Ted Cruz Still Playing Nine Innings

Yesterday the net was all a flutter with the latest Des Moines Register Poll showing that my man Ted Cruz is for the first time, in the lead in Iowa by a significant margin.

The firebrand junior senator from Texas is backed by 31 percent of those likely to attend the Republican caucuses that start the presidential nomination season on Feb. 1. Trump is a distant second at 21 percent, up slightly from 19 percent in October, but below his peak of 23 percent in August.

More significant is this fact:

And there are signs Cruz may not have peaked in Iowa yet. Another 20 percent of likely caucusgoers say he’s their current second choice for president. Cruz hits 51 percent support when first- and second-choice interest is combined, again leading the field.

With Cruz’s popularity and his debate proficiency, “it’s certainly possible that he could win Iowa big — very big,” said Frank Luntz, a Nevada-based GOP focus group guru who follows the Iowa race closely.

Now as guy who endorsed Ted Cruz a couple of months ago I’m pleased by this, but as a baseball guy I know that it’s not who leads in the polls in December but who turns out on election day that matters. I’ve seen how Ted Cruz plays the game when he’s down in the polls now we’ll see how he does when he’s ahead.

I suspect he’s going to do fine for a couple of reasons.

First of all generally the thing that kills a new front runner is being attacked for the first time. Ted Cruz has spent almost his entire career being attacked, both from the left and the right the attention that comes from being attacked he’s been attacked for years.

Second of all he has been smart enough not to follow the MSM tide. When the rest of the field jumped when the MSM demanded they respond to Trump a particular way, Cruz declined.

Finally he has been playing the long game from the start as evidenced by this interview from August of this year

Of course past performance is not guarantee of future results but I think Ted is going to do just fine as long as he keeps playing his game. I think the biggest fear will be when the MSM & GOP pivot toward Donald Trump in order to stop Cruz.

Yes you read that right.

Anyways I’m going to enjoy this poll for now but I’m not going to blindly assume that it means that Cruz has a lock on the game, and I’m pleased to say, I strongly suspect neither will Ted Cruz.

That’s why I think he’s going to win.

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