A few days ago Claire McCaskill one of those red State Democrats who is facing re-election came out publicly that she would vote against Brett Kavanaugh.
This was very early in the Christine Ford business, however she was adamant that her decision wasn’t based on Ford at all but on other issues.
At the time I thought it was a bad move telegraphing her vote early but the more I think about the situation the more I realize that the cleverest pol in the Democrat Caucus read this situation like a book.
The conventional wisdom was that Red State Democrats would wait until the day of the vote itself, if the GOP had the votes to confirm they would be allowed to go along as it wouldn’t make a difference to the outcome and that utilitarian decision could be easily sold to even the most fanatical leftists desperate to gain a majority.
But a woman who in 2010 was clever enough to realize that the Sarah Palin backed candidate in the primaries was a threat to her election and took steps to neutralize her in the GOP primary was also clever enough to see not only that the Ford letter was weak tea with a lot of “interesting” side issues but that this would develop into the most dangerous possible situation for a Red State Democrat.
The entire Democrat strategy was based on the idea of GOP/Kavanaugh/Trump caving. Once it became clear that Trump would not cave I suspect that Claire deduced that Kavanaugh was unlikely to cave meaning that Democrats would become more and more desperate and they have bringing out a series of suddenly discovered accusers whose charges have been less and less credible than the unsupported claims of Dr. Ford.
In fact the anger this has generated among Trump voters is only matched by the fanaticism that this has generated among the pussy hat brigades who see no inconsistency between the total lack of anything like this being alleged for decades or multiple FBI background checks failing to pick this stuff up, and Brett Kavanaugh being a serial rapist in highschool/college.
In fact the only thing less likely than Trump voters forgiving a red State Democrat’s NO on Kavanaugh is a fanatical leftist in a blue state forgiving a yes vote on Kavanaugh.
In other words it’s an impossible position, unless you’ve already come out against him based on issues totally unrelated to the accusations
That’s what McCaskill did. By voting with her base but not joining the lynch mob on these ridiculous accusation against Kavanaugh she manages to do the least amount of potential damage to her re-election campaign.
Of the red state Democrats only McCaskill figured this out and acted in the small window available for her. This woman is the smartest one they have when it comes to politics and reading red state voters.
The GOP is damn lucky that nobody seems to be mentioning her as a 2020 candidate.