Well we gave everyone a week or two to rest on it and now we come to the nitty Gritty the final round of the GOP poison poll.
In the penultimate round Senator Marco Rubio, Senator Rick Santorum & Gov George Pataki all managed to get themselves removed from the vote with between 1% – 3% of the poison vote. This leaves five candidate left and a single vote for each person who will choose the one candidate that is so horrible that you would stay home and let Hillary or Bernie Sanders into the White House.
I’m going to let this poll run till the very end of the month to give everyone plenty of time to think about it.
Michael Corleone:Tom, wait a minute. I’m talking about a cop that’s mixed up in drugs. I’m talking about a – a – a dishonest cop – a crooked cop who got mixed up in the rackets and got what was coming to him. That’s a terrific story. And we have newspaper people on the payroll, don’t we, Tom? [Tom nods] And they might like a story like that.
I’ve written about Donald Trump’s relationship with the media. I’ve talked about how this controversy helps him, why the media is delighted to play it up and why Trump’s ability to do this to the GOP is the GOP establishment’s own fault.
that the media and the left haven’t figured out yet concerning Donald Trump’s rant connecting Illegal aliens is that if he chooses to press the issue it’s going to be the MSM and the left that are going to lose the fight for two reasons.
First because of his status as a media icon.
Consider the MSM gatekeepers decide which stories become national news. It is the media that decided Trayvon Martin death was a national story that deserved national reflection. It was also the media that decided that the murder of Jessie Dirkhising a 13 year old boy who was bound, drugged, gagged and brutally sodomized by a pair of gay men was not newsworthy enough to be covered nationally.
It was the media who decided that the violent multi hour long rapes and murders of Christopher Newsom and Channon Christian by a group of five black carjackers was not worth headlines, but the death of Michael Brown after he robbed & assaulted a storeowner was worth wall to wall coverage.
But Donald Trump IS news so when the MSM decided that the murder Kathryn Steine wasn’t newsworthy he had other plans: MADE it so
In 2013 with a population of 316 Million people you had 1.163 MILLION violent crimes every year. That works out to 367 violent crimes per 100K people, murders/non negligent manslaughters (4.5 per 100K) rapes (Which apparently has two statistical definitions for the FBI) at between 79-108k (25.2 or 34.4 per 100K) aggravated assaults at 724K (229 per 100k).
So let’s apply those rates per 100,000 to the 10-30 million illegal aliens here and give them the presumption that they commit these crimes at the same rate as the national avg. That comes, over the course of a year, to between 37,600 – 112,800 violent crimes annually including between 450 to 1350 murders, 2520 to 10,320 rapes & 22,910 to 68,730 aggravated assaults.
That means that if Donald Trump wants to he can find between 1-3 Murders 6-28 rapes and 188 aggravated assaults EVERY SINGLE DAY to give national attention to.
“But DaTechGuy”, you say, “The MSM wasn’t reporting on those stories in the first place. Where is Trump going to get these stories without the stories?”
I see what you mean, after all you’d need to hire a staff of 100 or so to monitor the local news markets in all 50 states to find these stories. Even at $10 an hour you’re talking $168,000 a week 4.3 Million bucks to do it from today till the end of the year.
And what candidate can dedicate that kind of money for such a project? You’d have to be some kind of guy with money to burn or something…oh wait.
What do you think would happen if Trump started such a project, documenting violent crimes involving illegal immigrants and every single time he spoke before a crowd brought up a new name who had murdered or raped since the previous day?
Now the media could rightly point to the statistics, they’d bring on experts to argue that given the number of people in the country this not an epidemic of crime.
Unfortunately for the media they have so conditioned the public that they “serve” that the kind of argument that would be effective doesn’t draw eyeballs. In contrast even with a public willing to hear it the picture of a young woman robbed of the rest of her life, an old retired person who will never be seen by his grandchildren or a youth cut down by gang violence will “Trump” that every time.
