One other point concerning Thursday’s debate.

It’s fair to say there were several solid blows landed on Donald Trump.  Ted landed a few  but Marco Rubio clamped onto Donald Leg and like a hungry Dog simply didn’t let go.  He did this at a Debate that got record ratings and followed up the next day making fun of Trump because the one thing the Donald can’t abide is ridicule.

So if you are Donald Trump and the media is now talking about Rubio’s insults and laughing about it, how do you change the subject?

Like this:

Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey endorsed Donald J. Trump on Friday, a major turn in a wild race and one that gives the New York businessman a significant boost as he heads into the pivotal “Super Tuesday” contests.

Mr. Christie was a candidate for president himself until he came in sixth place in New Hampshire’s primary. Seeing his political career facing an abrupt conclusion after his failed presidential campaign, he expressed his anger Friday at Senator Marco Rubio, whom he was said to be upset with, blaming the “super PAC” backing the Florida senator for halting his momentum in New Hampshire with a string of slash-and-burn ads.

Suddenly every cable TV network was carrying Chris Christie endorsing Trump

and returning to repeat the one thing he had success at: beating up on Marco Rubio.

Now while Allahpundit saw this coming weeks ago and notes this is the path to something more AG perhaps?

But if you want to understand why this was done at this time, Ann Althouse nails it

That vastly overshadows Marco Rubio’s bad comedy routine this morning

and I suspect Christie’s ability to swing at the media as a Trump surrogate will be even more valuable in a general election, presuming Trump closes the deal

But no matter how you slice it, Trump knows how to play the media like a fiddle. Now if that’s still the case when they are playing video of him contradicting himself a few weeks apart on a daily basis (and I guarantee you that will happen if he’s the nominee) that’s a different story.


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If anyone tells you that they know what’s going to happen today in NH they are full of it.

However while the actual results of the evening are totally up in the air, the MSM memes for today are completely predictable.


If Donald wins this by more than 10 pts

MSM will start talking inevitably and declare that only the #2 finisher (unless it’s Ted Cruz) has a prayer to stop him and the talk will be if the establishment decides to go all in.

If Donald trump wins by less that 10 pts (my best guess)

MSM meme will be Trump is vulnerable and MSM will extol the virtues of any 2nd or 3rd place finisher not named Ted Cruz as the alternative to Trump.

If Trump loses to any person not named Ted Cruz.

Said person will be lionized and the Trump campaign declared a paper tiger, they will really cheer if it’s a Bush or Kasich.

If Trump loses to Ted Cruz

Mass Seppuku among members of the MSM and the Party will go all out to push whoever is 2nd.


See above if he wins

If Cruz finishes in 2nd or 3rd.

Media will pretend he doesn’t exist and will push the other 2nd or 3rd place finisher , if he gets 3rd by less that 2 pts they’ll push the 4th place person as advancing too.

If Cruz finishes 4th or below , even by one vote

MSM will treat him as a one trick pony and pretend his national campaign is doomed.



If Rubio finishes 2nd or 3rd

He will  be pushed as he alternative to Donald Trump unless a governor finishes 2nd then Rubio will be hit as a guy on the decline.

If Rubio finishes 5th or below

He will be written off by the MSM


JEB BUSH, JOHN KASICH, CHRIS CHRISTIE (who can tell the difference anymore?)


If any one of them finish in 2nd -4th

Said candidate will be dubbed the “Winner” of NH Establishment primary which will be treated as more important than actually winning..  If more than 1 finishes in the top 4 both will be cheered.

If the finish is 2nd place said candidate will be treated  as if they actual won NH even if they are 20+ pts behind the winner.

Any finish by a gov below 4th and said candidate will be told it’s time to go.

Note Jeb Bush will be treated as if he finished one level ahead of whatever spot he finishes at.


Unless he finishes 4th or above he will be totally ignored except to blame Ted Cruz for said finish.

MSM will do their best to keep Carson in the race in the hope that he will hurt Ted Cruz in the south.



Unless she finishes top 4 MSM will say it’s time to go.  If she finishes top 4 with Cruz and Rubio may become de facto Establishment alternative



If he finishes about any other candidate it will be treated as  a victory.  If he does not then he’ll tweet out that he’s now in the top 5-8 depending on how many candidates drop out.

MY PREDICTION:  The only candidate that drops out post NH is Chris Christie unless Kasich finishes 6th then he’ll consider it.


The Democrats:


If Sanders wins by less that 15 points.

MSM will treat result as a great Clinton Comeback and Bill will talk about Hillary as the 2nd coming of the comeback kid.  If it’s single digits it will be considered the Clinton miracle.

If Sanders wins by 15+

Bloomberg is in, Biden is maybe in and Hillary & Bill launch an all out campaign to destroy him that will make the attacks at Ken Starr look like nothing.



If somehow Hillary Clinton wins

It’s all over for Bernie & the FBI investigation


The chances of Hillary being indicted are directly related to how well she does.

My best guess (Bernie by 12)


All of this is fun but remember this above all:


The actual results are secondary to the the meme the MSM wants to push, those have already been determined.  The only question is will the results allow those memes to be credible.


Today my plan had been to take a day off of work, head to NH, visit some polling places and finish at the Ted Cruz event in Hollis.

Instead I’m in bed, unable to stand for more than a few minutes with my head spinning and unable to hold down even dry cereal.

The irony is that these symptoms which are considered normal in the aftermath aftermath of my illness could go on for months and continue to cost me days of work that I can’t afford to miss.

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When viewed in an inertial reference frame, an object either remains at rest or continues to move at a constant velocity, unless acted upon by an external force

Newton’s 1st law of Motion

Lyndon Johnson’s loss had been due a political fluke. He had been beaten not by his opponent’s friends but by his opponent’s foes. 

Lyndon Johnson the Path to Power

A few days ago I saw a piece concerning Iowa that crunched the numbers in Iowa that suggest Donald Trump is going to have more trouble than he thinks in Iowa.

Really, so in order to justify Trump’s lead, somehow 50,000 more caucus attendees will have to show up and vote for Trump than have ever shown up before. Trump has 12 paid staffers in Iowa, led by Tana Goetz, a 48-year-old former runner up on “The Apprentice.” Wow, what raw horsepower.

He contrasts that to Ted Cruz:

Cruz has over 1,000 precinct chairs, a 240-plus person leadership team and over 5,000 volunteers in every one of Iowa’s 99 counties (all of which Cruz has pledged to visit before the caucuses, and it looks like he’ll make it happen). They’re led by seasoned professionals such as Jake Dagel, who was field director for Turning Point USA.

It’s a devastating  analysis but it overlooks one very important thing, and that’s strategic voting

While the GOP doesn’t have the same process as the dems who can, if the supporters of a candidate can’t get enough people to go with them to advance go with another candidate, it’s going to be very apparent very early if an attendee’s candidate has a shot in their district.

When that happens then it will be time for voters to decide:  “Do I stick with my guy or do I think strategically?”

Think if you are a Jeb Bush, or a Chris Christie, or a John Kasich guy.  Your man isn’t going to win Iowa, you likely won’t even finish in the top 3.  What is your game plan to win the nomination?

If you’re Jeb Bush guy, you need to be the last non-Trump man standing.  So you have to stop Ted Cruz.

If you’re Chris Christie or John Kasich you have to finish in the top 3 in NH, you aren’t likely to stop Donald Trump there so you have to stop Ted Cruz.

You’re Carly Fiorina, Trump is a perfect foil for your campaign, Ted Cruz is not so you have to stop Ted Cruz.

and it’s not just establishment types thinking this;

You’re a Mike Huckabee or a Rick Santorum supporter, your only prayer (assuming you have one) is to cancel out the one guy who has taken the votes you won with in 2008  & 2012 so that you can win in the south so you have to stop Ted Cruz.

You are Ben Carson voter, you know your man who has the potential to attract voters in the south who might normally not vote in a GOP primary but you have to get to those primaries with a campaign still alive so you have to stop Ted Cruz.

Your Rand Paul voter, you can’t allow libertarians to be looking for another principled alternative so you have to stop Ted Cruz.

The only candidate with a disincentive to this is Marco Rubio, the NYT not withstanding he needs to keep his guys in line to keep himself viable, a fight between him and Cruz diminishes his rivals and increases him, he needs is folks to boost his numbers at all costs.

Now you might say:  “But Datechguy Iowa is a big conservative state what makes you think there are enough establishment votes to save Iowa for Trump”

My answer.  Mitt lost Iowa by only 8 votes and those Mitt guys are all in for Bush  stopping Cruz.

Bottom line, with the exception of Marco Rubio every single other candidate has an incentive to stop Ted Cruz from winning Iowa, even if it gives the win to Trump.

Trump doesn’t need 50,000 extra voters to show up at the caucus to win, he simply needs enough voters to put the other candidates voters in a spot where they have a pragmatic choice between helping Trump win or helping letting Cruz win.

That is Donald Trump’s secret weapon and don’t think for one moment he doesn’t know it.

P.S.  You’ll not that I didn’t include Jim Gilmore with all due respect for the former gov of VA why would I?


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As I’ve been writing a lot about the Kim Davis situation I was very interested in how it would come up in the Presidential debate on Wednesday, however the subject didn’t so much point out the differences in the GOP position as it pointed out the seemingly contrary positions of both media and the selective enforcement of federal law and selective interpretation of the constitution depending on who it involves.

First lets look at the Kim Davis exchange:

Jake Tapper: I want to turn back to Governor Huckabee. Governor Huckabee, last week, you held a rally for a county clerk in Kentucky who was jailed for refusing to issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples, as I don’t need to tell you. You’ve called what happened to Kim Davis, that clerk, “an example of the criminalization of Christianity.” There are several people on the stage who disagree with you. Governor Bush, for example, says that that clerk is sworn to uphold the law. Is Governor Bush on the wrong side of the criminalization of Christianity?

Gov Mike Huckabee: No, I don’t think he’s on the wrong side of such an issue. Jeb is a friend. I’m not up here to fight with Jeb or to fight with anybody else. But I am here to fight for somebody who is a county clerk elected under the Kentucky constitution that 75 percent of the people of that state had voted for that said that marriage was between a man and a woman. The Supreme Court in a very, very divided decision decided out of thin air that they were just going to redefine marriage. It’s a decision that the other justices in dissent said they didn’t have and there wasn’t a constitutional shred of capacity for them to do it. I thought that everybody here passed ninth-grade civics. The courts cannot legislate. That’s what Roberts said. But heck, it’s what we learned in civics. The courts can’t make a law. They can interpret one. They can review one. They can’t implement it. They can’t force it. But here’s what happened: Because the courts just decided that something was going to be and people relinquished it and the other two branches of government sat by silently — I thought we had three branches of government, they were all equal to each other, we have separation of powers, and we have checks and balances. If the court can just make a decision and we just all surrender to it, we have what Jefferson said was judicial tyranny. The reason that this is a real issue that we need to think about

Jake Tapper:Thank you, Governor.

Gov Mike Huckabee: No, no. Let me finish this one thought, Jake. I haven’t gotten that much time, so I’m going to take just what little I can here. We made accommodation to the Fort Hood shooter to let him grow a beard. We made accommodations to the detainees at Gitmo — I’ve been to Gitmo, and I’ve seen the accommodations that we made to the Muslim detainees who killed Americans. You’re telling me that you cannot make an accommodation for an elected Democrat county clerk from Rowan County, Kentucky? What else is it other than the criminalization of her faith and the exaltation of the faith of everyone else who might be a Fort Hood shooter or a detainee at Gitmo?

Jake Tapper:  Well, I’m not telling you that, Governor. But Governor Bush is, because he — because he disagrees. He thinks that Kim Davis swore to uphold the law. You disagree? You’re not — you don’t…

Gov Jeb Bush: I don’t think — you’re not stating my views right.

Jake Tapper: OK. Please do.

Gov Jeb Bush: I think there needs to be accommodation for someone acting on faith. Religious conscience is — is — is a first freedom. It’s — it’s a powerful part of our — of our Bill of Rights. And, in a big, tolerant country, we should respect the rule of law, allow people in — in — in this country — I’m a — I was opposed to the decision, but we — you can’t just say, “well, they — gays can’t get married now.” But this woman, there should be some accommodation for her conscience, just as there should be for people that are florists that don’t want to participate in weddings, or bakers. A great country like us should find a way to have accommodations for people so that we can solve the problem in the right way. This should be solved at the local level…

Jake Tapper: You did…

Gov Jeb Bush: And so we do agree, Mike.

Gov Chris Christie: I was —

Jake Tapper: Governor, you said, quote, “she is sworn to uphold the law.”

Gov Chris Christie: She is, and so if she, based on conscience, can’t sign that — that marriage license, then there should be someone in her office to be able to do it, and if the law needs to be changed in the state of Kentucky, which is what she’s advocating, it should be changed.

Ok so we have a question of “she’s sworn to uphold the law” and “there needs to be an accommodation based on faith” presumably based on the 1st amendment but oddly enough when Mr. Tapper asked this question on federal drug laws

Jake Tapper: Senator Paul, Governor Christie recently said, quote, “if you’re getting high in Colorado today,” where marijuana has been legalized, “enjoy it until January 2017, because I will enforce the federal laws against marijuana.” Will you?

