Voices of CPAC 2017: The Data Points and my Conclusions

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Voices of CPAC 2017: The Data Points and my Conclusions

As you might have noticed over the last month I shot a video or two or ninety while I was at CPAC 2017 inter­view­ing a lot of peo­ple atten­dees. If you watched my inter­views you will notice they were very sim­i­lar in that I asked a very spe­cific set of ques­tions to those who came. This is why.

There have already been plenty of words writ­ten about why the Trump voter went with him. In many ways the CPAC crowd is a very dif­fer­ent crowd than the avg work­ing class Trump voter.

1. They can either afford to come to CPAC (travel hotel and meals and time from work cost money) or will save up to come to CPAC each year.

2. They tend to be activists, for­mer activists or future activists.

3. They fol­low the polit­i­cal world the way I fol­low Doc­tor Who

Thus to under­stand part of the cur­rent GOP/​conservative coali­tion (and lets face it that’s what it is) the activist com­mu­nity must be under­stood. That was my goal at CPAC. I need to dis­cover the whys and where­fores of what these con­ser­v­a­tive activists think about the Trump admin­is­tra­tion. To do this I set­tled on these four questions:

Who did you sup­port in the pri­maries?
Did you vote for Trump in the gen­eral and if you did when did you decide to do so?
What do you think of the job he is doing now?
What is the one thing you want to see Pres­i­dent Trump achieve in his term of office (regard­less of length)?

The pur­pose of those ques­tions were to estab­lish the fol­low­ing about this activist class

Where they were in the pri­maries
Where they were in the gen­eral elec­tion
Where they are now
Where the might be in 2018 & 2020

Each of these inter­views were data points to answer these ques­tions, here is what I found:

In terms of ques­tion 1. (Who did you sup­port?) The most com­mon per­son peo­ple sup­ported was Ted Cruz, I ran into the occa­sional Rand Paul per­son, sev­eral Marco Rubio fans and a few scat­tered fans of oth­ers from Jeb Bush to Bernie Sanders, but most of the crowd there was a Ted Cruz crowd, which must be why I felt so at home at CPAC.


In terms of ques­tion 2, (Did you vote Trump and if so when did you decide to do so) there were three pri­mary groups.

A: The small­est were those who in the end couldn’t bring them­selves to vote for Don­ald Trump. That group con­sisted of some of the old­est and youngest of those I spoke to. The old­est tended to either have a write in choice or wouldn’t say who they voted for, while the youngest who didn’t vote from Trump tended to go to Gary John­son but we did have one McMullin guy.

B. The next largest group was those who were party repub­li­cans. These peo­ple had decided to go with Trump as soon as he had the nom­i­na­tion, because they were repub­li­cans and weren’t going to let Clin­ton win.

C. The largest group were those who in the end went Trump after some thought. There was a lot of vari­ance here. Some decided at the con­ven­tion, some after much soul-​searching at least one per­son say he finally decided to go Trump while actu­ally in the vot­ing booth. Some had been strong par­ti­sans for other can­di­dates, some had gone from one can­di­date to another but in the end they had gone from Trump, a few with gusto (at least one became a key mem­ber in the state Trump team) and many reluc­tantly but they got there in the end. It’s fair to say that fear of Hillary and what the Democ­rats would do had a lot to do with that decision.


Ques­tion 3 had the most uni­form answer of any other. With VERY few excep­tions (less than 10%) peo­ple were very happy with Don­ald Trump. They liked the tone, they liked the exec­u­tive orders but what seemed to be the biggest thing to peo­ple, was the feel­ing of DOING vs TALK­ING. Of the few who where not very happy, they game him a mixed report card, they liked spe­cific things, but were wor­ried about oth­ers or with­held judge­ment. It’s worth not­ing that the older folks who didn’t vote for Trump from pre­vi­ous inter­views were all in this group while ALL of the younger folks who voted for some­one else were in group C, while the young folks in this group tended to be more wonkish.


Ques­tion 4: (What do you want to see Trump get done) had the widest vari­a­tion of answers, which in one respect was to be expected. I got some abstract answers, vague things about unity, both nation­ally and within the party. Some who were all about defeat­ing ISIS, oth­ers big on the 2nd amend­ment and a few who talked reli­gious lib­erty and abor­tion (far fewer than I expected but that could be because it was my big issue) but there were two answers that were the most common.

One was Oba­macare. Peo­ple wanted it gone, dead, Kaput. A few of them wanted a replace­ment but more impor­tant that what replaced it was the idea that it needed to be dead.

