There are a lot of opinions on the IG report this week concerning Comey and company from a lot of people more prominent than me and while I’m feeling a tad lonely and melancholy today with my son and wife at work I’m not inclined to debate the issue on twitter although I will quote the single best advice for those trying to make up their mind about it which came, surprisingly from a rather strident liberal.

This is of course why one should always do when confronted by such things but while you are reading and pondering this report and if the FBI had a hand on the scales there is a totally different consideration that should be going through your head, one that should be the first thing that comes to your mind as you read the FBI report.

If Hillary is elected all this behavior is not only rewarded but normalized in government forever.

This is not a new consideration, it’s something I’ve written about before concerning the IRS scandal

This is , in my opinion, the most important factor in the upcoming election. It’s very clear that this administration is not going to punish anyone for this and I guarantee you that if the next president is Hillary Clinton not only will nobody punished but do you really believe that given the power of the white house behind her a president Hillary Clinton will not do the same?

And it was illustrated by more than just the IRS scandal as noted here:

Carlos Henriquez didn’t pull out of his race at the time of his arrest because he understood that even with the war on woman being the theme of the 2012 election and one of the most prominent female candidates in the country running in his state,  the media, local state & national would ignore it.  He remains in his seat because he understands that even with his conviction for actually assaulting a women the media will never find his story more interesting than Mike Huckabee saying the word: “libido”

The administration appointed a political friend and donor to investigate itself on a critical scandal because they understood  that the national media would not press the issue or report on a story they had ignored for months on end.

The Senator and his office feels themselves free to attempt to pressure his state to change it’s reported numbers because they understood that the media would not press them nor nor keep a close eye on any investigation that might come.

and that’s also why The Governor & his administration felt fee to stack the investigating committee of  a prominent member of his political party because it is their understanding that while the story has broken today it will not go far and will certainly not go national.

That’s why I endorsed Trump a bit before the GOP convention because the danger to the republic in general and to conservatives in particular was astounding.

I think the breaking point is near, I think there are a lot of people in this country who are deciding that the Government is openly hostile to them.  I think that the sight of women and gay men being beaten by leftists because they support the presumptive GOP nominee, having it happen in full sight of police ordered to do nothing AND SEEING THOSE OFFICERS CHOOSING TO LET THEM BE BEATEN means that they can not count on the authorities to obey their oaths of office if they think doing so might cost them their jobs.

Even worse than this is the obvious question it raises: If leftists are willing to resort to violence and boast about it before an election when it might hurt their ability to persuade the people to vote for them, how much more willing will they be to violently suppress their political foes when such behavior is rewarded with electoral victory by the people?

What will that tell a populace that has already been arming itself nonstop for the last 4-6 years?

and why I re-endorsed him at the time of the Bush tape.

Right now a lot of people are forgetting that for good or I’ll the only thing standing between us and the financial, military, security, cultural and constitutional rights disaster that a Hillary Clinton administration would be is Donald Trump.

People are in panic and when the line is breaking someone has to pick up the flag and shout “FORWARD”. And if it costs some me some readers then so be it.

Before the election I suspected that the election of Hillary meant the end of civil liberties for the right and maybe even eventual civil war.  With the IG report this is, in my opinion no longer speculation but something that is now clearly established.

Thank God she lost.

There are a lot of people who still misjudge and underestimate Donald Trump and it started this day three years ago.  It worth revisiting that original speech that got it all started

and the media reaction to it;

To make a long story short the entire MSM’s take on Donald Trump’s speech sounded like the Movie Blazing Saddles when Bart starts singing his version of: “I get a kick out of you.” with the MSM playing Lyle the overseer shouting:

“Hold it What the hell is that shit?”

I remember listening to the speech and thinking it was first rate while everyone I spoke to and know, particularly in media heard something completely different.  I’d like to quote myself in full from my post I put up just as the speech finished

…the MSM didn’t get understand what Trump was doing.

1. They were looking for a standard announcement speech.  Trump didn’t want to give one.  Trump’s base, if he has one, consists of people who normally don’t give a damn about an election.

2. They were looking for wonk stuff that they could take apart.  Trump didn’t do wonk stuff. People don’t understand wonk stuff, don’t want to hear wonk stuff and change the channel when wonk stuff is on TV.

3.  They expected Trump to try to impress them.  Trump didn’t even try.  He knows what the media think of him.  He wanted to impress the people who are impressed by a person who has made it and made it big.

4. They expected a stage managed event.  Trump wasn’t looking to do that.  He wanted to give a speech that didn’t appear stage managed or written by a speech writer.  He wanted a speech that sounded like the guy having a beer at a barbecue with you was talking .

5.  Finally they were expecting a tight event.  Trump didn’t give one.  He understands how television works, he gave a speech specifically designed to force the networks covering him to stick with him much longer than they would have planned to do so.

Bottom line Trump speech had specific goals in mind:

1.  Reach the people who generally don’t watch this kind of speech.

2.  Hit on the themes in the language a low information voter can understand.

3.  Make a speech that the networks covering it didn’t dare leave

4.  Go long enough so people seeing it would tweet out to their friends who aren’t watching Cable News: “You’ve got to turn this on and see this” so folks would switch over from the Price is Right or the View,

5.  Make a speech that would build audience would build and hit the top of the hour so that all the news shows AND Rush Limbaugh would be talking about it at once generating buzz by the buckets.