The arguments on enforcement suddenly changed.  While Senator Paul invoked the 10th amendment suggesting the feds had crossed into a state issue. During his answer he mentioned a person on stage who used pot at one time. It turned out to be Jeb who had this to say. (all emphasis mine)

Gov Jeb Bush: So, 40 years ago, I smoked marijuana, and I admit it. I’m sure that other people might have done it and may not want to say it in front of 25 million people. My mom’s not happy that I just did. That’s true. And here’s the deal. Here’s the deal. We have — we have a serious epidemic of drugs that goes way beyond marijuana. What goes on in Colorado, as far as I’m concerned, that should be a state decision. But if you look at the problem of drugs in this — in this society today, it’s a serious problem. Rand, you know this because you’re campaigning in New Hampshire like all of us, and you see the epidemic of heroin, the overdoses of heroin that’s taking place. People’s families are — are being torn apart. It is appropriate for the government to play a consistent role to be able to provide more treatment, more prevention — we’re the state that has the most drug courts across every circuit in — in — in Florida, there are drug courts to give people a second chance. That’s the best way to do this.

Hold on a second. The laws concerning drugs are Federal laws, laws actually passed by the congress and signed by the president as opposed to the reinterpretation of a constitutional amendment.  How is it that Kim Davis a county clerk is “sworn to uphold the law” but public servants in the state of Colorado who are not claiming this has anything to do with religion, are not?

As the exchange continued. It got worse, after Jeb bush was pressed by Sen Paul on medical marijuana: again emphasis mine

Sen Rand Paul: Well, you vote — you oppose medical marijuana…

Gov Jeb Bush: Here’s the deal. No, I did not oppose when the legislature passed the bill to deal with that very issue. That’s the way to solve this problem. Medical marijuana on the ballot was opened up, there was a huge loophole, it was the first step to getting to a (inaudible) place. And as a citizen of Florida, I voted no.

So Jeb Bush believes Kim Davis “Is sworn to uphold the law” but didn’t oppose the state legislature in Florida passing a bill directly contradicting established federal law and apparently he’s not alone here.  (again emphasis mine)

Gov Chris Christie: And Senator Paul knows that that’s simply not the truth. In New Jersey, we have medical marijuana laws, which I supported and implemented. This is not medical marijuana. There’s goes as much — a further step beyond. This is recreational use of marijuana. This is much different. And so, while he would like to use a sympathetic story to back up his point, it doesn’t work. I’m not against medical marijuana. We do it in New Jersey. But I’m against the recreational use against marijuana. If he wants to change the federal law, get Congress to pass the law to change it, and get a president to sign it.

So Christie, like Bush is willing to support and implement laws that contradict existing federal law, laws that he is sworn to uphold, and is willing to do this without claiming a religious or constitutional reason.  It sounds to me like “being sworn to uphold the law” apparently doesn’t apply if the law is supported by yuppies on the left or the MSM who are both widely in favor of legalizing medical marijuana.


Now let’s take a look at another subject. The Question of the 14th amendment and birthright citizenship came up, Mr. Trump (backed up by Senator Rand Paul) said scholars said no but when asked by Jake Tapper, Carly Fiorina (after making a great point concerning the Democrat’ desire to have this as an issue & not solve the problem said this: again emphasis mine

Carly Fiorina: …the truth is, you can’t just wave your hands and say “the 14th Amendment is gonna go away.” It will take an extremely arduous vote in Congress, followed by two-thirds of the states, and if that doesn’t work to amend the constitution, then it is a long, arduous process in court. And meanwhile, what will continue to go on is what has gone on for 25 years. With all due respect, Mr. Trump, we’ve been talking about illegal immigration for 25 years. San Francisco has been a sanctuary city since 1989. There are 300 of them. And meanwhile, what has happened? Nothing. The border remains insecure. The legal immigration system remains broken. Look, we know what it takes to secure a border. We’ve heard a lot of great ideas here. Money, manpower, technology…

So Mrs. Fiorina says that “you can’t just wave your hands and say “the 14th Amendment is going to go away, and an awful lot of media pundits and people like Jeb Bush are with her on this. But lets take a look at the text of it The 14th Amendment specifically section 1 which states:

Amendment XIV

Section 1.

All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the state wherein they reside. No state shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States; nor shall any state deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws.

Nowhere in that entire section do you see the words “Gay Marriage” ( in fact you will not find the words “marriage” anywhere in the US Constitution)

Yet five members of the Supreme Court found a right to gay marriage that every other justice who ever served on the Supreme Court did not, one that overrode every single state constitution that said otherwise.

So my question is this? If justices can magically reinterpret the 14th Amendment to find a right to Gay Marriage in a document that doesn’t mention marriage, and the media claims it is legit how is it that one can’t interpret that same 14th amendment to say it doesn’t grant citizenship to people born here if their parents came illegally not “subject to the jurisdiction thereof”.

Bottom line, apparently some in the GOP believe, with the media that when it comes to Kim Davis, the 14th Amendment is flexible and the enforcement of federal law is not, but some of those same people believe with the media, that when it comes to birthright citizenship and federal drug laws. The 14th Amendment is rigid and the enforcement of federal law is flexible.

Funny isn’t it?


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I know you can get the MSM for nothing, but that’s pretty much what they’re good for.

OK I’ve had a few hours to sleep on it and here are my debate takeaways.

Winner:  Main Debate Rand Paul:  Despite not having much time in the early rounds won two segments.  Made strong cases for everything he believed and sold his positions well.  Accomplished everything he needed to do, the only question is do people agree with those positions.

Winner: First Debate Lindsey Graham:  Memorable lines , humor and again made the case first for a ground war against isis, the single most important issue for the future of the country and for pressing the Obama administration in the senate.

Graham will get a small bump because he’s polling so low with Paul it’s harder because he’s making cases for things that many in the base disagree with.

Five interesting points.  

My two “winners”  are both people I disagree with.

Not only were there no bad debate performances in either debate but there was an awful lot of substance in them (particularly in debate 1)

The debate was specifically designed to promote confrontation .  It did and the candidates made the most of them.  I’m sure to the ratings delight of CNN

While it was a very long night for the Candidates it was even longer for the moderators who did an excellent job.

There wasn’t a person on either stage (even the ones I disagree with) that didn’t make themselves more credible it was like a convention of British Sea Captains from the Napoleonic Wars


Let’s go through the candidates starting with debate 2 in sort of the order of how they did.

Marco Rubio:  2nd place  Did exactly what he had to do, got noticed, had memorable moments and made excellent cases over an over.  Gave donors a reason to stay.

Carly Fiorina:  Completely justified her promotion to the main debate stage in a situation where he needed to do so.  Strong answers, and played to the MSM expectations and brought up the Planned Parenthood videos which will play very strongly to the base.

Chris Christie:  Reminded every conservative in the country why he was so popular before and used his time wisely.

Mike Huckabee:  Every chance he got she knocked it out of the part and really did a great job on the Kim Davis question noting the accommodations for Islamic Terrorists vs a Christian Clerk.

Jeb Bush:  A slow start but showed energy and reassured the donor class that was worried with a friendly establishment audience.

Donald Trump:  Target #1 of everyone there.  Brought up two excellent points (having to be friends with everyone in business and the threat of North Korea) that had previously been ignored.  Proved he could take a punch which is an important quality in a front runner.

Ted Cruz:  Like Huckabee took good advantage of every chance he had to talk, if he had been given the chance to make his climate change response might have been able to win.

Scott Walker:  May have saved his campaign by coming back strong

Ben Carson:  Gave good answers but criticized for being low key.  But that’s how he is.

John Kasich:  The least memorable performance of the night, yet still a good one, seemed kind of a poor man’s Lindsey Graham.

Debate 1:

Rick Santorum:  A very strong performance, made the best case for a min wage hike (I disagree there) that I’ve heard so far.

Bobby Jindal:  Really strong appeal to the base, very energetic again did the job he needed to do getting noticed.

George Pataki:  Had the single best hit on Hillary in either debate noting that she was a Senator from NY the target of terror attacks and still did what she did.

Short Term:  Tactical results:

Who was helped the most last night?  Carly Fiorina, she realized right away what the pundits were looking for & gave it to them.  Lots of credibility.

Who was hurt the most last night?  Ben Carson, the media has spun this as a defeat even though he is presenting himself the same as he always was.  The media template is to give Carly the push at his expense.

Long Term Strategic results:

Who was helped the most long term?  Donald Trump:  Not only did he dominate time and prove he could take every punch thrown at him but because nobody did bad enough to be eliminated that guarantees the vote will remain divided.  The longer that’s true the bigger advantage he has.

Who was hurt the most last night?  John Kasich:  Not because he did bad, he didn’t but because Jeb Bush did better and he is the establishment Bush fallback position.

A much longer post is coming about:

The flexible 14th amendment Kim Davis  Birthright citizenship

Ironic moment of the night:  Jeb Bush hits Kim Davis for not obeying nonexistent federal law while insisting he would not hit Colorado for ignoring explicit federal drug laws.

Most significant post debate moment:  Frank Luntz group, nobody in the group said Ted Cruz won but every single person in the group was impressed by him.  Continues to play the long game.

Am I the only one who noticed….The post debate interview with Donald Trump where he talks about getting to know his opponents.  I think it was rather revealing & will affect the way he counterpunchers in the future.


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I know you can get the MSM for nothing, but that’s pretty much what they’re good for.

Final Update:  The more I think about it the more I’m thinking Fox accomplished exactly what they were looking for.  More on Saturday morning.

I’m offended by the “Donald Trump going after women BS” by Megan Kelly and Donna Brazile. We are constantly told by women that they are strong, assertive who are equals to men, but if they are treated the same why a man is suddenly its offensive. Either you are tough enough to take the hits or you are the weaker sex who need to be protected from offensive speech, pick one.

I agree with Elizabeth Price Foley at Instapundit:

GOP PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE LOSER? FOX NEWS: I was particularly disappointed with the ridiculous “gotcha!” questions posed by Megyn Kelly and Chris Wallace. Can Fox News please focus on the issues and not try to play favorites?

1st Place Donald Trump: By Default proved he belonged there won’t lose support among the new crowd that tuned in that aren’t political animals.
2nd place Rand Paul: Did everything he needed to do, was both memorable and substantive
3rd Place Ben Carson Didn’t get many chances but handled them the best
4th Chris Christie Got noticed make his points and reminded those who had gone Bush why they supported him before
5th Rubio Lots of solid answers
6th Huckabee, had memorable lines but was lost every exchange with another customer.
7th Cruz Almost perfect but seemed to be constantly ignored by the panel
8th Walker Good lines but never jumped out.
9th Kasich Played to the crowd but too long on a lot of answers
10th Bush Almost didn’t notice he was there. That’s bad news for the big donors.

My rankings I think there was only one so so performance (Bush) , Kasich got a lot of love from the home crowd but wasn’t impressive, Walker was fine but not overly impressive , Cruz was very good but got very little time, Huckabee had memorable lines but not as hot, Rubio was very good, Chris Christie did very well , Ben Carson didn’t get many chances to speak but clearly hit nerves, Rand Paul managed to be both combative and substantive and Trump proved he belonged on the stage.

11:03 Trump closes with his standard the US is not what is should be, we have to make our country great again.

11:02 Bush speaking (he was left alone for 30 min) fair close stumbled a bit like his brother at the end.

11:00 Ted Cruz, day 1 give a laundry list of what he would do strong but Ben Carson trumps him with the half a brain line. Huckabee: Hits Hillary Clinton when everyone thought he was talking Trump, Scott Walker: Talks record and recalls, the “and we won”

10:58 Paul give a first rate close, notes he leads Clinton in five states Obama won, Rubio talks about his history,

10:56 Closing Kasich goes over his record, pretty good response, Pretty good answer by Christie about his record

10:55 Carson Asked about race relation: Give his pat neurosurgeon answer I operate on the part that makes a person what they are crowd loves it.

10:54 Rubio asked about God & va: Rubio says God has blessed us we must help our vets only one fired

10:51 Kasish asked the God question, long winded answer, Walker invokes his past and the protests against him

Last round Closing question first: Have they received word from God: I get God daily from Scripture God speaks through the bible talks about his father’s conversion. You shall know them by their fruits. Knocking it out of the park

Good round for everyone but I think Paul’s answer was the best for him

10:45 Christie invited to hit Paul, instead agrees with Carson about Military, agrees that we can’t be funding our enemies, but says Israel needs to fund.

10:44: Why did you change your budget to allow aid to Israel: At least I have a budget, Israel is a friend, We shouldn’t borrow money from China to send it to anyone. We can’t give away money we don’t have. We don’t project power from bankruptcy court.

10:42 Huck asked about Transgender troops: Huckabee: The purpose of the Military is to kill people and break things. We’ve forgotten why we have a military. it’s not a social lab.

10:41 Walker on confronting Russia if they go after Baltic states: “Russia & China know more about Hillary’s emails than we do ”

10:40 would you have struck Syria?: Talks about an army that’s not ready while our enemies grow strong & our friends don’t trust us. I’d shore up the military first.

10:36 They are back breaking news about the Iranian General, goes to Trump again: Trump talks about Iran and discusses Iran deal as garbage. If Iran was a stock you should buy it. The Russian cyber attack brought up, FINALLY asked cruz something. Have they declared Cyberwar: Cruz: Of course they have goes through the list of the enemies gains.

Rubio & Paul did best that round, it’ been an hour since they said a word to Ted Cruz WTF?

10:33 Paul asked about protecting religion: Says I don’t want the government going after they guns or my religion.

10:31: Kasich asked the “what if your child is gay” to Kasich: he plays the unconditional love card and brags about going to a gay wedding. Kelly should be ashamed of herself for that question.

10:28: Bush asked about trump: Thinks he’s divisive but we need to win. Trump says when it comes to the world we have no time for tone we have to get the job done.

10:26 Trump asked about his changes: tell story about a person not aborted that made a different, invokes Ronald Reagan best you can do there.

