When heading toward re-election pols tend to take the feelings of the voters back home a lot more seriously.

In Maine for example Republicans swept statewide elections pretty solidly. It should have an interesting effect on Maine two liberal republicans and the day of their next race comes closer.

In Massachusetts the clean sweep of offices for democrats will likely not be lost on Scott Brown when election day 2012 comes around. The same turnout machine that pushed Patrick et/al will still exist, and may even be aided by national money.

But the dynamic in the Senate has changed dramatically as George Will puts it:

When Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell had 40 or 41 senators in his caucus, he usually had 40 or 41 votes when he felt he urgently needed them. Beginning in January, with at least 46 senators, he will always have 41 votes when he really wants them.

There are going to be times when Scott Brown is going to want to demonstrate his “independence” from the GOP caucus. With 6 votes to give McConnell will be able to do without Brown, or Collins or Snowe and still stop anything he needs to.

The question is this. Will he gain more sympathy at home opposing the GOP or not. Or to put it another way. We know the machine will be against him no matter what he does, so will he make more points with the electorate with the electorate going left or going right?

Of course he could just do the right thing and do what he thinks is right…

Bob Schieffer just asked Clyburn if he goes higher in the leadership with Pelosi will it make the Democratic Party in the house more liberal.

Clyburn said he defied labels pointing out that he campaigned in more bluedog districts than progressive ones and said people are calling him liberal based on the color of his skin.

I guess no fact and no election will allow some people to drop the race card, let me educate the congressman (who knows these things but is spinning)

1. He was invited to more blue dog districts because those were the seats in danger.

2. He was invited to those seats to energize the black vote that is totally de-energized, so if anyone was basing their judgment of him based on skin color it was his fellow blue dogs.

3. To say in one breath that he is not liberal and then defend health coverage as a fundamental right can only be done when you have a safe seat and an interviewer who will not challenge him.

Let’s be blunt, he owes his election to the fact the district is majority minority (Whites only make up 40% of the electorate) and has the largest percentage of blacks, who vote monolithic democrat, in the state.

No wonder he plays the race card even here. Without that card ironically played by the Republicans in the statehouse to concentrate the black vote as much as possible, he likely doesn’t have the power he holds today.

What a joke.

The first was one they did not seek; The re-election of Harry Reid and the second is one they did not expect Nancy Pelosi poised to become the Democratic minority leader.

One of the many problems that the Obama administration had this cycle was they tried to make the case that the election of Republicans in congress was the return to Bush Bush Bush. This proved ineffective because president Bush has become more rather than less loved over the past two years but more importantly there is exactly a 0% chance that George Bush will ever be president again.

However as 2012 comes by, no matter how well or poorly they do with Nancy Pelosi as Minority Leader in the house and Harry Reid newly re-elected there is absolutely a 100% chance that a republican defeat will mean going back to the Pelosi/Reid agenda.

You can’t underestimate how important this is. Democrats were running away from Nancy Pelosi like there was no tomorrow in this last election. It will be interesting to see what they say in 2012 when they are running for seats again with the promise of putting Nancy Pelosi and company back in charge.

11:10 p.m. Talking question 3

10:40 p.m. Talking about redistricting mentioned the California law

10:20 p.m. Why did Baker lose is now the subject.

9:40 p.m. Talking Gridlock vs compromise call in at 508-438-0965

9:20 p.m. Doing Red and Blue with Gary’s Show

8:50 p.m. Peter Durant called in up four votes with 3 provisional and 3 military ballots to be certified, recounts sure to come

8:40 p.m. talking about how we doubled our Republican representation in the state house

8:20 p.m. Tom Kahale has brought food again, life is good!

8:15 p.m. All three guest emphasized retail politics.

8:05 p.m. Next guests Kim Ferguson, Kevin Kuros, Ryan Fattman all winners.

7:20 p.m. Rich Bastien talks about treating the voters like his customers and like him employers.

Steve Levy attributes his win to 8000 doors visited

7:15 p.m. Matt Beaton attributes it to hard work.

On with Mike Wade and John Weston at WCRN

First hour Steve Levy, Rich Bastien and Matt Beaton all winners in state rep races.

My latest for the examiner tell the story of a doomed band of brothers fighting a seemingly impossible fight:

The twin city tea party filled the large event room, there was food, drink and frolic as members celebrated for hours their efforts of Election Day.

A victory party seemed out of place. Just two days earlier Massachusetts democrats had swept every statewide office from Auditor to Governor losing only two Governor’s council races and a handful of State Legislative seats.

When you look at races like ny-23 that are turning on under 2000 votes, think how much it meant nationally for the country for Democrats to be pinned down defending ground they shouldn’t have had to.

