Tuesday’s primary results in Florida was a bit of a surprise on both sides of the aisle but also give the people in Florida one of the clearest choices in the nation in terms of the direction they want to go.
On the GOP side an establishment republican Adam Pullman with an acceptable record on the state level was blown away by Congressman Ron DeSantos who topped 56% in a six man field but outperformed the polling in the state by 15 to 24 points depending on the poll.
DeSantos went all in for both President Trump and the wall in what is considered a swing state and apparently that was the difference between a plurality and a clear overwhelming majority
On the Democrat side the surprise was even greater as a daughter of a former Governor and Senator who was not shown behind in any poll was defeated not by her closest rival but by the mayor of Tallahassee Andrew Gillum who is as far left as they come having been endorsed by both Bernie Sanders and Tom Steyer
The real interesting thing here is in the five candidate field both Gwen Graham and her chief rival Philip Levine outperformed their polling average Graham by 5.5 pts and Levine by 1.5 pts but Gillum blew away the polling. His polling average was 12% going into election night and he finished with 34% of the vote.
Or to put it another way according to the polls 26% of the GOP electorate and 23% of the Democrat electorate was undecided and unless the polls were spectacularly wrong just about every undecided republican went for DeSantos, Trump Man and every single undecided Democrat went with Gillum the Bernie Bro.
This is horrible news for the establishment in both parties but in my opinion it’s great news for the country as a whole. Jazz Shaw puts it well:
The state parties had their own preferences, but for Florida’s voters, it seems to have wound up being a battle between President Trump and the combined forces of Bernie Sanders and billionaire donor Tom Steyer. (There’s an odd combination for you, eh? A socialist and a guy who rode capitalism to the halls of financial power.) While everything can (and likely will) change over the course of two years, this race can almost be seen as a microcosm of 2020.
To be sure there are some twists, you have two ethnic candidates where the whole black vs Hispanic thing could get interesting and there are some corruption issues in Gillum’s city that might sway a vote or two but the big thing is Gillum’s platform based on his advertising is as left as you can get: Jazz Shaw again
BEAT THE NRA
HEALTHCARE FOR ALL
$1 BILLION FOR EDUCATION
BAN ASSAULT WEAPONS
$15 MINIMUM WAGE
ABOLISH AND REPLACE ICE
END STAND YOUR GROUND
Not exactly a moderate platform, eh? We’ll see how that plays on the Redneck Riviera.
Now here in Massachusetts you might not be able to tell if that was the platform of the Republican or Democrat candidate for governor (if you don’t believe me remember our republican Governor just signed a $15 minimum wage bill and pot stores are opening up all over the state) but in normal and sane parts of the country this is as loony left as it comes.
Which means that barring a sudden turn to the left by DeSantos or to the right by Gillum, which I suspect neither sides base would forgive Florida has been given the rare privilege of a clear distinct choice between two paths for their state. Trump & Capitalism, or Bernie and Socialism, or as Rush puts it does Florida want to be America or does Florida want to be Venezuela.
Barring some unforeseen revelation that torpedoes one candidate or the other this is what it’s going to come down to.
I think it’s very healthy for voters to have such a clear choice and to choose their fate. For the sake of their state I hope they make the right choice but either way Florida voters will get the government they deserve.
My pay for this comes from the voluntary contributions of readers. If you think this work is worth your while and wish to support it and my writers please subscribe to the site below.
Or buying my book Hail Mary the Perfect Protestant (and Catholic) Prayer
Either way it’s most appreciated.