His goal had nothing to do the reporters or networks covering him.  He wasn’t playing the game by the rules they expected, he made his own rules and made them play along. He accomplished exactly what he wanted to do in the way he wanted to do it.

In other words he punked the MSM and punked them good and just like Bart in Mel Brooks Blazing Saddles, he’s laughing at them.

In fairness to the MSM et/all they had no experience of a candidate like Trump and even the Twitter numbers which caught my eye from day one didn’t phase them.

But it’s been THREE YEARS NOW, Trump hasn’t changed his tactics or his style and while some people like Senator Ted Cruz have changed their minds, their perception of President Trump evolving based on the facts on the ground and the record of accomplishment per this CPAC interview:

The media/left and the never Trump still doesn’t get it. They remain in the bubble where they think every time Trump speaks it’s going to doom him.

The left has 4 months to figure this out before the midterms and two years to do so before the election of 2020. Based on what I’ve seen these last three years I don’t think they’ll manage it.


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Update:  Fixed an error in tense

The level of acceptance of the positions and/or actions of any group or organization by the left and media is directly proportional to their current or potential value in electing liberal Democrats.

DaTechGuy’s 2nd Law of Media Outrage

There was a lot of surprise on twitter and on the net at the treatment of Bill Clinton on the Today show yesterday.

HMMM: Morning Joe Panel: This ‘Is the End of Bill Clinton’s Life As a Public Figure.’

NBC reporter Craig Melvin asked Clinton if he ever apologized to Lewinsky, which led Clinton to become defensive and talk about how he paid a steep cost for his actions. Clinton and Lewinsky, then a White House intern 27 years his junior, had a series of sexual encounters between 1995 and 1997, culminating in a political scandal that rocked the administration.

“And so what you saw there, I think is the end of Bill Clinton’s life as a public figure in this country,” MSNBC political commentator Steve Schmidt said. “Because of that interview I don’t think he’s campaigning anywhere ever again unless he can clean it up and fix it pretty quickly.”

Anchor Joe Scarborough said if Clinton wants to be on the campaign trail in 2018, he will need to take responsibility for his actions.

In one respect this surprise is not unreasonable particularly given the history of Bill Clinton on Morning Joe as I noted back during the 2012 primary season:

Today there is a big press conference with Herman Cain addressing the now specific accusations against him. By an odd coincidence MSNBC’s Morning Joe had President Bill Clinton Scheduled for the 8:15 tine slot.

They had him on for 30 minutes and they talked economy, trade etc, yet not a person on that set asked him a question about the issue leading the news today, how he would suggest Cain deal with it and what lessons he learned from it.

That really says it all, Morning Joe and MSNBC have Bill Clinton, the single most famous political sexual harasser, a man who is still 15 years later the butt of jokes on the subject. (Even in the latest funny or die clip they play Clinton hitting on Michelle Obama)

Yet not a word, not a question, not a hint.

You see these were the Halicon days before #metoo when Bill Clinton was a money machines for the left, Harvey Weinstein had access to the White House and Matt Lauer was considered a giant of journalism.

And even as late as the election 2016 the MSM took great lengths to make sure that if any suggestion that there was something wrong with Bill Clinton they took great lengths to keep it hidden:

So,  You’ll have absolutely no problem sharing this clip with people far and wide and giving them a hint about the relationship between Jeffery Epstein and Bill Clinton and how the media views it…provided you are someone like me who

already saw the clip

remembered what show it was on

knew what day it was broadcast

And knew what time segment to look for 

As for everyone else NBC says to you: Beware of the Leopard!

So given this history any questioning of Clinton on the Lewinsky matter is a bit of shock, at least if you ignore DaTechGuy’s 2nd Law of media outrage:

The level of acceptance of the positions and/or actions of any group or organization by the left and media is directly proportional to their current or potential value in electing liberal Democrats.

As long as Bill Clinton had current or potential value to the electing of Democrats these subject were not discussed in the MSM. This is the surest sign that no matter how much juice Bill Clinton once had, the Democrat/media left has decided that Bill Clinton’s has little or no current and/or potential value in electing liberal Democrats in 2018 and thus the level of acceptance of his previous actions is now correspondingly low.

As Rush Limbaugh noted yesterday I bet Bill Clinton wishes Matt Lauer was still at Today asking the questions.

Thus does NBC go from a safe haven to a battle field for Mr. Clinton because he doesn’t have the pull of Samantha Bee when it comes to electing Democrats.

How have the mighty fallen!

 

Below you will find a piece I wrote while on jury duty back in 2010.  It came to mind when I heard reports that McCain noted in his book that he regretted picking Sarah Palin as his running mate in 2008.  Palin has stated McCain has told her otherwise but I tend to believe the charge specifically for the reasons listed in this post.

4 Americans Two Campaigns Bainbridge Stewart Limbaugh Palin

In June of 1812 the United States of America declared War on Great Briton over a variety of causes not the least of which was the impressment of sailors from American merchant ships into the British Navy (which was at the time involved in a life and death struggle with Napoleon and France). Four months before war was officially declared President Madison decided that the 16 American warships’ that composed the US navy best use were as shore batteries defending harbors. Being that England had 600 ships this was seemingly a rational and logical decision.

