Why Ted Cruz and not Donald Trump is the Candidate the Establishment fears most

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Why Ted Cruz and not Donald Trump is the Candidate the Establishment fears most

Crapgame: Then make a DEAL!
Big Joe: What kind of deal?
Crapgame: A DEAL, deal! Maybe the guy’s a Repub­li­can. “Busi­ness is busi­ness,” right?

Kelly’s Heroes 1970

Any­one who has been pay­ing atten­tion to the polit­i­cal winds for the last sev­eral months can see that the GOP does not like the idea of a Don­ald Trump nom­i­na­tion and/​or presidency.

You see pun­dits on the left and the right going absolutely bat­shit crazy over the prospect, you see oth­er­wise ratio­nal peo­ple attack­ing these peo­ple who are now pay­ing atten­tion to the GOP field who would nor­mally not be pay­ing atten­tion till a few days before the pri­mary if even then. And you see every sin­gle net­work hav­ing only one ques­tion before them: When will the Don­ald Trump boom end?

Despite this the real­ity is that the can­di­date the GOP and the Wash­ing­ton insid­ers fear the most is NOT Don­ald Trump.

It’s Ted Cruz.

At first glance this would seem counter intu­itive, after all for all of his fuss Sen­a­tor Cruz remains a sen­a­tor in good stand­ing and in the pri­mary fights he has made it a point NOT to endorse in any race involv­ing an incum­bent and as the first His­panic can­di­date to head a major party ticket would cer­tainly make a dif­fer­ence come elec­tion day.

Fur­ther­more as I’ve already argued a Don­ald Trump admin­is­tra­tion would by its nature bring in many peo­ple out­side of the polit­i­cal estab­lish­ment tak­ing jobs that are nor­mally stepping-​stones for lucra­tive K street lob­by­ing positions.

But if you think about it con­sider what would hap­pen with a Cruz victory.

If Ted Cruz is in the White house pic­ture what kind of peo­ple will be in posi­tions of author­ity in the admin­is­tra­tion. While there will likely be the occa­sional estab­lish­ment per­son as a sign of rec­on­cil­i­a­tion in a less crit­i­cal spot pic­ture strong con­ser­v­a­tives in key posi­tions advanc­ing a strong con­ser­v­a­tive agenda that the estab­lish­ment feels uncom­fort­able with.

If Ted Cruz is in the White House, the excuses for not defund­ing Oba­macare, for not defund­ing Planned Par­ent­hood and for defund­ing the Import Export bank sud­denly dis­ap­pear. The GOP estab­lish­ment which doesn’t mind show votes against such items will find them­selves fac­ing the dis­agree­able prospect of these things actu­ally happening.

But it doesn’t stop there, on social issues that the big money donors and lim­ou­sine lib­er­als that both Rush & Cruz have described as hav­ing a fit when we sug­gest any cul­tural issues from Gay Mar­riage to Abor­tion to the per­se­cu­tion of Chris­tians both in the coun­try and out­side of it the GOP will sud­denly find that the defacto head of their party will be cham­pi­oning these causes from the White House.

And con­sider what will hap­pen when he meets resis­tance from the con­gress. If Ted Cruz is will­ing to take on prac­ti­cally his entire cau­cus as the junior sen­a­tor against a pow­er­ful Sen­ate leader how much more will­ing will he be will­ing to do so with the bully pul­pit & the power that comes with it in his hands? The Supreme Court Fights alone will be epic and I sus­pect a man as famil­iar with the court as he will man­aged to find actual con­ser­v­a­tives to both nom­i­nate and fight for.

Now con­trast that worry with what the Estab­lish­ment will had to deal with in a Trump admin­is­tra­tion. Pic­ture a group of peo­ple appointed by a prag­matic deal maker and pic­ture the estab­lish­ment and even the left hav­ing to deal with Trump and his appointees, many of whom will be self-​made and have absolutely no loy­alty to the con­ser­v­a­tive elec­torate that said estab­lish­ment loathes so much.

Then finally con­sider Trump him­self, he prides him­self as being per­son who is a great nego­tia­tor and deal­maker. The prob­lem with a deal­maker is the key ques­tion: “What do you give up to make the deal?”