In other words if he chooses to Donald Trump can use the same tactics the media used to create the illusion of an epidemic of blacks killed by police to make his point over and over again until the populace in general believe that they are in danger.
And once the low info voter decides they are in danger and that the MSM deliberately has been keeping that danger from them, their entire ability to spin them becomes threatened.
And what will the MSM do then?
Update:Powerline informs us that my willingness to attribute the same crime rate to illegal immigrants was short sighted:
Data on convictions for federal offenses are available at the U.S. Sentencing Commission’sweb site. Senate committee staff have analyzed those data, and found that “38 percent of federal convictions in FY 2013 were of illegal immigrants, and nearly 43 percent were legal or illegal immigrants.” That is more than ten times the number that would be expected if illegal immigrants were, on the average, as law-abiding as the rest of us. This is a more detailed breakdown:
Illegal immigrant convictions in FY13 represented:
* 18 percent of drug trafficking convictions * 25 percent of kidnapping/hostage taking convictions * 56 percent of drug possession convictions * 15 percent of money laundering convictions * 20 percent of national security convictions * 7 percent of murder convictions
So illegals are overrepresented with regard to these crimes by anywhere from two to 17 times.
I suspect Trump is going to ride this for a very long time.
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The upcoming 2016 Presidential Election Cycle appears to be in full swing even earlier than normal. Polling has begun, we are already seeing stories about who can and can’t win. One side is yelling about how some folks aren’t true conservatives, the other side seems concerned that the person whose turn it is might not get their chance. One side needs to realize that repeating the same word over and over just gets annoying and the other needs to understand that this isn’t the playground, it is the Presidency of the United States, there are no turns here.
Both sides have a wild card, and reason for concern, which is fantastic in my opinion.
Before we get to those wild cards I need to make a point. Politicians concerned about someone else in the race need to keep that thought to themselves. The American people who have chosen to identify as Republicans or Democrats get to decide who their candidate will be. That is how it works. A few people inside the beltway do not get to make that choice for all registered voters.
So, let’s start on the right side of the political spectrum. I hear some yelling and screaming about Donald Trump. “He isn’t a true conservative,” is usually where the yelling starts. “Trump is only looking out for Trump,” comes in there sooner or later. I think with all the lost business Trump is experiencing as a result of his decision to run this isn’t about Trump looking out for Trump. He isn’t trying to increase his name recognition, he is already one of the most recognized names in the country. I think he feels he is doing the right thing. That being said there are a host of policy areas he and I would argue about, but that’s what makes America great, we are encouraged to have that argument.
The interesting thing about Trump, and this is why he is polling well, isn’t his name, it isn’t his wealth, it isn’t even his former television show. The interesting thing is that, for better or worse, the man will give you no doubt as to where he stands today. He may change his position from time to time but his current state of thinking will become known. He will never answer a yes or no question with anything other than a yes or no, and he always answers the question that was asked, without pivoting to something else. That kind of behavior resonates with non-political junkies. The true junkies will dig into policy areas to try to figure out what someone meant by a speech but Trump, you don’t have to do that. I also wish he would spend less time telling us how strong his business is. I don’t care, nor does anyone else.
The remainder of the Republican field is another story. When they talk you get poll tested, politically correct, professionally speech written language designed not to make anyone mad. Trump doesn’t care if you disagree with him, the rest of the field does. Therefore they use some language prepared to soften the blow about where it is they actually stand. That is typically how the game is played, but Trump isn’t typical. Love him or hate him, he is who he is. If he excites people with his positions, he’ll do well, inside the beltway people can moan and groan, but they don’t get to decide who the President is. It is we the people who get to decide that.
On the left side of the political spectrum we have Bernie Sanders. What is going on here is that I see all these stories about how Hillary Clinton and her campaign are concerned about him and his campaign. Then I see some stories written by folks on the right about how he is a socialist. Well, yeah, his positions are socialist, essentially. But, at least we know what his positions are. He, like Trump, speaks his mind which is, as I said above, something voters respect.
