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Border Wall Mind Games

by baldilocks

From the Asso­ci­ated Press:

Seek­ing a bipar­ti­san com­pro­mise to avoid a gov­ern­ment shut­down, Pres­i­dent Don­ald Trump sug­gested Tues­day that an immi­gra­tion deal could be reached in two phases — first by address­ing young immi­grants and bor­der secu­rity with what he called a “bill of love,” then by mak­ing com­pre­hen­sive changes that have long eluded Congress.

Trump presided over a lengthy meet­ing with Repub­li­can and Demo­c­ra­tic law­mak­ers seek­ing a solu­tion for hun­dreds of thou­sands of young peo­ple who were brought to the U.S. as chil­dren and liv­ing here ille­gally. Trump last year ended the Obama-​era Deferred Action for Child­hood Arrivals pro­gram, which shielded more than 700,000 peo­ple from depor­ta­tion and gave them the right to work legally. He gave Con­gress until March to find a fix.

Back in 2007, when George W. Bush, along with con­gres­sional Repub­li­cans and Democ­rats alike were push­ing a bill called Com­pre­hen­sive Immi­gra­tion Reform, I wrote this, repro­duced below. I some­times like to engage in what Thomas Sow­ell calls Think­ing Beyond Stage One.

Read the rest of the AP link before you read this post. My mus­ings are only tan­gen­tial to the bor­der wall topic and not related to the actions of Pres­i­dent Trump and/​or the law­mak­ers on DACA.


Even though it appears that the now-​infamous Com­pre­hen­sive Immi­gra­tion Reform bill is about to die, we know that the pro­posal will spawn at some point. But the more I think about what might hap­pen if we went in a com­plete oppo­site direc­tion, the more I real­ize that our gov­ern­ment has put us in a posi­tion for which all choices have uni­formly dimin­ish­ing returns.

Let’s say we build a wall on the US south­ern bor­der and the north­ern one, for that mat­ter, and let’s pre­tend that there won’t be shouts from far and wide — from with­out and within – about the evil, racist, xeno­pho­bic Amer­i­cans. This fan­tasy wall would not be some slip-​shod token of a wall but a real one. Just for definition’s sake, let’s give it the for­mi­da­bil­ity of Great Wall of China and use 21st cen­tury tech­nol­ogy to give it the ease and effi­ciency of sur­veil­lance which the archi­tects of the Berlin Wall would have envied; in other words, a Wall that means business.

What do you think would hap­pen in Mex­ico? Well it would prob­a­bly explode. Pic­ture it. Mexico’s “white” rul­ing class could no longer ignore browner Mex­i­cans and their con­cerns nor could it palm off its “prob­lems” on its richer neigh­bor. The Mex­i­can gov­ern­ment would find itself in a boil­ing cal­dron com­posed of PO’d poor and oppressed folks on one side and the country’s exten­sive crim­i­nal class and crooked police force on the other. (For a very impre­cise anal­ogy, see Gaza.)

For our part, we would prob­a­bly see a “boat-​people” cri­sis in the Pacific and in the Gulf of Mex­ico — though I’d wager that many of the as-​yet imag­i­nary boat-​people would be mak­ing their way the coastal US in far more sea­wor­thy accom­mo­da­tions than do many of their real world coun­ter­parts from Cuba and Haiti. Cer­tainly, our Coast Guard would res­cue them, and our gov­ern­ment would prob­a­bly allow them refugee sta­tus. How­ever, the vast major­ity of Mex­i­cans would be forced to stay home and live with each other — or kill each other, their choice.