On Election Day 2008, Barack H. Obama won the presidency winning states such as North Carolina and Virginia which Democrats had not taken in years and retaining democratic strongholds such as Massachusetts and New Jersey; while in congress Democrats made solid gains winning a large congressional majority in the house and a super-majority in the Senate.

On every major network Pundits proclaimed it the start of a new democratic Era. Books poured out about the president, T-Shirts were selling briskly, a massive crowd turned up for the inauguration, and off in England Russell T. Davies was writing a script for the final episode of David Tennant’s run as the 10th Doctor Who’s with the climatic event of the first part was to take place as the world awaited a plan by President Obama to solve the world wide economic crisis. Pundits a plenty reasoned that the era of Reagan was over. Republicans such as Chris Buckley and David Brooks talked about the power of Obama and David Frum began his Frum Forum determined to take the Republican Party away from what they considered the conservative extreme and back to the middle where it could one day triumph.

In February 1812 two American Captains in Washington on separate errands heard of the decision of the President and naval department; Captain William Bainbridge and Captain Charles Stewart went in before Naval Secretary Hamilton and made their case, they were so persuasive that he arranged a meeting with President James Madison.

Shortly after the election Rush Limbaugh, unapologetic defender of conservatism and the single most popular person on Radio declared that it was not the time to stop fighting. He maintained that the election was not a mandate against conservatism, indeed it was only the inclusion of Conservative Republican Sarah Palin that gave the campaign any energy and accounted for the only brief lead in the polls the campaign enjoyed. As Governor Sarah Palin returned to Alaska where Democrats, mindful of the energy she brought to the Republican side; unleashed a string of frivolous ethics complaints determined to neutralize her once and for all, Rush declared publicly on his radio show about President Obama: “I hope he fails”. In February he was scheduled to be the keynote and final speaker at CPAC where he would face a crowd of conservative activists at their lowest ebb of their political lives.…

In their meeting with the president Captains Stewart and Bainbridge made their case, insisting that 8 times out of 10 in an equal fight American seamanship, discipline, technical innovations and the quality of our ships would win the day:

“We may be captured and probably shall be…because their numbers are much greater than ours, But the American flag will never be dishonored, seldom, if ever, struck to equal force.”


“You’ll give us victories then, you think?”
asked President Madison.

“We do, and not upon irrational premises.” answered Stewart. Madison decided to bring the matter the very next day to the full cabinet.

On another February day 197 years later and just a few miles away from where Stewart and Bainbridge made their case Rush Limbaugh stood at the podium at CPAC to make his case. Fox News knowing Limbaugh’s popularity with their viewers and CNN knowing he was a ratings magnet both decided to cover the speech live. Limbaugh’s “First public address to the American People” was a scheduled 40 minute speech but went nearly 90 covering conservative ground, explaining why he believed the Liberal Obama agenda would be disastrous to America. The liberal media roundly condemned his speech and the White House was delighted at the opportunity to make Limbaugh the face of the Republican Party confident that the quality and charisma of Barack Obama was more than a match for him.

Two centuries earlier Bainbridge and Stewart both were getting push-back of a similar nature. The very next day a meeting of the cabinet took place and the case was made that it was useless to resist the British Navy. Not only were numbers involved but England’s maritime power had been tested in battle over and over again. Over the previous twenty years the record of British victories was long and distinguished while the number of defeats in anything resembling an equal fight could be counted on the fingers of one hand…without the thumb. Madison was persuaded again. The previous decision was upheld. The ships were to be laid up.

Three thousand miles away in a territory that in the days of the captains was a Russian Possession on July 3rd 2009 Sarah Palin called a news conference and shocked the world by announcing she was resigning as Governor of Alaska. She maintained that the constant barrage of frivolous complaints was costing the state money and time. Pundits around the country added “quitter” to their less printable pejoratives and pronounced her power and influence at an end. Rush Limbaugh didn’t think so. He believed that this freed her from the constraints of office and allowed her to advance the conservative cause nationwide. Limbaugh’s ratings had increased as his visibility as the president’s chief opponent emerged and thousands of people who had never listened to his show before tuned in to see what he had to say, but the media and pundits dismissed this saying it was good for Limbaugh’s pocketbook but meant nothing in terms of the election or in terms of the power of the Nobel winning president.

Like Limbaugh and Palin, Bainbridge and Stewart were people of action, the very evening of the decision they drew up a letter of protest that was considered so intemperate that they were asked to re-write it before it was presented to the President. They refused making their case directly to the president in terms that he could not dismiss, ignore or misunderstand.

Unlike the letter which burned in the torching of Washington two years later. Sarah Palin’s Facebook page attacking the president’s priority, the healthcare bill, is still available online but it was no less blunt decrying the government role in rationing care as “death panels”. It produced more consternation by the MSM, but she would not yield an inch. Message after message would be penned by Palin that would reach millions of readers through her Facebook page and her Book. Rush Limbaugh trumpeted her methods and her embrace of the Tea Party movement. He had her as a guest to promote her book which would sell millions of copies totally bypassing the media that held her and them to such scorn while MSM. ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN and MSNBC continued to deride him as an entertainer, her as politically irrelevant and the tea party as racists.