I see these stories about former Secretary of State, Senator, and First Lady Hillary Clinton not talking to the press and how the press has decided “she’s the one,” because they won’t ask her a tough question.
Well a couple of things.
Yes, I agree Secretary, Senator, First Lady Clinton should come out and let us know where the heck she stands on certain positions today, as it seems to be a sliding target. The trouble is with her I’m not sure anyone would believe what she says at this point. I think that is one of the two reasons the media would prefer to ask her about her favorite flavor of ice cream. They are more likely to get the truth and they know it.
The other possibility is that Hillary hasn’t been quiet for 30 years. As a result we know the answer we will get on virtually any subject known to mankind. That answer is simple. It is whatever will get the most donations, or what 51% or more of likely voters think. The Clintons are easy to figure out, and you know what you get, so why ask her to talk about much?
With that rant over I want to say I will be watching closely what this campaign season brings us. My sincere hope is that all candidates on both sides realize that the reason Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders are polling so well is that we have no doubt where THEY stand. Stand on your positions but be sure they are yours, not your largest donors. Be true to yourself and the voters will at least respect you. We may not agree, but you will be respected. That respect is what could very well be what drives someone across the finish line as the victor.
Michael Corleone:Your enemies always get strong on what you leave behind.
Godfather III 1990
The third of three parts (plus an epilogue) series on Donald Trump and the MSM part 1 Donald Donald Donald is here part 2 The Big Lie: is here. And today we are talking about the author of what is going on here.
The National GOP.
The GOP establishment (or as Ted Cruz calls them the “Washington Cartel”) has long ducked dodged and hidden when it comes to illegal immigration. When election time comes around the tough talk comes on display but as soon as the election is past the chamber of commerce’s desire for cheap labor that will not ask a lot of questions nor make the demands of the American born and the funds they contribute come into play.
The support of big money supporters is an important card but there is a second card in play.
As we have already established the media, particularly the Spanish media has been pushing the big lie that the GOP base dislikes illegal immigration because they dislike the Spanish. It has been the reason immigration issue forward for many years trying to make it a wedge issue to use against Republicans & Conservatives (apparently the failure of a Democrat supermajority to bother with the issue from 2008-2010 had no bearing) . At every opportunity the various arms of the media and culture paint conservatives in general and Republicans in particular as racists.
Now the GOP could fight back, they could directly confront the media that hates and spins the GOP, but there is one thing that holds them back.
It would mean the slings and arrows of the press to defend a base that many republican dislike.
They dislike a base that demands fiscal restraint when they would prefer the funds to grant favors to fatcat supporters who would repay them with high paying jobs when their time in congress is done. They dislike a base whose devotion to Christianity & opposition to abortion causes them embarrassment in elite DC. They dislike a base that gives scrutiny to bills that they would like quietly passed.
But most of all they resent a base that acts as if they, the people are in charge, that doesn’t submit to their betters.
Why fight for people you don’t like when it’s so much easier to go along?
So now we have Donald Trump speaking up when the party is silent and we’re treated to the spectacle of the same media that demonize Mitt Romney seeking him out to lead the attack with the rest of the GOP anxious to follow with only Ted Cruz is smart enough to call out the media for the game it’s trying to play. The game that is never played on Democrats when a Carlos Henriquez comes along.
For the record I think the party, as I’ve already written, has reason to distrust Trump, but not as much reason as the GOP voter has to distrust the party, now if the party had been willing to give some deference to the people who elected them, they would find them grateful. If the GOP had been willing to lead on the immigration issue, to stand with their base, to make the case without having to be dragged screaming and kicking, then the base might have backed them up when they needed it.
Instead they kicked their base in the teeth, and THEN they wonder why a man like Trump is able to make hay with them.