But does the US want to take action which could result in hav­ing its next-​door neigh­bor erupt into Civil War? Addi­tion­ally, could the US with­stand the with­er­ing domes­tic and inter­na­tional crit­i­cism — jus­ti­fied or not — for “caus­ing” (fur­ther) Mex­i­can unrest? An iron-​willed pres­i­dent — which George W. Bush is on nearly all of his deci­sions — might be able to deal with it. But if he/​she is sad­dled with a squishy Con­gress, from which a mem­ber might be moti­vated to quote another pres­i­dent and say “Mr. [Madam] Pres­i­dent, tear down this Wall” in the wake of any back­lash, then I’d say that the answer is ‘no.’ And, what of the secu­rity con­cerns that are bound to exist in the US bor­der states due to their prox­im­ity with an anarchy-​reigned Mex­ico even with a com­pleted wall?

Nei­ther the US nor Mex­ico is will­ing to swal­low such a bit­ter pill.

See, when Pres­i­dent Rea­gan and the sit­ting Con­gress of 1986 decided to grant amnesty to ille­gal aliens while only giv­ing lip ser­vice to bor­der enforce­ment, they put this coun­try into a posi­tion in which we face now; one in which any choice will have fewer and fewer ben­e­fits while the draw­backs increase. And if bor­der enforce­ment remains undone, yet again, we’ll be revis­it­ing this sub­ject again in, say, a decade — a time period dur­ing which the ben­e­fits of any action will be reduced to zero and with bit­ter med­i­cine being the only thing left.

I still won­der whether our bet­ters want this coun­try to absorb all of Mexico’s under­class. 12 mil­lion? 20 mil­lion? Try 75 million.

And then con­sider this thought game.

Some his­tor­i­cally igno­rant indi­vid­u­als claim that all Mex­i­can cit­i­zens have a right to move freely into the south­ern US bor­der states because those states — Cal­i­for­nia, Ari­zona, New Mex­ico and Texas — are “a part of Mex­ico” and because the US “stole” those states from Mexico.

Let’s say we cede those states to Mex­ico and let’s pre­tend that an insur­gency which would make Iraq look like a child­hood game of cowboys-​and-​Indians — to use a per­fect and per­fectly un-​PC metaphor — would not occur. Said states would become Mex­i­can states, that is, part of the same class-​based Mex­ico from which ille­gal immi­grants are try­ing to escape in the real world in order to have the bet­ter life that most of them claim to want (and I believe them; that is, most of them).

What would then begin to hap­pen on the new US border?

I’m tired of play­ing games with this subject.

Juli­ette Akinyi Ochieng blogs at baldilocks. (Her older blog is located here.) Her first novel, Tale of the Tigers: Love is Not a Game, was pub­lished in 2012. Her sec­ond novel ten­ta­tively titled Arlen’s Harem, will be done one day soon! Fol­low her on Twit­ter and on Gab​.ai.

Please con­tribute to Juliette’s JOB: Her new novel, her blog, her Inter­net to keep the lat­ter going and COF­FEE to keep her going!

Or hit Da Tech Guy’s Tip Jar in the name of Inde­pen­dent Journalism!

by baldilocks

From the Associated Press:

Seeking a bipartisan compromise to avoid a government shutdown, President Donald Trump suggested Tuesday that an immigration deal could be reached in two phases — first by addressing young immigrants and border security with what he called a “bill of love,” then by making comprehensive changes that have long eluded Congress.

Trump presided over a lengthy meeting with Republican and Democratic lawmakers seeking a solution for hundreds of thousands of young people who were brought to the U.S. as children and living here illegally. Trump last year ended the Obama-era Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, which shielded more than 700,000 people from deportation and gave them the right to work legally. He gave Congress until March to find a fix.

Back in 2007, when George W. Bush, along with congressional Republicans and Democrats alike were pushing a bill called Comprehensive Immigration Reform, I wrote this, reproduced below. I sometimes like to engage in what Thomas Sowell calls Thinking Beyond Stage One.

Read the rest of the AP link before you read this post. My musings are only tangential to the border wall topic and not related to the actions of President Trump and/or the lawmakers on DACA.


