Mr.Spock: I see no logic in preferring Stonn over me.
T’Pring: You have become much known among our people, Spock. Almost a legend. And as the years went by, I came to know that I did not want to be the consort of a legend. But by the laws of our people, I could only divorce you by the kal-if-fee. There was also Stonn, who wanted very much to be my consort, and I wanted him. If your Captain were victor, he would not want me, and so I would have Stonn. If you were victor you would free me because I had dared to challenge, and again I would have Stonn. But if you did not free me, it would be the same. For you would be gone, and I would have your name and your property, and Stonn would still be there.
Mr. Spock: Logical. Flawlessly logical.
Star Trek Amok Time 1967
Earlier this week I strongly objected to the CRomnibus bill rushed to passage in the House on the grounds that members of congress should have the time to read a bill before it’s voted on.
But with the short term extension (Tom White’s objections not withstanding) Senators will have time to read the bill & judge it on its merits so that problem is solved.
As for the merits of the bill, there is a lot of emotion from both the right and the left. There is no doubt that there is a lot of junk in it that likely shouldn’t be, but I’m not worried because no matter what happens, if it’s passed, if a short term 2 month bill is passed instead or if it’s blocked, there is one thing I know for sure:
The GOP never had it so good.
Every single possibility is a positive for the GOP politically, let me explain in detail.
Possibility #1: No bill passed government shutdown:
You might recall last year when there was a short term government shutdown all in the media declared how much it would hurt the GOP electorally, now that we have proof that this is not the case a shut down this time has several advantages:
1. It stops funding of many things that should not be by rote.
The less it pays for the smaller government becomes automatically
2. It disproportionately affects the discretionary spending that fuels the left.
Many more of the left’s priorities are non-emergency funding. A shutdown stops them.
3. Because it affects the supporters of the left it puts pressure on Democrats to make a deal (which is likely going to be even more favorable to the right).
And the longer it goes on the more desperate they will be for a deal
4. It’s a resounding defeat for both the President & for the Establishment
And this president & this establishment NEED to be defeated.
5. It exacerbates the Democrat Civil War & forces the MSM to cover it
This is the best thing of all, by empowering the Elizabeth Warren wing of the Democrats it will create the same situation that defeated Mitt Romney in 2012 but on the left. Warren might be able to win in a place as crazy as Massachusetts but nationally she has no appeal outside of Hollywood & the fever swamps if she doesn’t win outright she will force a Hillary or a Cuomo or a Brown even farther left and that will help a lot in 2016.
Furthermore with Warren & the Black Caucus & Warren on board the old “Evil Republicans starving kids” business for the media doesn’t wash.
6. In three weeks the worm turns
If there is a shutdown & it goes to early January eventually the new congress will be seated meaning a new vote with a new congress that has a GOP majority in the senate.
Short Term Bill Passes 2-3 Months
This one is pretty good too because it means the following
1. The worm has turned:
See #6 above, with GOP majorities in both houses republicans will have more leverage than before to advance their ideas and cut back Democrat priorities
2. No Harry Reid roadblocks
Last time around Harry Reid didn’t even allow many of the GOP bills come up for a vote, this time he doesn’t have that power.
3. Possible Democrat Filibusters:
It will be fun to see the press suddenly decide that Democrats shutting down the government is a good thing, but it will be even more fun to watch them keep it shut down because #2 & #3 from a shutdown will still apply.
4. President shutdown government:
Ah the joy of watching an unpopular president shut down the government because he doesn’t like the spending bill would be fun, particularly if the Senate Democrats choose to back him, not only does #2 & #3 continue to apply but now such a shutdown becomes the face of the Democrat party nationally.
5. Piecemeal bills:
Harry Reid stopped the post shutdown piecemeal approach, (funding key parts of government one bill at a time) allowing the press to ignore it, however with a GOP majority Boehner & McConnell will be in a position put bills on the President’s desk to fund the specific parts of the government that should actually be funded & have the most public support and force him to decide to sign or veto. Because it’s the president & not Reid they can’t pretend he’s above the fray, and the more piecemeal funding of Government that is needed the more we can let the unnecessary BS fall by the wayside.
For all the annoyance of some of the President’s stuff being funded for a year even if CRomnibus passes the GOP is in good shape.
1. Time for a real budget:
With both houses of congress we can finally get on track for an actual budget passed by both houses and sent to the president instead of playing the shutdown game. With a year to do it there is no reason why it shouldn’t get done.
2. Son of CRomnibus
If for some reason we don’t get an actual budget and are stuck with son of CRomnibus all the advantages of the short term bill (1-5 above) exist .
3. It’s primary time for the GOP & Dems:
If there is a son of CRomibus bill in October of 2015 as the primary season is beginning tit will put the maximum amount of pressure for the GOP house & Senate to appease its conservative base (that’s you dear reader) to avoid generating primary candidates. At the time it will force Dems to do the same forcing a party that’s already devoid of moderate democrats farther to the left before an election.
4. Obama Democrats
If you think Democrats are desperate to get away from Barack Obama now wait till you see them as election 2016 comes closer, If the president resists a GOP bill (and he will) every incumbent Democrat & every Democrat candidate will get the chance to be directly linked to Barack Obama at the very time the party wants to forget him.
5. Obama Presidential Candidates
If a Son of Cromnibus bill comes up as Democrats are preparing for Iowa & NH we will have some lovely shots of a likely Democrat either rejecting Barack Obama on camera (generating similar ads to the ones Ali ran in Louisiana vs Landrieu in the Black community) or embracing Barack Obama (generating ads to run just about everywhere else). I’m sure every single Democrat is who wants to be president is just dying to have to do one or the other just before the first caucus & primaries take place.
So hate Cromnibus or love Cromnibus, either way,when it comes to politics, it’s going to be a winner for conservatives & the GOP who will have a very merry Christmas.