Bobby Jindal once famously called the GOP the stupid party, by running away from their base and enabling both Trump and the MSM, they are doing their best to prove him right.
The only saving grace of all of this is the trap that threatens the MSM, a trap that involves basic math, but that’s not so much part of the story but the epilogue.
Tom Hagen: Now we have the unions, we have the gambling; and they’re the best things to have. But narcotics is a thing of the future. And if we don’t get a piece of that action, we risk everything we have. I mean not now, but, ah, ten years from now.
Yesterday in part 1 I talked about how the media frenzy over Donald Trump statements are exactly what he wants and of great advantage to his campaign. Today we’ll talk about why the MSM is even happier about the results of Trump’s remarks than he is.
One of the highest priorities of Democrats and media (but I repeat myself) is to try to create a permanent break between Americans of South American ancestry and the GOP. They sabotaged the nomination of Miguel Estrada’s in fear of George Bush nominating the first ever hispanic to the Supreme Court. When Ted Cruz became a national name the left and the media (again I repeat myself) did all they could to define him as anything but Latino.
That’s been the goal and if the English language MSM has been bad spanish language MSM like Univision has been even worse as Daniel Garza noted:
Garza referred to a 2012 report by the Pew Hispanic Center in which 32 percent of all Latinos polled said their political views were either “conservative” or “very conservative,” with an additional 31 percent self-identifying as moderates. Only 30 percent reported their political views as liberal. And around one in five Hispanics said they wanted a smaller government that offered fewer services. But if you judged Latinos by watching Univision and Telemundo alone, “you’d think that conservative ideology in the Hispanic movement is nonexistent,” Garza said. “Mainstream [Hispanics] really are conservative-independent, so it’s not like they’re outliers. But you wouldn’t know that from watching Spanish news. . . . That expression of the conservative point of view has to be representative, and the policy sentiments of the conservative Hispanics has to be expressed, because it’s millions of people.”
In the couple of decades I’ve spent pitching stories I’ve been rejected thousands of times but I’ve never been rejected in writing. What this points to is a culture within Entravision that is so hyper-partisan that the communications efforts of one of the two major US political parties was rejected out of hand AND the staffer felt so comfortable doing so that they felt obligated to email Ms. Pardo about what they had done.
And it’s the immigration issue that they play their card on heaviest (never mind that from 2008-10 Obama had veto proof majorities & passed on it) as Univision puts it
“It’s true that immigration is not the most important issue for Latinos,” Ramos said. “However, immigration is the most important symbolic issue for Latinos. Immigration defines who is with us and who is against us. Immigration is something personal.”
Oh it’s a “symbolic” issue? I wonder what it symbolizes? The rule of law? The idea that if you are from Mexico or South America you should be treated the same as if you can from Europe or Africa? Nope what it symbolizes is the Democrat/Media big lie they’re trying to sell to American Latinos:
The only reason republicans want to deport illegal immigrants is because they hate Latinos
And along comes Donald Trump.
Does he critique the gangs and the drugs like flakka that have come to US cities?
Does he critique the high crime rates that come with them and the democrat controlled areas where they flourish
Does he cite the high rape statistics among women who come illegally who make that trip and frame it as a safety issue for women?
Nope he leads with a blanket statement about Mexicans who come here with a caveat saying that “some” are good people.
The MSM couldn’t have asked for anything better, they don’t have to cover the president and his failures, they don’t have to cover any of the GOP candidates words concerning anything other topic but Trump and his 12% 2nd place showing. Obamacare? ISIS? Russia? Who cares? We can go all in concerning Trump and if I’m Hispanic media I look at Trumps 2nd place and say to their audience in Spanish: What did I tell you, all these gringos see when they look at you is a crook, a drug dealer or a rapist.
It doesn’t matter if in follow-up interviews he specifies illegal immigration, talks gangs, produces stats, none of it matters. The media will simply play the base quote and then whatever snippet from any follow-up interview that supports the base quote.