After the Stewart/Bainbridge letter the president for the first time since his election overruled his cabinet, the ships would be allowed out for a single cruise, as an experiment to see if the Captain’s pronouncements would hold true.

On September 12, 2009 hundreds of thousands of tea party activists gathered on the mall at the Capital protesting the Obama administration. Conservative leaders spoke to the largely blue collar crowd to proclaim that they were going to take their county back. The media took note but scoffed, the numbers were astroturf and the Nobel winning president still held vast majorities in both houses. Elections were two months away in Virginia and New Jersey for Governor, a special election in New York’s 23th district saw the republican party embrace a liberal candidate named Dede Scozzafava and in January a special election would be held to replace the late Ted Kennedy who had held the seat since 1962. Let’s see what would happen THEN.

On August 19th 1812 Captain Issac Hull was cruising the North Atlantic in the Frigate U.S.S. Constitution where he encountered the frigate H.M.S. Guerriere that had been part of a fleet he had escaped from mere weeks before. Hull had sailed out of port without orders and a reprimand releaving him of command was even then on its way to Boston but within two hours he would transform that reprimand into a promotion by transforming the Guerriere into kindling at the cost of only 14 casualties in a battle that would shock the world. Two months later Jacob Jones in Brig U.S.S. Wasp would defeat the H.M.S. Frolic causing a 9-1 ratio in casualties before they would both be captured by a 74 gun British Battleship two hours later. A week later Stephen Decatur in the Frigate U.S.S. United States would defeat and capture the H.M.S. Macedonian that would shortly become the U.S.S. Macedonian

On Election Night the news astounded the nation. In Virginia Republicans had retaken the governorship previously held by the DNC Chairman Tim Kaine by a wide margin, In New York 23 Sarah Palin followed shortly by Rush Limbaugh endorsed the Conservative party Candidate Doug Hoffman over Dede Scocafava who eventually dropped out of the race a week before the election, the victory was Pyrrhic as she, despite tens of thousands of dollars of support by the NRCC, threw her support to the democrat Bob Owens who would edge Hoffman in a squeaker. In New Jersey Chris Christie would shock the political world by winning the Governorship of the state a shock that would be exceeded on January 19th 2009 when Scott Brown down 15 points according to the Boston Globe would defeat Martha Coakley in a race that would energize the entire Republican Party nationwide.

The results of these battles were explosive, Congress suddenly voted for 6 more frigates of the Constitution Class and four battleships of the line when the country had none before. Fleets were being built to contest the British on Lake Ontario, Lake Erie and Lake Champlain, privateers were fitted out in ports around the nation to raid British Commerce and England found itself forced to divert significant resources from vital areas in Europe to deal with the upstart American fleet.

The results of the election were explosive although Obamacare passed with the help of democrats such as Bart Stupak he and others such as Chris Dodd and Bill Delahunt decided that this was the year to retire. Rush continued to push for conservatism and Sarah Palin campaigned tirelessly for Republican candidates all over the country targeting 20 specific democrats for defeat and raising money to help support others. The effect was electric in states such as Massachusetts, where uncontested seats were a fact of life, suddenly found almost every race contested from 9 of the 10 congressional seats all the way down to auditor. Candidates like John Olver, Richard Neal and Barney Frank who had spent previous elections campaigning and donating to fellow democrats all over the country found themselves spending hundreds of thousands of dollars to defend seats that had never been at issue before. Nervous Democrats opened the spigots, funding 3rd party candidates to siphon off voters that might otherwise go to republican challengers. Media decried republican funding sources even as Democrats outspent their GOP counterparts, some like Jim McGovern by ratios as high as 30-1.

Likewise the American victories at sea produced outrage among the British Public After a second British Frigate the H.M.S. Java was taken by the U.S.S. Constitution (commanded by Bainbridge himself) England dispatched additional ships to blockade the American coast. British Frigates were forbidden to engage American Frigates except in pairs and fleets were built up on the lakes to keep the American bottled up and contained. One newspaper commented anyone predicting such results previously would be considered a madman or a traitor.

The Expectations game had shifted for 2010 as well. The conventional wisdom went from a 30 seat pickup for the GOP to a 40 and then from 40 to fifty and before Election Day came, some pundits were predicting as many as 75 seats for the GOP. Likewise in the senate the conventional wisdom went from small gains to larger gains to even the chance of picking up the full nine seats needed to flip the Senate. Pundits who had previously declared Rush Limbaugh a blowhard and Sarah Palin irrelevant and ineffective how were reduced to stating openly that if the candidates they supported in deep blue states such as California and Delaware failed to win, they would be considered failures no matter how many seats were won elsewhere.

The disasters were not done for the British Navy. On Lake Erie Oliver Hazard Perry took an entire British Fleet for the first time in centuries and later that same year Thomas MacDonough duplicated the feat taking a British Fleet that outgunned him heavily on Lake Champlain on September 11, 1814 stopping a British invasion force dead in its tracks. Meanwhile upwards of 500+ merchants fell to American privateers on the high seas. Smaller ship actions such as U.S.S. Enterprise vs H.M.S. Boxer, U.S.S Hornet taking H.M.S. Penguin and U.S.S. Wasp defeating H.M.S. Reindeer continued to shock the world. The British consoled themselves with the H.M.S Shannon capture of the U.S.S. Chesapeake, and two actions first where the U.S.S. Essex was taken by a pair of warships after wiping out the British Whaling industry in the Pacific and second where the U.S.S. President was captured by a fleet as it tried to run a blockade smashing the H.M.S. Endymion to near uselessness in the process.