10:25: Rubio asked about life of the mother exception claims, denies supporting exception

10:23 Bush asked about Planned Parenthood asked about the Bloomberg board that funded it: Bush claimed he joined for education, notes his pro-life record. “I didn’t know but it doesn’t matter. That’s an ad against him”

Every candidate helped themselves that last round, perhaps Carson & Christie the most

10:15 Quotes first debate asks on Iran deal: Asks Walker on Day 1 tear up deal. Walker invokes the Iranian hostage crisis, stronger sanctions and then convince allies to do the same. Paul on the deal. I oppose the iranian deal, he didn’t negotiate from strength. I don’t mind negotiation but must go from strength, no release of sanctions until proof of compliance: Huckabee: Trust but Verify Trust Iran vilify us. Notes the death to america & Israel stuff, Three great answer there.

10:13 Great answer on economy by Rubio

10:10 Trump asked about 4 bankruptcies: Doesn’t apologize for using bankruptcy laws to his advantage for the four times in 100’s of deals. Point to the money he made. Chris Wallace presses, Trump points out he got out of Atlantic City before it went bust.

10:07 Christie & Huckabee on entitlement reform asked if Huckabee is lying: Huckabee is not lying he’s just wrong, Gives specific answer on retirement reform, good answer. Huckabee noting that it’s not the people’s who had their own money taken that it’s screwed up. It’s wrong to do so. Christie It’s already happened we have to fix it as it is.

10:05 Bush notes Clinton wont’ even comment on Keystone, Walker defends his record on jobs notes three elections

10:01 If Hillary is nominee: Carson suggest Hillary will NOT win. She is the epidemy of the secular progressive movement, counts on the fact that people are uninformed

On twitter Carson being attacked mercilessly for mentioning God by the left.

After 2nd Break Trump still ahead, but Cruz, Paul & Walker did well.

9:55: Rubio asked on Common Core: Dept of Ed won’t stop with a suggestion it will become a mandate.

9:53 Bush asked about Common core: Spins Fed government should be involved in standards. Points to his voucher plans.

9:51: Huckabee asked about government size: talks flat tax, Carson talks flat tax and tithing

9:49 Walker’s “everything hillary clinton touches” line was classic

9:46 asked Trump about single payer: Note get rid of the artificial lines. Paul hits him again., Trump asked about donations to dems: “When I give they help”

9:44 Hey they finally got back to Ben Carson asked about waterboarding: He jokes about being ignored: What we do is our business and I’m not going to broadcast it and I don’t believe in fighting a politically correct war.

9:43: To Bush: asked about the War and his hedging on it: It was wrong but they didn’t die in vain. Points out to Obama leaving causing the problem & the rise of ISIS.

9:42: How can you defeat ISIS in 90 days to Cruz: Cruz says our policy should be “If you join ISIS you are signing your death warrant.” Cruz contrasts Obama on Christians vs Islam

9:40 Doesn’t Ben Carson get to be questioned anymore?

9:37 Christie invited to hit Paul on terrorism. He does big time. Paul “I want to support the 4th amendment.”, “Christie says it’s hot air”. Paul says get a warrant “you want to give him (obama) a big hug go ahead again.”

9:35 Ted Cruz will you support Kate’s Law?: I filed that law leadership blocked it. “It’s not a question of stupidity they don’t want to enforce the law.”

9:34 To Paul: Why in the last two years have you changed your position. “I changed because I listed to the American people.”

9:32 Rubio asked about Trump too: People feel like we are being taken advantage of. Talks about the legal people.

9:31: Back asking Kasich is Trump is right: “Trump is hitting a nerve”, he’s got his solution we’ve got ours, lists accomplishments.

9:28: No clear leader but Trump finished strong & is the pol leader so wins by default

9:25 Trump asked to answer Bush directly on the immigration debate: “If it weren’t for me Chris you wouldn’t even be talking about it.” “Reporters are a dishonest lot.” Wallace challenges his evidence, Trump says Border Patrol people tell him this.

9:24 Bush on Immigration Do you stand by the “It’s an act of love” statement. Yes but we have to secure border. Unimpressive answer.

9:22 Megan Kelly asks Kasich about taking Obamacare money to expand medicare: Ignores the cost question and points to other types of savings.

9:20 Why is GOP at fault on foreign policy to Paul: Points out that ISIS rides around in US Humvees, I have been fighting us from arming their friends.

9:18: Huckabee asked if he is too radical: Invoke the constitution to protect the 5th amendment & 14th amendment to protect children from abortion vs a new amendment.

9:17 Would you really let a mother die to Scott Walker: Deflects the question points to his strong pro-life position.

9:15 To Christie, NJ Sucks why should we vote for you: “Christie You should have seen it before I got there.” Talks about cuts

9:15: Ted cruz asked if he’s too divisive? “The American people are looking for someone to speak the truth.”

9:13 Temperment question vs women. Points toward Trumps twitter account. We have no time for political correctness talks strength. throws a punch at Megan Kelly.

9:11 Jeb Bush asked about dynastic stuff. talks about his record, talks reserves they call me Veto Corleone.

9:09 Marco Rubio: If this is a resume contest Hillary Clinton will be the president

9:07: First question goes to Carson, do you know enough about what’s going on. (Same question that I asked him in NH two months ago) Disputes it, experience comes from a lot of arenas. “America became a great nation not because it was flooded with politicians ”

9:05 Boy Rand Paul didn’t waste time he’s hedging his bets attack. Didn’t phase Trump.

9:04 Raise you hand if you won’t pledge to support the GOP candidate or run 3rd party Only Trump does.

9:02 Everyone is being introduced again home field advantage Kasich

8:57 For God’s sake stop the pre-talk and let them start, they are the actual stars not the moderators

8:56 The candidates take the stage

8:53 Not really interested in the pre-debate panel

Hey there are people there this time

Ok time for Debate 2, my debate 1 commentary is here

Well we gave everyone a week or two to rest on it and now we come to the nitty Gritty the final round of the GOP poison poll.

In the penultimate round Senator Marco Rubio, Senator Rick Santorum & Gov George Pataki all managed to get themselves removed from the vote with between 1% – 3% of the poison vote.  This leaves five candidate left and a single vote for each person who will choose the one candidate that is so horrible that you would stay home and let Hillary or Bernie Sanders into the White House.

I’m going to let this poll run till the very end of the month to give everyone plenty of time to think about it.

Today on WCRN the big discussion is scripted candidates

Sherman maintains that both the GOP and Hillary are scripted, Hank the host claims there is a difference.

This is how unscripted Hillary is:

Campaign staff DROVE ‘ordinary’ Iowans to Hillary’s first campaign stop – including health care ‘lobbyist in training’ who was an Obama campaign intern and Biden chauffeur

And he wasn’t the only one:

The other two “regular Americans” who sat at Hillary’s coffee shop table were also deeply involved in party politics.

They have been identified as Carter Bell, the president of the University of Iowa’s College Democrats, and Planned Parenthood employee Sara Sedlacek.

It has been discovered that the visit was pre-arranged and planned by Clinton campaign staffer Troy Price, the recently resigned executive director of the Iowa Democratic Party.

Mr. Bird says that he was not aware that his visit would be with Hillary Clinton herself, but he confirmed that it was all arranged by Price.

she is so scripted that even when the MSM tries to pretend she is unscripted they say this:

what’s most concerning about her opening video is not its soupiness but its manufactured-by-committee tone. It’s all too clear she’s acting at being down-to-earth rather than truly inhabiting her chosen role. Unscripted Hillary still feels scripted.

This is how scripted Ted Cruz is

This is how scripted Rand Paul is

This is how scripted Chris Christie is

This is how scripted Mike Huckabee is

This is how scripted Carly fiorina is

And this is how scripted Bobby Jindal & John Bolton are.

When I can approach Hillary Clinton and ask her what I wish, when she gets mobbed like Ted Cruz is here

and peppered with hostile questions then you can tell me she is just as scripted as the GOP.

Till then please don’t insult my intelligence by making such a claim.


And that’s the real question.  If you like your journalism scripted  from inside the swarm there are plenty of places you can get it from.

If however you think that you might like something that doesn’t come from that swarm mentality all with the same angle.  I would ask you to hit DaTipJar and help me pay for it.

My goal is Twenty grand a year

Olimometer 2.52

That gets all the bills paid.  If I can get to Forty Thousand I can afford to travel outside of New England and/or hire me a blogger to help me get it done.

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by   Jim Laurence

Caesars Online Casino where you can enjoy popular online gaming for real or for fun, comes to New Jersey

It’s pretty amazing how gaming technology has evolved over the years!

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It really amazing when you think of it.  There was a time when  if you wanted to game, you have to travel first to Las Vegas, then came Atlantic City, then came the river boats and the reservations, now the online revolution has means you don’t have to travel at all.

On Saturday’s DaTechGuy on DaRadio we announced the results of our GOP poison poll.

1688 people voted casting 6256 votes to answer the question: “Which GOP candidate would cause you to stay home in 2016.”

Finishing first was John “Name the immigration Bill after Ted Kennedy” McCain appearing on appearing on 45% of the Ballots but there is no chance of him running so lets consider just the people who might run.

Chris Christie on 42.5% of the ballots (719 votes)
Jeb Bush 40.1% of the ballots (667 votes)
Donald Trump 38.5% of the ballots (651 votes)

It’s significant to note that the first two of those names are the ones most oft advanced by our friends in the media as presumptive GOP nominees and supposedly the only people who have a chance of beating Hillary Clinton, although Christie’s stock is falling.

I should point out that this is the same media that pushed both John McCain in 2008 & Mitt Romney in 2012.

Christie & Bush are, if you believe the MSM the choices of the big money donors looking for a “winning” candidate  in 2016.  That is the meme being advanced on the morning shows.

Now it is true that money is a vital ingredient to run a national campaign but the other half of the recipe is voter base.  They are the Milk & Eggs you would add to a pancake mix, leave out either one and you end up with a mess that tastes terrible.

The GOP money people and the media can push Jeb Bush and Chris Christie all they want but without the voters they can’t and won’t win.

So lets look at the other end of the spectrum, which people drew the fewest votes of the pile.

Tim Scott 12 <1%
Mike Pence 14 <1%
Bobby Jindal 17 1%
Scott Walker 19 1%
Nikki Haley 19 1%
Ted Cruz 29 1.7%
Rand Paul 30 1.7%

While I would argue the Tim Scott is not ready for the White House, consider the names on that list. 3 Sitting Governors with records of success and two sitting Senators who have made a name for themselves in the congress, one of whom (Paul) has extensive experience in a presidential campaign.

Now  if you are a person of the establishment you might say:  It doesn’t matter if the base is behind them if they can’t raise money.

That’s a fair statement to which there is a fair answer that the re-election of Barack Obama should have already taught them.

It’s much easier to add cash to candidates who have the base behind them and sell them to uninformed voters than it is to sell well financed candidates to an informed base who has already rejected them.

How the party & the donors react to that truth will tell you if their priority is to win elections or feathering their nests and feed their egos.


Olimometer 2.52

The Mortgage is due today and I’m $795 short.

I was not in vegas so Sheldon Adelson is unlikely to be hitting DaTipJar to save the day.

Will you?


If 61 of you hit Subscribe at $20 a month subscribers this site will be able to cover its bills for a full year and things will be a lot more like Alito and Kagan around here than Kennedy & Roberts reliable..


I was checking the web this morning and noticed Karl Rove commenting on Chris Christie at the Hill:

“The reason the Democrats are doing this is because Gov. Christie is a strong potential candidate in 2016 and they’re going to try to smother every Republican presidential possibility they can,” Rove said on “Fox News Sunday.”

I seem to recall an awful lot of Rove type GOP members who looked at the attacks on people like Sarah Palin and Tea Party candidates by the left and the media as signs that those candidates were not ready for prime time, in fact they join into those attacks on some of those candidates.

But somehow Chris Christie is different, those same attacks PROVE Christie is a terrible threat for the left.I

I don’t doubt for one minute that Christie is a target for the left, but I suspect a lot of the attention on Christie is a great excuse to not talk about the economy, obamacare, Syria, IRS, Benghazi etc etc etc…

Every day that is not the news is a win for the left and I suspect that is a bigger driver than hurting Chris Christie.


Olimometer 2.52

It’s Monday and the quest for the #350 to pay the pay DaMagnificent Seven and the less than magnificent mortgage continues currently needing 12 tip jar hits at $25 to get it done this week.

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DaGuy low rez copy-psd

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For those of you who are still upset over Chris Christie with a 20+ point lead in NJ refusing to endorse Ken Cuccinelli who just barely lost in Virginia in Nov this is a:

Chris Christie Schadenfredue Alert

Unless I’m very much mistaken this is the first member of the GOP to publicly suggest Gov Christie resign from the lead of that GOP body.  The media should have some fun with that.

The Details:

Appearing on CNN, Cuccinelli said that Christie’s scandals may make it difficult for him to represent the GOP brand as he travels the country stumping for governors – and meeting high-profile donors that may help him in his potential presidential bid. Cuccinelli said Christie may “get some counsel” from other governors “along those lines.”

“I think just from the perspective of setting aside this as an issue in other races, it makes sense for him to step aside in that role,” Cuccinelli said, according to The Hill. “He does not serve the goals of that organization by staying as chairman. And that doesn’t mean any of the charges, political or
otherwise, are substantive or not, it doesn’t matter; perception is reality.”

Schadenfredue aside that last line from Cuccinelli is an important point. The truth is the for low information voters who elected and re-elected Barack Obama the only thing they will know or remember about Chris Christie come 2016 is the scandal because the media will push nothing else.

Now I should repeat that Christie has emphatically denied these charges and handled it exactly right and it’s kind of unfair that the only thing low info voters will remember is the media feeding frenzy.  But guess what…

Life isn’t fair!

…if it was it would come with a Ferris Wheel & a Merry Go round.

This concludes this morning’s

Chris Christie Schadenfredue Alert!

we now return you to your regularly scheduled blogging.

