Unwoke Irma Changes Path, Leftist Narratives Hardest Hit

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Unwoke Irma Changes Path, Leftist Narratives Hardest Hit

At that time some peo­ple who were present there told him about the Galileans whose blood Pilate had min­gled with the blood of their sac­ri­fices. He said to them in reply, “Do you think that because these Galileans suf­fered in this way they were greater sin­ners than all other Galileans? By no means! But I tell you, if you do not repent, you will all per­ish as they did! Or those eigh­teen peo­ple who were killed when the tower at Siloam fell on them do you think they were more guilty than every­one else who lived in Jerusalem? By no means! But I tell you, if you do not repent, you will all per­ish as they did!”

Luke 11:15

We inter­rupt our Robert Stacy McCain in Mass­a­chu­setts blog­ging to note some­thing con­cern­ing Hur­ri­cane Irma.

When last I brought up Irma it was to use the vast dif­fer­ences between the US and Euro­pean com­puter mod­els for Irma’s pro­jected path three days out illus­trate the absur­dity of mak­ing eco­nomic pol­icy based on com­puter mod­els of cli­mate 50 to 100 years out.

Since then sev­eral of my Mag­nif­i­cent Seven writ­ers have given the sub­ject, par­tic­u­larly those in Irma’s pro­jected path, their full atten­tion but while I’ve kept an inter­ested eye on the path of the storm I’ve been too busy with my house­guest Robert Stacy McCain and the event we put on yes­ter­day to write any­thing on the subject.

There has how­ever been a devel­op­ment on the sub­ject worth of inter­rupt­ing of Stacy McCain in Mass­a­chu­setts blog­ging (which will resume after this post) namely it’s shift in path:

Hur­ri­cane Irma’s lead­ing edges whipped palm trees and kicked up the surf as it spun toward Florida with 125 mph winds Sat­ur­day on a pro­jected new track that could sub­ject Tampa — not Miami — to the storm’s worst fury.

Tampa has not taken a direct hit from a major hur­ri­cane in nearly a century.

The west­ward swing away from Miami in the overnight fore­cast caught many peo­ple off guard along Florida’s Gulf coast and trig­gered an abrupt shift in storm prepa­ra­tions. A major round of evac­u­a­tions was ordered in the Tampa area, and shel­ters there soon began fill­ing up.

This story brings two points to mind the first scientific:

If you were look­ing at the var­i­ous com­puter mod­els I was men­tion­ing plus a few oth­ers this change in path would be a mas­sive sur­prise as the idea that Tampa might be the pos­si­ble tar­get wasn’t really on your radar. This is why res­i­dents of Tampa Bay are now scram­bling to get ready for the storm head­ing their way.

In my opin­ion this doesn’t poorly reflect on the State’s moves to evac­u­ate peo­ple in the path, nor on those who pro­duced the mod­els as they were based on the best data avail­able. Fur­ther­more hur­ri­canes being “com­plex nat­ural phe­nom­ena that involve mul­ti­ple inter­act­ing processes” it’s always pos­si­ble that there will be another shift so given the imme­di­ate dan­ger it’s bet­ter to be safe than sorry.

How­ever it DOES rein­force my point con­cern­ing mak­ing decades long range eco­nomic deci­sions over com­puter mod­els fore­cast­ing 50 to 100 years out. It’s one thing to take a week long eco­nomic hit when life is in clear and vis­i­ble dan­ger, it’s quite another, to redi­rect hun­dreds of bil­lions toward the well con­nected for an ephemeral threat three to five gen­er­a­tions in the future based on com­puter mod­els whose vari­ables are astound­ingly vast and the hys­te­ria of indi­vid­u­als who are incred­i­bly shallow.

But there is a sec­ond point to be made, a social one:

One of the more dis­grace­ful things we’ve been see­ing from our friends on the left has been the appar­ent glee that they’ve expressed at the immi­nent dan­ger to those they blame for the results of the elec­tion. Despite the left eschew­ing all things reli­gious they’ve appar­ently bought into the idea that this is a sign of God’s wrath at trump vot­ers ,ignor­ing the fact that the Pres­i­dent got few votes from Cuba and Haiti and Puerto Rico where Irma has vented so far.

So imag­ine their dis­may at the shift in Irma’s path given the voter data Hills­bourough County includ­ing Tampa Bay from elec­tion 2016 show­ing that Hillary Clin­ton defeated Don­ald Trump in Tampa Bay by nearly seven points!

Now to any prop­erly cat­e­chized Chris­t­ian the entire con­cept is offen­sive. First of all Christ specif­i­cally warned about this type of mis­con­cep­tion over and over again both in the quote from Luke above and in deal­ing with the man born blind (John Chapt 9), but more impor­tantly for a Chris­t­ian all of the peo­ple both those already affected by the storm and those poten­tially affected are souls of equal value before God and deserv­ing our help and sup­port dur­ing this time of need, fur­ther­more as a plu­ral­is­tic soci­ety it is our oblig­a­tion to help our fel­low amer­i­cans in this cri­sis no mat­ter who they are.

