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The American Crime Spree

The FBI annual report that vio­lent crime, includ­ing homi­cides, rose sig­nif­i­cantly for the sec­ond con­sec­u­tive year rated only a few pass­ing ref­er­ences in the news.

Vio­lent crimes increased nation­ally last year by more than 4 per­cent and homi­cides rose by nearly 9 per­cent, one year after vio­lence rose nearly 4 per­cent and homi­cides jumped by nearly 11 per­cent. A total of 17,250 peo­ple were mur­dered in 2016, the FBI said, an increase of about 20 per­cent over the past two years alone.

This is omi­nous,” said Mark Kleiman, a crim­i­nol­o­gist at New York University’s Mar­ron Insti­tute of Urban Man­age­ment. “What you worry about is that the trend is bro­ken, and the num­bers are going to go back up. A 20 per­cent increase in homi­cides over the past two years is not triv­ial. We’ve got what looks like a seri­ous prob­lem here.”

In 2016, Chicago again led the nation in mur­ders with 765 – more than dou­ble the 335 peo­ple killed in New York, which has more than 5.8 mil­lion more peo­ple than Chicago.

Large cities – those con­trolled by Democ­rats and with pop­u­la­tions of more than a mil­lion peo­ple – saw homi­cides rise by 20.3 per­cent, and all vio­lent crime increase by 7.2 per­cent in 2016. The trend toward greater vio­lence was felt in cities and towns of all sizes. In towns with pop­u­la­tions of fewer than 10,000 peo­ple, for instance, mur­ders rose by 8.4 per­cent, accord­ing to the FBI.

Crime is lower than it was in the 1980s and 1990s, but that gives lit­tle solace to vic­tims and their families.

Here are a few more per­ti­nent facts:

–Mur­der vic­tims, as well as those arrested on mur­der charges, were dis­pro­por­tion­ately young, African-​American, and male.

–The demo­graphic group where a sig­nif­i­cantly higher rate of vio­lence occurs – those between 18 and 34 – is get­ting smaller. So the per­cent­age of crimes com­mit­ted by that age group should be get­ting smaller, but it’s not. It’s way up.

–More than three-​quarters of U.S. law enforce­ment offi­cers say they are reluc­tant to use force when nec­es­sary, and nearly as many – 72 per­cent – say they or their col­leagues are more reluc­tant to stop and ques­tion peo­ple who seem sus­pi­cious as a result of increased scrutiny of police, accord­ing to a study by the Pew Research Cen­ter. https://​www​.usato​day​.com/​s​t​o​r​y​/​n​e​w​s​/​2017​/​01​/​11​/​f​e​r​g​u​s​o​n​-​e​f​f​e​c​t​-​s​t​u​d​y​-​72​-​u​s​-​c​o​p​s​-​r​e​l​u​c​t​a​n​t​-​m​a​k​e​-​s​t​o​p​s​/​96446504/

–The num­ber of police offi­cers and their start­ing salaries have declined since the mid-​1990s.

Many the­o­ries exist about why vio­lent crime is up. Glenn Reynolds of Instapun­dit has a good analy­sis: “Peo­ple worry more about crime when they feel that the author­i­ties don’t have their backs. When they feel con­fi­dent that the gov­ern­ment will make all rea­son­able efforts to keep them safe, that’s one thing. When they think that the polit­i­cal class has other pri­or­i­ties – or even sees them as expend­able in the ser­vice of ‘social jus­tice’ goals – they get their backs up. I think it’s also a recog­ni­tion that things can go from good to bad pretty fast.”

What’s clear is that vio­lent crime is get­ting worse, and it could go from bad to much worse if we don’t do some­thing about it.

Update DTG; I think Christopher’s piece is one of the most impor­tant sto­ries that nobody is talk­ing about. It will remain pinned to the top for at least the next two days. If you only share one post from our site this week, make it this one.

The FBI annual report that violent crime, including homicides, rose significantly for the second consecutive year rated only a few passing references in the news.

Violent crimes increased nationally last year by more than 4 percent and homicides rose by nearly 9 percent, one year after violence rose nearly 4 percent and homicides jumped by nearly 11 percent. A total of 17,250 people were murdered in 2016, the FBI said, an increase of about 20 percent over the past two years alone.

“This is ominous,” said Mark Kleiman, a criminologist at New York University’s Marron Institute of Urban Management. “What you worry about is that the trend is broken, and the numbers are going to go back up. A 20 percent increase in homicides over the past two years is not trivial. We’ve got what looks like a serious problem here.”

In 2016, Chicago again led the nation in murders with 765–more than double the 335 people killed in New York, which has more than 5.8 million more people than Chicago.

Large cities–those controlled by Democrats and with populations of more than a million people–saw homicides rise by 20.3 percent, and all violent crime increase by 7.2 percent in 2016. The trend toward greater violence was felt in cities and towns of all sizes. In towns with populations of fewer than 10,000 people, for instance, murders rose by 8.4 percent, according to the FBI.

Crime is lower than it was in the 1980s and 1990s, but that gives little solace to victims and their families.

Here are a few more pertinent facts:

–Murder victims, as well as those arrested on murder charges, were disproportionately young, African-American, and male.

–The demographic group where a significantly higher rate of violence occurs–those between 18 and 34–is getting smaller. So the percentage of crimes committed by that age group should be getting smaller, but it’s not. It’s way up.

–More than three-quarters of U.S. law enforcement officers say they are reluctant to use force when necessary, and nearly as many–72 percent–say they or their colleagues are more reluctant to stop and question people who seem suspicious as a result of increased scrutiny of police, according to a study by the Pew Research Center. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2017/01/11/ferguson-effect-study-72-us-cops-reluctant-make-stops/96446504/

–The number of police officers and their starting salaries have declined since the mid-1990s.

Many theories exist about why violent crime is up. Glenn Reynolds of Instapundit has a good analysis: “People worry more about crime when they feel that the authorities don’t have their backs. When they feel confident that the government will make all reasonable efforts to keep them safe, that’s one thing. When they think that the political class has other priorities–or even sees them as expendable in the service of ‘social justice’ goals–they get their backs up. I think it’s also a recognition that things can go from good to bad pretty fast.”

What’s clear is that violent crime is getting worse, and it could go from bad to much worse if we don’t do something about it.

Update DTG;  I think Christopher’s piece is one of the most important stories that nobody is talking about.  It will remain pinned to the top for at least the next two days.  If you only share one post from our site this week, make it this one.