The 2nd was the wall and ille­gal immi­gra­tion. While less impor­tant to folks than killing Oba­macare this was a big issue to a lot of peo­ple. They didn’t just want the laws being enforced (as we’ve been see­ing lately) they wanted the actual phys­i­cal wall built that they could see.

Both of these issues add up to both the great­est oppor­tu­nity and the great­est dan­ger to the Trump admin­is­tra­tion. Fail­ure to get them done will be the eas­i­est way for the pres­i­dent to lose these peo­ple, but if he man­ages to pull them off the upside is incredible.


So that’s the data based on my inter­views, this is what peo­ple said and it is what it is regard­less of what any­one thinks of it.

As to what this data means? Here’s my conclusion

Every­thing you’re see­ing high­lighted on TV and in the papers right now by the Press is mean­ing­less Bullshit!

No amount of talk about Rus­sia, Wire­tap­ping or the media wring­ing their hands about the President’s tweets, his lan­guage or any­thing else by the media, Demo­c­rat or the chat­ter­ing classes makes any dif­fer­ence. These activists don’t care about them and aren’t going to be moved by them.

Even the media’s attempt to pro­mote any con­ser­v­a­tive groups whin­ing about the cur­rent repeal bill, an issue that does mat­ter, are just as mean­ing­less as the rest of the chatter

The only thing that mat­ters in the long run is this: Is Don­ald Trump going to deliver on these big issues (Oba­macare and the Wall) that he high­lighted dur­ing the campaign?

If this admin­is­tra­tion can’t answer yes, he is in dan­ger of los­ing these folks and risks a pri­mary, but if Don­ald Trump, in the end keeps his eyes on this prize, then these grass room activists are going to be with him when he needs them no mat­ter what any­one in the media says.

As long as Pres­i­dent Trump under­stand this fact, he’s going to do fine, and I have the dis­tinct feel­ing that he does.

Update: If you didn’t see my videos or cov­er­age here is the lot or check out my youtube channel

313 Voices of CPAC 2017 Traci Bel­monte in the van, Michael & Mya at the airport

312
Voices of CPAC 2017 Emile, Robert Stacy McCain Cyn­thia Yockey final thoughts
Voices at CPAC 2017 Lee Strana­han, James O’Keefe

311
Voices at CPAC 2017 Donna Keene, David Keene and Kayne Robin­son of the NRA
Voices of CPAC 2017 Naseem & her Mother Salome, Dustin (Sanders sup­porter) & Charles from WI

310
Voices of CPAC 2017 DaTechGuy’s Mid­night Court Pas­tor Greg Young and Cody from MD
Voices at CPAC 2017 Sen­a­tor Rick Santorum

39
Voices of CPAC 2017 DaTechGuy’s Mid­night Court Mona Salama & Tyler
Voices of CPAC 2017 Kurt Schlichter and Stephen Kruiser

38
Voices of CPAC 2017 DaTechGuy’s Mid­night Court Caleb from South florida and Robert Stacy McCain
Voices at CPAC 2017 Rep Josh Moore NH and Micha Pierce from WI and Amer­i­can Majority

37
Voices of CPAC 2017 DaTechGuy’s Mid­night Court Zaïre Ali from MD & Daniel from LA
Voices of CPAC 2017 Michael Gra­ham & Bill Lewis

36
Voices of CPAC 2017 DaTechGuy’s Mid­night Court NIRSA Lib­er­als strike back, Plus Elliott and Adam
Voices of CPAC 2017 Marc Hay­den Con­ser­v­a­tives vs the Death Penalty & Jud­son Phillips of Tea Party Nation

35
Voices of CPAC 2017 Kid with Lid & Paris Alex pt3 & Izzy and a prayer on DaTechGuy’s Mid­night Court
Voices of CPAC 2017 Tom from NC and Mar­tin & Pey­ton from Hills­dale College

34
Voices of CPAC 2017 Kid with Lid and Paris on DaTechGuy’s Mid­night Court Parts 1 & 2
Voices of CPAC 2017 Jen from WA and Jeff from PA

33
Voices of CPAC 2017 Patrick How­ley on DaTechGuy’s Mid­night Court
Voices of CPAC 2017 Michelle from PA and Carla from PA

32
Voices of CPAC 2017 Susan from Dal­las , Robert from MD and Donna Marie Fred from Ohio on DaTechGuy’s Mid­night Court
Voices of CPAC 2017 Phil from VA and Michelle from VA