On Election day the results were in and they were a slaughter, not since 1920 had so many seats fallen into republican hands and not since 1932 had either party managed to Capture the 63 seats that republicans did. 18 of the 20 democrats targeted by Sarah Palin were defeated and 6 Senate seats were taken by the Grand old party. In consolation Blue states such as Massachusetts and California remained blue Massachusetts after millions upon millions of dollars were spent and Union Activists given the day off by the state manned every polling place to insure that every possible democrat voted. Close calls were dodged by in districts such as ny-22 and Va-11 but only two seats La-2 and on in Hawaii formally held by republicans fell to the Democratic Party.

The British after final victory over Napoleon had initially proposed draconian peace terms on America; suddenly they were willing to talk about easier terms and after consulting with Lord Wellington. the man who humbled Napoleon at Waterloo, who bluntly told negotiators that they had no basis for any claims based upon the war record, agreed to what amounted to practically a cease-fire. This outraged London Papers until news of the Battle of New Orleans combined with a victory by Captain Stewart commanding U.S.S. Constitution on February 20th 1815 taking both H.M.S. Cyane and H.M.S. Levant in a single battle. England got the hint and never again would the British fight or provoke a war against the United States.

On November 3rd President Obama talked about learning the lessons of the election and spoke of compromise and working with the newly elected Republican house. Thursday November 4th 2010 on MSNBC’s Morning Joe Mika Brzezinski and Joe Scarborough scoffed at Sarah Palin’s victory proclamation pointing out that candidates she backed failed to win in Delaware (held by democrats since 1973) Nevada (held by democrats since 1987 ) and California (Where a republican had not held the senate seat since the Johnson Administration) Politico derided her saying that less than half of her candidates (regardless of strength) won election, ignoring significant victories by Palin supported candidates in North Carolina, Florida and New Hampshire, all states that had voted for Barack Obama just two years before.

Even before the war was over the leadership of the United States understood who deserved credit for their good fortune at sea. On December 28th 1812 a Gala ball hosted to Honor Captain Issac Hull. The guests ate, drank and danced as the battle flag Hull took from the H.M.S Guerriere hung on the wall. At midnight a young midshipman entered the room bringing the first news of the capture of the H.M.S Macedonian by the U.S.S. United States and laid the captured flag at Dolly Madison’s feet. Secretary Hamilton called for the attention of the room and perhaps remembering his shock at the brusque words written 10 month before made an announcement to the assembled crowd: “Never forget that it is to Captains Bainbridge and Stewart that you really owe these victories”

Not all fell for MSNBC and Politico’s spin. CBS news pointed out Sarah Palin endorsed 43 house candidates of which 30 won while winning 7 of 12 Senate endorsed candidates. Senator Jim Demitt said “she’s done a lot of good for the Republican Party, and for our country.” And Rush Limbaugh, having none of the spin of the majority of the Mainstream media on the 4th said: “If anybody is an obvious winner here, aside, of course, from me, it would be Palin.”

So to conservatives who are basking in the joy of a historic question I say to you : “Never forget that it is to Rush Limbaugh and Sarah Palin that you really owe these victories.”

This essay owes a debt of Gratitude to Fletcher Pratt and his 1950 Volume Preble’s Boys

Without Sarah Palin you don’t get the people engaged, and the tea party movement which stopped Barack Obama, Held the GOP accountable elected Donald Trump and even today challenges the deep state doesn’t get off the ground.

That’s why so many in the GOP establishment, even when their owe their seats and chairmanships to these events, will never forgive John McCain for picking Sarah Palin and why he will never forgive himself for it, because this move continues to challenge the status quo in Washington.

Ironically this is why I believe, with the possible exception of  pushing the surge in Iraq, history will show the selection of Sarah Palin as his VP was the greatest service that John McCain did for his country

By John Ruberry

For decades, probably since in the advent of rock and roll, America’s has been a youth-worshipping culture. In eastern Asia, at least for now, elders are admired and respected, on the other hand.

Back to America. Is it a coincidence that four years after Elvis Presley appeared on the Ed Sullivan Show with 82 percent of television viewers tuned in, the youthful John F. Kennedy became the youngest person elected to the presidency, replacing the oldest president up to that point, Dwight Eisenhower?

The Democrats found young pay dirt again in 1992 when Bill Clinton, the first baby-boomer president, who was 46, defeated incumbent president George H.W. Bush, age 68, and in 2008 when Barack Obama was 47 when he bested 72-year-old John McCain to win the presidency.

In this off-year election there are a couple of races I’ve noticed that may show the Democrats are betting that the fountain of youth is the key to winning a majority in Congress.

The first match-up already occurred. In the special election in Pennsylvania’s 18th congressional district, Democrat Conor Lamb, age 33, narrowly defeated GOPer Rick Saccone, age 60, for the vacant seat of Tim Murphy, who resigned because of a sex scandal.

Lamb won in a district that is traditionally a Republican stronghold.

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Wisdom and experience should still count for something, right?