What would the MSM have paid any other GOP candidate to make a remark like this?
Two things first let me remind you of something I said when he announced:
What is to stop Donald Trump from playing stalking horse for the Democrats…What if he acts like a soundbyte machine for the Democrat party?…What is to stop Donald Trump if denied the GOP nomination, if denied the speaking spot he wants at the convention, if he develops a grudge against the eventual GOP nominee or if he wants to just feed his ego, from going the Ross Perot route running as a 3rd party candidate and dividing the vote to give Hillary the White House?
Every single day that this goes on confirms these fears.
But let me point out one important thing. If you want to fix the blame for this fiasco don’t blame Trump whose tactics are working for him, nor the MSM Spanish or English who are both acting according to plan.
The people who deserve the blame? Why the GOP establishment of course, but that’s another post.
Jan Brady: All I hear all day long in school is how great Marsha did this or how wonderful Marsha did that. Marsha Marsha Marsha!
The Brady Bunch
I’m taking another look at what Donald Trump said during his announcement speech that have caused such a fuss and the incredible feeding frenzy that has come from it
The U.S. has become a dumping ground for everybody else’s problems.
Thank you. It’s true, and these are the best and the finest. When Mexico sends its people, they’re not sending their best. They’re not sending you. They’re not sending you. They’re sending people that have lots of problems, and they’re bringing those problems with us. They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists. And some, I assume, are good people.
Looking at this statement and the reaction I can’t help but think that’ this feeding frenzy is exactly what both the media and the Donald want it to be.
When you have a 16 person field the thing you need above all others is attention and Attention is something Mr. Trump was looking for long before his sudden dive into electoral politics.
Every single day that Trump is in the headlines other presidential candidates are not. Every day that Donald Trump words are the headline then the only thing the media will care about when it comes to the rest of the GOP fields is “what do they think about Trump?”.
In terms of press & attention that instantly gives them also-ran status. There are only so many broadcast hours in the day, and if the only thing that is getting covered is Trump this & Trump that then unless you already had big name recognition (Like say Jeb Bush) then you’re pretty much out of business when it comes to press attention. Consider this interview on CNN:
The media and their culture are, with good reason firmly established as the enemy in the minds of conservative voters. Every single day that it’s Media culture vs Trump, is a day trump wins. Consider this on Fox interview:
He now has the excuse to bring up his backup documents on camera and BOOM 2nd place. This tweet sums it up
The link goes to a post on the Kathryn Steinle murder that I’ve already written about. If these stories, which have been ignored for years, by the MSM start breaking through because of Trump it could become a game changer.
But as much as Donald Trump loves the results of his statement the media loves it even more but that’s the next post.
“This senseless and totally preventable act of violence committed by an illegal immigrant is yet another example of why we must secure our border immediately,” Trump said in the wake of news reports that Francisco Sanchez, the man accused of murdering 32-year-old Kathryn Steinle on a pier in San Francisco, is a career criminal who had previously been deported to Mexico five times.
Later, he tweeted: “Where are the other candidates now that this tragic murder has taken place b/c of our unsafe border,” adding: “We need a wall.”
This morning when I woke up and found that CNN & the rest of the media is still all in on Donald Trump, they featured a hispanic former pageant contestant to hit Trump over his comments concerning illegal immigration.
I’ll be touching on those comments in a later post but while the media has been delighting in going after Mr. Trump words as “insulting” but while I was busy driving home from the Catholic Radio Symposium in Charlotte NC Donald Douglas at American Power was covering the story of Kathryn Steinle
The family of a San Francisco woman who was killed in a seemingly random act of violence is mourning her loss as police continue to search for a motive.
On Thursday, police announced that Texas resident Francisco Sanchez was arrested in connection with the shooting death of 32-year-old Kathryn Steinle, known to friends and family as Kate. The 45-year-old has been formally charged with her murder.