But I am curi­ous to hear how those who so con­fi­dently expressed their delight at the plight of trump vot­ers han­dle mother nature’s appar­ent change of heart. Isn’t Irma woke? Has mother nature donned a MAGA hat? Per­haps ANTIFA should declare her a fas­cist and the South­ern Poverty Law Cen­ter will label her a white suprema­cist and put her on a watch list. I can see the marches and hear the protest chants now:

Hey Hey, Ho Ho, Mother Nature has got to go!


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At that time some people who were present there told him about the Galileans whose blood Pilate had mingled with the blood of their sacrifices.  He said to them in reply, “Do you think that because these Galileans suffered in this way they were greater sinners than all other Galileans?  By no means! But I tell you, if you do not repent, you will all perish as they did!  Or those eighteen people who were killed when the tower at Siloam fell on them do you think they were more guilty than everyone else who lived in Jerusalem?  By no means! But I tell you, if you do not repent, you will all perish as they did!”

Luke 11:1-5

We interrupt our Robert Stacy McCain in Massachusetts blogging to note something concerning Hurricane Irma.

When last I brought up Irma it was to use the vast differences between the US and European computer models for Irma’s projected path three days out illustrate the absurdity of making economic policy based on computer models of climate 50 to 100  years out.

Since then several of my Magnificent Seven writers have given the subject, particularly those in Irma’s projected path, their full attention but while I’ve kept an interested eye on the path of the storm I’ve been too busy with my houseguest Robert Stacy McCain and the event we put on yesterday to write anything on the subject.

There has however been a development on the subject worth of interrupting of Stacy McCain in Massachusetts blogging (which will resume after this post) namely it’s shift in path:

 Hurricane Irma’s leading edges whipped palm trees and kicked up the surf as it spun toward Florida with 125 mph winds Saturday on a projected new track that could subject Tampa — not Miami — to the storm’s worst fury.

Tampa has not taken a direct hit from a major hurricane in nearly a century.

The westward swing away from Miami in the overnight forecast caught many people off guard along Florida’s Gulf coast and triggered an abrupt shift in storm preparations. A major round of evacuations was ordered in the Tampa area, and shelters there soon began filling up.

This story brings two points to mind the first scientific:

If you were looking at the various computer models I was mentioning plus a few others this change in path would be a massive surprise as the idea that Tampa might be the possible target wasn’t really on your radar.  This is why residents of Tampa Bay are now scrambling to get ready for the storm heading their way.

In my opinion this doesn’t poorly reflect on the State’s moves to evacuate people in the path, nor on those who produced the models as they were based on the best data available.  Furthermore hurricanes being “complex natural phenomena that involve multiple interacting processes” it’s always possible that there will be another shift so given the immediate danger it’s better to be safe than sorry.

However it DOES reinforce my point concerning making decades long range economic decisions over computer models forecasting 50 to 100 years out. It’s one thing to take a week long economic hit when life is in clear and visible danger, it’s quite another, to redirect hundreds of billions toward the well connected for an ephemeral threat three to five generations in the future based on computer models whose variables are astoundingly vast and the hysteria of individuals who are incredibly shallow.

But there is a second point to be made, a social one:

One of the more disgraceful things we’ve been seeing from our friends on the left has been the apparent glee that they’ve expressed at the imminent danger to those they blame for the results of the election.  Despite the left eschewing all things religious they’ve apparently bought into the idea that this is a sign of God’s wrath at trump voters ,ignoring the fact that the President got few votes from Cuba and Haiti and Puerto Rico where Irma has vented so far.

So imagine their dismay at the shift in Irma’s path given the voter data Hillsbourough County including Tampa Bay from election 2016 showing that Hillary Clinton defeated Donald Trump in Tampa Bay by nearly seven points!

Now to any properly catechized Christian the entire concept is offensive.  First of all Christ specifically warned about this type of misconception over and over again both in the quote from Luke above and in dealing with the man born blind (John Chapt 9), but more importantly for a Christian all of the people both those already affected by the storm and those potentially affected are souls of equal value before God and deserving our help and support during this time of need,  furthermore as a pluralistic society it is our obligation to help our fellow americans in this crisis no matter who they are.

But I am curious to hear how those who so confidently expressed their delight at the plight of trump voters handle mother nature’s apparent change of heart.  Isn’t Irma woke?  Has mother nature donned a MAGA hat?  Perhaps ANTIFA should declare her a fascist and the Southern Poverty Law Center will label her a white supremacist and put her on a watch list.  I can see the marches and hear the protest chants now:

Hey Hey, Ho Ho, Mother Nature has got to go!


If you like what you’ve seen here and want to support independent journalism please hit DaTipJar below.




Please consider subscribing, Not only does that get you my weekly podcast emailed to you before it appears either on the site or at the 405media which graciously carries it on a weekly basis but if you subscribe at any level I will send you an autographed copy of my new book from Imholt Press: Hail Mary the Perfect Protestant (and Catholic) Prayer


Choose a Subscription level