Update:  I said in the post the MSM would jump at this.  At 6:33 on Morning Joe the Politico segment (which is generally repeated at 8:33) led with it.  This means that this is the White House line.  I have therefore pushed this post that I had scheduled for 11 AM to 6:40 AM

I need five thousand sweaters this afternoon .  And by the way it’s time to reassess your property

Boston Mayor James Michael Curley


I must say the Chris Christie George Washington Bridge Scandal and been telling.  I’ve been amazing at what it’s revealed concerning the administration’s use of  raw political power against its foes.

Mind you it hasn’t told us much, so far, about NJ but its been critical in terms of what it’s told us about the Obama administration & the IRS.  Think of what we’ve discovered in the last 10 days during the “Bridgegate” scandal that the media has covered non-stop.

First just as the Christie Story got off the ground we discovered that the person the administration put in charge of investigating the IRS a longtime political donor:

The Justice Department selected an avowed political supporter of President Obama to lead the criminal probe into the IRS targeting of tea party groups,

Doug Powers had an excellent line:

Eric Holder’s Justice Department is ensuring their choice to lead the IRS probe won’t have any unfair pro-Tea Party bias:

Stacy McCain had a great tweet (for those old enough to remember Nixon)

But not to worry on my own show our friend in the Bob Beckel chair said we can’t conclude that a political donor or supporter would not be unbiased.

That being the case I’m sure Lynda Pagliughi the current acting chair of the GOP would be a perfect selection to investigate Bridgegate and get to the bottom of it.  I’m sure the media would agree.

The very next day we found out on just how busy the FBI has been since May of 2013. We discovered they were SO busy that they only got around to talking to targeted tea party groups last week.

The FBI finally has begun to contact some of the tea party groups targeted by the Internal Revenue Service for inappropriate scrutiny in the first public signs that the administration’s criminal investigation is progressing.

A lawyer representing some of the tea party groups that battled the IRS for tax-exempt status told The Washington Times that a “small number” of his clients were recently contacted, seven months after the investigation was supposed to have begun.

The progress was revealed a day after The Times reported that the Justice Department lawyer who is leading the investigation into the IRS, Barbara Kay Bosserman, has donated more than $6,000 to President Obama’s presidential campaigns — a move that, for many Republicans, has called into question the entire investigation.

Well I’m glad the FBI finally was able to clear time out of its busy schedule to make sure they started interviewing some of the people targeted after all.  The President & the AG both referred to the IRS scandal as an outrage so it’s good to see that it only took the FBI seven months to get around to talking to some of the victims, particularly with all the extra help they’ve had from the IRS:

John Koskinen, the new head of the IRS, said Monday he believes the agency is “on the home stretch” of completing the congressional investigations into possible political targeting of Tea Party groups.

In order to expedite the investigations, the IRS has enlisted a team of 150 full-time employees, many of whom are lawyers, working to produce more than 500,000 pages of documents requested by congressional oversight committees.

I’m sure the Christie People will be just has helpful in NJ.


The Next thing we discovered, right after the Chris Christie press conference, was how much the Christie Scandal highlighted the contrast between his actions and the president’s when it came to the IRS Rudy Guilani noticed it:

You know, Martha, that’s always kind of simplistic after some like this happens, you know, how could it happen, how could you not have known? How did President Obama not know about the IRS targeting right wing groups? You know, massive numbers of right wing groups…

Renice Priebus noticed it

He stood there for 111 minutes, in an open dialogue with the press. Now only if Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton would give us 111 seconds of that would we find out some things we want to find out about Obamacare, Benghazi, the I.R.S.. I mean Chris Christie’s– (Gregory Interrupts) –been (CHUCKLE) totally open here.

Rand Paul noticed it

Nobody wants the power of government to be used against somebody just cause you lost. A good example of this is the IRS scandal President Obama used the IRS or is alleged to have used the IRS to go after conservative groups and tea party groups…

The Wall Street Journal noticed it:

Which brings us to the Obama Administration, which quickly leaked to the media that the U.S. Attorney is investigating the lane closures as a criminal matter. Well, that sure was fast, and nice of Eric Holder’s Justice Department to show its typical discretion when investigating political opponents.

This is the same Administration that won’t tell Congress what resources it is devoting to the IRS probe, and appears to be slow-rolling it. It has also doubled down by expanding the political vetting of 501(c)(4) groups seeking tax-exempt status. Lois Lerner, who ran the IRS tax-exempt shop and took the Fifth before Congress, was allowed to “retire,” presumably with a pension. Acting IRS commissioner Steven Miller resigned under pressure but no other heads have rolled. Yet compared to using the IRS against political opponents during an election campaign, closing traffic lanes for four days is jaywalking. We raise this mostly because our media friends have been complicit in dismissing the IRS abuses, and for that matter every other legal abuse during the Obama years.

And even MSNBC host Mika Brzezinski noticed it too

And that’s when I noticed our friends on the left became very upset at the comparisons not because of stuff like the AF Branco cartoon on Legal Insurrection that we’ve already shown you


These were OK because even at the start of the tax season they were inside the conservative blog “bubble” so to speak.

What got people so upset was that message was getting out to the MSM via conservatives like Paul, Rudy and Reince right at Tax Time. It reached the point where even the MSNBC audience was hearing it daily via Joe Scarborough & Morning Joe.

And that’s when we found out the true meaning of coincidence.

Just as the Tax Season was starting and just as the comparison and the contrast of the IRS Scandal was being firmly established as background to the Chris Christie Scandal, lo and behold after only a few days of talking to witness we suddenly saw this out of the FBI:

While the case is still being investigated and could remain open for months, officials familiar with its progress said it is increasingly unlikely any criminal charges will result. That could change, the officials cautioned, if unexpected evidence is discovered that alters their thinking.

With this year’s midterm elections heating up, the FBI’s decision will feed both parties’ stories about why—or whether—the IRS scandal mattered. …

Now some people who know the time line might consider it quite amazing after IRS officials take the fifth,after investigators stonewall congress f, and after apparently only a week of starting to actually talk to witnesses the FBI finds itself able to say criminal charges were “increasingly unlikely”.


If we weren’t dealing with the most open and transparent administration in history one might conclude from the time line of events that while starting as a convenient cover for a news dump,  Bridgegate’s parallels to the IRS scandal and the unwanted attention it produced outside of conservative media necessitated a carefully worded leak saying it’s “unlikely” that criminal charges will come to give the media a handy talking point if GOP members continue to draw that parallel on camera to low information voters in an election year..

Some might say this isn’t the act of a transparent administration.  I disagree these are entirely the actions I expect from an administration so transparent that anyone can see right through them.

Update Cue Frank Drebin:


Olimometer 2.52

It’s Wednesday and January 2014 continues to be the worst month the Tip Jar has seen since I started using it toward the mortgage.

Yesterday the combined take from the since January 1st finally passed the goal for a single pay week.

As for this week, we are not even 22% of the way to a full paycheck on a Wednesday.  and we are on the pace for our third consecutive shortfall.

Hopefully a late surge will change that, but it can only change with your help because if we fail to meet the weekly goal

Olimometer 2.52

Then the monthly goal and the Mortgage becomes in doubt.

Now if we can get 57 1/4 more subscribers @ at $20 a month the bills the problem will be solved on a more permanent basis.

It won’t cover CPAC but it will do all the base bills and that’s what counts

Can you be one of them?

Last week I mentioned how the Chris Christie Bridge scandal was a golden opportunity for the GOP:

they should use every moment on the air to compare and contrast the media reaction to this Christie Scandal to the IRS scandal.

How horrible that in view of the ongoing IRS scandal where a government agency was used to go after conservatives that such a thing would happen.

They should wonder aloud if any of Chris Christie’s aides will plead the 5th under oath like the IRS people did.

They should talk about how Chris Christie should not stonewall or put up roadblocks as the Obama administration has continued to do with the IRS scandal.

And they should of course talk about the contrast between the media interest, saying perhaps Christie might use the Obama strategy on the IRS scandal, deny and stonewall in the hope that the media will ignore it over time.

They should POUND this there should be no answer that comes out of their lips that doesn’t use the words “IRS Scandal” and “Bridge Scandal” in the same sentence. Every article written on it by any conservative source should mention it, contrast it play on the difference in media interest between the pair.

And while I’m not a republican (people forget I left the party in a rather public way a year ago) it looks like some people who are republican have been paying attention:

Let’s start with Rudy Giuliani on This Week he starts the comparisons with the very first question from Martha Raddatz:

Giuliani: You know, Martha, that’s always kind of simplistic after some like this happens, you know, how could it happen, how could you not have known? How did President Obama not know about the IRS targeting right wing groups? You know, massive numbers of right wing groups…

Raddatz interrupts almost at once with saying…

 But this is traffic, this affects everybody. This seems very different.

Because the IRS certainly isn’t something that affects everybody but Rudy was just getting started

Giuliani: Well, that affects a lot of people. And the reality is, things go wrong in an administration. And frankly, you know, he was in campaign-mode at the time, during campaign-mode you miss a lot of things. You’re not paying as much attention. We see that with Benghazi.

I’ll give you plenty of examples. Every administration, every president, every mayor, every governor, something goes wrong below them and then the press ask, gosh, how do they not know? How did they not realize?

Note how Rudy leads with “every president” and keeps going back there all through the interview

Giuliani: But this is what happens in political operations. I mean, people get wrong messages. It happens all the time. It happened, again, I go back to the IRS scandal. The people in the IRS though President Obama wanted them to do this. President Obama didn’t want them to do this. But they got the sense because of that culture that they were supposed to target right wing groups. It was totally wrong.

I think it was totally wrong for these people to have interpreted Chris Christie this way.

But, look, he’s handled it the best way you can possibly handle it. He’s held a press conference, he’s flatly denied it.

There a reason why Morning Joe took a swing at him today and when GOP chairman Renice Priebus said this on Meet the Press:

He stood there for 111 minutes, in an open dialogue with the press. Now only if Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton would give us 111 seconds of that would we find out some things we want to find out about Obamacare, Benghazi, the I.R.S.. I mean Chris Christie’s– (Gregory Interrupts) –been (CHUCKLE) totally open here.

David Gregory went on full defense mode defending the president emphatically

Let me pick up on that point, Chairman. So you had said about the president and the I.R.S. scandal, and there’s been no direct tie, of course, to what happened to the I.R.S. to the president, just as there has not been a direct tie to Governor Christie here.

and then when Chairman Priebus he again made the contrast

No. He– no, he– no. The– here’s the– he trusted people that lied to him, and he fired those people. The president doubles down on Eric Holder. He doubles down on Hillary Clinton and Lois Lerner and Susan Rice. It’s the opposite–

Gregory interrupts,  asked a new question about tone and then kept interrupting as Priebus made his point.

 Because Chris Christie– here’s why. Because Chris Christie gave us almost two hours of open dialogue and open– (Gregory interrupts)  –examination with the press. Because you can judge a person. You can judge a person’s character. We had an opportunity to do that. And so that’s what Chris Christie offered, not only to the people of New Jersey, but the people across the country. The president never offered–  (Gregory interrupts) –that open dialogue so that people– (Gregory interrupts) –character– (Gregory interrupts) –of the president.

Given these performances that were seen by many viewers who didn’t get a lot of IRS coverage from these outlets it’s no wonder Meet the Press went to Iowa to see how much a traffic jam in NJ would effect their vote in 2 years and and the aptly named Crooks & Liars is defending Gregory, it sure beats having GOP pols making uncomfortable comparisons for people to hear. After all it’s personal

Even Rand Paul a Christie rival for 2016 gets it. He is interviewed and goes after Christie and is uninterrupted by his media until he gets over the target:

Sen Rand Paul: Nobody wants the power of government to be used against somebody just cause you lost. A good example of this is the IRS scandal President Obama used the IRS or is alleged to have used the IRS to go after conservative groups and tea party groups…

Interviewer: (Loudly) “And Progressives”

I don’t like autoplay in video but go to the AZcentral site and listen to the tone when the interview interrupts. God forbid any person who hears that interview understand that the IRS targeted conservatives and tea party members. There is a reason why every time I bring the subject in comparison I’m challenged by the left and also a reason why Tax Prof Blog’s update today on the IRS scandal day 249 is as Glenn Reynolds put it a big one.

I have absolutely no idea if Chris Christie had direct involvement in the bridge stuff, but I do know this.  The MSM is going to be pretty careful about who they bring on to talk about it.

I think the Left is scared of that connection, let’s keep them that way.

Update: This cartoon via A. F. Branco at Legal Insurrection nails the problem for the left.


They have to do something about those damned pictures.


Olimometer 2.52

It’s Monday, and we have so far moved the ball only $22 dollars toward a full paycheck.

While part of that is a new subscriber which moves us closer to our goals in a permanent way one new subscriber still doesn’t do the trick to permanently secure the mortgage and pay DaMagnificent Seven plus our new villager.

But lets focus on the positive with 13 tip jar hits of $25 we will get our first full paycheck of 2014.

Olimometer 2.52

Once we manage that then we’ll worry about catching up on the ground we’re behind.

That new subscriber means we’re now only 57 1/4 more subscribers @ at $20 a month the bills will be paid every week and the problem will be solved on a more permanent basis. It won’t cover CPAC but it will do all the base bills and that’s what counts

What do you say?

By Pastor George Kelly:

In 2008, the American people elected Senator Barack Obama as the first president of African-American ancestry.

Mr. Obama’s election win was a combination of different factors. The American people were upset with many different issues of the Bush II beleaguered Presidency. Wars in both Afghanistan and Iraq; the debacle known as “Hurricane Katrina”’; explosive growth in the National Debt ; a Wall Street financial meltdown – and a perceived culture of corruption that engulfed the Republican party that controlled both houses of Congress.