Democrats, at least on social media, are excited about the prospects of US Rep. Beto O’Rourke upsetting Republican Ted Cruz, a presidential candidate in 2016 who is still well-respected by conservatives despite his tussles that year with Trump. They’re about the same age, O’Rourke is 45 and Cruz is 47, but look how CNN is potrarying the candidates:

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How long did it take the writer of that CNN article to find a photograph of Cruz with a double chin?

For his part, O’Rourke won his nomination in a primary while Lamb was selected by a party convention.

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Whoah, O’Rourke is the dreamiest, isn’t he?

While good looks and youth don’t make anyone automatically stupid–my wife says I still have the former and I used to be young–I have a question: Why are the Democrats running glamour shot campaigns?

If their ideas are correct, shouldn’t that be enough?

On the flipside, Donald Trump, a 71-year-old with an orange comb-over, is our president. And the Democrats in the House are led by Nancy Pelosi, 78, but youngster Lamb says he will vote against Pelosi the next time there’s a vote for Democratic leader in the lower chamber.

John Ruberry regularly blogs at Marathon Pundit.

Apparently Randy Bryce, a candidate for congress has not learned one of the basic rules of Democrats because he answered President Trump’s tweet with the truth.

One would think that this would not be a big deal, as a lot of far leftists have been talking like this for a while. But for the Democrats to achieve a majority, let alone generate their anticipated “big blue wave” they need to win seats in red states and districts and this requires them to follow the single most basic rule there is for the Democrat left when it comes to winning elections outside of NY and CA.

Never let American voters see Democrats as they are, or let them know what you plan to do.

It’s the reason why so many in media are so upset with the White House correspondents dinner and Michelle Wolf. She very publicly showed them for what they are before a national audience. Those who are claiming to be shocked or disappointing at her presentation are upset not about what she said, but about how what she said is going to play. As it was revealed a few weeks ago. Hillary Clinton used the “Deplorables” line all the time at fund raisers and at blue events that were either closed (or with media willing to protect her). It was only when she did so outside of those confines where the general public could hear it unfiltered that there was an issue.

Do you think for one moment that Conor Lamb would have won in Pennsylvania if he did not claim to be a pro-life candidate who would not interfere with either President Trump or the 2nd amendment instead of being the enabler of the left that he will be in office?

Why do you think the left works so hard to control media and culture? Without the filter the media creates or the mask that Hollywood provides American voters would run away from them in droves. It’s also why they are so upset when Trump is covered live. It’s hard to spin what the president says as something else when you’ve heard it directly from his month.

This has been a bad week for the left, potential peace in Korea, the revelations of Iran’s nukes by Israel, and Trumps wins in the Senate Nomination process, but for my money the worst thing that has happened for Democrat hopes in the fall has been Democrats and their media allies being seen as they are.

Dear Democrats and Media Members who attended the #2018 White House Correspondents Dinner.

After viewing Michelle Wolf’s complete routine at the 2018 White House Correspondents Dinner I have a request to make of you.

Please include comedian Michelle Wolf in any and all official events held by media, the Democrat party and any Democrat candidates running for office from now until at least election day 2018 or if possible election day 2020.

Thank you.

Peter DaTechGuy Ingemi
Have Fedora Will Travel.

George Bailey: If Potter gets a hold of this Building and Loan, there’ll never be another decent house built in this town. He’s already got charge of the bank. He’s got the bus line. He got the department stores, and now he’s after us. Why? Well, it’s very simple. Because we’re cuttin’ in on his business, that’s why. And because he wants to keep you livin’ in his slums and paying the kind of rent he decides.

It’s a Wonderful Life 1946

Brett Maverick:  You can fool all of the people some of the time and some of the people all of the time and those are very good odds.  My old pappy said that.

Maverick, Shady Deal at Sunny Acres 1958

Four days ago I talked about the differences between 2010 and 2018, Three days ago I spoke about how the MSM is launching a TET offensive against the GOP trying to scare them, today I’m going to offer a strategy for the GOP.

The real problem they are facing is one of media noise and short memories.  The tough times under Obama are over a year in the past and the worries of the economy that had been in the forefront of people’s minds and worries are gone, replaced by the noise generated by the MSM coverage of the investigations, the noise of the Stormy Daniels stuff and the noise of every single attack on the administration the GOP needs a message that not only cuts though the noise but reminds the people of the difference between the eight years of Obama Administration and the Trump administration.  This can be done by a simple theme summed up in three simple lines:

If you like your Tax Cut you can keep your Tax Cut

If you like your Bonus you can keep your Bonus

If you like your Job you can keep your Job

This is the perfect meme for several reasons:

Contrast:

In one stroke it contrasts the prosperity of the Trump years with the troubles of the Obama years.  It reminds them of the tax cuts and bonus’ that the Democrats called crumbs and of the manufacturing jobs that have come back that Obama and the Democrats insisted that we had to resign ourselves to losing.  It generates memories like the Jimmy Stewart Speech to stockholders in It’s a Wonderful Life:

Joe, you had one of those Potter houses, didn’t you? Well, have you forgotten? Have you forgotten what he charged you for that broken-down shack? Here, Ed. You know, you remember last year when things weren’t going so well, and you couldn’t make your payments. Well, you didn’t lose your house, did you? You think Potter would have let you keep it?