31
Voices at CPAC 2017 Niger Innis and Don­ald Scog­gins at the Roy Innis Luncheon

228
Voices of CPAC 2017 Amelia Hamil­ton, Andrew Langer & GOP can­di­date
Voices of CPAC 2017 Paul, Fawad and the point the left is miss­ing (with Stacy McCain)

227
Voices of CPAC 2017 Justin & Con­nor & How DaTechGuy’s Mid­night Court Came About (It involves Stacy McCain & Beer)

226
A His­toric CPAC Catholic 1st Exactly when I needed it

225
Voices at CPAC 2017 Two Rons and a Patri­cia
Voices of the Can­noli deprived at CPAC 2017 Scot­tie Neil Hughes
Voices at CPAC 2017 Evan Sayet A Deplorable Mind before and after
DaT­e­chguy Meets Stu­dents TBS & Fake news at Don­ald Trump’s CPAC 2017 Speech
Voices of CPAC 2017 Author Matt Mar­go­lis On DaTechGuy’s Mid­night Court

224
Voices of CPAC 2017 Tom Wen­zel of EWTN & Alberto Cala­maro of Radio Maria
The Media Nar­ra­tive Hunt at CPAC
Voices of CPAC 2017 Don­ald Trump Sin­gle lines from CPAC speech as he makes them
Voices of CPAC 2017 the Inde­fati­ga­ble Kira Innis

223
Voices of Cpac 2017 Steve & Shen, Ed Mor­ris­sey of Hotair and a Kellyanne Con­way Can­noli Story
Voices of CPAC 2017 Radio Row Sharon Angle & Rick Trader Daria Novak & Frank Ver­nuc­cio
CPAC 2017 Pho­tos & Brief videos from the Sean Han­nity Taping

Voices at CPAC 2017 Advo­cates: Melissa of Able Amer­i­cans, Matt of Amer­i­can Major­ity
Voices at CPAC 2017 Yvonne (from almost #Nev­erTrump to Evan­gel­i­cal Coor­di­na­tor) & Michael
Voices of CPAC 2017 Joe on Life behind the Berlin Wall

222

Voices at CPAC 2017 Liz a Cook County Repub­li­can (and Kasich del­e­gate)
CPAC 2017 First Inter­views Theresa an Attendee and Rob Eno of Con­ser­v­a­tive Review

221
Some Quick pre-​cpac video and thoughts

Update 2: Insta­lanche, thanks Glenn.


Alas the mean­ing­less BS from the MSM pays a lot bet­ter than gath­er­ing data, report­ing on it and after ana­lyz­ing it truth­fully as I see it. But if you think this and all we do is worth­while and would like to help us pay our writ­ers and make our annual goal Con­sider sub­scrib­ing and become (if you wish) a listed as a Friend of DaT­e­chguy blog

Remem­ber all sub­scribers get my weekly pod­cast emailed directly to you before it goes up any­where else.


Choose a Sub­scrip­tion level



And of course if you want to give a one shot hit (and help pay DaWife’s med­ical bills) you can hit DaTipJar




[olimome­ter id=3]

If you are not in the posi­tion to kick in we will always hap­pily accept your prayers

As you might have noticed over the last month I shot a video or two or ninety while I was at CPAC 2017 interviewing a lot of people attendees. If you watched my interviews you will notice they were very similar in that I asked a very specific set of questions to those who came. This is why.

There have already been plenty of words written about why the Trump voter went with him. In many ways the CPAC crowd is a very different crowd than the avg working class Trump voter.

1. They can either afford to come to CPAC (travel hotel and meals and time from work cost money) or will save up to come to CPAC each year.

2. They tend to be activists, former activists or future activists.

3. They follow the political world the way I follow Doctor Who

Thus to understand part of the current GOP/conservative coalition (and lets face it that’s what it is) the activist community must be understood.  That was my goal at CPAC.  I need to discover the whys and wherefores of what these conservative activists think about the Trump administration.  To do this I settled on these four questions:

Who did you support in the primaries?
Did you vote for Trump in the general and if you did when did you decide to do so?
What do you think of the job he is doing now?
What is the one thing you want to see President Trump achieve in his term of office (regardless of length)?

The purpose of those questions were to establish the following about this activist class

Where they were in the primaries
Where they were in the general election
Where they are now
Where the might be in 2018 & 2020

Each of these interviews were data points to answer these questions, here is what I found:

In terms of question 1. (Who did you support?) The most common person people supported was Ted Cruz, I ran into the occasional Rand Paul person, several Marco Rubio fans and a few scattered fans of others from Jeb Bush to Bernie Sanders, but most of the crowd there was a Ted Cruz crowd, which must be why I felt so at home at CPAC.