President Obama was handed the keys to the White House and he and his Democratic party were given overwhelming majorities in both the US Senate and House of Representatives. President Obama promised bold action on a number of domestic fronts that had allegedly been neglected during the previous 8 years when George W. Bush was the occupant of 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.

The new president took his mandate and proceeded to pass a Stimulus bill, Cash for Clunkers, and the Affordable Health Care Act (AHCA) Mr. Obama was also blessed with a national press corps that virtually fawned and cheered over his every political move. Life was a bed of roses for the newly installed President.

However, things began to happen that tore away at President Obama’s aura of invincibility. There were alleged scandals with selling guns to Mexican terrorists (Fast and Furious); the IRS abuses of targeting political opponents (conservative groups); the death of Ambassador Chris Stevens and several other Americans in Benghazi – while the Ambassador-to-the United Nations Dr. Susan Rice ostensibly went on the major Television Networks and said that an anti-Islamic video was responsible for the carnage in Benghazi.

Through these “alleged scandals,” the White House never fully took responsibility when their narratives collapsed – especially when it was shown that it was Al Qaeda and not an anti-Islamic video that led to the deaths of 4 Americans in Benghazi.

It appears that the Washington, D.C. National Press Corps appears to be curiously pliant behind the Administration’s lack of candor. With the exception of the bungled Web Site accompanying the launch of the Affordable Care Act that the press corps had not gone after President Obama with anywhere near the zest and zeal that they did when George W. Bush was in the White House.

This brings us to the current situation with Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey and the George Washington (GWB) bridge scandal.

It has been duly noted that officials within the Christie administration engaged in petty politics by exacting retribution on a Democratic mayor Mark Sokolich in Fort Lee for his failure to endorse Governor Christie in his bid for re-election. It seems that key members in Governor Christie’s inner circle arbitrarily closed down some of the key access lanes from Fort Lee to the George Washington Bridge.

For his part, Governor Christie categorically denies that he had any knowledge of these events. Governor Christie for his part has fired key aides and has accepted full responsibility for the actions of his subordinates.

The National Press Corps has descended upon Trenton, New Jersey as if it were Washington, D.C. – as they should. It is the prerogative of the fourth estate – the Press Corps – to be feisty and to get to the bottom of the story. If Governor Christie lied, then he deserves to be exposed. Over the last couple of days there has been a flurry of news stories on the GWB mess and “who knew what and when did they know it.”

Conversely, one can only ask why the National Press Corps has not shown the same level of curiosity in ferreting out the facts concerning the debacles of “Fast and Furious,” “Benghazi,” the “IRS targeting of conservative groups” – and the President’s broken promise of “if you like your Health Plan you can keep it.”


Olimometer 2.52

(DTG) Speaking of Ugly it’s Saturday there are only 17 hours left to this pay week and we remain $217 shy of making this week’s paycheck & payroll.

That’s ugly, but if you want to get real ugly if we combine last week’s tip jar with this one we STILL would not make this week paycheck & payroll.

That’s ugly squared.

But there is a way out of ugly. and if 9 of you can spare $25 to DaTipJar we will be back on track to make the mortgage and the payroll and start 2014 off on the right note.

Remember if we can get those 58 1/4 subscribers @ at $20 a month the bills will be paid every week. Help make sure this blog can fight without fear all year long.

Anyone who reads this blog knows that other than the Grandfather speech (which I STILL think should be memorized and repeated by every GOP candidate, particularly Tea Party ones everywhere) Chris Christie is not my guy for 2016 although of course the choice of him or Clinton et/al of the left supporting him would be very easy in 2016.

However I would be remiss if I didn’t point out the seemingly huge difference between the standards that Chris Christie is being held to vs Barack Obama.


Yesterday Chris Christie spent 107 minutes answering every possible question that every journalist who had a question wanted to ask to the point where .

Can anyone imagine Barack Obama doing this on Benghazi, or the IRS, or Fast & Furious?


Yesterday you actually had reporters complaining about the number of questions Chris Christie was answering it was noted both on the right

and on the left

Can you imagine the media complaining about too much access to Barack Obama?


Yesterday (and this morning) members of the press were going on about what this scandal says about the “atmosphere” in Trenton where aides thought such behavior was OK.

Nobody in the media thinks IRS, Benghazi or Fast & Furious say anything about the atmosphere at the white house.


People are (legitimately) asking if the principles in this case acted alone to wit:

Yet ask the same person if they think Lois Lerner acted alone and the response is….interesting.


Being Sicilian “You’ve got nothing has a particular meaning”

As I recall Capone was never convicted of bootlegging or murder.


In terms of coverage this WAS the news yesterday:

The Big Three networks, in a frenzy over New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie’s traffic headache dubbed “Bridgegate,” have devoted a whopping 34 minutes and 28 seconds of coverage to the affair in just the last 24 hours.

Meanwhile on the IRS scandal

As a comparison over the last six months, NBC featured a scant five seconds on updating the IRS story. CBS responded with a minute and 41 seconds. ABC produced a meager 22 seconds.

Although the media downplayed the IRS controversy from July through December (it first broke in May), it’s not as though there wasn’t much happening. As the Media Research Center documented, many potential story leads developed.

In December, House investigator Darrell Issa announced that the FBI and IRS chief counsel is stonewalling the investigation. In October, newly obtained e-mails showed that the scandal-plagued Lois Lerner, the woman at the center of the controversy, illegally gave Tea Party tax info to the FEC. That same month, it came out that an IRS official may have given confidential information to the White House.

I could go on and on but there is in fact one thing that both the Chris Christie Bridge Gate and the Obama IRS scandal have in common

Chris Christie is being investigated on bridgegate by a Democrat Donor:

Paul J. Fishman, the U.S. attorney tasked with looking into New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie’s bridge controversy, has donated to several Democratic politicians and organizations, according to Federal Election Commission records.

Barack Obama is being investigated by a Democrat donor too.

The Justice Department selected an avowed political supporter of President Obama to lead the criminal probe into the IRS targeting of tea party groups, according to top Republicans who said Wednesday that the move has ruined the entire investigation.

House Oversight and Government Reform Committee Chairman Darrell E. Issa, California Republican, and regulatory affairs subcommittee Chairman Jim Jordan, Ohio Republican, said they have discovered that the head of the investigation is Barbara Kay Bosserman, a trial lawyer in the Justice Department who donated more than $6,000 to Mr. Obama’s 2008 and 2012 campaigns, as well as several hundred dollars to the national Democratic Party.

Robert Stacy McCain put it well

Could you imagine the outcry if Christie appointed one of his own to dig into this?


And as the first the 24 hours of “Bridgegate” ends there is still a lot to learn. We don’t know how this is going to end, if it will destroy Chris Christie’s presidential ambitions, if there will be smoking guns found, we don’t know what will be proved as time goes on. There is however one thing that these 24 hours have proved beyond a shadow of a doubt.

It doesn’t matter if you are the most popular, reasonable or bi-partisan republican in the world, you are going to be treated differently and given more scrutiny than any democrat by the Media.

The Obama administration has known & understood this for years and acts accordingly.

I have no idea if Chris Christie knew this before yesterday, but if he didn’t know it before, he knows it now and should act accordingly

Update: The Lonely Conservative notices and Hotair says this:

Really? The DoJ doesn’t see any potential conflict of interest in assigning a checkbook partisan of that magnitude to an investigation into whether partisans in another executive-branch agency may have targeted political opponents of her preferred side? That’s absurd, but hardly surprising from a DoJ that investigated itself in Fast and Furious, and an administration that investigated itself in the NSA scandal, and issued itself clean bills of health in both cases.

How about with political appointees? That rule wouldn’t apply, no? Then why is a campaign donor to Democrats heading the Bridgegate investigation?

Given the pass this administration has been given I don’t see why they would act in any other way.

Update 2: via Newsbusters:

Can I get a Bazinga!


Olimometer 2.52

It’s Friday and we are a full $217 shy of making this week’s paycheck & payroll.

With last week’s shortfall 2014 is starting on a pretty sour note

The only person who can change this is you, please help us start the year strong by hitting DaTipJar below

Remember if we can get those 58 1/4 subscribers @ at $20 a month the bills will be paid every week. Help make sure this blog can fight without fear all year long.


Read more:

REMINDER: In 2009, Barack Obama “Joked” About Having The IRS Audit His Enemies.

Glenn Reynolds

As everyone knows I’m a tea party republican so one might think that I’d be delighted because Chris Christie is in hot water, well I am delighted but for a totally different reason.

This Morning MSNBC, and the rest of the left has gone all in on Chris Christie concerning the bridge scandal.  Memeorandum is full of stories:

 EMS responses delayed by GWB lane closures in Fort Lee

Christie’s Waterloo

I’ll have a lot to write about the meat and potatoes of this business later this later but I want to talk about the incredible opportunity this gives the GOP.

Right now the media is obsessed with this scandal, it’s everywhere and their arguments look like this:

How DARE Christie or his aides use the power of his office during an election campaign to punish a political foe.

How DARE Chris Christie or his aides use a state agency to make this happen.

How DARE Chris Christie or his aides take a cavalier attitude toward ordinary people’s lives.

If anyone thinks that Chris Christie & or his campaign didn’t know about this or didn’t support it with a wink & nod they are completely naive.

And all of these media types are just dying to have members of the GOP come on their shows to comment on this horrible GOP scandal and if the GOP is smart at all, they should jump at the chance.

And they should use every moment on the air to compare and contrast the media reaction to this Christie Scandal to the IRS scandal.

How horrible that in view of the ongoing IRS scandal where a government agency was used to go after conservatives that such a thing would happen.

They should wonder aloud if any of Chris Christie’s aides will plead the 5th under oath like the IRS people did.

They should talk about how Chris Christie should not stonewall or put up roadblocks as the Obama administration has continued to do with the IRS scandal.

And they should of course talk about the contrast between the media interest, saying perhaps Christie might use the Obama strategy on the IRS scandal, deny and stonewall in the hope that the media will ignore it over time.

They should POUND this there should be no answer that comes out of their lips that doesn’t use the words “IRS Scandal” and “Bridge Scandal” in the same sentence.  Every article written on it by any conservative source should mention it, contrast it play on the difference in media interest between the pair.

In fact if I’m Chris Christie I bring up the IRS scandal over and over again at my press conference saying stuff like:  ” I’m not going to delay or stonewall this investigation like the President & the IRS.”  and make it a point to constantly contrast the IRS scandal to this one.

Who knows if they press are in a spot where they can’t quote him without bringing up IRS they might even back off.

This is a gimme, a no brainer and the GOP needs to take full advantage of it and milk it for as much as they can.

No charge GOP, but Tip Jar hits will be cheerfully accepted.

Update:  via Glenn, James Taranto gets it:

Its sheer pettiness is what distinguishes the GWB scandal from the ObamaCare and IRS ones. The ObamaCare fraud was in the service of an ambitious ideological agenda, and as we have argued, the 2012 election was close enough that it is possible the IRS’s suppression of opposition was necessary to secure the president a second term. Christie, by contrast, is not much of an ideologue and was cruising to an easy re-election.

In the latter regard, the bridge shenanigans look more like the Watergate burglary–a gratuitous misuse of power. “Reporters will eventually demand to know . . . what Christie knew and when he knew it,” observes conservative blogger Sean Davis. “None of the defenses now available to Christie–intentional deceit or intentional ignorance–paint him in a favorable light.” That’s especially true if voters two years from now are looking for a corrective to the corruption and deception of the Obama years.

Update 2:  Can I get an AMEN for Erick Erickson & John Nolte:


Update 3: Christie Press conference in progress. Straight up apologies, no justifications for lying Bridget Anne Kelly fired. Would never have joked about this if he every had an inkling that anyone on the staff would be so stupid to be involved and so deceitful as to lie about it to us.

“I am responsible for what happened.”

Update 4:  Assuming he is not lying through his teeth this press conference is a textbook example of how something like this should be done.  Watching him taking questions on the issue.  The contrast to the last four years of Obama administration plus Al Gore’s “No controlling legal authority” and “It depends on what the meaning of the word “is”  is.” can’t be overstated.

Update 5:  90 minutes into press conference and MSM is getting upset

the ultimate irony?

If Christie hasn’t answer more questions on Bridgegate than Obama has on all his scandals combined it’s damn close at this point.

Olimometer 2.52

It’s Thursday and for the 2nd week in a row we start a Thursday at 30% of our weekly pay goal.

Since however reaching Thursday means over 58% of the week has passed that means we are once again in a hole.

When you think about it the hole isn’t deep at the start of a week a mere $50 a day avg will assure us of full coffers, but with only three days to go we need at least $80 a day for the next three days to make the goal with only a dollar to spare.

So While I’d be delighted to get the full $239 out of the way if we can get $140 we’ll be back on track for the week. Even a mere $80 today would be a third of the way home with three days left.

If you can help please consider hitting DaTipJar below..

Remember if we can get those 58 1/4 subscribers @ at $20 a month the bills will be paid every week. Help make sure this blog can fight without fear all year long.


Just after the Chris Christie speech I spoke to Sam Raja the chair of the NJ GOP

It is no surprise that the NJ state chair is going to be behind Chris Christie, it is also no surprise that NJ is doing better under Christie then it would be under a democrat

In my earlier post I spoke about the advantage of being not invited to CPAC. In terms of being re-elected in 2014 it’s the best thing to do.

This however doesn’t change the sheer idiocy of the argument of Christie’s strength in a national election and the argument of him as a national model as opposed to say Scott Walker.

