Here is the least surprising headline of the day concerning the upcoming Harriet Tubman $20 bill.

In fairness I suspect that plenty of the same people couldn’t tell you who Andrew Jackson was either.

Of course I’m a Grover Cleveland man myself, but I suspect folks don’t know who he is either.

Closing thought: Given our schools have made it a point to elevate significant members of the Black Community in US history over the last 30 years, that result is even worse than it first looked.

For those who need answers there is always Drunk History which apparently isn’t as popular as it thinks:

FYI Tubman was a VERY devout Christian, given that I’m surprised she made the cut.

I was looking at a few political headlines this morning. It was like watching an endless volley in a tennis match.

John Podhoretz says to Resign yourself to the depressing reality: It’s going to be Trump vs. Clinton, but Roger Kimball describes Here’s Why the New York Primary Still Doesn’t Matter.

Trump gets 518,000 votes in his home state and is “inevitable.” Cruz gets 1,239,370 in his and nobody notices.

Of course, having the major media outlets based in New York makes reporters more likely to pay attention to New York – especially since they have been playing up The Donald stories for the past four decades. (This is no exaggeration; I worked and lived in the area for all those years. No week went by without a DT news item.)

Few noticed that Kasich won in Trump’s home district. Kasich, by staying in the race, proves to be a valuable asset . . . for Trump. The NYT’s viciously anti-Cruz editorial calls Kasich the moderate Republicans’ “palatable alternative,” damning with faint praise indeed, for anything politically palatable to the NYT editorial board is distinctly distasteful to me.

Reiham Salam (who, like me, has been going through the five stages) voted for Cruz yesterday,

The emotions I most closely associate with this campaign season are, in no particular order, dread, despair, rage, and mournful resignation. So to my surprise, there was a spring in my step as I headed to my polling place, located in a public housing complex a few blocks from my apartment.

 

So, while the headlines go one way or the other, I found Jeremy Carl’s article particularly interesting, as I read it right after reading Pete‘s – both Carl and Pete arrive at the same conclusion,

Barring a very unusual occurrence, this contest will not be decided until (at the earliest) the final states vote on June 7.

 

Two days ago Andrew Klavan warned us to prepare for two weeks of Trump hell (4:00 into the podcast),

“. . . we’re going into the maelstrom. We have New York tomorrow, and then a week from that . . . all these East Coast primaries that Trump, I think is going to win big.”

Klavan, a screenwriter, calls this “the all is lost moment.” He warns us, “this is the moment when people start to lose their nerve.”

To this Cruz supporter, my present attitude is, as Admiral Farragut put it, “Damn the torpedoes! Full speed ahead!”

In Farragut’s case, it turned out to be good tactics, too.

Fausta Rodriguez Wertz writes on U.S, and Latin American politics, news, and culture at Fausta’s Blog.

 

as I write this the polls have just closed and it took the networks a whole 1 second to project Donald Trump as the winner of his home state and the vast majority of delegates therein.

Hours of spin based on these results not withstanding lets look at the real world application

As of this writing Mr. Trump has 756 delegates. Let’s presume that he gets 90% of the delegates out of NY (85 out of 95) that would get him to 841 meaning he would need a total of 396 more delegates to clinch it before the convention.

The last day of the primaries is June 7th (CA, NJ, NM, SD & Montana) but there are five election days before then April 26th (CT, Del, MD, PA & RI) May 3rd (Indiana), May 10th, (WV & Neb) May 17th (OR) and May 24th (Wash)

Tallying up the delegate totals of the states before June 7th the total number of delegates available is 371. This means it is mathematically impossible for Mr. Trump to clinch before the last day even if he wins every single delegate on the table.

The good news for Trump is April 26th should be great for him. I expect to see him win all five of those states and pick up at least 100 delegates. I suspect may 3rd and 10th will not be so friendly. I see Cruz winning Nebraska and Indiana with West Virginia capable of going in either direction. He might be lucky to get 20 delegates on the day.

I have no idea what’s going through the mind of Washington & Oregon voters but as both states are proportional even if Trump wins em both that’s likely another 40 delegates or so.

If my numbers are right that leaves him about 236 delegates shy going into June 7th and that’s where it gets tricky. New Mexico is proportional so I’m figuring 12 delegates for Trump. Montana & SD are straight winner take all and I’m betting both will go for Cruz but so is New Jersey which looks like Trump country. that’s another 51.

That leaves California with 172 delegates…

…and Trump needing 173.

Now there are some undeclared delegates going to the convention and I don’t doubt that Trump will win his share but if you want to understand why the Trump campaign is so upset about Ted Cruz’s delegate operation now you know.

This is going to go down to the wire (much to the delight of the networks for ratings purposes) and how Trump finishes is going to say a lot about how a Trump general election campaign might look like.