The arrest was facilitated by witness with cell phones technology
Investigators quickly emailed other officers some cell photos taken by witnesses of the suspect. Police found Sanchez about an hour after the shooting, hiding in front of a restaurant on the corner of Embarcadero and Townsend.
Police say Sanchez is on probation in Texas. ABC7 News sources tell us he’s been deported to Mexico several times and that his rap sheet includes aggravated assault.
In the meantime, the victim’s family is in shock. The victim’s brother, Brad Steinle, says his sister loved to make people laugh and smile that he’ll miss everything about her Now granted I don’t claim to know more than the people at CNN New Day or any of the other members of the MSM who have gone all in on Donald Trump’s remarks but given a murder of a 32 year old woman by a person with a history of aggravated assault who has been deported multiple times might just be more newsworthy than another D list hispanic celeb hitting Donald Trump. But I guarantee you that as far as CNN & the rest of the MSM is concerned the Kathryn Steinle has no news value, it doesn’t fit the meme they wish to advance. I’ll give the last word to Stacy McCain
Update: In the time it took me to write this post the Top of the hour came up and while CNN’s new day found the comments of yet another hispanic celb worth top of the hour coverage apparently they find less value in the life and death of Kathryn Steinle.
Aside from the fact Trump was accurate, if uncomfortably so? As detailed here in this space just last week, not to mention in Ann Coulter’s new book Adios, America Now? Now Univision – which – hello? – has a contract with Trump – has abruptly broken their contract in a fit of pique.
Prompted, according to Trump, by the Mexican government itself. Not satisfied with just doing that, one Alberto Ciruana, Univision’s President of Programming and Content at Univision, cleverly (??) took to Instagram to post a dual wanted-poster-style photo that features Trump paired with the accused Charleston racist murderer Dylann Roof captioned: “No comment.”
The inevitable backlash arrived and Ciruana had to apologize, saying: “I’m Mexican who was very upset by Mr Trump’s recent comments about Mexican immigrants, but I should not have re-posted the photo.” Ya think? Trump replied. His response will be to sue.
Question. Is Univision trying to elect Donald Trump President of the United States?
Answer? Yes, apparently.
However that statement, in fact the entire piece has one flaw. It works under an assumption implies that Univision does NOT want Donald Trump to be the GOP nominee.
But DaTechGuy, you say, why on EARTH would they want a GOP nominee who has so much money that he could , if he wished, single handedly outspend Hillary Clinton and furthermore has the potential to attract the totally disinterested into the electoral process?
For God’s sake why wouldn’t they?
You have a man who will chase social conservatives away, a man who has spent no little time over the years lionizing Hillary Clinton a man that people who do opposition research for a living dream about every night before they go to bed. You have a man who is the living embodiment of everything the left has tried to paint the right as when it comes to attitude toward lations. He’ s a one man “get out the vote” campaign for the Democrats.
Trump is the anti-LeBron — popularity is performance in politics, and Trump is the first candidate in modern presidential primary history to begin the campaign with a majority of his own party disliking him. A whopping 57 percent of Republicans have an unfavorable view of Trump, according to an average of the three most recent polls. That beats former record holder Pat Buchanan, who had a 43 percent unfavorable rating at this point in the 2000 election cycle.1 Buchanan, of course, ended up running as an independent.
And seriously can you picture the judicial picks of a Donald Trump?
I think Trump is the only candidate in the field more likely to lose to Hillary Clinton than Jeb Bush, I think the longer Trump stays in the race the more candidates who could win will be forced out and if the GOP pisses him off enough he goes Ross Perot on them an Hillary wins 400 electoral votes with 40% of the popular vote
That’s why Univision is willing to play chump for Trump, their eyes are on the prize and that prize is Hillary 2016
Gregory: Is there any point to which you would wish to draw my attention?
Sherlock Holmes: To the curious incident of the dog in the night-time.
Gregory: The dog did nothing in the night-time.
