The GOP’s Pragmatic Decision to Aid Donald Trump…

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The GOP's Pragmatic Decision to Aid Donald Trump...

At Politico, Shane Gold­matcher writes that there is a new tar­get in tomor­row night’s debate:

Hol­low or not, Don­ald Trump’s threat to boy­cott the final GOP forum before Iowa votes has com­pli­cated Ted Cruz’s game plan, forc­ing the Texan to pre­pare for two dif­fer­ent debates — one in which he tan­gles directly with the front-​runner and another that sets up the sen­a­tor as the largest tar­get on stage.

Given recent speeches by lead­ing estab­lish­ment GOP lead­ers (and an out­lier poll that sug­gest Jeb’s all out assault on Marco Rubio might be pulling div­i­dends in NH).

This sets up a chance for an all out assaults on Ted Cruz by the GOP to the ben­e­fit of Don­ald Trump which given their hatred of Cruz makes a lot of sense.

Since the party has designed its early pri­mary structure/​rues to favor an early leader in the belief that said leader would be a Jeb Bush or if you’re a really rad­i­cal mem­ber of the GOP estab­lish­ment John Kasich they rec­og­nize that if Don­ald Trump early lead is the polls is cor­rect he’s going to be hard to stop, so the GOP has prag­mat­i­cally decided they’d might as well get in line now.

Fur­ther­more win or lose Trump has the dynamic that Mike Bloomberg had in NY. A lot of left lean­ing activists etc were VERY care­ful going up against him as mayor because they knew even­tu­ally he would be out of office and they would be com­ing hat in hand for money. A lot of peo­ple in the party know they will be want­ing some of that Trump money later and don’t want to do any­thing that will cut them off from that source. (In fact we see this dynamic in the “please show up” BS com­ing from Fox).

And of course as I said the day after Mr. Trump announced, if you’re a GOP office holder and poten­tial can­di­date do you really want to swing at a coun­ter­puncher with a bil­lion dol­lars and a long memory?

One might think that Trump’s debate move is strate­gic (it is). One might think it’s a long term mis­take (it also is) but one can’t deny that the one thing he has done is read the GOP estab­lish­ment like a book and used both the “rules” and their nature to his advan­tage, forc­ing the GOP to go along.

How­ever the party is for­get­ting the price on the other side of this choice but that’s a later post.

At Politico, Shane Goldmatcher writes that there is a new target in tomorrow night’s debate:

Hollow or not, Donald Trump’s threat to boycott the final GOP forum before Iowa votes has complicated Ted Cruz’s game plan, forcing the Texan to prepare for two different debates — one in which he tangles directly with the front-runner and another that sets up the senator as the largest target on stage.

Given recent speeches by leading establishment GOP leaders (and an outlier poll that suggest Jeb’s all out assault on Marco Rubio might be pulling dividends in NH).

This sets up a chance for an all out assaults on Ted Cruz by the GOP to the benefit of Donald Trump which given their hatred of Cruz makes a lot of sense.

Since the party has designed its early primary structure/rues to favor an early leader in the belief that said leader would be a Jeb Bush or if you’re a really radical member of the GOP establishment John Kasich they recognize that if Donald Trump early lead is the polls is correct he’s going to be hard to stop, so the GOP has pragmatically decided they’d might as well get in line now.

Furthermore win or lose Trump has the dynamic that Mike Bloomberg had in NY. A lot of left leaning activists etc were VERY careful going up against him as mayor because they knew eventually he would be out of office and they would be coming hat in hand for money. A lot of people in the party know they will be wanting some of that Trump money later and don’t want to do anything that will cut them off from that source. (In fact we see this dynamic in the “please show up” BS coming from Fox).

And of course as I said the day after Mr. Trump announced, if you’re a GOP office holder and potential candidate do you really want to swing at a counterpuncher with a billion dollars and a long memory?

One might think that Trump’s debate move is strategic (it is). One might think it’s a long term mistake (it also is) but one can’t deny that the one thing he has done is read the GOP establishment like a book and used both the “rules” and their nature to his advantage, forcing the GOP to go along.

However the party is forgetting the price on the other side of this choice but that’s a later post.