Just saw his on twitter:

Now there are logical strategic reasons for Donald Trump to skip the last debate.

He is far ahead of the polls and avoiding the last debate makes it unlikely that he will make a mistake that could imperil that lead.

By skipping the Debate he is able to hold potential ratings hostage and gives cnn & MSNBC a chance to run the Donald Trump event as counterprogramming as a shove to Fox.

By giving Ted Cruz the center stage he makes him the visible target for other members of the GOP to attack rather than him.

Al of these things add up the Prevent Defense

However in the end this is really STUPID.

1. If the debate draws strong ratings, Trump undercuts himself.

2. By making Ted Cruz the alpha male on the stage he allows him to show as a leader

3. The unwillingness to face Megyn Kelly undercuts the whole “Strong leader” image

But the most devastating take away is this:

Donald Trump has been playing the Alpha Male but the reality is that his events are low risk and well controlled. He doesn’t take a lot of questions from people, he holds his press conferences BEFORE events so that press that wants to follow up on what he says had to wait the next day.

In the last debate Donald Trump and Ted Cruz went head to head, Trump landed a good rhetorical blow on NY values, but Cruz landed plenty as well.

Most importantly unlike every single other person who has taken a Donald Trump punch, Ted Cruz rather than moderating came back countering strong, with ad after ad hitting Trump’s using his own words.

Not ten days ago I was calling Donald Trump vs Ted Cruz Ali Frazer but after this move the best description will have to be Leonard Duran 2 which ended like this:

If I’m Ted Cruz I’ve got a web ad with the clips of people talking about the great Trump/Cruz fight then ending with the Leonard / Duran clip and #NoMás

Closing Thought: Donald Trump has run a nearly flawless campaign to this point.  He remains my 3rd Choice (although Rubio is knocking).  That being said I can’t think of a bigger mistake he can make at a more critical time, but in the end Trump is no fool. If he has made this decision it suggests he’s a lot more worried about Iowa than he’s let on.

Update: Tweeted by a trump supporter defending his decision to not show

The Irony here is amazing.

Meanwhile Ted Cruz has challenged him to a one on one debate with no Megyn Kelly around.


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by baldilocks

First off, I never have, at least explicitly.Baldilocks mini

There is no way of guessing which candidate, if elected, will keep his/her word after getting elected. Promises—like rules—are made to be broken among those of the political class. Endorsing a candidate implies that I think that a single person would make the best president from among the choices available and even when I very strongly supported a candidacy—President Bush’s in 2004—I never formally endorsed him. In 2008, I very strongly opposed then-Senator Obama’s candidacy, so it was a given that I supported that of Senator McCain.

Now? I could go on about the pros and cons–no pun intended–of Senator Cruz and Mr. Trump, but to quote the presumptive 2016 Democrat front-runner, what difference at this point would it make?

This is what’s going to happen: the country is about to take a huge financial fall and whichever party is in control at that time will take the blame for it. Wait. Scratch that. If a Democrat is in the White House, he/she will find a way to blame the Republicans and the Mainstream press will help bolster that notion. It goes without saying that the GOP will shoulder all the blame if there is a GOP president at the breaking point. There will be another Civil War–and only among the political elite, if God is merciful to us.

In short, I think that we are past the point where it matters which person and which party is in the White House, so any endorsement coming from me would be a waste and would draw needless annoyance from those who worship the Political Candidate Idols and who engage in “bumper-sticker-level mudslinging” whenever their god is blasphemed.

I prefer to keep developing and improving my faith life, my critical thinking skills, and writing my novel. There will time enough for choosing. And for finger-pointing. And for chaos.

Juliette Akinyi Ochieng blogs at baldilocks. (Her older blog is located here.) Her first novel, Tale of the Tigers: Love is Not a Game, was published in 2012. Her second novel, tentatively titled, Arlen’s Harem, will be done in 2016. Follow her on Twitter.

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Wendy’s Commercials 1984

On June 4th of last year I was covering Ted Cruz for the day at three stop in two states. At the first stop he did a Q & A where he was asked why Conservatives should trust him. He, in the middle of his answer he said this:

You know what You shouldn’t trust me, don’t trust any politician. What you should do instead is say: ‘show me, don’t tell me show me.’ I had a former boss who used to say ‘If i’m ever accused of being a Christian I’d like there to be enough evidence to convict me.’

I thought of this when I saw that Jerry Falwell Jr. had endorsed Donald Trump:

Here’s an early quote of the day: “In my opinion, Donald Trump lives a life of loving and helping others as Jesus taught in the great commandment.”

Now I don’t claim to be an evangelical, I’m a Roman Catholic, I’ve not been a preacher, nor do I claim that a religious test should be the basis for one’s vote.

But given how seemingly important faith is in the daily life and decision for evangelicals I would think such voters would take Senator Cruz’s question seriously when choosing a candidate.

Here is the video which has only been viewed 71 times since I shot it in june 12 days BT (before Trump) the key lines start at 2:08

Exit question:  Yesterday was the feast of the Conversion of St. Paul.  At any time after his conversion did he leave any doubt whatsoever as to what he believed?