…is actually a better candidate because they have the experience of losing. Failure tends to be a rough but solid teacher, but you need to have a student willing to learn from those lessons.

If Martha Coakley was the type, she could learn from her loss and come back stronger. I don’t know if she is the type but we will see.

Which brings us to Doug Hoffman.

Conservatives owe Doug Hoffman a real debt. If Dede Scozzafava had won she would not only been a vote for Obamacare, she would have been on every TV show and every network portrayed as the “Republican”. She would have been jammed down our throats as the “bipartisan” republican ideal and proof that republicans had to abandon conservatism.

If we had Scozzafava, we would not have had Scott Brown, Period! The only reason why we don’t have Scozzafava is because of Doug Hoffman. I met Doug briefly at CPAC and shook his hand thanking him. We owe him big.

All that being said he made some errors. At the debate he seemed weak on local issues, he conceded too quickly and then unconseded and then reacted poorly when the loss held up.

These were all errors but are not fatal errors. With time and experience under his belt he has been busy, not only keeping up his conservative credentials nationally but within the district. With hard work on the local issues he will be better prepared to face Bill Owens in the fall. It is necessary to have both a national and local message, a primary election will enable that.

Of course Bill Owens breaking of his campaign promises with record speed certainly won’t hurt Doug, particularly since he attacked incredibly unpopular obamacare way back when (was this only 4 months ago?)

So as the bard wrote, once more, once more unto the breech.

“I’m just an average citizen, standing up to say, ‘We’re fed up. We’re not going to take this any more,’ ” Mr. Hoffman told The Washington Times in a telephone interview Tuesday. “I don’t think anybody should expect to inherit political office … . I’m going to work very hard to earn the respect and support of all the voters in the district.”

Nice to see Stacy’s byline at the Washington Times again. The village voice may think it’s funny but I suspect they will not be laughing in November. As Stacy writes:

“I do know there are a lot of grass-roots supporters around the district who still have [Hoffman for Congress] signs in their basements, and they’re itching to get them back out.”

Well it’s time to break out mine too.

Vote Hoffman!

A: and no it’s not because they are preparing the ground for 2010, it is because Hoffman is the PALIN candidate.

Once Palin endorsed Hoffman the race changed, it changed what republicans did and what democrats did. Once the election turned out poorly for us Suddenly it was THE race of the night as far as the left was concerned.

As long as Hoffman is connected to Palin they will attack him as “Far Right“. So much easier to go against a 3rd party candidate on the Canadian border than it is to risk angering hundreds of thousands of readers who may or may not be buying your paper. Particularly if you are a republican.

On election night I wrote this:

I think Hoffman’s concession is premature but that’s his decision to make not mine.

Now it looks like I might have been righter than I thought:

Now a recanvassing in the 11-county district shows that Owens’ lead has narrowed to 3,026 votes over Hoffman, 66,698 to 63,672, according to the latest unofficial results from the state Board of Elections.

In Oswego County, where Hoffman was reported to lead by only 500 votes with 93 percent of the vote counted election night, inspectors found Hoffman actually won by 1,748 votes — 12,748 to 11,000.

The new vote totals mean the race will be decided by absentee ballots, of which about 10,200 were distributed, said John Conklin, communications director for the state Board of Elections.

Under a new law in New York that extended deadlines, military and overseas ballots received by this coming Monday (and postmarked by Nov. 2) will be counted. Standard absentee ballots had to be returned this past Monday.

Conklin said the state sent a letter to the House Clerk last week explaining that no winner had been determined in the 23rd District, and therefore the state had not certified the election. But the letter noted that Owens still led by about 3,000 votes, and that the special election was not contested — two factors that legally allowed House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to swear in Owens on Friday.

You mean initial reports might have been incorrect?
It would be an interesting sight if the result changes, we will shortly see. If so the media are going to have their heads spinning.

In case my conservative friends still haven’t gotten it let me say one more time. I dislike this healthcare bill and believe it should be defeated.

But lets look at something interesting:

One month ago it looked like Dede the angrysmug would be elected to congress. She would be the one republican vote for this bill. She would be lionized by the media and held up as an example of moderation and bi-partisianship. She would be interviewed on every MSM outlet and held up as an example saying that Republicans need to moderate on Abortion and Gay Marriage. For a year this would be shoved down our throats.

But by the efforts of Doug Hoffman, Sarah Palin and conservatives all over the country. Dede was dropped like a bad habit and may even lose her position in the NY Republican delegation.

Although Hoffman was not elected he was just about the only republican/conservative who wasn’t on Tuesday. The democrat who defeated him Bill Owens managed to compromise himself with the voters who elected him in under 24 hours (Hoffman 2010). The president was desperate for a victory and more importantly needed one NOW! As time passed the 2010 election would be coming closer and the vote would be more painful and costly for blue dog democrats.

