…and attack Ted Cruz comes with a huge long term price

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...and attack Ted Cruz comes with a huge long term price

Yes­ter­day I wrote how the GOP’s establishment’s deci­sion to go all in for Don­ald Trump is a prag­matic deci­sion and in some ways quite log­i­cal because it does two things:

1. It acknowl­edges that the Pri­mary Sys­tem is designed to aid a front-​runner and that Trump has put him self in a posi­tion to use it to his advan­tage bet­ter then their hand picked can­di­date has.

2. It allows them to attempt to Neu­tral­ize Ted Cruz who they hate more than any­one else.

In the short term this seems like a good move, it puts a bil­lion­aire on their side pre­serv­ing a future $ stream and for them hope­fully stops a poten­tial pres­i­dent who would be less inter­ested in pro­vid­ing long term wealth & posi­tion for con­nected friends of the estab­lish­ment than actu­ally doing the job.

Given that DC is the land of short term think­ing this makes per­fect sense, but the GOP is for­get­ting some­thing huge.

Ted Cruz is a young man, he is going to be in the Sen­ate for a very long time.

Fur­ther­more any exam­i­na­tion of the Cruz fundrais­ing machine sug­gests not only does he have a national orga­ni­za­tion inde­pen­dent of the national GOP but one that is fundrais­ing machine and vol­un­teer machine that can be mobi­lized in prac­ti­cally every state.

Why does that mat­ter? Let’s take a trip down mem­ory lane to Aug 27, 2013 and a piece called “Ted Cruz’s gift to the GOP establishment.

It com­mented on how Ted Cruz’s neu­tral­ity in races involv­ing incum­bent was con­sid­ered a slap to the GOP estab­lish­ment but I had a dif­fer­ent view:

The MSM meme is: Ted Cruz is stick­ing an eye in the estab­lish­ment. Ted Cruz being a mav­er­ick, Ted Cruz let­ting the whole world know he’s not going to be about help­ing entrenched power just because it has an R next it its name!

The real­ity is he is doing exactly the opposite.

In fact one year later Octo­ber 11th 2014 when Pat Roberts was in trou­ble.…

Yes­ter­day the Hill noted that Ted Cruz turned up in Kansas to say a few words on behalf of Pat Roberts (R-​KS?) who is fight­ing for his polit­i­cal life to save a Sen­ate seat that has belonged to the GOP since before I was born:

Tea Party favorite Sen. Ted Cruz (R-​Texas) waded into the Kansas Sen­ate race Thurs­day, tout­ing belea­guered Repub­li­can incum­bent Pat Roberts as the contest’s only true conservative.

and I wrote at the time:

last year I argued that, con­trary to the con­ven­tional wis­dom, Ted Cruz was doing the GOP estab­lish­ment a huge favor by stay­ing out races which involved incum­bent Repub­li­cans. Yesterday’s appear­ance for Pat Roberts is the final piece in the puz­zle whereby Ted Cruz, like Rand Paul before him, earns chits with the estab­lish­ment GOP that he will be in a posi­tion to cash in dur­ing 2016 if he chooses to do so.

The GOP has now clearly told Ted Cruz that those chits are worth squat.

Fine.

The GOP is for­get­ting that every two years there is an elec­tion where the entire house is up for re-​election and 13 of the Sen­ate is and also reg­u­lar elec­tions for gov­er­nors as well.

Now ask your­self this:

What would be the fastest way to build name recog­ni­tion, to raise money for a run when the inter­ests in the state are afraid of being on the wrong side of the sit­ting sen­a­tor in the room?

A Ted Cruz endorsement.

In the last elec­tion cycle Ted Cruz did not chal­lenge any sit­ting GOP incum­bent, he didn’t endorse Matt Bevin when he was run­ning against Mitch McConnell nor did aid John Cornyn’s wor­thy chal­lenger Dwayne Sto­vall. In the cur­rent elec­tion cycle, frankly Sen­a­tor Cruz is a tad busy…

…but what about next one?

Ted Cruz is 45 years old. He has the poten­tial to be around for 10, 15 maybe even 20 elec­tion cycles. He has a set of prin­ci­ples which are absolutely unshak­able. And like a con­gress­man from Texas named Ray­burn he can not be bought.

I men­tion Sam Ray­burn because I want to tell a story to the estab­lish­ment GOP about Mr. Cruz’s fel­low Texan. One day a con­gress­man walked over to him and lied to his face claim­ing that he dare not vote with Mr. Sam (as Ray­burn was called) on a bill he cared about due to opin­ion in his dis­trict. Ray­burn answered him directly:

So don’t you come crawl­ing across the room telling me you wish you could have voted for the bill ’cause you didn’t have the guts to.

This accord­ing to Robert Caro on page 330 of his Book Lyn­don John­son the Path to Power is what hap­pened next:

A young state sen­a­tor who had con­sid­ered chal­leng­ing the Con­gress­man for his seat had dropped the idea because he didn’t have enough polit­i­cal clout. Not a week after his con­fronta­tion with Ray­burn, the Con­gress­man walked into the house Din­ing room for lunch and saw the leg­is­la­tor sit­ting there — at Rayburn’s table. When the leg­is­la­tor returned home he had all the clout he needed.

Now I won’t insult your intel­li­gence to sug­gest that Ted Cruz is Sam Ray­burn, he, for exam­ple, could not & I sus­pect would not, do what Ray­burn did, mak­ing sure that the con­gress­man above would not only lose elec­tion but be lit­er­ally dri­ven out of Washington.

