10 Thoughts on Trump and Syria Under my Fedora

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10 Thoughts on Trump and Syria Under my Fedora

My advice post for the GOP is on hold for a day or two because of events in Syria. Here are 10 thoughts under my fedora on the subject.

I’m really think­ing that Putin are falling for MSM pro­pa­ganda on the president’s weak­ness. I think the Rus­sians and/​or Syr­i­ans and/​or Ira­ni­ans wrongly per­ceived that Trump’s pub­lic desire to be out of Syria meant open sea­son to use gas, big mis­take (and please don’t insult my intel­li­gence by sug­gest­ing that the Syr­i­ans might use this gas with­out the con­sent of the Russians.


Watch­ing the cov­er­age on CNN was inter­est­ing. Because there was no warn­ing that this was com­ing there was no coor­di­na­tion with Democ­rats on how to react and since they can’t hit Trump for pun­ish­ing Syria for gassing inno­cent peo­ple they had to play it straight to a large degree. They really didn’t like that.


Another inter­est­ing prob­lem for the MSM was the con­trast between Trump doing what he said he would do on Syria and the Obama admin­is­tra­tions mak­ing threats and red lines that meant noth­ing. The only bright side for them was con­trast­ing Trump’s pre­vi­ous state­ments before he was in the White House.


I was won­der­ing how long it would take MSNBC to call this a “wag the dog” sce­nario. Unfor­tu­nately for them there has been a week of talk about Syria and gas which makes that entire argu­ment weak, there is also the help from Eng­land and France which is not some­thing you can coor­di­nate in a day or two which really hurts the cred­i­bil­ity of the argu­ment, but that won’t stop most “never trumpers” from play­ing that card.


it’s also worth not­ing Trump got a lot of credit for get­ting a coali­tion together for this attack, even Joe Scar­bor­ough who cer­tainly can’t be accused of car­ry­ing Trump’s water com­ple­mented him on this. I was sur­prised he was able to get the French, the British were less of a sur­prise. It’s amaz­ing how nations are more will­ing to hit your allies when you go around poi­son­ing peo­ple on their soil.


A few days ago at work a friend from Haiti was very wor­ried about Putin’s threat to shoot down any­thing attack­ing in Syria. I told him not to worry because it was a bluff. Today has con­firmed that to be true although that’s not how it will be played in Rus­sia. Every time they play that game Russ­ian and Iran­ian pres­tige in the area drops like a rock.


This has got to be a huge worry for Iran, North Korea and China. After all if Trump is will­ing to go toe to toe with Putin he’s cer­tainly not going to show any restraint on Iran and you had bet­ter believe lit­tle Kim has noticed this.


Don’t think for one minute the con­trast­ing mes­sages between Trump and his gen­er­als to the press is an acci­dent. This pres­i­dent is a big believer in keep­ing the other side guess­ing. The con­flict­ing mes­sages are to cause the max­i­mum con­fu­sion to the enemy as they decide what to do next.


I’m fig­ur­ing that by Sun­day the MSM and Democ­rats will have decided on a uni­fied theme to go with here. All of it will depend­ing on the polling they see. If the polling is mixed they’ll go all in with the “wag the dog” busi­ness sug­gest­ing that all of this was to dis­tract from Comey and Cohen cit­ing a lack of pub­lic evi­dence of Syr­ian actions while at the same time not demand­ing any such evi­dence the admin­is­tra­tion has be made pub­lic so as not to allow Trump to jus­tify his actions. Sec­ondly they will con­trast his pre­vi­ous remarks to his cur­rent actions to back up the whole “wag the dog” meme. If the polling proves this to be pop­u­lar they might just decide to get behind it to head off the GOP tak­ing credit.


In terms of pol­i­tics this is the worst pos­si­ble thing to hap­pen to the left. Trump lead­ing an inter­na­tional force to con­front a coun­try using chem­i­cal weapons is very pres­i­den­tial and it comes as his polling is some of the best we’ve seen for him in a while. A for­eign pol­icy suc­cess com­bined with a strong econ­omy might just give the GOP enough courage to fight back against the left’s TET offen­sive, par­tic­u­larly if it’s com­bined with an effec­tive slo­gan, but that’s the post I’ve put off till tomorrow.

My advice post for the GOP is on hold for a day or two because of events in Syria.  Here are 10 thoughts under my fedora on the subject.

I’m really thinking that Putin are falling for MSM propaganda on the president’s weakness.  I think the Russians and/or Syrians and/or Iranians wrongly perceived that Trump’s public desire to be out of Syria meant open season to use gas, big mistake (and please don’t insult my intelligence by suggesting that the Syrians might use this gas without the consent of the Russians.


Watching the coverage on CNN was interesting.  Because there was no warning that this was coming there was no coordination with Democrats on how to react and since they can’t hit Trump for punishing Syria for gassing innocent people  they had to play it straight to a large degree.  They really didn’t like that.


Another interesting problem for the MSM was the contrast between Trump doing what he said he would do on Syria and the Obama administrations making threats and red lines that meant nothing.  The only bright side for them was contrasting Trump’s previous statements before he was in the White House.


I was wondering how long it would take MSNBC to call this a “wag the dog” scenario.  Unfortunately for them there has been a week of talk about Syria and gas which makes that entire argument weak, there is also the help from England and France which is not something you can coordinate in a day or two which really hurts the credibility of the argument, but that won’t stop most “never trumpers” from playing that card.


it’s also worth noting Trump got a lot of credit for getting a coalition together for this attack, even Joe Scarborough who certainly can’t be accused of carrying Trump’s water complemented him on this.  I was surprised he was able to get the French, the British were less of a surprise.  It’s amazing how nations are more willing to hit your allies when you go around poisoning people on their soil.


A few days ago at work a friend from Haiti was very worried about Putin’s threat to shoot down anything attacking in Syria.  I told him not to worry because it was a bluff.  Today has confirmed that to be true although that’s not how it will be played in Russia.  Every time they play that game Russian and Iranian prestige in the area drops like a rock.


This has got to be a huge worry for Iran, North Korea and China.  After all if Trump is willing to go toe to toe with Putin he’s certainly not going to show any restraint on Iran and you had better believe little Kim has noticed this.


Don’t think for one minute the contrasting messages between Trump and his generals to the press is an accident.  This president is a big believer in keeping the other side guessing.  The conflicting messages are to cause the maximum confusion to the enemy as they decide what to do next.


I’m figuring that by Sunday the MSM and Democrats will have decided on a unified theme to go with here.  All of it will depending on the polling they see.  If the polling is mixed they’ll go all in with the “wag the dog” business suggesting that all of this was to distract from Comey and Cohen citing a lack of public evidence of Syrian actions while at the same time not demanding any such evidence the administration has be made public so as not to allow Trump to justify his actions.  Secondly they will contrast his previous remarks to his current actions to back up the whole “wag the dog” meme.  If the polling proves this to be popular they might just decide to get behind it to head off the GOP taking credit.


In terms of politics this is the worst possible thing to happen to the left.  Trump leading an international force to confront a country using chemical weapons is very presidential and it comes as his polling is some of the best we’ve seen for him in a while.  A foreign policy success combined with a strong economy might just give the GOP enough courage to fight back against the left’s TET offensive, particularly if it’s combined with an effective slogan, but that’s the post I’ve put off till tomorrow.