A lot of people in the media have pointed out Governor Christie’s popularity in NJ as an example of the way the GOP should go and as a reason to nominate him in 2016

A Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday also indicates that nearly three-quarters of New Jersey registered voters, a record, approve of the job Christie’s doing as the Garden State’s governor, and more than seven in ten say he deserved to be re-elected to a second term this November.

Those are pretty good numbers, it suggests that Chris Christie is certainly on the right track to re-election. It means he has done what he needs to do.

Given that surely that means he would walk away with New Jersey in 2016 right?

Looking ahead to 2016, 49% of Garden State voters questioned in the poll said they would back Clinton in a possible presidential showdown, with 45% supporting Christie.

Say WHAT? You mean to tell me Christie has a 70+ approval rate in his state, has done great things and has been a spectacular ambassador for the GOP in New Jersey and he is not only losing to Clinton but can’t break 45%.

And that’s with the National Media treating him like Royalty, What do you thing is going to happen once they decide to turn on him if he chooses to run?

I’m sorry if he’s running more than 25% behind his popularity level in NJ a state where actual results can counter the Democrat attacks he has absolutely no shot in states where all they will know about him is what the MSM chooses to tell them?

It’s three years down the road and anything could happen but given the current facts, anyone how says Christie is the way to go simply isn’t paying attention.

Olimometer 2.52

The monthly Thermometer is just $59 away from the February goal with 12 hours to go. Three people with $20 each will meet that goal.

If you think this blog is worthy of your support. It’s just a push of a button away.

A congressmen first duty is to get re-elected

Sam Rayburn

It’s axiomatic that no matter how strong or solid your ideas are the first thing you have to do is get elected. Without the power of getting elected or getting somebody elected your good ideas mean absolutely nothing.

Once you’ve been elected your choices are to run on your record or run away from it. Conversely if you are running against somebody already in office seeking re-election, you can run on your opponent’s record (particularly if it stinks), or run on your ideas, the best choice being both.

Last time around Barack Obama, not being able to run on the worst record of a president in my lifetime instead attacking Mitt Romney. Conversely Romney apparently assumed that record would be enough to carry him over the finish line without fighting and managed to lose what should have been the most winnable election the GOP had before it since 1984.

And that Brings us to New Jersey and Chris Christie.

Back during the 2012 campaign before Hurricane Sandy hit Chris Christie was giving first-rate speeches like this:

The key quote:

35 years ago we didn’t have an income tax in NH no income tax like right here in NH, we had no income tax and Governor Brendon Byrne, a democrat said: If you just give me a small income tax, a little one, I will lower your property taxes, we had the highest property taxes in America back in 1977 so 35 years later, what have we got? We’ve STILL got the highest property taxes in America and the income tax that started at 2% under governor Byrne is now 9%”

And that brings us to CPAC 2013

The media has made a huge fuss about Chris Christie not being invited to CPAC. CPAC’s chairman put it this way:

“CPAC is like the all-star game for professional athletes; you get invited when you have had an outstanding year,” Cardenas said. “Hopefully he will have another all-star year in the future, at which time we will be happy to extend an invitation. This is a conservative conference, not a Republican Party event.”

Cardenas cited Christie’s decision to expand Medicaid under President Obama’s health care law and his support of a $60 billion aid package for Hurricane Sandy victims, which he argued was filled with wasteful spending.

You can argue if Christie had a good or bad year but it’s not going to matter what kind of year he ad unless he actually manages to win re-election.

Christie’s decision to take the medicare money was a huge surprise given his statements of just a few months ago listed above. By buying into this system he is putting a yoke on New Jersey that will be there long after he is gone, but in terms of re-election, the president is popular in NJ and the president won the state by almost 18 points.

MSNBC not withstanding Christie is smart enough to know that the left is not going to lay off of him or paint him as anything other than a right-wing extremist. I suspect he figures with the president winning the state by that wide a spread and Obamacare being the signature achievement of this president (and I use the word achievement VERY loosely)this move takes at least one target off of his chest.

And when it comes down to it, there is nothing CPAC could do better for his re-election efforts than keeping him away.

By staying away nothing he says there can be use to call him a “right-winger” in a +18 Obama state. It also precludes a nasty confrontation with conservatives that could hurt him among a base where he can’t spare a single vote.

Will it be enough? That depends on where NJ is come election day, but as Joe Scarborough correctly states he is going to certainly be better for New Jersey than anyone nominated by the Democrat party and he can’t do any of that good if he loses.

With election day coming Christie needed to highlight his credentials CPAC 2013’s move fit the bill so well and generated so much positive press from the media that will be turning on him soon enough you would almost think he asked them to do it.

And That’s how politics works

Update: I have absolutely no idea how my daily Day by Day Script replaced The Christie Speech above. None of my previews showed it.


While we managed thousands of visitors the quest for the weekly and monthly paycheck only managed to move $2. As it is $2 more than I had yesterday and twice the value of Newsweek I can’t complain but as it’s the end of he month we have two goals going on at once. First the Monthly goal

Olimometer 2.52

The monthly goal is based on my mortgage, My payment is $1200 monthly which I’ll be paying this afternoon at the bank. I’m a mere $59 away from this goal. That’s 3 people kicking in $20

Olimometer 2.52

The weekly goal continues today, tomorrow and Saturday. As you can see the weekly paycheck goal is doing rather poorly only $27 toward that weekly paycheck of $300 I’ll need 14 people to step up at $20 to reach that one by close of Business on Saturday.

You might ask Hey why monthly and weekly goals? Well the monthly goal assures me the mortgage gets paid. The weekly goal generates an extra month which I’m using to finance the CPAC event. It’s the one trip That I can afford under this system.

But it’s all academic without you.

In my earlier post I touched on Chris Christie’s motivations for his moves on Hurricane Sandy a few weeks ago but I didn’t touch on the argument made in Christopher Bedford’s  piece that Chris Christie is going nowhere in 2016.

I think he’s right.

Let’s note two examples from the recent past.

1. December 21st 2009 Martha Martha Martha

Martha Coakley has just won a 4 way Democrat Primary after pledging to not allow any abortion restriction in the Obamacare almost immediately has an epiphany

In a statement to the Globe yesterday, Coakley said that although she was disappointed that the Senate bill “gives states additional options regarding the funding mechanisms for women’s reproductive health services,’’ she would reluctantly support it because it would provide coverage for millions of uninsured people and reduce costs.

As Newsbusters reported at the time even the Globe called them on it

Coakley is such a self-serving hypocritical flip-flopper than not even the Boston Globe could spin this story to make her look good. In almost any other state, Coakley would have very little chance in the general election but, hey, this is Massachusetts we are talking about here. Democrat candidates for senator aren’t so much elected as automatically coronated.

Well a lot of Dem activists remember this and having little fear of the GOP decided not to get to work, but the perfect storm of Obama care and the appeal of Scott Brown turned the coronation into the first shot of the tea party revolution that eventually gave the GOP the House that they have retained ever since. But if Coakley hadn’t upset the base with a month to go before the election they might have energized their people to the point

2. May 24th 2011 Remember where you came from

Scott Brown rode the perfect storm to a senate seat in Massachusetts. The most important part of that was the army of volunteers from the tea party that who worked tirelessly to take him across the finish line in an election with no other race on the ballot by five points.

Once the democrats were forced to use the previously passed senate version of Obamacare to get the bill passed in the house. Senator Brown worried about his re-election prospects in a strongly blue state decided to take a different tack forgetting this golden rule:

No matter how many votes you give them, no matter many words you say or do. LIBERAL NGO’S AND THE MSM ARE NOT GOING TO SUPPORT YOU IN 2012.

Once you get this through your head, the rest is easy.

Of these lessons the 3rd is the most important for Senator Brown to learn, will he be wise enough to do so. That is the $64,000 question.

Unfortunately Senator Brown answered the question in spades on the Ryan Budget:

In addition to the first lesson that he hadn’t learned there were two new rules that he missed out on:

1. I don’t know what other people’s expectations but I expect my US Senator’s to use a standard other than “Does Newt Gingrich put his foot in his mouth” on what will be supported or not.

2. If anyone in the GOP thinks that the League of Liberal Women voters or any other liberal group is going to go less all out against Scott Brown they are deluding themselves. Brown could vote a straight Harry Reid line and Massachusetts liberals would spend tens of millions to destroy him.

and that’s the nice way of putting it. Legal Insurrection wasn’t nearly as kind:

I don’t blame you for voting against the Ryan bill; I don’t have litmus tests, and while I think the overall framework is the right direction, I can’t argue with the fact that people may have specific alternatives or amendments.

But you don’t have alternatives. In your op-ed you simply repeat the hackneyed and failed notions of waste, fraud and abuse, with tort reform thrown in. That will not cut it. That is a dodge.

You apparently have no solutions to what you admit to be an unsustainable course, but you took the opportunity to imply that Republicans will abandon seniors. You don’t come right out and say it, but you came pretty close.

A “no” vote wasn’t good enough, you had to do it in a way so as to damage fellow Republicans by playing into the false Democratic narrative. You are a hero for your op-ed, but not to the people who supported you.

Go down the list of those praising your op-ed, and you will see the same people who smeared you as a “birther”, who distributed rape mailers against you, who mocked you as a crazy extremist, who accused you of endorsing sexual violence against your opponent, and who will work to defeat you in 2012.

I can’t speak for all your supporters, and maybe not even for many of them. But I’m done defending you against the people who are cheering your op-ed.

So it’s time to say goodbye and good luck.

I will not work against you, but I also will not work for you. There are many more important battles to fight in 2012.

Just remember Morning Joe praised Scott Brown over and Over again but when the chips were down they were in Warren’s corner. Meanwhile on election day there was nobody to take my mother to vote for Scott Brown except me.

Scott Brown is a nice guy. He made time for voters and he was the spark that lit the republican revolution, but his willingness to toss aside the activists, the same mistake that Martha Coakley is a why a candidate as weak as Elizabeth Warren was able to beat him so convincingly.

And his sudden endorsement of the Assault Weapons Ban isn’t going to get the base dialing the phone for him either.

Part of that storm was the work of hundreds of dedicated conservative activists but without the hard work of tea party activists going all out in a state where they had never had any hope at all, Brown’s election would not have been possible.

And to the amazement of many I’m not even going to touch on Mitt Romney’s problems with conservatives.

No Chris Christie is no Mitt Romney, no Scott Brown and certainly no Martha Coakely. He is a strong, determined and dynamic person who will not make the mistake that Romney did in being shy about attacking so one should never say “never” but you must have the foot soldiers to fight and he can’t win without them.

The real question is this: Is Chris Christie’s Ego so large that he thinks the MSM will still love him when he is the GOP standard-bearer? If he’s foolish enough to buy that he doesn’t have any business running for any higher office

I do not approve, I understand

Spock, Star Trek A Taste of Armageddon 1967

One of the shows of my youth I still have a soft spot for is Daniel Boone staring Fess Parker.

Although wildly A-Historical in some places and with no respect for timelines (back to back episodes take place as far as 30 years  apart with no cast aging) it is a good wholesome show that is not only entertaining but promotes solid messages without sacrificing drama or realism.

The second season closed with a two part “origin” story The High Cumberland that partially re-wrote the 1st season pilot (removing Albert Salmi’s character who departed after season 1) and explain how Boone met his wife Rebecca (played by Patrica Blair one of the least appreciated beauties in television history). They were later re-edited into a feature film shown in Europe.

The plot revolves around Boone’s attempt to get his supply wagons through to the newly founded fort at Boonesborough before winter. After many false starts and harrowing adventures Daniel and his wagons (including indentured servant Rebecca Brian) are approached by a pair of men from the settlement of Ninety Six. Their own wagons had not arrived and they offer a considerable amount of money for Mr. Boone’s supplies. Despite their entreaties and their description of the situation for the settlers at ninety six Boone politely refuses each time.

As the men leave the outspoken Rebecca challenges Daniel on his refusal citing the dire conditions at Ninety Six. He replies that those people are not his responsibility, the setters at Boonesborough are. They put their trust in him and their welfare is his responsibility above all else.

Rebecca continues saying those people at Ninety Six are going to have a hard winter and he replies: Then let the people who are responsible for them take care of their own. His responsibility is to the lives entrusted to his care.

Which brings us to Chris Christie and Chris Bedford’s excellent piece on his chances in 2016 at the Daily Caller.

I’ll be talking about it in more detail later but for now I’d like to focus on a particular bit in the piece:

As the Wall Street Journal’s editorial board pointed out, the bill contained “$150 million for Alaskan fisheries; $2 million for roof repair at the Smithsonian in Washington; and about $17 billion for liberal activists under the guise of ‘community development’ funds and so-called social service grants,” among a slew of other waste.

“Far from being must-pass legislation,” the NYC-based Journal continued, “this is a disgrace to the memory of the victims and could taint legitimate efforts to deal with future disasters.”

Yet Christie described those who stopped those who tried to stop this wasteful spending hidden in this bill as having “failed that most basic test of public service.” and is demanding millions of dollars more for his battered state.


The answer is very simple. Chris Christie sees in the job he is in. Governor of NJ. He knows the rules of Washington, he knows the fiscal situation and has not been shy about speaking to it time and time again.

But all of that doesn’t matter, his responsibility are the people of New Jersey and the people still recovering from Sandy. That’s why, in my opinion what drove him the week before the election and what still drives him now.

You may think it’s not a valid excuse (that’s a fair debate) you might think he’s playing with other people’s money (you’re right) you might think it’s about his re-election (well DUH!)

To the people who still aren’t settled who have for some reason decided that the President has absolutely no responsibility for a natural disaster affecting multiple states he like Boone from the TV show is the person responsible for getting them back again.

And if Christie believes this as well then it’s not going to matter what anybody says, he’s going to just charge forward on the Sandy stuff and all the blogs and comments in the world won’t move him one the world won’t matter.