If you are an Estab­lish­ment repub­li­can or even a demo­c­rat that ques­tion will con­sole you, but as a social con­ser­v­a­tive it does not.

If the race in the end gets down to Trump vs Cruz, don’t think for a sec­ond that the Estab­lish­ment will side with Cruz.

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The only pay I get for this work comes from you. My goal for 2015 is $22,000.

Given that fact and the dis­cov­ery that the repairs needed for my car that failed inspec­tion will run between $500-$1000 I would I ask you to please con­sider hit­ting DaTipJar.




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Crapgame: Then make a DEAL!
Big Joe: What kind of deal?
Crapgame: A DEAL, deal! Maybe the guy’s a Republican. “Business is business,” right?

Kelly’s Heroes 1970

Anyone who has been paying attention to the political winds for the last several months can see that the GOP does not like the idea of a Donald Trump nomination and/or presidency.

You see pundits on the left and the right going absolutely batshit crazy over the prospect, you see otherwise rational people attacking these people who are now paying attention to the GOP field who would normally not be paying attention till a few days before the primary if even then. And you see every single network having only one question before them: When will the Donald Trump boom end?

Despite this the reality is that the candidate the GOP and the Washington insiders fear the most is NOT Donald Trump.

It’s Ted Cruz.

At first glance this would seem counter intuitive, after all for all of his fuss Senator Cruz remains a senator in good standing and in the primary fights he has made it a point NOT to endorse in any race involving an incumbent and as the first Hispanic candidate to head a major party ticket would certainly make a difference come election day.

Furthermore as I’ve already argued a Donald Trump administration would by its nature bring in many people outside of the political establishment taking jobs that are normally stepping-stones for lucrative K street lobbying positions.

But if you think about it consider what would happen with a Cruz victory.

If Ted Cruz is in the White house picture what kind of people will be in positions of authority in the administration. While there will likely be the occasional establishment person as a sign of reconciliation in a less critical spot picture strong conservatives in key positions advancing a strong conservative agenda that the establishment feels uncomfortable with.

If Ted Cruz is in the White House, the excuses for not defunding Obamacare, for not defunding Planned Parenthood and for defunding the Import Export bank suddenly disappear. The GOP establishment which doesn’t mind show votes against such items will find themselves facing the disagreeable prospect of these things actually happening.

But it doesn’t stop there, on social issues that the big money donors and limousine liberals that both Rush & Cruz have described as having a fit when we suggest any cultural issues from Gay Marriage to Abortion to the persecution of Christians both in the country and outside of it the GOP will suddenly find that the defacto head of their party will be championing these causes from the White House.

And consider what will happen when he meets resistance from the congress. If Ted Cruz is willing to take on practically his entire caucus as the junior senator against a powerful Senate leader how much more willing will he be willing to do so with the bully pulpit & the power that comes with it in his hands? The Supreme Court Fights alone will be epic and I suspect a man as familiar with the court as he will managed to find actual conservatives to both nominate and fight for.

Now contrast that worry with what the Establishment will had to deal with in a Trump administration. Picture a group of people appointed by a pragmatic deal maker and picture the establishment and even the left having to deal with Trump and his appointees, many of whom will be self-made and have absolutely no loyalty to the conservative electorate that said establishment loathes so much.

Then finally consider Trump himself, he prides himself as being person who is a great negotiator and dealmaker. The problem with a dealmaker is the key question: “What do you give up to make the deal?”

If you are an Establishment republican or even a democrat that question will console you, but as a social conservative it does not.

If the race in the end gets down to Trump vs Cruz, don’t think for a second that the Establishment will side with Cruz.

****************************************************************************

The only pay I get for this work comes from you. My goal for 2015 is $22,000.

Given that fact and the discovery that the repairs needed for my car that failed inspection will run between $500-$1000 I would I ask you to please consider hitting DaTipJar.




Olimometer 2.52

That gets all the bills paid. Consider Subscribing 100 Subscribers at $20 a month will get the job done and then some.


Choose a Subscription level



Additionally our subscribers get our podcast emailed directly to them before it show up anywhere else.

I know you can get the MSM for nothing, but that’s pretty much what most of them are worth.