In terms of question 2, (Did you vote Trump and if so when did you decide to do so) there were three primary groups.

A: The smallest were those who in the end couldn’t bring themselves to vote for Donald Trump. That group consisted of some of the oldest and youngest of those I spoke to. The oldest tended to either have a write in choice or wouldn’t say who they voted for, while the youngest who didn’t vote from Trump tended to go to Gary Johnson but we did have one McMullin guy.

B. The next largest group was those who were party republicans. These people had decided to go with Trump as soon as he had the nomination, because they were republicans and weren’t going to let Clinton win.

C. The largest group were those who in the end went Trump after some thought. There was a lot of variance here. Some decided at the convention, some after much soul-searching at least one person say he finally decided to go Trump while actually in the voting booth. Some had been strong partisans for other candidates, some had gone from one candidate to another but in the end they had gone from Trump, a few with gusto (at least one became a key member in the state Trump team) and many reluctantly but they got there in the end. It’s fair to say that fear of Hillary and what the Democrats would do had a lot to do with that decision.


Question 3 had the most uniform answer of any other. With VERY few exceptions (less than 10%) people were very happy with Donald Trump. They liked the tone, they liked the executive orders but what seemed to be the biggest thing to people, was the feeling of DOING vs TALKING. Of the few who where not very happy, they game him a mixed report card, they liked specific things, but were worried about others or withheld judgement. It’s worth noting that the older folks who didn’t vote for Trump from previous interviews were all in this group while ALL of the younger folks who voted for someone else were in group C, while the young folks in this group tended to be more wonkish.


Question 4:   (What do you want to see Trump get done) had the widest variation of answers, which in one respect was to be expected. I got some abstract answers, vague things about unity, both nationally and within the party. Some who were all about defeating ISIS, others big on the 2nd amendment and a few who talked religious liberty and abortion (far fewer than I expected but that could be because it was my big issue) but there were two answers that were the most common.

One was Obamacare. People wanted it gone, dead, Kaput. A few of them wanted a replacement but more important that what replaced it was the idea that it needed to be dead.

The 2nd was the wall and illegal immigration. While less important to folks than killing Obamacare this was a big issue to a lot of people. They didn’t just want the laws being enforced (as we’ve been seeing lately) they wanted the actual physical wall built that they could see.

Both of these issues add up to both the greatest opportunity and the greatest danger to the Trump administration. Failure to get them done will be the easiest way for the president to lose these people, but if he manages to pull them off the upside is incredible.


So that’s the data based on my interviews,  this is what people said and it is what it is regardless of what anyone thinks of it.

As to what this data means?  Here’s my conclusion

Everything you’re seeing highlighted on TV and in the papers right now by the Press is meaningless Bullshit!

No amount of talk about Russia, Wiretapping or the media wringing their hands about the President’s tweets, his language or anything else by the media, Democrat or the chattering classes makes any difference. These activists don’t care about them and aren’t going to be moved by them.

Even the media’s attempt to promote any conservative groups whining about the current repeal bill, an issue that does matter, are just as meaningless as the rest of the chatter

The only thing that matters in the long run is this: Is Donald Trump going to deliver on these big issues (Obamacare and the Wall) that he highlighted during the campaign?

If this administration can’t answer yes, he is in danger of losing these folks and risks a primary, but if Donald Trump, in the end keeps his eyes on this prize, then these grass room activists are going to be with him when he needs them no matter what anyone in the media says.

As long as President Trump understand this fact, he’s going to do fine, and I have the distinct feeling that he does.

Update: If you didn’t see my videos or coverage here is the lot or check out my youtube channel

3/13 Voices of CPAC 2017 Traci Belmonte in the van, Michael & Mya at the airport

3/12
Voices of CPAC 2017 Emile, Robert Stacy McCain Cynthia Yockey final thoughts
Voices at CPAC 2017 Lee Stranahan, James O’Keefe

3/11
Voices at CPAC 2017 Donna Keene, David Keene and Kayne Robinson of the NRA
Voices of CPAC 2017 Naseem & her Mother Salome, Dustin (Sanders supporter) & Charles from WI

3/10
Voices of CPAC 2017 DaTechGuy’s Midnight Court Pastor Greg Young and Cody from MD
Voices at CPAC 2017 Senator Rick Santorum