Today’s subscription commentary for Subscribers and Tip Jar hitters talks about Hall of Fame Pitcher Rube Waddell and how the same tactics opposing players used to defeat him are being used by the left and the media today.

The full commentary is available to subscribers and hitters of DaTipJar is here, if you would like to see it hit DaTipJar below

and I’ll send you the code as soon as I see the confirmation e-mail. If you don’t want to worry about ever missing a single video choose any subscription level

and I will e-mail you the codes every week as soon as the videos are uploaded and the posts are ready.

Today I have a column at Examiner on the Ovide Lamontagne event in Atkinson NH (Sunday I’ll talk about the great pizza place there as well) and I talk about what Chris Christie said:

Governor Christie gave a rousing 18 minute speech that gave a message well-tailored to New Hampshire

If you let a liberal politician in the door and give them permission to give you a new tax, they only know one direction for that tax to go and that’s up

He game a specific example from his home state:

“35 years ago we didn’t have an income tax in NJ no income tax like right here in NH, we had no income tax and Governor Brendon Byrne, a democrat said: If you just give me a small income tax, a little one, I will lower your property taxes, we had the highest property taxes in America back in 1977 so 35 years later, what have we got? We’ve STILL got the highest property taxes in America and the income tax that started at 2% under governor Byrne is now 9%”

By all means click on the story as I’m paid by the click, but even better that the article is this except of the Christie speech I’ve already posted.

As a rule I don’t excerpt my videos and the full speech is awesome but this closing section is one of the best arguments I’ve ever heard vs liberalism. If it was played in every single household of parents with children or grandparents they would never elect another tax & spend liberal again.

“God damn you, don’t cheer me. Fight!”

General Phil Sheridan

Yesterday while he was campaigning in NY for GOP candidate Ovide Lamontagne I asked NJ Governor Chris Christie  about the poll skews and media dishonesty.  His answer was pure Christie:

“I don’t think you win races by complaining about and whining about the media you bring your message out and then you know what to do.”

This is a very important point, While it is important for us in the New Media to call out the MSM and the dishonest CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac poll the worst thing the Romney campaign can do is go off message.

As the Washington times put it months ago:

If voters decide the 2012 election based on Obama’s economic record, he will lose. And so the liberal media, as in love with him as ever, is helping him parade shiny objects to distract voters from that record.

and this is what these polls are all about, the goal is to take Romney off the current game that has him according to this same CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac poll AHEAD with independents in both Ohio & Florida (they didn’t provide figures for Pennsylvania).

If Romney is taking 90%+ from GOP voters and wins independents in these states he wins, PERIOD. Whatever he is doing seems to be having that effect. This means he needs to keep doing what he is doing and MORE of it, the Examiner again from the same editorial:

If he wishes to be president, Romney must not take the bait.

This doesn’t worry me Mitt Romney’s strengths, he is a “realville” numbers guy, one glance at these internals and he will under stand it and is unlikely to take the bait and change course from a message that is winning among independents.

The MSM will do it’s best to try to make him do otherwise and some of the pseudo “professional” GOP talking heads the network hires will agree but Mitt Romney knows what he is doing and that is this

“Ride right through them, they’re demoralized as hell”!

and let me tell you Mitt Romney knows about horses.

I scooted up to Atkinson NH to cover Ovide Lamontage & Chris Christie doing an event together in the small town of Atkinson NH at the Freshwater Far

I arrived an hour and scoped out the area

Sign wavers were already in evidence:

I spoke to several people here before the event couples


and Young Republicans

I also talked to don who runs a the Valley Patriot:

the area were they were assembled was aside of the store:

and the view from the “stage”

I sat myself on the ground in front of the makeshift stage and waited,

before I did I counted just over 200 people but they continued to come

When things were ready it started with a local state senator:

Followed by Steve Merrill the former governor

Ovide Lamontagne spoke and the crowd was very receptive. It was a smart move, although as the candidate he understood he wasn’t the primary attraction

I remember the Bill Clinton event I covered during the first Brown race Martha Coakley foolishly came after Clinton and like that day Chris Christie gave one of the most memorable speeches I’ve heard

I thought Gov Christie’s speech was the single best speech I’ve heard in the entire election season to this point

When all was done I asked Mr. Lamontagne about the event, he was understandably happy

While Chris Christie answered my question in a way that fit in perfectly with his “ride right through them” persona.

While I have some issues with Christie, one can’t help but like his direct ways. If people think he will not be a contender in the future they have another think coming

The entire gallery follows:

I’ve been very careful not to play that game (also not to sue anybody or to file any criminal complaint), leaving them with nothing else to do except recycle old smears. And my “much higher income”? Yeah, armagnac and decolletage!

What I am paid to do is cover the news. These distractions from Rauhauser aren’t going to stop me from earning my pay, and so I’m off to Ohio to cover the Romney-Ryan bus tour,

Robert Stacy McCain The Best Revenge Ohio Bound 9-24-12

A few days ago I got a call from Robert Stacy McCain asking me if I could join drive down to his undisclosed location (that he offered to disclose) pick him up and head for Ohio.

My situation did not allow it, so Stacy was able (with some effort apparently) to change Ali Akbar’s mind to join him for yet another trip to cover the Mitt Romney Bus Trip in Ohio.

Stacy has photos here and a piece in the Spectator here but this really isn’t so much about this particular trip nor the idea of Stacy & Ali on the road.

It’s about stuff like this:

NC Chairman Reince Priebus just held an impromptu press gaggle and said, “We’re going to outspend the DNC 10-to-1 for the next six weeks.” Asked about polls showing Romney-Ryan trailing in Ohio, Priebus said “we’re within a field goal and we’re going to crush [the Democrats] on the ground.”

I’m watching Morning Joe right now and I haven’t seen a word about this declaration by the chairman of the GOP. I don’t pretend to have been doing this long or having been trained in this business (BS CSC minor US History) but the blunt statement that: “We’re going to outspend the DNC 10-1 for six weeks” from the GOP chairman is what we call “News!”

Now the new Mitt Romney ad “No we can’t” is devastating

but although I can give informed opinion on it, ANYONE can see it and give opinion on it.

But today Chris Christie the Governor of NJ is going to be in NH trying to help Ovide Lamontagne put the corner office of a swing state back in the hands of the GOP and I intend to cover it.

It won’t be as long a drive as Ohio and I’ll still have a chance to drop my youngest off for his classes but there will be first hand photos and video from the scene.

This is the real strength of the new media, granted Stacy McCain is a Hybrid as a longtime reporter who uses new media as to some degree am I since I’ve had 50,000 watts of radio power to back me up but consider. This message that Mr. Priebus will be out to tens of thousands of people who will share it will tens of thousands more regardless of what the MSM tells you.

While Morning Joe insists Scott Brown is “desperate” William Jacobson informs you of Elizabeth Warren “missing” law license.

While the MSM doesn’t look toward NH (where the Democrat candidate for governor Maggie Hassan is careful to avoid the words “Barack Obama” & “Democrat” in her ads). I and other blogs such as Granite Grok will cover it.

This is what the new media does, this is what it is. If you go to a political event, shoot video and ask questions you are doing what media was designed to do and with the Internet, facebook, twitter et/al if you cover something significant or even small, you have the chance to fill the void that the MSM leaves when it doesn’t suit their agendas.

There is no substitute for being there. Be there make the difference and watch the MSM howl!

I don’t usually do this but I predict Gov Mitt Romney will select Gov Tim Pawlenty as his VP on the GOP ticket.

Here is why it will not be Paul Ryan

The only chance Obama has is a base election. He needs to depress an energized GOP base and energize the Democrat base, Paul Ryan would do so, thus he is off the table.

This is also why you won’t see an Allen West, or a Bachmann, or a Palin or etc etc etc. Any strong conservative that the base likes and the left hates will not be the pick.

(BTW: In the long-term Ryan is more valuable in the congress selling a Romney budget/tax plan)

Here is why it will not be Chris Christie:

Christie has served only two yeas as governor. This brings the same experience issue as Obama. While he has performed well, it takes away an easy attack on Obama. Plus while Christie’s plain talk is appealing it would also energize the left, although not as much as the other choices above, and his clashes with the NRA and the right could be problematic.

Here is why it will not be Rob Portman:

Portman’s connection with the Bush administration gives the president the ability to link Romney to president Bush additionally his political operation will be more effective to turn out the vote if he is still in the Gov Mansion
where he will have the levers of power to use as a tool of persuasion.

Also Ohio is not going to be as close as some think.

Here is why it will NOT be Bobby Jindel

On first glance Jindel might seem the obvious choice, an excellent combination of a guy the right likes who doesn’t energize the left. He is also incredibly competent.

But what he brings to the table doesn’t change that Jindal didn’t endorse Romney till April after Santorum pulled out of the race. If he had endorsed him before the March Primary it might have been different but that is the type of thing that the Romney Campaign, which values loyalty, won’t forget.

Additionally the south and Louisiana is not in question for Romney, I don’t think Jindal brings a lot of extra votes (unless there is a large block of Indian-Americans in key swing states that I’m not aware of would would be excited by the first Indian American in the white house.)

Here is why it will NOT be Kelly Ayotte

Kelly Ayotte at first glance would be a perfect pick for many reasons: An early endorser of Mitt Romney, from a small swing state, Endorsed by Sarah Palin so liked by the right, and as anyone who has talked to her can tell you, a smart dynamic woman who has a huge future ahead of her in the party. So why would she not be picked? A few reasons.

1. Her experience is not executive experience.

2. She has served in the Senate around the same amount of time that Barack Obama did before he ran.

3. She comes from the same region as Romney (NH vs Mass)

4. The MSM will “Palinize” her in an attempt to destroy her.

This last point is rather sad and will not affect her in NH in terms of re-election but she has a very strong future before her. Once that first term is done it will be much harder to hit her in this fashion. I think if she has ambitions for higher office I think finishing that first term would be the best long-term move for her.

BTW for all the reasons above except for #3 It will not be Rubio

BTW Keep an eye on Kelly Ayotte, if she is not on the ticket this time (and there is an outside chance she will be) you can bet your bottom dollar she will be in my lifetime. This woman has a spectacular future ahead of her.

And here is why it WILL be Tim Pawlenty

Tim Pawlenty has been a governor he has the executive experience that supplements Romney

He comes from Minnesota and can draw votes from the region.

When he pulled out he endorsed Romney early and has been a loyal, effective surrogate for him.

He does not energize the left to any degree.

and here is the clincher.

Mitt Romney has plenty of opposition research on Tim Pawlenty from his own campaign. Romney knows Pawlenty and knows what the left has on him because he had it first.

For all of these reasons: I predict Mitt Romney will be selecting Tim Pawlenty as his VP pick.


The DaTechGuy fundraiser continues. Mitt Romney had a record fundraising month I’m just $100 million or so behind him but if I can manage to get to that $7500 level I can pick up that used 15-year-old Mercury and have wheels again.

For details click here for the progress check the thermometer to the right and to kick in hit DaTipJar”.

And this is the clin

I know I’ve been promising this for a while but here it finally is. All my videos from the Morning Joe town hall:

here is Charles before the event:

Continue reading “The videos from the Morning Joe town hall Manchester NH”

One of the themes we have seen pushed by the MSM in general and Morning Joe in particular has been the candidacy of Jon Huntsman. All day on Morning Joe they highlighted polls that suggested a surge for Jon Huntsman.

As I have discovered from first hand experience, if the election was based on one’s offspring, Gov Huntsman would be right up there as his daughters that I met are a credit to him as women of character and poise.

And there are reasons why Jon Huntsman should do better, Huntsman has made it a point to do a lot of media with the MSM (he didn’t neglect talk radio row here either) and Governor Chris Christie made it a point to hit him (with a shot I thought was uncalled for) suggesting that Mitt Romeny’s team felt the need to throw an elbow his way.

Polls are a source of data but independent of them there is a simple measure to see how a candidate is doing, the media.

As all the various polls are available to all the media, naturally all the media would be aware of the situation and act accordingly. So lets look at the two events:

When Governor Huntsman arrived at the Pub he greeted various voters.

He was popular with the crowd and many of the democrats there expressed an interest in his candidacy. I was sitting near a family of 4 who declared themselves Huntsmen fans.

When the interview was done he worked the room, and seemed well received by the Morning Joe squad.

In the final 45 minutes of the show Rick Santorum arrived.

A panel was prepared to meet him

This was may initial take

And I managed to score a question as he left.

Looking at the two interviews both were substantive with Senator Santorum’s perhaps slightly more difficult but looking at the appearances as a whole there were two critical differences that stood out.

One favored Huntsman, the crowd was clearly more favorable to him, both by their reaction and by my speaking with them. There is no question that in a two man race consisting of this room, Huntsman had it won. Considering their partisan mix of the room that was no surprise

There is an even more pronounced partisan split in the media, but even with said split there was quite a difference in coverage. While Rick Santorum arrival’s was preceded by a bunch of additional press and pressed by that same media when he left Jon Huntsman’s comings and goings were unimpeded by flocks of extra media.

Now maybe it’s just me but if Jon Huntsman was surging to the point where he might possibility pass Ron Paul, let alone Rick Santorum, wouldn’t you expect at least one media outlet to dispatch a crew to be there to cover him? Wouldn’t they want to be the guys with the shows that everyone else missed?

I would think they would, but they didn’t.

Polls are a useful tool, but when you want to judge the reality of a proposition, always watch behavior first.

Although I had picked Huntsman to finish 3rd and Santorum 4th I’ve made a bet with Michael Graham last night. If Santorum finishes 3rd, he owes me a dinner at the Border. If he doesn’t I how him dinner at Ken’s steak house.

One never knows for sure but I’m feeling pretty good about that bet after seeing the press difference today.