Clarity: 

This hopeful theme cuts though the noise in a format that shows the Democrat for what it is, a message based on generating unfounded panic for the sake of power.  Stewart again

Can’t you understand what’s happening here? Don’t you see what’s happening? Potter isn’t selling. Potter’s buying! And why? Because we’re panicky and he’s not. That’s why. He’s pickin’ up some bargains.

I suspect the Trump move in Syria, in contrast to Obama’s words without deeds provided some clarity, this argument would augment it.

Simplicity:

This is a simple message, that can be delivered by anyone, an incumbent running for re-election whose faced the voters many times, a  green newcomer running for office for the very first time.  Either one can deliver this line and make it stick.  Now picture it in the hands of a master communicator like President Trump who can deliver it before the cameras and the press, in speeches in front of tens of thousands and in tweets and re-tweets to be seen by millions completely bypassing the press and the left.

Initiative:

In one stroke this changes the argument both justifying the GOP control of the government while forcing the Democrats to justify risking the good economy for the sake of Trump hatred.  Do the Democrats deliver have an answer to a message of jobs, bonus’ and prosperity besides “Trump sucks”?

President Trump is the type of man who knows a winning message when he sees it.  He’s the type to pick up this banner and charge forward, the question is will GOP candidates have the wits and courage to ignore the MSM offensive and charge with him?

A final note, the:  “If you like your job you can keep your job” line was suggested by a reader.  The other two I derived from it.  I’m ashamed I didn’t think of it first.


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Photo courtesy of history.com

As The Washington Post’s Saigon bureau chief Peter Braestrup documented in his book The Big Story, reporters systematically used Tet to turn the reality of a U.S. victory into an image of American and South Vietnamese defeat…That campaign of misrepresentation culminated in Walter Cronkite’s half-hour TV special on February 27, 1968, when he told his viewers that Tet had proved that America was “mired in a stalemate.”

Christopher Harper Fake News and Vietnam 2/13/18

In my last post I noted that there are significant differences between the events leading up to the “Big Red Wave” of 2010 and the supposed big blue wave of 2018 the most significant being that despite broken promises on Obamacare repeal, partially corrected by the passage of the Trump Tax bill, there is actually a record of significant achieve on foreign policy, on deregulation and of course on the economic outlook of the country.

Given those facts on the ground one would think that the outlook for the GOP would be pretty good but the MSM has been relentless in their attacks on the administration and the downplaying of their accomplishments focusing instead on Porn stars and the Mueller investigation and while the polling suggests that the public isn’t interested in stuff like Stormy Daniels and twelve year old consensual affairs the dirty little secret is the public aren’t the target of the MSM offensive.

The audience the MSM is trying to reach are the republican members of congress and the GOP consultants in the Washington bubble.

You see it doesn’t matter how the economy is doing, how much more the GOP is raising or how much better the public is doing, as long as the MSM aided by social media giants like Facebook and Twitter, can convince the GOP members of congress that defeat in the fall is inevitable and that Trump is the cause, they can cause them (the GOP) to retreat.

It’s Tet all over again, Cronkite and the MSM had an agenda and were the only game in town and thus were able to sell said agenda to the people. as Christopher Harper put it:

“After Tet, American media had assumed a new mission for itself: to shape the nation’s politics by crafting a single coherent narrative, even if it meant omitting certain relevant facts and promoting other false or misleading ones. standing — just as they had convinced them a year earlier that America’s major victory was actually a major defeat.”

Sound familiar?

It certainly does and their new mission is to reverse the results of the last election and step one is to convince the GOP that election 2018 is already lost and convince them to leave the field and given the GOP’s apparent fear of governing and fighting for the principles they supposedly espouse it’s not a surprise that so far the media and left are doing a pretty good job of selling them this reality.

The GOP needs a shot of courage and a meme to run on. Tomorrow we’ll provide the latter in the hopes of restoring the former.

Update: Instalanche again thanks again Ed. Dear reader I submit and suggest if you want to really annoy the MSM please consider supporting sites like mine as you are the primary source of the money that pays our expenses, our writers (yes I pay them) and myself.


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Local Elections

Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passion, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence.

John Adams

As we continue to see the GOP head for the hills while the left braces for what they believe is going to be a banner year it’s worth noting the significant differences between what is expected to be the great blue wave of 2018 to the big red wave that actually happened in 2010.

#1 Obamacare vs the Tax Bill

The Big red wave of 2010 took place after the passage of Obamacare, one of the most unpopular laws in the history of lawmaking by a congress. Democrats were assured by their leadership and the media that one the law was passed it would become more and more popular with the public come election day. That was not the case. Republicans (falsely it turns out) promised to repeal Obama if given the chance and the voters decided to give them that chance.

The most significant law that was passed by this congress was the tax bill of 2017. It was excoriated in the media and we were assured by the Democrats and the left that it’s unpopularity would continue to grow the opposite has been the case. Many Democrats are running on the idea of repealing this bill and raising taxes. I suspect that will not be as popular as repealing Obamacare but in fairness to the Democrats I have no doubt that they will attempt to do so if elected.

#2. The 2002 map vs the 2012 maps

In 2010 the year of the big red wave the Republicans tax ran on the same congressional maps that the Democrats had won big on it 2006 and 2008, however the wave of 2010 extended was not limited to congress but took place over the entire nation giving the GOP an unprecedented number of seats at the state level just before redistricting. This means that the supposed “big blue wave” is going to have to break on a set of maps that specifically favor republicans in the house.