Sherlock Holmes: That was the curious incident
Sir Arthur Conan Doyle Sliverblaze
Yesterday I talked about why the Donald Trump Speech was a success and why the GOP should take him seriously. Today I’m going to tell you why you GOP voter might want to be a little cautious about the entry of Mr. Trump in the race.
Nobody would be tougher on ISIS than Donald Trump. Nobody.
I will find — within our military, I will find the General Patton or I will find General MacArthur, I will find the right guy. I will find the guy that’s going to take that military and make it really work. Nobody, nobody will be pushing us around.
against illegal immigration
I would build a great wall, and nobody builds walls better than me, believe me, and I’ll build them very inexpensively, I will build a great, great wall on our southern border. And I will have Mexico pay for that wall.
we’re very close — that’s the point of no return. $24 trillion. We will be there soon. That’s when we become Greece. That’s when we become a country that’s unsalvageable. And we’re gonna be there very soon. We’re gonna be there very soon.
on the saudi’s
But look at that border with Saudi Arabia. Do you really think that these people are interested in Yemen? Saudi Arabia without us is gone. They;re gone.
When was the last time anybody saw us beating, let’s say, China in a trade deal? They kill us. I beat China all the time. All the time.
We have a disaster called the big lie: Obamacare. Obamacare.
Yesterday, it came out that costs are going for people up 29, 39, 49, and even 55 percent, and deductibles are through the roof. You have to be hit by a tractor, literally, a tractor, to use it, because the deductibles are so high, it’s virtually useless. It’s virtually useless. It is a disaster.
and if you don’t like Obama he was all over him
I will immediately terminate President Obama’s illegal executive order on immigration, immediately.
Furthermore if you are a conservative and don’t like Jeb Bush (and based on my Poison poll a lot of conservatives don’t this line might appeal to you:
But in all of the words that he spoke during those 55 minutes and all the critiques he gave of how America is run and how it should be run there was a word missing: Can’t see it, I’ll blow that section up for you. In over 6500 words in 50+ minutes, he didn’t have a single thing to say about Hillary Clinton, Zip Zero Nada. Don’t you think that if you’re running for the GOP nomination you might in 50 minutes find time to hit the democrat front-runner? Unless of course you’ve given thousands to her campaigns in the past….
And if you are hoping to be the man to bring the fight to Hillary in the fall you might at least bring up some of her scandals, for example the use of the Clinton Foundation money, unless of course you’ve given big money to it in the past….
Donald Trump: the guy who voted for Obama in ’08 and gave over $100K to Clinton Foundation. Yeah, he’s our guy.
This is a glaring omission for a person running for the GOP nomination and it rings alarm bells all over the place in my mind.
I find myself asking these questions:
What is to stop Donald Trump from playing stalking horse for the Democrats, hitting GOP candidates particularly on social issues all over the campaign trail and in every interview he gets. What if he acts like a soundbyte machine for the Democrat party?
What is to stop Donald Trump, who happily supported Barack Obama in 2008 from spending his entire time on the GOP debate stage not extolling his own virtues, but hitting the rest of the GOP candidates while leaving Hillary Clinton alone? What’s to stop him from doing the work that a Candy Crowley will no longer be allowed by the GOP to do?
What is to stop Donald Trump if denied the GOP nomination, if denied the speaking spot he wants at the convention, if he develops a grudge against the eventual GOP nominee or if he wants to just feed his ego, from going the Ross Perot route running as a 3rd party candidate and dividing the vote to give Hillary the White House?
All of these things are a real danger and party in general and whoever wins the nomination in particular (presuming it’s not Trump, he does in fact have a shot) will have to do enough to keep Donald on board without caving into his ego.
That’s going to take a lot of skill and a lot of Brains on the part of the GOP and their nominee.
My goal for 2015 is Twenty Two grand which will give me a nominal living doing this.