Now comes Joseph Cao the man who replaced William (Refrigerator) Jefferson. His district is about as democratic as you can get and he squeaked through with 49% to win. The bill is very popular there but Cao wasn’t buying and I wrote about this in August:

You know that in a district where there hasn’t been a republican congressman since 1890 and is 64% black it might be politically necessary for a newly elected republican to support the president on some key issues. Even if Abortion is paid for in it..

But Don Surber reports that when congressman Anh Cao says he is a Catholic, unlike say a John Kerry or a Nancy Pelosi he means it:

Cho bluntly stated that he would rather lose his seat than to vote for a healthcare bill that supports abortion.

Obama needed a win and wanted at least one republican so places like Think Progress could have headlines like this:

House Passes Historic, Bipartisan Health Reform Legislation

So comes the Stupak amendment and the vote for it. ONE QUARTER of the democratic caucus votes for the pro-life amendment, Pro-Abortion democrats hold their nose and vote for the final bill anyway.

Now the media has a dilemma: There is a Republican who voted for the bill. He is the first Vietnamese congressman, he has a great story and now he has been the vote for healthcare, one would expect that he would be lionized all over the place…

…however he is a DEVOUT Catholic and only was willing to vote for the bill because the Abortion provision was included and has made it clear that re-election campaign if the Abortion language goes so will he.

What is the MSM to do? Can they lionize an anti-abortion republican? Can they praise him on the talk shows? Will Obey, Maddow, the today show, the view and all the others dare to push him and praise a believing catholic who practices what he preaches?

If they don’t then they lose their bi-partisan meme if they do then they lionize faith. I think they will ignore him, I think in the end the media is so far left that even supporting Obama and this bill is not enough for them to go against their sacrament.

God works in mysterious ways, but I don’t see this as very mysterious. Bills come and go, parties rise and fall but Sin is Sin and God is constant.

I still hope the bill will fail but I’m going to enjoy watching the media squirm over the next two days over Cao.

A: Because it took him less that 1 hour in congress to break 4 campaign promises.

No wonder Dede the angry smugly satisfied endorsed him. Moe Lane is not surprised and Katty Kay apparently knew what she was talking about.

No offense voters of Ny-23 but as always you get the government you deserve.

Vote Hoffman 2010.

…and that’s ok. I think Hoffman’s concession is premature but that’s his decision to make not mine. There are times you are going to win and times you don’t and if this turns out to be a time we don’t then so be it.

As I’ve already said, it was MUCH more important to have this fight and prevent what would become the media’s “bi-partisan” vote for all that is Pelosi and Obama that to have the seat for the year. I would of course have preferred to have em both but when you’ve had almost the entire loaf, you can’t quibble over the last piece.

If the party had a normal primary Hoffman would have doubtless defeated Dede the (now less) angry and I suspect would have managed to pull out the win against Owens. In 2010 with a real primary in place and with one year of Owens voting with Obama this will be a much more likely outcome. Dede will celebrate the successful vendetta with our (newfound?) friends on the left and will likely see a reward both from the MSM and the administration. After all the Owens race is the one bright spot in a dismal day for democrats.

Part of being willing to fight is to risk the chance of defeat, when that comes you take it like a man, so congratulations democrats, you have one more house seat.

Now Govern! Do it wisely because if you don’t I suspect you won’t be winning it a 2nd time in 2010.

Thanks to Doug Hoffman for his efforts in sparing us an Obama Democrat, for that if nothing else the party owes him.

Update: Maybe it’s just me, but as someone who objected to the MSM stalling on calling states that were clearly for Bush in 2000 I didn’t like that Drudge didn’t bother keeping the NY-23 stats updated because Hoffman was behind. It’s no less weaselly when it’s done for our side.

Update 2: National Review agrees with me:

If Hoffman decides to run in 2010, he will probably be running against a Bill Owens whose party has forced him to take tough votes on monstrous health-care, energy and card-check bills. This is still a Republican district. Plus, Hoffman won’t have to worry about zombie Scozzafava taking 5 percent of the vote.

The president and Pelsoi will not make it easy for him, there will be one path for re-election for him and he has already articulated it and may have been the difference in the race.

There are several people who the results in NY-23 can be directly traced to. When the history of this election is written it is they who will be responsible.

1. Barack Obama and his political team:

They saw that he won NY-23 by 52% and saw a no lose situation. He appointed the Republican John McHugh to be Army Secretary. It was a no lose situation. If a democrat won, great another pickup for the party, but even better a liberal Acorn supporting, Card Check supporting republican. They don’t even have to PAY for this person the foolish NRCC will finance that campaign and once she wins presto all of those house votes are suddenly “bi-partisan”. The payoff for the Obama team was MUCH higher with a Scozzafava win than with an Owens one. Kos didn’t endorse that lady for nothing.