We 300 Spartans of the Twin City Tea Party are breaking out the Mead in our Valhalla at the Border Grille and Bar.

Update: The slideshow from Valhalla

There is not a long face in the house as we celebrate the greatest Republican victory nationwide in 90 years.

And what do the democrats in Massachusetts show for their empty war chests? Keeping what they already had, and losing their chairmanships that allow them to re-fill them.*

If that’s not cause to celebrate I’d like to know what is!

Speaking of reasons to celebrate:

Now the two candidates are separated by 659 votes, meaning absentee ballots will decide the election over the next three weeks.

Maffei entered the day with 89,744 votes (52 percent) to Buerkle’s 84,165 votes (48 percent), according to unofficial election returns compiled by The Post-Standard.

After Wayne County reported, the new vote total is 99,594 or 50.17 percent for Buerkle and 98,935 or 49.83 percent for Maffei.

Let the Big Red Wave roll!

Update
*Roxeanne, who has co-opted DTG’s computer without his knowledge or permission, would like to note that we saw one of the greatest victories in this race: a Democrat was forced to (heaven forbid) reach into his own wallet. Barney Frank is $200,000 poorer for having faced Sean “Build Me a Robot” Bielat.

The last pre-polls closed moment I had was with Annie DiMartino who I didn’t realize was Annie until I came up to her wrapped up in a heavy coat and a hat.

Off Camera Annie thought that both Deval and Olver would win by a hair, she figured the project money for Olver would make the difference. She was the only thing grass-roots about this election for democrats. She thought it would be MUCH closer, then again in her years in politics the machine never really had to put its full effort out.

One of the few bright spots of the night was Jen Caissie’s win for Gov’s council. Remember without the democratic lock on that council you don’t get the 4-3 ruling that has convulsed the country for a decade. (and cost 3 iowa judges their jobs yesterday)

Mary had reason to cheer at the end of the day

In the parking lot that evening I noticed a man next to a truck on a cell phone telling a person he would be here until the fellow on the other line came down to vote. That is how a ground game is played particularly in a union. If you don’t tow the line you don’t get the job. Think of On the Waterfront with a political machine as Johnny Friendly and no violence. When Gov Patrick thanked the “get out the vote” campaign he knew what he was talking about.

People are wondering how Scott Brown managed to win statewide when no other Republican did. This is an easy one. There was no skin in the game for Beacon Hill. Brown was on the ticket alone and nobody’s personal fiefdom was on the line with no other democratic race involved. This was all about personal patronage the protection on the graft and their cookie jar. It is the reason you had hundreds of poll watchers out. They understood that if they lost, the money they get from you was dried up.

That BTW is way Saddam’s home area fought so hard in Iraq, it wasn’t because of their love for Saddam it’s because when he stole from the majority, they were the ones who benefited, they fought for the money.

BTW to everyone who was insisting that we tea party folks are backed by big money, Massachusetts put the lie to that canard. Marty Lamb for example was outspent 30-1. Run that through your head. 30 to 1.. The difference between the two campaigns were the difference between those paid to hold a sign and those who volunteered to do so.

Gracious in defeat

Bill Gunn started the evening with a prayer that all sides graciously accept God will and the results whatever they may be. When things went bad and he talked to us again he talked of all the hard work and all the money that we forced the other side to spend. It was a very encouraging speech.

Apparently that same prayer wasn’t said at the Barney Frank HQ. Have you ever seen a more ungracious winner that Barney Frank? It was as if he was offended that he had to actually run for his seat? What really offends him is the loss of his chairmanship. Good luck getting those expensive plane rides paid for without that authority.

Baring a retirement by another member. I hope Mr. Keating who won in the 10th after one of the most disgraceful campaigns I’ve seen enjoys his single term. As the newbie without a retirement there is no way he doesn’t end up restricted to run against a more experienced congressman.

Actually we will find out a lot about the popularity/power of Barney Frank by how that redistricting goes. If Keating’s district is merged with Frank then Barney will have a 2nd tough primary battle and this time the undeclared will likely turn out in DROVES to take the democratic ballot to pop him in the primary. If Keating ends up against Capuano that will speak to Barney’s clout.

The reason why the polls didn’t reflect how strong democrats would run in congress is the same reason why Sharon Angle out-polled Harry Reid right till election day. Without the machine to get them out the union voters would have stayed home.

The worst part of the results is the loss of fear by those in power. As recently as Sunday insiders expressed real fear about this election (which generated the machine in full swing) How restrained will those same office holders be after this victory? Do you think they are afraid of being audited by Susanne Bump or prosecuted by Coakley? HA!