#3 The 2010 Senate Landscape vs 2018 Senate Landscape.

In 2010, the year of the big red wave the split of seats up for election was unremarkable 19 republican seats were up vs 18 democrat seats (counting special elections) but the Democrats had a huge majority (59-41 counting the two “independents” who voted with dems). The end result was the Democrats still held that majority but it shrunk to 52-47. In 2018 the republican majority is only 51-49 an even split in a divided country but only 9 GOP seats are up for re-election this year vs 24 for the Democrats, many of them in states that President Trump won. Democrats to take the majority will have to win 26 races out of 33.

4. 2010 Retirements vs 2018 retirements

In 2010 the retirement ratio of republicans to democrats was 20-17. Once again 17 Democrats are retiring but 38 republicans over 15% of the caucus have decided to give this election a miss. Given that the Democrats only need 24 seats this would seem a great advantage, but given that the GOP base is unhappy with the current congress’ inability to act (in fairness the Senate is mostly to blame here) the removal of incumbents associated with a “do nothing” congress might actually work in the GOP’s favor, or to put it another way, how many seats might the Democrats saved in 2010 if 38 Democrats who voted for Obamacare decided to retire in 2010 rather than run for re-election?

5. The 2010 Economy vs the 2018 Economy

In 2010 the Democrats had overwhelming majorities in both the House and Senate and were presiding over one of the worst economies in living memory and that was before the effects of Obamacare began to take effect. The Democrats had to run blaming said bad economy not on President Obama but on President Bush and the promise of prosperity just around the corner. In 2018 the economy is growing like gangbusters, the strong stock market is way up vs election day 2016 and people surging back into the work. Members of the GOP can run on keeping the good times rolling while Democrats are running on a combination of impeachment and raising taxes, in effect killing the goose that laid the golden eggs. It remains to be seen how popular that message is going to be.

6. The 2010 expectations vs the 2018 expectations.

With a few exceptions like the bloggers on the ground absolutely nobody saw the 2010 red wave coming. The warning shot of the Scott Brown election was considered by many an outlier and the Tea Party movement that drove the 2010 election was discounted by the media which assured us that the passage of Obamacare along with what they claimed was an improving economy would spell good news for Democrats and the party believed it. It wasn’t until the week before the election, sometimes the day before, that the media realized that there was something rotten in Denmark. In 2018 the media, the pundits and even some in the GOP, despite the roaring economy, see trouble ahead. Despite the favorable economy, their money advantage and favorable maps absolutely nobody in the party is taking this election for granted and while you are seeing a few pro-forma statements about retaining the majority you aren’t seeing the overconfidence that the Democrats and media showed in 2010 and 2016 right up to the final week. The GOP sees the rocks ahead with a full six months to do something about it.

7. A Trending down Incumbent in 2010 failing expectations vs an Trending up Incumbent surpassing expectations in 2018

No president was ever elected with Higher expectations than Barack Obama, the expectations for him were so high that he won a Nobel Peace prize simply for existing. 2010, the second year of his presidency was when reality started to creep in.

In 2010 Barack Obama started with an approval rating of 51-43 (Gallup weekly). This was pretty low point for him at the time as he had held a positive approval rating for all of 2009 spending the first half of the year in the 60’s and all but two weeks in the fifties to end it. He held a positive approval rating until the week of June 21st where his rating dropped to 45-46 July. While he would have one “even” week (Sept 6th) he would keep an approval rating he averaged an approval rating was -2.2 (45-47) from that point to election day which was a stark contrast to where he started on election day 2009 (67-13). During this entire time President Obama was constantly lionized by the press.

By contrast no president came to office with lower expectations that Donald Trump. The predictions were dire for the economy and the world with people literally expecting to be put into camps and the media and the world stoking such fears. In 2018 once again reality started to creep into this narrative.

Gallup ended its presidential approval polling in Jan of 2018 however Rasmussen continued daily tracking polls (no option for undecideds like gallup) and also runs an “approval index” based on those who “strongly approve” vs “strongly disapprove”

That “approval index” has not been a positive number since March 3rd 2017 and spent most of 2017 in the high teens to low 20’s. 2018 has seen a different trend President Trump reached single negative digits in feb and has remained in the low teens to high single digits chiefly from the “Strongly approve” number now being consistently in the 30’s rather than the 20’s

In terms of raw approval on election day Donald Trump had 56-44 approval rating. By March 17th he had dropped to 49-51 and with the exception of a single day (April 21st 2017) did not have a disapproval number below 50% and managed to reach as high as 62% disapproval.
In 2018 things have leveled off he has had several days where he has hit 50% approval and this month has averaged a 49-51 split.

And all of this is in the face of a press that has been pounding him from day one.

A closing thought, every point here, from the state of the economy to the maps to the polling numbers are based on either verifiable historical and/or the current numbers, or put simply the facts.

The GOP has reality on its side, can they leave their bubble long enough to see it?

Next:  The MSM’s 2018 Tet Offensive on the GOP


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Finally might I suggest my book Hail Mary the Perfect Protestant (and Catholic) Prayer makes an excellent Gift.