3/9
Voices of CPAC 2017 DaTechGuy’s Midnight Court Mona Salama & Tyler
Voices of CPAC 2017 Kurt Schlichter and Stephen Kruiser

3/8
Voices of CPAC 2017 DaTechGuy’s Midnight Court Caleb from South florida and Robert Stacy McCain
Voices at CPAC 2017 Rep Josh Moore NH and Micha Pierce from WI and American Majority

3/7
Voices of CPAC 2017 DaTechGuy’s Midnight Court Zaire Ali from MD & Daniel from LA
Voices of CPAC 2017 Michael Graham & Bill Lewis

3/6
Voices of CPAC 2017 DaTechGuy’s Midnight Court NIRSA Liberals strike back, Plus Elliott and Adam
Voices of CPAC 2017 Marc Hayden Conservatives vs the Death Penalty & Judson Phillips of Tea Party Nation

3/5
Voices of CPAC 2017 Kid with Lid & Paris Alex pt3 & Izzy and a prayer on DaTechGuy’s Midnight Court
Voices of CPAC 2017 Tom from NC and Martin & Peyton from Hillsdale College

3/4
Voices of CPAC 2017 Kid with Lid and Paris on DaTechGuy’s Midnight Court Parts 1 & 2
Voices of CPAC 2017 Jen from WA and Jeff from PA

3/3
Voices of CPAC 2017 Patrick Howley on DaTechGuy’s Midnight Court
Voices of CPAC 2017 Michelle from PA and Carla from PA

3/2
Voices of CPAC 2017 Susan from Dallas , Robert from MD and Donna Marie Fred from Ohio on DaTechGuy’s Midnight Court
Voices of CPAC 2017 Phil from VA and Michelle from VA

3/1
Voices at CPAC 2017 Niger Innis and Donald Scoggins at the Roy Innis Luncheon

2/28
Voices of CPAC 2017 Amelia Hamilton, Andrew Langer & GOP candidate
Voices of CPAC 2017 Paul, Fawad and the point the left is missing (with Stacy McCain)

2/27
Voices of CPAC 2017 Justin & Connor & How DaTechGuy’s Midnight Court Came About (It involves Stacy McCain & Beer)

2/26
A Historic CPAC Catholic 1st Exactly when I needed it

2/25
Voices at CPAC 2017 Two Rons and a Patricia
Voices of the Cannoli deprived at CPAC 2017 Scottie Neil Hughes
Voices at CPAC 2017 Evan Sayet A Deplorable Mind before and after
DaTechguy Meets Students TBS & Fake news at Donald Trump’s CPAC 2017 Speech
Voices of CPAC 2017 Author Matt Margolis On DaTechGuy’s Midnight Court

2/24
Voices of CPAC 2017 Tom Wenzel of EWTN & Alberto Calamaro of Radio Maria
The Media Narrative Hunt at CPAC
Voices of CPAC 2017 Donald Trump Single lines from CPAC speech as he makes them
Voices of CPAC 2017 the Indefatigable Kira Innis

2/23
Voices of Cpac 2017 Steve & Shen, Ed Morrissey of Hotair and a Kellyanne Conway Cannoli Story
Voices of CPAC 2017 Radio Row Sharon Angle & Rick Trader Daria Novak & Frank Vernuccio
CPAC 2017 Photos & Brief videos from the Sean Hannity Taping

Voices at CPAC 2017 Advocates: Melissa of Able Americans, Matt of American Majority
Voices at CPAC 2017 Yvonne (from almost #NeverTrump to Evangelical Coordinator) & Michael
Voices of CPAC 2017 Joe on Life behind the Berlin Wall

2/22

Voices at CPAC 2017 Liz a Cook County Republican (and Kasich delegate)
CPAC 2017 First Interviews Theresa an Attendee and Rob Eno of Conservative Review

2/21
Some Quick pre-cpac video and thoughts

Update 2: Instalanche, thanks Glenn.


Alas the meaningless BS from the MSM pays a lot better than gathering data, reporting on it and after analyzing it truthfully as I see it. But if you think this and all we do is worthwhile and would like to help us pay our writers and make our annual goal Consider subscribing and become (if you wish) a listed as a Friend of DaTechguy blog

Remember all subscribers get my weekly podcast emailed directly to you before it goes up anywhere else.


Choose a Subscription level



And of course if you want to give a one shot hit (and help pay DaWife’s medical bills) you can hit DaTipJar




Olimometer 2.52

If you are not in the position to kick in we will always happily accept your prayers