After House Obamacare Repeal the MSM The Echo Chamber Echos Again

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After House Obamacare Repeal the MSM The Echo Chamber Echos Again

Nor­man: This is largely as I pre­dicted except the Silly Party won, this was mainly due to the num­ber of votes cast.

Monty Python’s Fly­ing Cir­cus, Elec­tion Night Spe­cial 1969

Less that 24 hours after the GOP house passed it’s ver­sion of Oba­macare repeal then end­ing their not so splende inac­tion a pro­fes­sional prog­nos­ti­ca­tor fore­cast doom and gloom for house GOP mem­bers for doing so.

Repub­li­cans’ 217213 pas­sage of the Amer­i­can Health Care Act on Thurs­day guar­an­tees Democ­rats will have at least one major on-​the-​record vote to exploit in the next elec­tions. Although it’s the first of poten­tially many explo­sive votes, House Repub­li­cans’ will­ing­ness to spend polit­i­cal cap­i­tal on a pro­posal that gar­nered the sup­port of just 17 per­cent of the pub­lic in a March Quin­nip­iac poll is con­sis­tent with past sce­nar­ios that have gen­er­ated a midterm wave.

Not only did dozens of Repub­li­cans in mar­ginal dis­tricts just hitch their names to an unpop­u­lar piece of leg­is­la­tion, Democ­rats just received another valu­able can­di­date recruit­ment tool. In fact, Democ­rats aren’t so much recruit­ing can­di­dates as they are over­whelmed by a del­uge of eager new­com­ers, includ­ing doc­tors and vet­er­ans in tra­di­tion­ally red seats who have no polit­i­cal record for the GOP to attack — almost a mir­ror image of 2010

Their con­clu­sion (with a caviet):

In light of the vote, we are shift­ing our rat­ings in 20 dis­tricts, all reflect­ing enhanced oppor­tu­ni­ties for Democ­rats. The major caveat is that 18 months is an eter­nity in pol­i­tics and that as always, we will con­tinue to adjust our out­look as events unfold and the land­scape develops.

Nat­u­rally the MSM jumped all over this

and Cook was not alone among the prog­nos­ti­ca­tors, Nate Sil­ver joined em:

There could eas­ily be an over­all par­ti­san swing of 5 to 10 per­cent­age points against Repub­li­cans, there­fore. It’s not quite clear how this par­ti­san swing would inter­act with the AHCA penalty — whether you’d add them together or whether that’s double-​counting — but it should be enough to make a lot of Repub­li­can incum­bents ner­vous. There are 58 Repub­li­cans who won by less than 20 points in 20162 and who voted for the AHCA.

Nat­u­rally the MSM jumped

A top non­par­ti­san elec­tion ana­lyst says Thursday’s House GOP vote to repeal and replace Oba­maCare hurts the reelec­tion chances of a num­ber of House Repub­li­cans next year.

The Cook Polit­i­cal Report on Fri­day shifted its fore­cast for 20 GOP-​incumbent or open dis­tricts to cat­e­gories less favor­able for Republicans.

and Jumped hard into the “GOP DOOM” meme

The Atlantic: What the GOP’s Health-​Care Gam­ble Means for 2018

Vox: “I’ve never seen any­thing like this”: pro­gres­sives see huge dona­tion spike after AHCA vote

NYT: What Democ­rats’ Losses in 2010 Can Tell Us About G.O.P.’s Chances in 2018

Talk­ing Points Memo: Hey Hey Goodbye

Politico: Red-​state Dems pounce on Oba­macare repeal bill

Mother Jones: These 24 Repub­li­cans Were Already Vul­ner­a­ble — and Now They Just Voted to Repeal Obamacare

and of course the Wash­ing­ton Post: Did Repub­li­cans just wave bye-​bye to their House majority?

It’s almost as if there was a sin­gle coor­di­nated script that they all were read­ing from.