Even though it appears that the now-infamous Comprehensive Immigration Reform bill is about to die, we know that the proposal will spawn at some point. But the more I think about what might happen if we went in a complete opposite direction, the more I realize that our government has put us in a position for which all choices have uniformly diminishing returns.

Let’s say we build a wall on the US southern border and the northern one, for that matter, and let’s pretend that there won’t be shouts from far and wide—from without and within–about the evil, racist, xenophobic Americans. This fantasy wall would not be some slip-shod token of a wall but a real one. Just for definition’s sake, let’s give it the formidability of Great Wall of China and use 21st century technology to give it the ease and efficiency of surveillance which the architects of the Berlin Wall would have envied; in other words, a Wall that means business.

What do you think would happen in Mexico? Well it would probably explode. Picture it. Mexico’s “white” ruling class could no longer ignore browner Mexicans and their concerns nor could it palm off its “problems” on its richer neighbor. The Mexican government would find itself in a boiling caldron composed of PO’d poor and oppressed folks on one side and the country’s extensive criminal class and crooked police force on the other. (For a very imprecise analogy, see Gaza.)

For our part, we would probably see a “boat-people” crisis in the Pacific and in the Gulf of Mexico—though I’d wager that many of the as-yet imaginary boat-people would be making their way the coastal US in far more seaworthy accommodations than do many of their real world counterparts from Cuba and Haiti. Certainly, our Coast Guard would rescue them, and our government would probably allow them refugee status. However, the vast majority of Mexicans would be forced to stay home and live with each other—or kill each other, their choice.

But does the US want to take action which could result in having its next-door neighbor erupt into Civil War? Additionally, could the US withstand the withering domestic and international criticism—justified or not—for “causing” (further) Mexican unrest? An iron-willed president—which George W. Bush is on nearly all of his decisions—might be able to deal with it. But if he/she is saddled with a squishy Congress, from which a member might be motivated to quote another president and say “Mr. [Madam] President, tear down this Wall” in the wake of any backlash, then I’d say that the answer is ‘no.’ And, what of the security concerns that are bound to exist in the US border states due to their proximity with an anarchy-reigned Mexico even with a completed wall?

Neither the US nor Mexico is willing to swallow such a bitter pill.

See, when President Reagan and the sitting Congress of 1986 decided to grant amnesty to illegal aliens while only giving lip service to border enforcement, they put this country into a position in which we face now; one in which any choice will have fewer and fewer benefits while the drawbacks increase. And if border enforcement remains undone, yet again, we’ll be revisiting this subject again in, say, a decade—a time period during which the benefits of any action will be reduced to zero and with bitter medicine being the only thing left.

I still wonder whether our betters want this country to absorb all of Mexico’s underclass. 12 million? 20 million? Try 75 million.

And then consider this thought game.

Some historically ignorant individuals claim that all Mexican citizens have a right to move freely into the southern US border states because those states—California, Arizona, New Mexico and Texas—are “a part of Mexico” and because the US “stole” those states from Mexico.

Let’s say we cede those states to Mexico and let’s pretend that an insurgency which would make Iraq look like a childhood game of cowboys-and-Indians—to use a perfect and perfectly un-PC metaphor—would not occur. Said states would become Mexican states, that is, part of the same class-based Mexico from which illegal immigrants are trying to escape in the real world in order to have the better life that most of them claim to want (and I believe them; that is, most of them).

What would then begin to happen on the new US border?

I’m tired of playing games with this subject.

Juliette Akinyi Ochieng blogs at baldilocks. (Her older blog is located here.) Her first novel, Tale of the Tigers: Love is Not a Game, was published in 2012. Her second novel tentatively titled Arlen’s Harem, will be done one day soon! Follow her on Twitter and on Gab.ai.

Please contribute to Juliette’s JOB: Her new novel, her blog, her Internet to keep the latter going and COFFEE to keep her going!

Or hit Da Tech Guy’s Tip Jar in the name of Independent Journalism!