2. Doug Hoffman

It’s one thing to object to a RINO, it’s another thing to be willing to put yourself out there. He put himself out there and is poised to reap the rewards UPDATE: or even in defeat prevent the disaster of the “bi-partisan” house votes

3. The Tea Party Movement:

It is the Tea Party movement that provided the energy that made the difference , it kept the story of NY-23 alive and pushed it on the web and on blogs. Hoffman is their candidate and their willingness to highlight it drew the attention of bloggers and politicians to this race.

4. Sarah Palin

Her selection was considered a high risk/high reward move by McCain. She did the same. If Scozzafava had won the media would have trumpeted this as the defeat of Sarah Palin, if Owens wins they will still do that. But Palin got out in front of every other major republican and conservative and put it on the line forcing others (Hi Tim Pawlenty) to follow. The created a domino effect of money and attention eventually forcing the withdrawal of Dede the angry and the deployment of the Vice president turning a Doug Hoffman victory into a not only a win for the Tea Party/conservative movement but becomes a loss for the Administration. Update: And even a Owens win becomes small as it is simply one more democratic vote in a large majority, a vote that will have to be defended in one year. She will take the media hits but she did the party a huge favor.

When we look back at what begins after this election don’t forget that these were the people who made it happen.

Honorable Mention:

The bloggers:

Erik Erickson

Erik Erickson on Red State was the 1st to suggest 3rd party:

Conservatives and Republicans should rally around Dough Hoffman as a viable alternative to Dede Scozzafava. Hoffman has more in common with the people in NY-23 and is closer to the Republican Party on issues across the board.

We don’t need a third party in this country. And it is too hard to set one up anyway. But there is a viable third party in New York that conservatives can use to remind the GOP what happens when the local Republican Party rejects the Republican platform. Above all else, we must make sure Scozzafava is defeated.

Robert Stacy McCain:

From his first post on the subject on Oct 14th he has OWNED this story and not only has he owned it, he managed to get himself up to NY-23 twice and was on site for both the Palin Endorsement and the Scozzafava withdrawal. He has done this both on his blog and for the American Spectator. For example:

Ah, Election Day at last! In 24 hours, you’ll be reading my Wednesday article about what happened in the crucial upstate New York special congressional election. And tomorrow morning, God willing, I’ll be taking a shower, packing my bags, checking out of a hotel in Saranac Lake, N.Y., and heading back home to try to recover from the insanity of it all. Meanwhile, people way above my pay-grade will be on TV telling you What It Really Means.

Nice work, if you can get it.

McCain went all in and was one of the first prominent bloggers to call for a Palin endorsement.

Other than the wear and tear on his car McCain is one of the biggest winners in this whole event.

Dana Loesch:

The Dump Dede web site went online Oct 17th:

One of the biggest lies ever told is that the biggest threat to conservatism lies outside the invisible boundaries of the GOP. I disagree; the biggest threat to conservatism is an unchecked Republican party – just as I think the biggest threat to Christianity is a false prophet. There are some false prophets leading the GOP right now: the RNC has an incompetent leader; Newt Gingrich demonstrates that his “American Solution” is to push the GOP center left by backing an ACORN candidate in New York’s 23rd. There are false prophets leading and cowards following: aside from a few Republicans like Michelle Bachmann, few others have denounced the nomination of Dede Scozzafava or Gingrich’s ridiculous proclamation of a “new revolution.” Please. He apparently doesn’t recognize a new revolution when it marches by the millions on Washington.

I’m tired of consequential fear motivating my vote. Too many in the Republican party have used this as a tool with which to manipulate voters. The Democrats have the race card; the Republicans have the fear card. They know that voters will choose the lesser of two evils – sometimes that’s a decent strategy when the alternative is decent. I wouldn’t define the situation in New York’s 23rd as such and because this seems to be indicative of a trend in the GOP – and with Gingrich’s call to shift the party further away from its base – I say it’s time to reclaim the party, give some true conservatives within it time to redeem or prove themselves, or bury it altogether.

The site hit this meme over that last 3 weeks, she was right in front and pressed this race. When Scozzafava dropped out Dump Dede became a blog that served it’s purpose.

If you want a little more history All American Blogger has an updated timeline and Accuracy in media give credit for what has happened.

There is no greater high for a history guy like me to watch it happen.

Update: Welcome Big Government Readers and thanks Dana for the link. Take a peek around. Discover if Sarah Palin is damaged goods and what the religion of Peace has been up to while we were voting. Learn the dangers of public wi-fi, the first rule of Republican Victory and how my father knew Al Capone’s cousin. And watch me explain why Dr. Who is a lot more conservative than Wired Mag thinks.

is being questioned on what a good republican is.