Now there are likely those who might get wor­ried about these pre­dic­tions and the media’s rush to sup­port and amplify them, but before you do let me show you a blast from Cook’s past namely Nov 7th 2016:

And Nate Sil­ver on Elec­tion day with a cou­ple of state high­lights thrown in

And then ask the ques­tion: Do they really think the Amer­i­can peo­ple to fall for this grift again? Or are they only expect­ing the pols in DC and their fool­ish con­sul­tants to do so?


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Norman: This is largely as I predicted except the Silly Party won, this was mainly due to the number of votes cast.

Monty Python’s Flying Circus, Election Night Special 1969

Less that 24 hours after the GOP house passed it’s version of Obamacare repeal then ending their not so splende inaction a professional prognosticator forecast doom and gloom for house GOP members for doing so.

Republicans’ 217-213 passage of the American Health Care Act on Thursday guarantees Democrats will have at least one major on-the-record vote to exploit in the next elections. Although it’s the first of potentially many explosive votes, House Republicans’ willingness to spend political capital on a proposal that garnered the support of just 17 percent of the public in a March Quinnipiac poll is consistent with past scenarios that have generated a midterm wave.

Not only did dozens of Republicans in marginal districts just hitch their names to an unpopular piece of legislation, Democrats just received another valuable candidate recruitment tool. In fact, Democrats aren’t so much recruiting candidates as they are overwhelmed by a deluge of eager newcomers, including doctors and veterans in traditionally red seats who have no political record for the GOP to attack – almost a mirror image of 2010

Their conclusion (with a caviet):

In light of the vote, we are shifting our ratings in 20 districts, all reflecting enhanced opportunities for Democrats. The major caveat is that 18 months is an eternity in politics and that as always, we will continue to adjust our outlook as events unfold and the landscape develops.

Naturally the MSM jumped all over this

and Cook was not alone among the prognosticators, Nate Silver joined em:

There could easily be an overall partisan swing of 5 to 10 percentage points against Republicans, therefore. It’s not quite clear how this partisan swing would interact with the AHCA penalty — whether you’d add them together or whether that’s double-counting — but it should be enough to make a lot of Republican incumbents nervous. There are 58 Republicans who won by less than 20 points in 20162 and who voted for the AHCA.

Naturally the MSM jumped

A top nonpartisan election analyst says Thursday’s House GOP vote to repeal and replace ObamaCare hurts the reelection chances of a number of House Republicans next year.

The Cook Political Report on Friday shifted its forecast for 20 GOP-incumbent or open districts to categories less favorable for Republicans.

and Jumped hard into the “GOP DOOM” meme

The Atlantic: What the GOP’s Health-Care Gamble Means for 2018

Vox: “I’ve never seen anything like this”: progressives see huge donation spike after AHCA vote

NYT: What Democrats’ Losses in 2010 Can Tell Us About G.O.P.’s Chances in 2018

Talking Points Memo: Hey Hey Goodbye

Politico: Red-state Dems pounce on Obamacare repeal bill

Mother Jones: These 24 Republicans Were Already Vulnerable—and Now They Just Voted to Repeal Obamacare

and of course the Washington Post: Did Republicans just wave bye-bye to their House majority?

It’s almost as if there was a single coordinated script that they all were reading from.

Now there are likely those who might get worried about these predictions and the media’s rush to support and amplify them, but before you do let me show you a blast from Cook’s past namely Nov 7th 2016:

And Nate Silver on Election day with a couple of state highlights thrown in

And then ask the question: Do they really think the American people to fall for this grift again? Or are they only expecting the pols in DC and their foolish consultants to do so?


All of this is paid for by you. If you think this site and our writers are worthwhile goal consider subscribing and become (if you wish) a listed as a Friend of DaTechguy blog

Remember all subscribers get my weekly podcast emailed directly to you before it goes up anywhere else.


Choose a Subscription level



And of course if you want to give a one shot hit (and help pay DaWife’s medical bills) you can hit DaTipJar




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If you are not in the position to kick in your funds we’ll always accept your prayers.