PM Jim Hacker:  Surely we should use the debate to promote peace harmony, good will?

Sir Humphrey Applegate:  Well it would be most unusual.  The UN is the accepted forum for the expression of international hatred

Yes Prime Minister  A Victory for Democracy 1986

On Morning Joe today the table lamented that 10% of the population of Syria has been slain since the start of the civil war in that country.

It was stated that this was the disgrace of the west.  I take issue with this statement.

The west did not start the war in Syria, until the Russians decided to go in strong the only people who were strongly involved in the Syrian war were Iranian backed groups.

Nobody is saying that this is the disgrace of the Middle East or the Disgrace of Africa, or the Disgrace of Asia.  Nobody is, for example, asking the Chinese to send tends of thousands of troops to the area to make it safe.  Why is it the disgrace of America and the west and not anyone else?

Unless the west or someone else is willing to conquer Syria and impose a peace, one will not take place until all of the sides are exhausted or all but one of the sides are defeated and some, even if it’s someone we hate, wins..   Is it the argument that we should do this?  And PLEASE don’t give me the fiction of the arab states doing this.  The are neither inclined nor willing to do so and never have been.

If one isn’t willing to conquer Syria, the only alternative is to send enough troops to create a defacto safe zone for refugees.  That will take tens of thousands of troops, American Troops.  In fairness this is likely the best possible solution, but given the cost in treasure and blood (because are troops will be a target the moment they show up) do we ask our citizens to do it, because frankly nobody else will.

 

These are all hard questions and both doing something and doing nothing comes at a cost, but unless you are willing to advocate for troops ready to fight, you have no business critiquing the west for not stopping the slaughter in Syria.

Or put simply, we know what the solution in Syria is, the question becomes , are we willing to pay the price to achieve it?  How many US lives is it worth?

None of these questions are easy but I’ll be damned if anyone is going to shame the west for not getting our own people killed for something that is not in our strategic interest.

Linked by Sarah Hoyt at Instapundit, thanks
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Chalk this up to wishful thinking on someone’s part

Though the RealClearPolitics average currently has Trump up 16 points over Cruz in South Carolina, that’s misleading, because none of the polls were taken after Cruz’s win in Iowa.

Furthermore, now that the field has narrowed down and Trump has won a primary and proven himself a serious threat, there will be a lot more focus on his liberal record — on abortion, guns, healthcare, property rights — among other issues. It won’t dissuade his strongest supporters, but it doesn’t matter, because it will discourage enough very conservative voters and evangelicals to give Cruz the victory.

I do not doubt that Ted Cruz voters are likely more committed and thanks to the well planned ground game are likely to turn out no matter what. However there are several things that Mr. Klein is missing in declaring Ted Cruz the front runner. To wit:

#1 The flesh pressing stage of the race is done.

The thing that makes both Iowa & NH unique is that in both states candidates have to meet the voters, people get to speak with them, question them and encounter the in person.

However from this point on there will be multiple states across the country coming very fast and while Senator Cruz’s ground game will get his voters out the remaining states are built for the Donald Trump air war.


#2 Getting on the bandwagon:

People like to be part of an event a happening. The Donald Trump phenom is such a thing, and as long as it only takes showing up to a polling place (as opposed to a caucus) the Donald Trump bandwagon effect will be there.


#3 Low information voters:

One of the real fact of life is the majority of people don’t pay attention. While Senator Cruz can correctly point out Trump’s past record most of the people who are going to turn up aren’t going to be interested in that.  If there were interested in what is going on they would have turned up and voted the last time

#4 The Trump pool

This is related to both #2 & #3 Donald Trump’s reach is far beyond those who actually pay attention to the political world. As that group is much larger than the people who do care about politics this gives Donald a much larger reach. Byron York hit on this today when talking with the NH GOP

In late January, the New Hampshire Republican Party held a gathering that attracted GOP officials, volunteers, activists, and various other members of the party elite from across the state. At the time, Donald Trump led the Republican presidential race in New Hampshire by nearly 20 points, and had been on top of the polls since July.

What was extraordinary about the gathering was that I talked to a lot of people there, politically active Republicans, and most of them told me they personally didn’t know anyone who supported Trump. Asked about the Trump lead, one very well-connected New Hampshire Republican told me, “I don’t see it. I don’t feel it. I don’t hear it, and I spend part of every day with Republican voters.”

A lot of the GOP hasn’t figured this out yet.

#5 Ratings rating Ratings:

Donald Trump means ratings for the MSM. As long as Donald keeps delivering the rating the MSM will keep delivering the free media that supports his air war.

#6 Hate vs Fear

Rush Limbaugh has often said that while the GOP establishment hates Donald Trump, they fear Ted Cruz. This is true for the MSM as well which does not want the first Latino to be on top of a major party Ticket to be a strong conservative like Ted Cruz.

If it gets down to Cruz vs Trump (and it is likely to reach that point) look for both the media, convinced that Trump will be easier to beat, and the GOP Establishment, convinced that Trump will make the deal with them that Ted Cruz will not, to go all in for Trump to stop Cruz.

Now does that mean I think Trump has it clinched. By no means, I think Ted Cruz is playing the long game and doing it well, but to pretend that Donald Trump is not the front runner for the GOP nomination and Ted Cruz is, that’s just wishful thinking.

Given where the economy is rather than where the MSM pretends it is and that it is January both are understandable and to those who have kicked in (particularly subscribers), thanks much.

If however you have not & are both able and inclined I’d really appreciate it if you’d help us either close January strong or start February stronger by hitting DaTipJar.




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