The parallel that instantly comes to mind is Hal Chase’s “Trial” by the national league on Jan 30th 1919 over allegations of working with gamblers to throw ball games. (The same gamblers that he would help fix the world series with 9 months afterward) He was acquitted by the league and as Bill James said:

He was free, then. It had all been brought out into the open , and he had gotten by with it. This seems to have had a liberating effect of Chase’s activities…

This election will have a very liberating effect on the State Legislature and Gov Patrick. If you stayed home you cast that not guilty vote that will free them from all restraint.

I like Carla Howell but she has to stop putting questions on the ballot about sales tax repeal etc. First of all the legislature is not obliged to obey them and second of all it is stuff like that which drives union turnout. There were more people in Fitchburg holding signs against question 3 in ward 6 than for any democrat candidate.

The night of Scott Brown’s win I asked Gov Romney what he would do to make that night was Berlin 1989 vs Hungary in 1958, he answered in generalities. He performed in generalities during this election too. One campaign appearance at the end for Jeff Perry tells us that Mitt considered Massachusetts one thing, a stepping stone for the white house. A lot of republicans who could have used his help won’t forget that he was elsewhere during the campaign.

What needs to be done is this: The tea party folks who held signs and fought so hard need to run for local and city-wide elections. The State machine is less likely to bring out the muscle (which costs money that local campaigns don’t have) to put you down.

If I had to pick the biggest surprise of the night it was the defeat of Mary Z for Auditor, there is absolutely no comparison between the two candidates. Apparently the unions pulled the straight party line and their ground game was ASTOUNDING!

It was a very long night, had to travel to Springfield and stayed till after 11. The wifi at the big E was $12 a night so I ended up having to go to the parking lot every hour or so to get updates. In addition in Springfield the TV was on channel 22 which gave no info on congressional races beyond ma-1 and ma-2. Some construction turned me around and I didn’t pull into the driveway until after 2 a.m.

I then composed my very long post that you saw and crashed on the couch around 4 a.m. totally sleeping through my kid getting up for school and DaWife taking him. Woke up at 9:15 which really stunk since I had a 9 a.m. appointment.

Tomorrow I have jury duty so blogging will be VERY light but for today I’m going to get some rest and let it sink in.

So all those on the left who want to do a victory lap, Hey you won, feel free to take that lap. Enjoy it while you can, as the state slowly becomes Greece.

With any luck the republicans in congress can do enough to save the national economy that it will lift our boat.

This has been a good day for the country and a disastrous day for Massachusetts. We wasted the best opportunity we’ve had to make effect actual change in the state in years. This requires several messages to several different groups so I will state them in order.

1. To the Democratic Machine:

Congratulations, you managed to use your political resources and government resources very well. The use of poll watchers in larger cities where Brown did well paid off big time allowing you to increase turnout of your voters. You also used the fear card of Question 3 to the fullest advantage. Very well-played. By securing the statewide offices and all the watchdogs you have assured yourselves of at least 4 more years of good stealing. I’m sure you will enjoy it.

2. To the Massachusetts left:

Congratulations you must be feeling very good right now. You matched our turnout and managed to retain all 10 house seats. Of course you will lose one of them to redistricting next year, and likely a second one in 2022 as our productive population continues to leave, but be that as it may; you did secure the Tax and fee nirvana that you have wanted. May you be happy in the situation you have chosen.

3. To the Massachusetts Taxpayer:

I’ve very disappointed in you. Not only did you fail to roll back the sales tax but you elected people particularly for auditor and in Ma-6 whose corruption is publicly known. Almost as bad you returned the person most responsible for the current nationwide financial crisis to office in Ma-4. I talked to many of you and I really thought you had finally reached your breaking point but apparently it will take much more bad news to shock you out of your complacency. Have no fear it will come. Maybe it will be the shock when you discover that all these democrats that you returned to congress are now in the minority and all of those tax dollars taken from you that they returned in lump sums at .82 cents on the dollar will not be coming back since they don’t have the clout to gain them and the republican house where all spending must originate is unlikely to approve them. If you had sent even a single republican to the house at least in one district there would be clout, but nope, no can do. You will miss that .82 cents on the dollar, but don’t worry the feds will meet you halfway. They will still take that dollar it was part of.

4. To the business owners and the entrepreneurs.
Well I guess I might as well not be looking for a job from you. I know you will be laying off more workers, closing shops and moving away. I’ll miss you but I can’t blame you for closing down and leaving. The voters have spoken and you productive people are just not worth the effort to keep. Good luck wherever you end up.

5. To the youth of the state, the best and brightest, the ones who excel in school and will build tomorrow.

Get out! As soon as you have your degree head for Pa, or Va or AZ or even NH if you can’t bear to leave New England & the Red Sox. There is nothing to keep you here. I urge my sons as soon as their school days are over to take this advice. There is always video chat for us to see each other daily. By leaving you will most assuredly be able to afford a better house, pay lower taxes, keep what you earn and create a business of your own. I’m getting old, I’m not going anywhere but Massachusetts is no place for a young person who wants to succeed.