That gets all the bills paid. (including my writers like Fausta) If I can get to Forty Thousand I can afford to travel outside of New England and/or hire me a blogger to help me get it done.
Consider Subscribing 100 Subscribers at $20 a month will get the job done.
Earlier today I spoke about how the MSM has hit Donald Trump after he announced the official beginning of his run for president today. A great example is Allahpundit:
One: Consultants have convinced him that voters are split so many ways among so many candidates this time that he could shock the world by winning an early state with, say, 15 percent of the vote based on name recognition alone. That’s unlikely — his unfavorable rating among Republicans stands at 57 percent, easily the worst for any presidential candidate from either party in 35 years — but futility won’t stop consultants from telling a guy with nine billion dollars what he wants to hear.
I suspect that many people in the media and even more of the people already running agree with that tweet but I submit an suggest that to make that assumption is a mistake. Consider the following.
1. Donald Trump has sufficient personal assets to outspend every single presidential candidate on both sides.
2. Donald Trump because of his funds has the ability to hire enough people to make sure he is on EVERY primary ballot before the convention.
3. Donald Trump has sufficient funds to make a lot of trouble for any state level or even federal level candidate who speaks out against him.
And there is one other factor consider this:
Bernie Sanders 66k twitter followers
Scott Walker 141k twitter followers
Jeb Bush 204K twitter followers
Rick Santorum 232k twitter followers
Rick Perry 293K twitter followers
Ben Carson 356k twitter followers
Mike Huckabee 368k twitter followers
Carly Fiorina 371k twitter followers
Ted Cruz 416k twitter followers
Rand Paul 630k twitter followers
Marco Rubio 747k twitter followers
and now consider Donald Trump
2.9 MILLION. He has more people following him on twitter than all the candidates above combined except Rubio & Paul and easily has more than double of the two of them combined. In fact there is only one person in the race that has more followers than him….
And she is considered the person to beat.
“But DaTechGuy”, you might ask, “in the words of the afore mentioned Hillary Clinton: ‘What difference does it make?'” After all just because he is a celebrity doesn’t mean people will turn out to vote for him.
My answer is it makes a ton of difference.
1. It means his campaign can get an unfiltered message out to nearly 3 million people instantly, without worrying about what the media will say. In one tweet his words will reach almost as many people as CNN, MSNBC & Fox draw in primetime COMBINED.
2. It means that he is reaching a lot of people who will not normally vote in a GOP primary if he can draw or persuade even a fraction of those people to the polls it will change a lot.
3. As you might have noted from his base speech Trump is not shy about hitting the other people in the GOP race, what do you think will happen if he spends months defining various GOP candidates to millions of people at once?
4. Even if he tweets out something that is complete BS more people will read it than the number of people that will read any person disputing it
Take a look a the trending topics by city today (via trend topics). Donald Trump is at or near the top everywhere.
One might laugh this off as unimportant buzz but do the math:
(100’s of Millions of dollars to spend) + (a reach that extends to a bunch of people who usually don’t vote.) = Chaos
Remember normally activists are important because you need boots on the ground to win but Trump can afford to pay millions who are out of work in every state to act as staff without breaking a sweat.
Think of it what happens if a Trump campaign holds Voter registration parties with free food, booze and top line acts with the only admission being a completed voter registration form? How many people not interested in election would show up for something like this? What if he does this in every state?. How much would that cost, and furthermore how much would it cost to pay people to drive this list of attendees to the polls on primary day?
Five Thirty Eight says Trump is the most unpopular candidate ever but if you pay people to get out the vote “walking around money” how much less would it cost to have such people stay home?
The GOP has to figure out how to handle Donald Trump his fame and celebrity and they have to do it in a careful and deliberate way, why? Well that’s a post for tomorrow.
Update: This is exactly how to do it:
I take back my earlier tweet. Sen. Cruz has released a statement welcoming Mr. Trump to the #2016 race. pic.twitter.com/T10Bk9OgVb