Santorum.  Over the years he fought for many of these principles and has stood up valiantly to defend these principles, I would be ecstatic if he was the nominee.  I also like Bobby Jindal, he has been loud and strong for religious liberty, if he were to get the nomination I would be energized and ready for the battle.

Furthermore there are Candidates like Ben Carson who while not part of my “I’m so excited” tier I would have absolutely no problem going all in for.

Like Bill James picking Stan Musial over Ted Williams as the greatest left fielder of all time, my choice is not a critique of either Gov Jindal or Senator Santorum.  If for any reason Senator Cruz leaves the race before either of them I will be honored to give public support to either one of them (and will continue to say good things about them on this site and on twitter).  But the time has come to make a choice

28 years ago with (unknown to me) only a few weeks to live my father hearing of my reason for holding off, told me in no uncertain terms how foolish it was to put off a critical decision for a triviality.  I took his advice and because I did he lived to see me officially engaged when otherwise he would not have.

It’s unlikely that my endorsement will be as critical to Senator Cruz’s campaign as that excellent decision I made three decades earlier was to me, but like that decision it’s a commitment that shouldn’t be delayed any further.

The GOP has 15 remaining candidates, all are better than Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden or Bernie Sanders et/al, among the are some good choices and even some great choices.

In my opinion, the best choice, MY choice for President is Senator Ted Cruz from the state of Texas, and I’d urge you to give him your vote in the GOP primary in your state.

Closing thought:  I’d like to include this speech from Ted Cruz from the floor of the Senate yesterday that was linked by Hotair.com.  this speech is 59 minutes long and yet in 24 hours it has been viewed just under 63,000 times.

Yesterday I wrote about how many people pay no attention to the news, It says something when a Senate Floor Speech of 55:10, a speech that is not being promoted by the media or by the party, draws that many views in 24 hours.

But even more importantly listen to it, because while the number of views tells something about the speech, the content tells everything about the man giving it.

 

****************************************************************************

The only pay I get for this work comes from you. My goal for 2015 is $22,000.

Given that fact and the discovery that the repairs needed for my car that failed inspection will run between $500-$1000 I would I ask you to please consider hitting DaTipJar.




Olimometer 2.52

That gets all the bills paid. Consider Subscribing 100 Subscribers at $20 a month will get the job done and then some.


Choose a Subscription level



Additionally our subscribers get our podcast emailed directly to them before it show up anywhere else.

I know you can get the MSM for nothing, but that’s pretty much what most of them are worth.