There are two realistic scenarios and both have Comey determining the next President

There are two realistic scenarios and both have Comey determining the next President

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There are two realistic scenarios and both have Comey determining the next President

Some­times, some­thing seems so obvi­ous that I don’t even write about it. I assume that it will be cov­ered by oth­ers, dis­cussed on talk radio, or out­right announced by the sub­jects. In the strange case of James Comey and the FBI’s renewed inves­ti­ga­tion into Hillary Clinton’s email server, there are only two sce­nar­ios that make sense. For what­ever rea­son, nei­ther sce­nario is get­ting the national atten­tion they deserve.

The first sce­nario we’ll dis­cuss has been par­tially cov­ered here, but for the sake of accu­racy we’ll throw it out there again. It’s the sce­nario where Comey and the FBI come out a day or two before elec­tion day and announce that after fur­ther review, they once again see neg­li­gence with­out a rec­om­men­da­tion to pros­e­cute. This sce­nario would fit with mul­ti­ple rea­sons behind it; sav­ing the integrity of the FBI so they don’t get hit with claims that they inten­tion­ally with­held infor­ma­tion for Hillary’s sake is the most likely.

The sec­ond sce­nario was the first one that came to mind when the news broke Fri­day. Per­haps it’s my his­tory of read­ing and watch­ing too many police pro­ce­du­rals, but I waited for this to pop up in main­stream media. I was fool­ish to expect it. Instead, they’ve spent their time try­ing to point fin­gers and dif­fuse the sit­u­a­tion with pro-​Hillary pro­pa­ganda. Then, I waited for con­ser­v­a­tive media to reveal it, but most of us spent the last cou­ple of days lament­ing over the wicked­ness of main­stream media and dis­cussing how Hillary is so corrupt.

What didn’t get dis­cussed was what they found when they dis­cov­ered the email trove a few weeks ago. It has to be some­thing new; bring­ing up old news would not have prompted Comey to do what he did. Before we reveal what I believe they found, let’s talk about what new things they didn’t find.

They didn’t find even more rev­e­la­tions of stu­pid­ity with the email server itself. They’ve already acknowl­edged that the team and Hillary were idi­otic for hav­ing it in the first place.

They didn’t find clas­si­fied infor­ma­tion beyond what is already known because their focus would have been on Huma Abe­din rather than Hillary if that were the case. By “focus,” I mean they likely wouldn’t even have sent the let­ter to Con­gress if Abe­din was their target.

Lastly, they didn’t find dam­ag­ing com­mu­ni­ca­tions about Beng­hazi or any other scan­dal asso­ci­ated with Hillary. Such things would not be per­ti­nent to the case at hand and would have been given over as fod­der for Con­gress, and then only after the election.

What the FBI most likely found is com­mu­ni­ca­tion between cam­paign staffers with direct ties to Hillary express­ing her wishes to have dam­ag­ing emails deleted. If prior to the inves­ti­ga­tion they made a con­scious deci­sion to delete dam­ag­ing emails in an effort to cover their tracks, that would be enough for Comey to reopen the case. You might think that they’ve already seen evi­dence of that based upon the deleted emails they’ve already dis­cov­ered, but there’s a dis­tinc­tion that must be under­stood. Dis­cov­er­ing miss­ing emails shows that they were deleted. How­ever, the real smok­ing gun would be emails that instructed peo­ple to delib­er­ately delete them. That’s the sce­nario where the law was clearly bro­ken. That’s the sce­nario that would prompt Comey to do what he did.

If we see sce­nario one hap­pen, then this was an effort to cover up for the FBI and pro­tect its rep­u­ta­tion. I’m not ready to believe the FBI is inten­tion­ally help­ing the Clin­ton cam­paign by dis­tract­ing from the Wik­ileaks releases until elec­tion day as some have insin­u­ated, so the first sce­nario means self-​protection and a likely Clin­ton win after they announce their find­ings. With sce­nario two, it won’t just mean that Clin­ton will lose. It means that she’ll finally be charged with a crime. The ques­tion is whether or not she’ll plead guilty quickly enough for Pres­i­dent Obama to par­don her.

Sometimes, something seems so obvious that I don’t even write about it. I assume that it will be covered by others, discussed on talk radio, or outright announced by the subjects. In the strange case of James Comey and the FBI’s renewed investigation into Hillary Clinton’s email server, there are only two scenarios that make sense. For whatever reason, neither scenario is getting the national attention they deserve.

The first scenario we’ll discuss has been partially covered here, but for the sake of accuracy we’ll throw it out there again. It’s the scenario where Comey and the FBI come out a day or two before election day and announce that after further review, they once again see negligence without a recommendation to prosecute. This scenario would fit with multiple reasons behind it; saving the integrity of the FBI so they don’t get hit with claims that they intentionally withheld information for Hillary’s sake is the most likely.

The second scenario was the first one that came to mind when the news broke Friday. Perhaps it’s my history of reading and watching too many police procedurals, but I waited for this to pop up in mainstream media. I was foolish to expect it. Instead, they’ve spent their time trying to point fingers and diffuse the situation with pro-Hillary propaganda. Then, I waited for conservative media to reveal it, but most of us spent the last couple of days lamenting over the wickedness of mainstream media and discussing how Hillary is so corrupt.

What didn’t get discussed was what they found when they discovered the email trove a few weeks ago. It has to be something new; bringing up old news would not have prompted Comey to do what he did. Before we reveal what I believe they found, let’s talk about what new things they didn’t find.

They didn’t find even more revelations of stupidity with the email server itself. They’ve already acknowledged that the team and Hillary were idiotic for having it in the first place.

They didn’t find classified information beyond what is already known because their focus would have been on Huma Abedin rather than Hillary if that were the case. By “focus,” I mean they likely wouldn’t even have sent the letter to Congress if Abedin was their target.

Lastly, they didn’t find damaging communications about Benghazi or any other scandal associated with Hillary. Such things would not be pertinent to the case at hand and would have been given over as fodder for Congress, and then only after the election.

What the FBI most likely found is communication between campaign staffers with direct ties to Hillary expressing her wishes to have damaging emails deleted. If prior to the investigation they made a conscious decision to delete damaging emails in an effort to cover their tracks, that would be enough for Comey to reopen the case. You might think that they’ve already seen evidence of that based upon the deleted emails they’ve already discovered, but there’s a distinction that must be understood. Discovering missing emails shows that they were deleted. However, the real smoking gun would be emails that instructed people to deliberately delete them. That’s the scenario where the law was clearly broken. That’s the scenario that would prompt Comey to do what he did.

If we see scenario one happen, then this was an effort to cover up for the FBI and protect its reputation. I’m not ready to believe the FBI is intentionally helping the Clinton campaign by distracting from the Wikileaks releases until election day as some have insinuated, so the first scenario means self-protection and a likely Clinton win after they announce their findings. With scenario two, it won’t just mean that Clinton will lose. It means that she’ll finally be charged with a crime. The question is whether or not she’ll plead guilty quickly enough for President Obama to pardon her.