6. To the Tea Party Movement in the State:

We fought the good fight and contested almost every race. We forced the machine to expend time, effort and treasure to defeat us here. Like the 1st Minnesota at Gettysburg we charged forward knowing what it would likely mean to us, but also knowing that it would tie down millions of dollars that were not spent in Virginia and Florida, and Ohio. We kept congressmen tied up who could not campaign against our fellow republicans and conservatives and forced them to drain their war-chests. (War Chests that will be harder to refill now that they hold minority status). Like the 1st Minnesota we were soundly defeated with only a few small races won, but also like that glorious regiment our actions helped save the country from the damage that the democratic majority has done and in two years we will fight them again, and once again tie them down and keep them here to defend their east coastal flank. We must contest them at every level, at the state house, in local city counsels, in school committees. We must attend hearings and cal them out and let them know our attention is not going to be diverted.

By doing this like drops of water on a rock eventually we will make them crack.

7. To the state GOP.

Rule one: Social conservatives are not going to vote for people at the top of the ticket when they are to the left of Deval Patrick on those issues. Either give us real republicans or don’t bother to expect us to give you our votes. 2. When Tip O’Neil flipped the state he worked from the ground up, on local races first. Until you get it through your heads to build up the farm team we will continue to lose and deserve to. 3. We are smart enough to know that other than the odd veto that a republican governor is worthless when the democrats have super-majorities in the statehouse. Stop diverting funds to the top of the race in the hopes of getting cushy appointments for friends and work on party building, after all we aren’t looking to replace one set of crooks with another.

8. To the rest of the country

Don’t mind us, pretend we’re not here and carry on. Hopefully we will catch on before our population drops to the point where we are down to 3 electoral votes, of course by that time you won’t care what we think.

9. To Annie Dimartino and Loud Liberal

I will pay you your cup of tea and the lunch sometime next week. We can arrange the day

Massachusetts has spoken! The people have the right to be wrong and we have exercised that right in dramatic fashion and we will get our just desserts.

I’ve been to every precinct in the city so far and this is what I saw.

In ward 6 where two years ago I stood alone a group held signs for republican candidates

Republicans in 2010 Ward 6

The only candidate on the democratic side promoted was Tom Foley for Sheriff

The only democrat signs in 6

I have never in my life seen more people holding signs for a question than for a candidate

Anti Question 1-3 electioneering

I was so struck by that I interviewed a gentleman there

Foley has drawn a fair amount of support. I’ve met him personally and I’m not surprised by that.

The man on the right is a republican but he is for Foley

There was a group of FSU students interviewing people for a government project, I asked them why they didn’t cover the Gunn event at the college, none of them had been told even though every teacher got an e-mail about it.

Where were these college folks when Gunn was on Campus?

In Ward five the turnout was VERY high, particularly in 5a

Ward 5 very busy

I talked to David Roth who I knew from high school, he was a year ahead of me.

In Ward 4 it was the same story

Two Poll workers in Ward 4

Ward 2 also had a very steady stream, their totals were already over the primaries before noon

Posing at the machine in Ward 2a

In ward three there were two big surprises. My mother who works the polls told me it was very steady, in the second ward the numbers were already over 800 by 12:30 p.m.

Ward 3 the busiest ward in town

In both wards 6 and 3 there were Democratic poll watchers checking to see if they needed to get their people out if they hadn’t voted. Two people I met at the Mayday march were also in 6 and 3. We disagree but they are very nice and I’m always pleased to see them.

I ran into John Olver in Ward 3. I still think he is dead wrong but I’ve learned to respect him as a gentleman who has never treated me with anything but respect. He has run a clean and honorable campaign.

John Olver and supporters in Fitchburg on election day

Ex Mayor Mylot was there as well, he was supporting the republican ticket. The men on the left holding signs for Lew held them for Bove in the primary at the same spot.

Ex Mayor Mylot in ward 3

The Shock of the day came as Bill Gunn showed up at the same time and he and Congressman Olver posed for a picture together.

Bill Gunn (r) and congressman John Olver (D) civil and honorable opponents

This was the picture of the day, although I think it will be a close race both have run positive, clean and issue oriented campaigns, it’s been an example to the entire nation.

In ward one the trend of incredible numbers continued:

Ward one with a full house

And the electioneering continued, the most popular democrat in the area is clearly Foley

Signs for foley in ward 1

Republicans signs were in every place except for ward 4 downtown.

Republicans holding signs in ward 1

Bottom line all signs point toward huge turnout and if the Scott Brown trend of January is a barometer, then I’d be worried if I was the left