Update: Here is exactly what I’m talking about from PJ media:

THIRD HUNTSMAN SUPPORTER: He can’t…appeal to the evangelicals and that’s like a significant voter bloc. Because he’s not like a Bible-thumping Christian, you know.

SECOND HUNTSMAN SUPPORTER: I get some Democrats who ask me, you know, why isn’t Huntsman a Democrat?

THIRD HUNTSMAN SUPPORTER: Yeah, like he practically is, almost.

The prosecution rests.

Rick Santorum at Rivier college

Today thanks to a combination of a lack of previous sleep and my youngest missing his bus I got up too late to be at the Radison for Morning Joe.

So after dropping off my son and calling in an update for WCRN Morning Show I made a brief stop at the Ray Krok Memorial News Center of Milford to confirm the location of the Rick Santorum event that Stacy informed me of.

It was at Rivier college and I arrived shortly before the candidate:

And talked to Captain Ed of Hotair

The candidate showed up shortly afterward and I filmed the scrum as it came in:

After the Event Paul Clark gave some background, apparently this was going to be an indoor event but was movied outside due to crowd size, but that actually made the crowd look smaller than it was.

He took quite a few questions, I’ll be including them in a follow up post with questions and statements from this and the Paul event. I was pleasantly surprised at the substance of the questions asked. Apparently the students at this college are actual Catholics.

as I left I noticed the Paul people had already left doubtless heading for the red barn in Hollis. I started heading there and when I arrived the candidate was already there and the place packed.

The Ron Paul crowd at the Red Barn

Stacy said the invitation only event grew to the point where it was full but not as full as when Santorum held his event, but in fairness that was not invitation only.

There was plenty of press at both spots including Dave Weigel at Hollis

Weigel at work in Hollis

My laptop had run out of power in Nashua so I was plugged in but Dave was tweeting away etc using his verizon wireless access point. He’s also a really fast typist.

Paul’s handlers asked for questions from voters only rather than press. The more I hear Paul the more I’ve come to respect him. He makes an excellent economic case. If he had more of an ear for the danger of radical Islam I think he could actually win the nomination.

But it took Stacy McCain to notice what others did not:

Ron Paul has won many converts in New Hampshire with his libertarian-influenced anti-war message, but a flyer circulated by the Texas congressman’s campaign here emphasizes Paul’s Christian faith, pro-life position and opposition to same-sex marriage.

“I believe marriage is between one man and one woman,” the flyer quotes Paul as saying, expressing his support for the 1996 Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA) that would “ensure that no state would be forced to recognize a ‘same sex’ marriage license issued in another state.” The flyer also reminds voters that Paul “was an original co-sponsor of the Marriage Protection Act, HR 3313, that removes challenges to [DOMA] from federal courts’ jurisdiction.”

Now Paul’s Christian beliefs are well know (his family cookbook is not only full of tasty recipes but of biblical quotes) but many of the young libertarians may not notice these social positions.

Either way Paul and Santorum are having an effect and that is going to be felt tomorrow, but apparently one person that Romney should fear is Jon Huntsman as he yesterday drew a direct attack from Gov Chris Christie at the Morning Joe event:

Chris Christie at the Morning Joe event

I was rather shocked that he called Huntsman “Disloyal” to Obama for planning to run for president. He made a point that it takes time to do so but I think the media pushed him more than anything else.

I include the full photo gallery below and the q & a stuff will be in a different post.

Robert Stacy McCain (whose opinion I have absolutely no interest in) reports on a one two punch that must be bringing joy to the MSM and the left.

#1 Rumors that Perry allies are planning a scorched-earth smear campaign against Herman Cain.

Remember you heard that rumor here first and, when the hit-piece on Cain comes out, remember that Perry’s supporters are behind it.

After the Washington Post story (weak gruel that it is) the last thing Rick Perry needs is a scorched earth campaign against the black republican in the race. It would be much smarter to wait for Romney to hit Cain.

Unlike others Perry due to the influence of Texas can count on nearly unlimited funds. Even those who don’t think he can win still will want to do business in Texas and will want to have some favors in the pot, so he has the option of sitting back and watching Mitt sweat and force him to act first.

If instead Perry panics it is much more likely that he will pay dearly. Cain has been a front line fighter and it is unlikely that conservatives will abandon him.

Perry has more time than he thinks, how wisely he uses it will say a lot about his ability to withstand what would come from the MSM if he wins.

#2 Meanwhile, Matt Lewis hears that Chris Christie’s supporters have been told to gather in Trenton for a Thursday announcement, which would match Steve Forbes saying a Christie announcement is expected within 72 hours. (Both via AOSHQ Headlines.)

It may in fact be that Christie is going to announce his choice not to run but he wouldn’t need his supporters all there for that.

I’ve already given Christie the best advice he is going to get but let me point out a few more things in case he is paying attention:

1. Every Attack you make against Social conservatives (and you will be asked those questions as soon as you announce) will be recycled against whoever wins the GOP nomination. Social conservatives in Jersey won’t forget.

2. The establishment money is already behind Romney and unlike Rick Perry you don’t have a friendly oil state to solicit the additional funds needed.

3. the same media that is calling for you to run will rip you to pieces if they think you can win and beat Obama.

4. A lot of the remaining “undecideds” and activists are Palin people who are waiting for someone else. The likelihood they would go for you in this field is tiny and lets face it, no matter how much she may praise you and bat her eyelashes at you, if you are on the ballot against Obama you will NOT get Mika Brzezinski’s vote

Finally let me say it one more time:

Mitt Romney must be thanking his lucky stars but, in my opinion luck has nothing to do with it.

Update: Dan Riehl has some good advice for Perry:

Or, he could have taken another route entirely, not that I would profess to advise Perry, or anyone running, really. But, yes, he could have pulled up those cowboy boots we’re all told he wears. He could have gone on TV and looked the camera right in the eye and said, this is the same old despicable garbage over a meaningless rock I probably couldn’t tell you much of anything about, other than that I think it was painted over some long time ago. So, what’s the point?

The country’s economy is going to hell in a hand-basket. We have an out of touch, non-experienced executive in the White House who doesn’t have the slightest damned clue how to get us out of it and it’s getting so bad, people are so confused, or utterly clueless, they are taking to the streets, be it at a Tea Party, or in an “occupation” because they don’t know which way to turn.

And I’m not here to talk about some silly gotdamned rock no one gives a damned about. I’m here to talk about what is right and what is wrong with America as things stand and what in hell I intend to do about it when I first sit down in the White House as an executive, something I have proven myself as over a long period of time. Now, what, exactly, is it, you want me on here to talk about? Because if it’s just more nonsense, than I have better places to be and things to accomplish, thank you very much, sir or ma’am!

Romney meanwhile has this to say:

“I’ve followed it from afar,” Romney said. “I think it’s offensive. I think most people think it’s offensive.”

Herman Cain will be on the view today, no word if he has Sherri Shepherd imprimatur to say what he wants

Mel Brooks better be careful.

Update 2: Christie announcement at 1 p.m. today. Indications are he heard Admiral Akbar’s warning. If true Morning Joe and Mitt Romney hardest hit.

Update 3: “New Jersey. whether you like it or not You’re stuck with me.”

Another way to look at the “Should Chris Christie run or not” question is to examine how prepared he would be to come in late as compared to another late comer such as say Sarah Palin, consider:

1. Sarah Palin has a large amount of chits from the last election cycle (2010) that she can call in from multiple congressional election campaigns, many more than Chris Christie.

2. Sarah Palin has been regularly hitting the Obama administration since 2009, Chris Christie has not.

3. Christie has taken MSM hits in NJ but has not been vetted anywhere near the level of Palin

and most importantly

4. Sarah Palin has a network of followers, (one could say fanatical followers) not only urging her to run but ready to work like dogs for her. Christie has insiders pushing him, insiders are not sign holders.

Chris Christie is less prepared to run than Sarah Palin, and unlike Palin would not be running an “insurgent” campaign. f he runs he is going to embarrass himself, badly.

After months of telling everyone that he is not running for president, there are now hints that Chris Christie might jump into the race.

After months of hedging, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie is giving serious thought to jumping into the ring for a GOP presidential run — and could make his decision next week, The Post has learned.

The announcement may come as soon as Monday, said sources familiar with Christie’s thinking.

The renewed consideration about a White House run came after prodding this week from some Republicans he idolizes, including former First Lady Nancy Reagan, former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, and former President George W. Bush, sources said.

Now don’t get me wrong, Chris Christie is a great guy with a future in the Republican Party but he is being played for a sucker by hired guns who want him in for their own reasons.

So why all this push? The answer comes from the old Latin phrase: Cui Bono? Let me provide some answers to that question:

A: the GOP Establishment/Mitt Romney

1. It neutralizes the Herman Cain boomlet (in the same way the Perry run neutralized the Bachmann one) The last thing the establishment wants is a tea party candidate advancing. This sucks away the media and the money that Cain might be raising from the large donors who tend to want to back a winner. Every day Christie is on the front page Cain, a tea party guy is not.

2. It helps cement Romney because Christie as stated can’t compete with the network Romney has built up. Romney’s base of support is solid. The idea is to keep the “not Romney” vote split as I said way back in March:

Right now if you look at the people running or “exploring” running you see quite a few strongly conservative folks. Herman Cain, Michelle Bachmann, Newt, perhaps Huckabee, Haley Barbour and of course possibly Palin. All are popular with tea party people, evangelicals and social conservatives. For Mitt Romney to win the nomination that strongly conservative tea party vote needs to be divided.

3. If Christie comes in then the attacks by other candidates will be diverted to Christie in order to neutralize him. Every attack on Christie is an attack that isn’t made on Mitt Romney

Beneficiary B: The left/MSM:

1. The same shots of Obama saying he is not ready will be recycled against Chris Christie and unlike the president the MSM will delight in playing them. It takes away that argument because you made it against yourself.

2. As a media driven candidate the MSM power to define Chris Christie is much greater than the way they defined Rick Perry once he was in. And believe me they will define Chris Christie in a way he will not like.

3. When you are a rising star you don’t want to be saddled with a defeat early. Christie is likely to lose to Romney and if he does, he becomes associated with a loss and a defeat, thus he is made weaker in the future both in NJ and nationally. That is the whole idea here.

4. It allows them to continue to neutralize the Tea Party candidates that they fear most of all.

5. It feeds the: “conservatives don’t like the field” meme, a meme that is media created and frankly false.

Anecdotal impressions support what the pollsters say. I have been in Iowa, South Carolina, and Florida in recent weeks and talked with a lot of voters. While a few are unhappy with their choices — there are always some voters who feel that way — there just does not seem to be much overall dissatisfaction with the field. Voters realize there is no perfect candidate in the race — that might be an understatement this time around — but that doesn’t mean they believe there is some perfect candidate out there over the horizon, waiting to enter the race.

State-level polling also does not suggest that dissatisfaction is widespread among Republican voters. A recent Suffolk University poll of New Hampshire voters found that 68 percent say they are very satisfied or somewhat satisfied with the field, while 30 percent say they are very dissatisfied or somewhat dissatisfied. Breaking down those numbers, 16 percent say they are very satisfied and 52 percent say they are somewhat satisfied with the field. Among dissatisfied voters, 19 percent say they are somewhat dissatisfied, while 11 percent say they are very dissatisfied. Rasmussen says that 11 percent — the number of people who are most intensely unhappy — is a very, very small number.

6. It gets Christie out of Jersey and gives the unions/left breathing room to reverse you and neutralize the changes he is making in the state that could flip it long term.

All running when you aren’t ready does is fund some hired guns and cut your own throat.

They are trying to feed your ego for their own ends. Don’t fall for it.

Update: Cleaned up some tense issues

Update 2:
Salon proves my point:

The national dynamic could be similar in 2012, with Barack Obama as vulnerable across the country as Christie was in New Jersey. Not to beat a dead horse, but think again of Christie’s q&a at the Reagan Library; no imagine him doing that at a town hall debate with Obama. It’s a prospect that should worry Democrats.

Of course, this all could be an illusion. Christie might just announce in a day or two that he’s thought it over and really doesn’t want to run, and that will be that. For their own sakes, Perry, Romney and even Obama should probably hope that’s what happens.

and look who’s pushing the article:

After all we know how much Joan Walsh and Salon are dying to see the GOP pick the right man for 2012

if this doesn’t awaken the Admiral Akbar in Christie nothing will

This Chris Christie clip is all over the web:

Monday morning after crashing on the couch I woke up really early and expected to see Willie Geist on Way Too Early certain that it would be featured since Gov Christie is held in high esteem on Morning Joe.

Nope no sign, well it’s only a 30 min show so Morning Joe would surely have a clip from it?


Now lets give them the benefit of the doubt and assume they had a lot to play with, but this is prime Willie Geist stuff and would lead right into another interview with the Gov.

I’ll watch tomorrow if I’m up. If they leave it out again, then I’m wondering is MSNBC worried about building up Christie? After all he may not be running in 2012 but 2016 is not that far away and every time he opens his mouth he improves the republican brand.

The best news I’ve heard all day come from New Jersey

The Cherry Hill Courier Post newspaper says a Planned Parenthood facility located on Haddonfield Road and operated by Planned Parenthood of Southern New Jersey will close down.

Why is planned parenthood closing down on Haddonfield Road, because the public teat is now dry:

PP-SNJ stands to lose as much as $160,000 in taxpayer funds because of Christie’s decision and the upholding of his veto.

And what veto would that be? This one:

Part of Gov. Chris Christie’s belt-tightening plan for New Jersey was the termination of $7.5 million in public funding for Planned Parenthood clinics in the state,

You mean in a time of budget cuts we might not have the funds to pay for abortion? Awwwww.