Crapgame: Then make a DEAL!
Big Joe: What kind of deal?
Crapgame: A DEAL, deal! Maybe the guy’s a Republican. “Business is business,” right?
Kelly’s Heroes 1970
Anyone who has been paying attention to the political winds for the last several months can see that the GOP does not like the idea of a Donald Trump nomination and/or presidency.
You see pundits on the left and the right going absolutely batshit crazy over the prospect, you see otherwise rational people attacking these people who are now paying attention to the GOP field who would normally not be paying attention till a few days before the primary if even then. And you see every single network having only one question before them: When will the Donald Trump boom end?
Despite this the reality is that the candidate the GOP and the Washington insiders fear the most is NOT Donald Trump.
It’s Ted Cruz.
At first glance this would seem counter intuitive, after all for all of his fuss Senator Cruz remains a senator in good standing and in the primary fights he has made it a point NOT to endorse in any race involving an incumbent and as the first Hispanic candidate to head a major party ticket would certainly make a difference come election day.
Furthermore as I’ve already argued a Donald Trump administration would by its nature bring in many people outside of the political establishment taking jobs that are normally stepping-stones for lucrative K street lobbying positions.
But if you think about it consider what would happen with a Cruz victory.
If Ted Cruz is in the White house picture what kind of people will be in positions of authority in the administration. While there will likely be the occasional establishment person as a sign of reconciliation in a less critical spot picture strong conservatives in key positions advancing a strong conservative agenda that the establishment feels uncomfortable with.
If Ted Cruz is in the White House, the excuses for not defunding Obamacare, for not defunding Planned Parenthood and for defunding the Import Export bank suddenly disappear. The GOP establishment which doesn’t mind show votes against such items will find themselves facing the disagreeable prospect of these things actually happening.
But it doesn’t stop there, on social issues that the big money donors and limousine liberals that both Rush & Cruz have described as having a fit when we suggest any cultural issues from Gay Marriage to Abortion to the persecution of Christians both in the country and outside of it the GOP will suddenly find that the defacto head of their party will be championing these causes from the White House.
And consider what will happen when he meets resistance from the congress. If Ted Cruz is willing to take on practically his entire caucus as the junior senator against a powerful Senate leader how much more willing will he be willing to do so with the bully pulpit & the power that comes with it in his hands? The Supreme Court Fights alone will be epic and I suspect a man as familiar with the court as he will managed to find actual conservatives to both nominate and fight for.
Now contrast that worry with what the Establishment will had to deal with in a Trump administration. Picture a group of people appointed by a pragmatic deal maker and picture the establishment and even the left having to deal with Trump and his appointees, many of whom will be self-made and have absolutely no loyalty to the conservative electorate that said establishment loathes so much.
Then finally consider Trump himself, he prides himself as being person who is a great negotiator and dealmaker. The problem with a dealmaker is the key question: “What do you give up to make the deal?”
If you are an Establishment republican or even a democrat that question will console you, but as a social conservative it does not.
If the race in the end gets down to Trump vs Cruz, don’t think for a second that the Establishment will side with Cruz.
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