But I will say this: Pic­ture being a sit­ting con­gress­man or sen­a­tor who every two or six years has talked the talk of con­ser­vatism but after re-​election has voted with the estab­lish­ment. Pic­ture being that mem­ber of con­gress in the house or sen­ate com­ing home & find­ing Ted Cruz at a rally intro­duc­ing a poten­tial Tea Party chal­lenger at a rally in your state?

Sen­a­tor Richard Burr (R-​NC) has.

****************************************************************************

The only pay I get for this work comes from you. My goal for 2016 is $22,000 That’s $62 a day

Given that fact I would I ask you to please con­sider hit­ting DaTipJar.




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Addi­tion­ally our sub­scribers get our pod­cast emailed directly to them before it show up any­where else.

I know you can get the MSM for noth­ing, but that’s pretty much what most of them are worth.

Yesterday I wrote how the GOP’s establishment’s decision to go all in for Donald Trump is a pragmatic decision and in some ways quite logical because it does two things:

1. It acknowledges that the Primary System is designed to aid a front-runner and that Trump has put him self in a position to use it to his advantage better then their hand picked candidate has.

2. It allows them to attempt to Neutralize Ted Cruz who they hate more than anyone else.

In the short term this seems like a good move, it puts a billionaire on their side preserving a future $ stream and for them hopefully stops a potential president who would be less interested in providing long term wealth & position for connected friends of the establishment than actually doing the job.

Given that DC is the land of short term thinking this makes perfect sense, but the GOP is forgetting something huge.

Ted Cruz is a young man, he is going to be in the Senate for a very long time.

Furthermore any examination of the Cruz fundraising machine suggests not only does he have a national organization independent of the national GOP but one that is fundraising machine and volunteer machine that can be mobilized in practically every state.

Why does that matter?  Let’s take a trip down memory lane to Aug 27, 2013 and a piece called “Ted Cruz’s gift to the GOP establishment.

It commented on how Ted Cruz’s neutrality in races involving incumbent was considered a slap to the GOP establishment but I had a different view:

The MSM meme is:  Ted Cruz is sticking an eye in the establishment.  Ted Cruz being a maverick,  Ted Cruz  letting the whole world know he’s not going to be about helping entrenched power just because  it has an R next it its name!

The reality is he is doing exactly the opposite.

In fact one year later October 11th 2014 when Pat Roberts was in trouble….

Yesterday the Hill noted that Ted Cruz turned up in Kansas to say a few words on behalf of Pat Roberts (R-KS?) who is fighting for his political life to save a Senate seat that has belonged to the GOP since before I was born:

Tea Party favorite Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) waded into the Kansas Senate race Thursday, touting beleaguered Republican incumbent Pat Roberts as the contest’s only true conservative.

and I wrote at the time:

last year I argued that,  contrary to the conventional wisdom,  Ted Cruz was doing the GOP establishment a huge favor by staying out races which involved incumbent Republicans.  Yesterday’s appearance for Pat Roberts is the final piece in the puzzle whereby Ted Cruz, like Rand Paul before him, earns chits with the establishment GOP that he will be in a position to cash in during 2016 if he chooses to do so.

The GOP has now clearly told Ted Cruz that those chits are worth squat.

Fine.

The GOP is forgetting that every two years there is an election where the entire house is up for re-election and 1/3 of the Senate is and also regular elections for governors as well.

Now ask yourself this:

What would be the fastest way to build name recognition, to raise money for a run when the interests in the state are afraid of being on the wrong side of the sitting senator in the room?

A Ted Cruz endorsement.

In the last election cycle Ted Cruz did not challenge any sitting GOP incumbent, he didn’t endorse Matt Bevin when he was running against Mitch McConnell nor did aid John Cornyn’s worthy challenger Dwayne Stovall.  In the current election cycle, frankly Senator Cruz is a tad busy…

…but what about next one?

Ted Cruz is 45 years old.  He has the potential to be around for 10, 15 maybe even 20 election cycles.  He has a set of principles which are absolutely unshakable.  And like a congressman from Texas named Rayburn he can not be bought.

I mention Sam Rayburn because I want to tell a story to the establishment GOP about Mr. Cruz’s fellow Texan.  One day a  congressman walked over to him and lied to his face claiming that he dare not vote with Mr. Sam (as Rayburn was called) on a bill he cared about due to opinion in his district.  Rayburn answered him directly:

So don’t you come crawling across the room telling me you wish you could have voted for the bill ’cause you didn’t have the guts to.

This according to Robert Caro on page 330 of his Book Lyndon Johnson the Path to Power is what happened next:

A young state senator who had considered challenging the Congressman for his seat had dropped the idea because he didn’t have enough political clout.  Not a week after his confrontation with Rayburn, the Congressman walked into the house Dining room for lunch and saw the legislator sitting there—at Rayburn’s table.  When the legislator returned home he had all the clout he needed.

Now I won’t insult your intelligence to suggest that Ted Cruz is Sam Rayburn, he,  for example, could not & I suspect would not, do what Rayburn did,  making sure that the congressman above would not only lose election but be literally driven out of Washington.

But I will say this:  Picture being a sitting congressman or senator who every two or six years has talked the talk of conservatism but after re-election has voted with the establishment.  Picture being that member of congress in the house or senate coming home & finding Ted Cruz at a rally introducing a potential Tea Party challenger at a rally in your state?

Senator Richard Burr (R-NC) has.

****************************************************************************

The only pay I get for this work comes from you. My goal for 2016 is $22,000 That’s $62 a day

Given that fact I would I ask you to please consider hitting DaTipJar.




Olimometer 2.52

That gets all the bills paid. Consider Subscribing 100 Subscribers at $20 a month will get the job done and then some.


Choose a Subscription level



Additionally our subscribers get our podcast emailed directly to them before it show up anywhere else.

I know you can get the MSM for nothing, but that’s pretty much what most of them are worth.