They seem to ask him why he bucked the party to support Hoffman, but nobody will mention that is was because…Sarah Palin did it first and he didn’t want to be left behind.

They are making him look pretty bad, they are pounding him on what is a proper republican and he seems to be squirming over does Olympia Snowe belong in the republican party.

And people actually want this guy for President? HA!

Update: Haley Barbour shows how it’s done.

Update: The Star Tribune makes a declaration:

Big tent GOPer Gov. Tim Pawlenty perhaps became a former big tent GOPer this morning during an on MSNBC . He said the former GOP candidate for New York’s special congressional race didn’t “minimum standard” for a Republican candidate but added Minnesota U.S. Rep. Erik Paulsen and former U.S. Rep. Jim Ramstad are moderates who may be acceptable.

“There’s a range of behavior and issue behavior that you can take,” Pawlenty said. (Last week, the governor backed the Conservative Party candidate in that New York election over the Republican candidate. Over the weekend, the Republican dropped out and endorsed her former Democratic rival.)

Republican U.S. Sen. Olympia Snowe, of Maine, might have more problems meeting the standard, Pawlenty suggested.

Granted it is the Star Tribune but I saw it and they are right, he made a fool out of himself.

…are mentioned on Morning Joe and Documented at Red State:

Joe Scarborough tells me and the record of newspapers and television transcripts from the time confirms that Scarborough rarely talked about abortion, but editorialists across the country did. Scarborough was all about taxes, regulation, and small business.

Of course, on October 6, 1994, Roll Call had to report, “In the state’s 1st House district, being vacated by retiring Rep. Earl Hutto (D), Republican attorney Joe Scarborough defeated state Rep. Lois Benson in the GOP primary runoff, 54 to 46 percent. Democrats hope their candidate, former auto dealer Vince Whibbs Jr., will be able to portray Scarborough as a far-right candidate out of step with the district.”

The press then did what they are doing this year. Scarborough and the GOP were — and I had forgotten this — portrayed as “The Party of No.”

Insanity is sometimes defined as doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. The NRCC is insane.

Vote Hoffman!

BTW Chuck Todd mentions a special election in California where he states it likely going to be a democratic win but is going to be MUCH closer that people thing. Boy that $1,000,000 is looking better for Dede the angry now.

UPDATE: Steyn opines

I’d far rather she switched to the Dems now than pulled a Jeffords or a Spector down the line. But so much for Newt’s assurance that she’d be a reliable vote for Boehner as Speaker. Beyond that, her behavior reflects poorly on the party bosses who nominated and funded her, and not just for the obvious reason that the geniuses of the Republican Party’s national leadership blew just shy of a million bucks on a supporter of the Democratic candidate. This is where David Frum & Co miss the point: I’m all for growing the base, expanding the coalition, etc. But the Scozzafava candidacy was a characteristic example of the tin-eared faux-sophistry that does nothing but blow your own foot off. It’s a shame over 900 grand’s worth of good people’s donations at a time of recession should have to be tossed out of a moving vehicle on the Adirondack Northway to demonstrate the obvious point that nobody needs Scozzafava Republicanism.

Update 2: Smitty at The Other McCain reminds us of Ca-10 as well.

Update 3: Hotair has the video

A: Biden speaks to a “whopping crowd” of media but can’t draw a crowd. Palin is able to answer him via facebook to millions from her keyboard.

The vice president’s extreme opposition to domestic energy development goes all the way back to 1973 when he opposed the Alaska pipeline bill. As Ann Coulter pointed out, “Biden cast one of only five votes against the pipeline that has produced more than 15 billion barrels of oil, supplied nearly 20 percent of this nation’s oil, created tens of thousands of jobs, added hundreds of billions of dollars to the U.S. economy and reduced money transfers to the nation’s enemies by about the same amount.”

This nonsensical opposition to American domestic energy development continues to this day. Apparently the Obama-Biden administration only approves of offshore drilling in Brazil, where it will provide security and jobs for Brazilians. This election is about American security and American jobs.

There’s one way to tell Vice President Biden that we’re tired of folks in Washington distorting our message and hampering our nation’s progress: Hoffman, Baby, Hoffman!

I like it. Hoffman Baby Hoffman!

Update: The story is at the Hill here. Gateway Pundit comments:

It’s important to remember that the Obama-Biden energy plan is a non-energy plan. It consists of cutting off domestic production of oil and coal causing prices to skyrocket and implementing costly solar and wind programs that absolutely will not meet America’s energy demands.

The Obama Administration approved funding for the Soros-linked Brazilian oil drilling project this year but banned oil and nuclear energy development in the United States.

With unemployment near 10% this is not a winning way to go.

Update 2: Hotair Headline It’s on.